I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

little interest in punting lately, but spotted Cosa Sara out tomorrow in ye firste at Musselburgh

give this race a good look yday, and thought (albeit nowhere near double figures 🤣😂) that @ Cosa Sara ~4/1, would have a right good chance here , as well as Linda Perratt's Chinese Spirit ~4/1

wasn't at all gone on paper fav, War Defender ~2/1, so was considering backing CS win, and doing r/f with Chinese Spirit

that was based on the ground being Good-good to firm in places.. seems a lot of pace on, so that would/would have helped both they chances - #if the going remains t'same

#don't think it will remain as is tho, the Going, as lots of precipitation due tonight..

will leave off so - couldn't be having Cosa Sara on rain-softened ground.. only looked at the race with a view that the going would be good

might back her tomorrow if there's no 'Soft' in the description

be wary tho - unless there's a serious deluge tonight, then tis likely there'll be narys the mention of 'soft' early doors 😒

... as appears to be the norm, and have 'alluded' to this craic several times..... could be Soft-good to soft come third race up north 😆😓😪

couldn't be up to them

#powderdry #theywasrobbed #sayNOtoQtackseens&SmartMeters #theferalscumcandowhattheywant

that's all

:)

no joy there :(

jolly collared Make Clear at 1pole , and wins going away by 5lengths

#effpunting

😆

really need dem #StudyHubbes

no motivation

think i'll knock it on t'ead for a while until la muse returneth

prolly won't, but tis t'plan anyroad 😎

:)

looked at one race for Thursday, 21st Sept

Chelmsford 8,30

Standard Going on r'card

a micky mouse Cl6 1m. 2f. hcap

Egoiste ~ 11/2 , Lightning Spark ~ 15/2 , and James Bradley ~ 10/1 , are three what I think have claimes here.

reasons for all are mainly based on t'opposition's perceived lack of chances of winning here.... I don't think anything really has strong claims in this

El Royale ~ 5/2 is yet to win in fifteen starts. has ran improved races the last twice - both of which were at the course and over 8 & 10furlonge trippes.. first two aw runs were good, but box 12 wrong place to be for one what likes to be handy... must check to see how muche pace on

Cryptos Dream ~9/2 is another what's badly drawn and she comes outta 11 box. must have bounced lto at Ripon. only came 7th in 10f race there on goodishe ground -after having won by a margin the time before that in a similar race at Brighton- when sent off solid 9/4 fav for that 13 runner event. Capable of going close here based on pick of Irish AW form, but like El Royale, if this one don't get to race close to pace, then Cryptos Dream is unlikely to go well from off the pace. lack of overall placed form don't bode well neither: has two wins , two 4th and two 2nd place finishes from twenty runs on the flat, and after that has one fifth place position. outta her other 13 runs, 7th is the best she's yet to manage.... not the greatest e/w proposition anyroad, this daughter of Elzaam 😄

prediction on Cryptos Dream: not one for max faith. too short at prices. may well be strongly backed and maybe even win, but if don't see coin/support from connections, then looks unlikely to be running well here.... short enough as is and wouldn't fancy backing at shorter odds

Young Winston ~13/2 has never inspired on the AW tracks, and has only the one win from thirty goes... did come a respectable 2nd at Bath in July but aint built on that run in two runs since. just having 4th run for current trainer, Tony Carroll -who'll be the 4yos fifth trainer in two years- and Young Winston is possibly capable of improving. looks Classified Stakes level only for me, this one, and for one what likes to be sat mid-div at worst, then box ten a bit of a curse... happy to o'erlook

----------

so yep, easy to look past most the market leaders here... hard enough to make solid individual cases for me own pickes tho and three is a bit much 🙂 might get ye #tricaste p'raps 😛

had look at possible pace angles:

seems most of field are race close to pace types.. not many seem to be out-and-out frontrunners, but will hope there's enough early pace on to scupper chances of the three i've ruled out above from getting a decent early possy for theyselves...

I think Egoiste is best chance of a winner here - his CD third three runs back looks solid form. was also drawn in box two that day, so assuming a true run race, then Probert might be able to haul him over the line

Lightning Spark is interesting having her 2nd hcap run: she ran a decent race lto at Wolves. that were over 2fs further than this race, which shouldn't make much difference i would think, and it were massive improvement upon her first three runs - one of which were a last of nine over course and distance in March - and she's since gone on to break the lids a lot quicker than she's done in her earlier runs. hope is she won't race too wide here, and coming from box 7 that looks a possibility..

James Bradley , the more I look at him, it's hard to see him win and not too difficult to see him out the places neither. doesn't really seem to fully see out the 10f trip here at Chelly (has won at the course before, but at over a mile) . has twice ran over CD (both this year) and was well supported both timese. he only managed to finish 5th of twelve and 6th of nine in both those two races. hard to completely rule out tho as has the plum box no. 1 draw, and is the only horse in the field what has won at the course before - 5 horses in total have ran at Essex venue afore..

think me'll back all three each way

:)

and one I backed in times recente what might take up engagement at weekend

7.30

very wide open this. can't pick likely winner here.. go with an outsider

BUSH ROSE 40/1 EW NAP

this will be the 3yo maiden's sixth ever run and only the second for her latest trainer, Phil McEntee. will ignore her latest run at Bath as wasn't at all fancied on stable debut..

Sat, 23rd Sept

BUSH ROSE ran an okay race that day when finishing fifth over Kempton's ~11f trip. holds an entry for ~1m. 4f. Cl6 Handicap on Saturday -the 8.0'c @ Wolves- which provisionally sees Molly Presland(7) get leg up. still early days as decs aren't in, but will be hard to leave her out of calculations, esp seeing as she went out to 125/1 lto and was beaten a lil less than ten lengths which aint bad atc.. not awe inspiring, but it were @Bush Rose's 1st real attempt at a hold up ride; better can be expected on Saturday, one hopes.. the extra furlong or so should help an' all 😊

#rubbishquotefunctiononhere #theywasrobbed #StudyHubs

gl

heh heh heh , i is clever 😃🤣🙂

hope me mules go well at Chelly tonight,,, one absentee from wide draw and one o' jollies is said scratched one.. 11/4 Cryptos Dream (Jack Jones might've another day for this one, but he couldn't have hardly fancied his 4yof's chances from 11 box- what with her prominent racing style an' all) is out so not a nice rule4 in offing ... that's if me even gets a resulte with any o' me pickes... 😃

ooked at one race for Thursday, 21st Sept

Chelmsford 8,30

8,30 Chelmsford

about 4s , 7/1 & 12s are Egoiste , James Bradley and Lightning Spark, currently.. those be okay prices - no much ew juice in Egoiste and James Bradley, but are about fair for win.. I be giving Lightning Spark ye @NB vote, as is about, methinks 6/1-13/2 for win purposes here and, perhaps would have her alot bigger @~11/1mebbe far as e/w value/price, goes.... reason for discrepancy in me made up prices is is it's hard to know what tae expect fro Lightning Spark, but she could be well handicapped

that is all

#StudyHubbes #Finlandwasrobbed #rubbishquotefunctiononhere

#GWAN@'Scans'on#Strictly@#BBChomeof#Pointless😀

:)

#methodinuslogic 😊

must tekk luuk at Wolves cairde (wrt La Muse and whethre she be abroade...) for @Wkend in nxt study sesh - which is unlikely to be in #StudyHub :(

bye 4nigh

:)

hope you're right stan ☺️

Cosa Sara won !! ffs :( me not even know she were out today... need dem #StudyHubs - woulda clocked her then 🙂

😢