Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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There are a lot of technicalities in the definition of genocide but the deportation of children and the attacks on the energy plants last winter seem to me like elements of genocide.

Genocide - Wikipedia

Genocide is the intentional destruction of a people[a] in whole or in part. In 1948, the United Nations Genocide Convention defined genocide as any of five "acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group." These five acts were: killing members of the group, causing them serious bodily or mental harm, imposing living conditions intended to destroy the group, preventing births, and forcibly transferring children out of the group. Victims are targeted because of their real or perceived membership of a group, not randomly. Genocide - Wikipedia

Nothing new about this. Was it Bosnia where they found "acts of genocide" but it wasn't genocide ?

You're ignoring the operative word there which is "and". Genocide is an amalgamation of attrocities on civilians, I don't think it applies to individual subset of criteria.

There is another issue with officially applying terms like that to wars like this which is that it would probably have a cheapening effect on it's intentionally reserved use against regimes like the Nazis or the Turks for example who committed far greater mass attrocities in their time that meet every definition of genocide.

It would cheapen it because it would just be used over and over again for all sorts of actions which would debase the impact the term is supposed to have.

Could be. In a way it's more fun if it's tyres.

More Shahed attacks close to Romania on Sunday.

Kind of wonder will NATO/Romania agree with Ukraine to help to cover some of that infrastructure with air defence emplaced over the border (it is only few km away from where these drones are aimed at)? Probably not, fear does seem to rule the day. However, idea that NATO shooting down some unmanned buzz-bombs that of course have no business at all flying anywhere through Ukraine's airspace let alone right up to Romania's border is a serious "escalation", is bogus IMO.

When drones in question are shaking the windows over the border. Russia clearly do not give a f-ck if some go astray, they have become cock-sure they can do exactly as they please and there will be no response triggered should a few land over the border and kill people. That might happen soon, given numbers of these drones they are launching.

Not one bit.

We've seen the deliberate targeting of civilians. There was even a theatre of civilians in Mariupol and the Russians still levelled it.

The abduction of 300,000 Ukrainian children to be raised as Russian.

The castration of captured prisoners of war. The sterilisation of Ukrainian women with insulation foam. The rape of young women and girls.

All these meet the conditions of a genocide.

The only reason the UN security council won't apply that now is because Russia head the security council right now.

Also, for all their efforts, the Russians haven't been successful at eliminating the Ukrainians, thus, so far, they have "only" attempted genocide.

War crimes

Genocide

Atrocities against civilians

Murder

Torture

Russia is guilty of all of the above in this war.

Remember at the start of the war how the Vatican declared Russia committing genocide in Ukraine in the Holodomor.

Then the Pope had to ruin it all declaring the Great Mother Russia just so he could get safe passage through Russia without being unlived on his way to Mongolia.

And now one of the largest Roman Catholic nomination countries in Europe, Poland. Who gave us Pope John Paul II in recent times. Have Pope Francis on a front cover riding in a Z mobile on tracks saluting Russia.

Consequences Francis. Consequences.

I saw a video saying Russia had been using North Korean artillery, but that it's absolute garbage. I cannot, however, verify the validity of that report. 

It's basically a race at this point as to whether Russia or NATO can ramp up military production fast enough for it to make a difference. Russia don't seem to be in a position to stockpile munitions or other equipment ready to launch an offensive of their own. The attack they launched in the north in the hopes of forestalling the Ukrainian offensive seems to have pretty much ground to a halt. And they just sent a newly formed army to the front before training was finished and without a full equipment load, just to free up experienced troops to try and plug the gaps forming in the southern front, which seems to be on the verge of collapse.

If the Russian front does collapse in the south, it's hard to predict what happens. Russia made a strategic withdrawal in Kherson last year because they knew their position was untenable and they wanted to avoid a rout. This time they don't seem to have anywhere to fall back to - they don't seem to have had time to throw up any more in-depth defences beyond the third line.

If Ukraine break through, then they have about a month before the seasonal rains to make it count.

I found this map showing the front in real time: https://liveuamap.com/

The salient around Robotyne is clearly visible. I'm not tactician, but if Ukraine breaks through, they will probably want to roll up the lines and destroy as much of the Russian army and equipment as they can rather than drive straight for the coast. I guess Russia will be trying to fortify the coastal cities if they can.