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Random EV thoughts.....

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,487 ✭✭✭embraer170


    My dad is at an age when he definitely shouldn’t driving but I also can’t force him off the road.

    He wants to replace his 20 year old Toyota banger.. It has to be automatic (like his current car) and cheap since I don’t think it will be driven for more than a year or two (if even). Very little weekly mileage, so the age / car totally mileage really doesn’t matter.

    Nissan Leaf, an old Ioniq or something else?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,032 ✭✭✭✭CoBo55


    Would he remember to charge it? I had terrible trouble with my late father leaving lights on etc. Very little out there that would suit him unfortunately, would the Toyota not see him out for another few years, would he drive anything else? Change is a huge deal at that age.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,487 ✭✭✭embraer170


    Yeah, charging it will be fine for him. He’s used to technology and uses an iPad, flies a drone etc.

    The Avensis is 21 years old at this stage and even he has now accepted its time for sone kind of change. I’ve been saying it for years.

    I’m just wondering what would be the least dangerous for him and other road users. Leaf, Ioniq, something else in the sub €12k range? An e-up might be ideal but is too expensive for what it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,002 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I'm not sure I get the concern, if he's able to fly and keep sight of a drone then he should be physically able to drive a car

    Nevertheless, I can see the appeal of something simpler that lets him focus on the road and not mess with gear changes, etc

    I'd say the Ioniq is the better option, it's got more updated safety systems than the Leaf

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    If you're suggesting a budget of €12k, then I presume range is not important? Does he ever need to travel beyond the range of the car and require public charging? If you answer both questions with no, an outlier choice would be a Renault Fluence Z.E. It is similar in size as the Avensis, is mighty comfortable to be in and drive and is relatively slow, a car made for gentle and relaxed driving. It also has a 4 star Euro NCAP safety rating, which is pretty good for a car that came out in 2011



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,316 ✭✭✭zg3409


    Screenshot_20230827-101247.png

    Hot persuit...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,178 ✭✭✭✭AndyBoBandy


    Saw one of the new Toyota Prius’ today in dark grey…. It’s a very pretty car.

    it’s a PHEV isn’t it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,479 ✭✭✭DaveyDave


    They are indeed, €46,000 plus delivery. 223hp so at least they aren't gutless like previous models which were only made worse being driven by slow taxi drivers.

    Class looking car. I've admittedly liked the look of the previous Prius models but this one is a big upgrade. Not a fan of the interiors though.

    I don't understand the pricing of PHEVs being in line with EVs.

    Unrelated but I saw a base spec MG4 which looks awful without the rear spoiler.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Good looking car for sure, but insane price. You can have a Tesla Model Y for that. In every way vastly superior. Toyota is in deep ****. Without a bail out (which might prove too expensive for the Japanese government), it could be end of story for what recently was the biggest car maker in the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,001 ✭✭✭sk8board


    You’ve been predicting that for 6-8yrs though, and the reality has always been the opposite - Toyotas numbers, margins and profits are still immense, and still growing.

    sure it’s like turning an oil tanker, but that doesn’t mean it can’t turn - and outside of Europe and maybe one or two other places, their hybrid cars will lead in sales for many decades. Predicting them to fail or needing a government bail out is simply vastly wide of the mark.

    it’s akin to me replying to you with “if Toyota can perfect their solid state battery research, it’s game over for tesla and all those legacy Bev manufacturers with their old fashioned batteries”

    here’s 2022:




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,018 ✭✭✭kanuseeme


    Toyota don't care about anything other than their self charging cars, look at the rav 4, 44000 for the hybrid, another 10000 for an extra 16 kwh battery and a socket.

    The BZ is extremely bad value, compared to anything else, only thing it has going for it is a brand name and an exceptional warranty.

    Its sales here, were very good for what it is, just 50 cars behind the model 3.

    I think Toyotas game is just milk the self charging hybrids, when sales decrease, start on the phevs, and finally the full battery, all the time fingers crossed for hydrogen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    @sk8board - "You’ve been predicting that for 6-8yrs "

    You're giving me too much credit 😂

    I've been predicting it for a year or two, I've seen it coming, it's just a matter of time. And their own stories about hydrogen / fuel cell cars and solid state batteries are nothing but vapourware.

    But we shall see. I would bet serious money that within 3 years Toyota isn't in the top 3 of global number of car sales anymore. Say over H2 2026 sales. Bet between you and me for €1000? But no, I guess (unlike me) you won't put your money where your mouth is and accept that bet 😉



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,001 ✭✭✭sk8board


    So is it a government bailout, or ‘not in the top 3’ 🥱.

    don’t demean yourself with meaningless bets with internet strangers.

    It’s a discussion site - we’re discussing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,001 ✭✭✭sk8board


    I think you’re right. Then comments here would make you think Toyota doesn’t have a strategy for the future direction of car sales. The comments also very wrongly sssume that ‘the world’ is moving to electric, which is absolutely not the case. The majority of the world will be lapping up hybrids for decades, while they figure out their infrastructure.

    v interesting that the BZ is similar sales numbers to the m3 - probably toyota drivers staying within the brand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    @sk8board - "So is it a government bailout, or ‘not in the top 3’ 🥱."

    Was a safe bet, near guaranteed win for me ;-)

    Hard to put a time line on it, that's why I am careful about doing so and always have been. I never said Toyota would need a bailout in 3 years. Their decline has already started though and it will spiral down.

    I guess if you don't want to bet with me it comes down to honour only. We will have to patiently wait and see who will deserve the honour here. You or me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,002 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Toyota seem to be taking the long term strategy and betting on solid state batteries to give them an EV experience similar to a petrol car

    However there's a ton of holes in that strategy, since they'll need to scale up production very rapidly if they're aiming for mass market

    There doesn't seem to be any news of Toyota making deals for battery factories or mining deals, so it would seem they're a few years away from mass production

    Even then, you need a charging network to support delivering 1000km of range in 15 mins. Don't think Ecars will be at that level anytime soon so will Toyota invest in their own network, or partner into Ionity or something?

    In the meantime, they'll probably do what most car companies do which is buy their way into a market. I think they're already doing this in China and I wouldn't be surprised if they started shipping Chinese made EVs to Europe and the US rebadged as Toyota

    And I wouldn't be surprised if the old protectionism drum gets a few bangs. There's already talk in the EU about slapping anti dumping tariffs on Chinese made EVs, and the US has effectively forced out the competition through the IRA (a different kind of kneecapping)

    Nothing screams "vote for me" like protecting your domestic car industry

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Regional East Moderators Posts: 8,262 Mod ✭✭✭✭liamog


    To me the batteries in the car are a commodity item, we've seen it with Tesla using batteries from Panasonic, CATL, and BYD. Similarly other manufacturers jumping between LG Chem, SK Innovation and other suppliers.

    It's the rest of the EV drivetrain that manufacturers need to build up experience with and to package into an overall product. Toyota waiting for the solid state battery means they aren't gaining the real world experience that the Hyundai/Kia's of the world are.

    I think when solid state batteries hit mass market we won't see a competitive advantage for any single manufacturer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,002 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I agree, batteries are batteries and I don't really see anyone beyond the die hard EV nerds caring beyond the capacity and charging speed

    Solid state might (or might not) be a game changer in the long run if they can get battery costs down significantly. But there's a lot of road from hitting the market to becoming cost competitive, and they're not even on the market yet

    They've yet to even reach square 1 so to speak

    And I absolutely agree that Toyota are missing valuable experience. You can see it with the BZ range, there's several issues there that other manufacturers have already gotten past

    Again, I think their strategy is to just buy in the expertise when they need it, they probably have deep enough pockets to do it

    I think they're in for a shock on the materials and production side though unless they start locking in prices soon

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,316 ✭✭✭zg3409


    The cost savings of driving an EV versus Hybrid or diesel may see the ordinary motorist switching sooner than expected. I believe EV mopeds are crazy popular in poorer or Chinese countries, meaning little new sales of petrol versions. Similar may happen in other countries for vehicles, especially in African countries with no oil industry. Tuc tuc style EVs may be their poor man's EV, with possibly petrol or diesel for non local commuting. Remember many areas have home electricity which is fine for local use. Even generators roadside or in the boot could be a stop gap for odd long trip. Tesla owners in Australia funded some diesel powered Tesla chargers for remote areas. The Africans can be very innovative along with indian, Chinese etc and if EVs are soon cheaper than ICE to buy brand new then the tide may turn.

    I have seen the future and most car manufacturers including Toyota I think see the future. Most car manufacturers have already stopped all new investment in engines instead looking at how they can dip a toe into EV while pushing their old technology. I expect Toyota have done some maths, whether their gamble will win or hot is another matter. You could argue that no one with a legacy staff, manufacturing lines and systems can really move quick enough to keep profitable compared to the likes of Tesla with none of those overheads and union push back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    It says it all that Toyota's CEO / chairman of 15 years, Akio Toyoda, the great grandson of Toyota's founder, was booted out of power recently. A fact that didn't get any attention in the western main press, but it is huge in Japanese culture

    Maybe there is hope for Toyota still, maybe it was too little too late...



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,001 ✭✭✭sk8board


    I honestly have no answer for you - it’s a bizarre post. Should I have replied “why €1k, make it €10k” or “come down here to Cork and bring your duelling pistols”

    😂😂😂

    this notion that Toyota are in decline, when on the one hand their balance sheet growth and profits say otherwise, and on the other hand there’s a clear uncertainty in the demand curve for EVs into the near future now that the early adopters have theirs - and they've depreciate like rocks.

    people seem to forget that the vast overwhelming majority of transactions in the car market happen in the €5-10k second hand market. Those folks won’t be buying €40-50k new EVs, nor will they be paying much for a 10yo EV that doesn’t suit their needs.

    We’re literally decades away from the situation you describe as being around the corner.

    even if they can stop selling hybrids by 2035 in Europe those cars will be in the national fleets until at least 2055. And that assumes they can enforce the 2035 ruling - meanwhile places with far more polluting vehicles like India, America, South America, Australia etc won’t follow that lead for many many years, and at best will prefer hybrid technology.

    this ‘Toyota are in decline’ narrative is woefully naive when you take a global view.

    Post edited by sk8board on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    QFP. We will all have a good laugh about your post in 2030 when virtually all new car sales in Europe are BEV and people mock the ridiculous concept of hybrids.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭tesla_newbie


    Anyone here own ( or experience driving) both the Tesla model Y and the Tesla Model 3 who preferred the 3 ?

    I own the Y and love it but might need to switch to the 3



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    I presume you want to compare made in China (MIC) Model 3 RWD vs Model Y RWD? The Model 3 is far nicer and sportier to drive and considerably quicker. But no hatchback though, that rules it out for a lot of families (me included)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭tesla_newbie


    No , I can’t get my Y approved for Hackney work due to it having tinted rear windows and it’s cheaper to sell and buy a new 3 than order the compatible clear glass

    il take a spin in a 3 again, been two years since I did , I generally don’t like having to stoop down to get into cars



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Ah ok. You should PM @Gumbo, he has a lot of experience with EV taxis and he has mentioned replacing the factory tinted glass on the Model Y before. Perhaps he has a cheaper solution than you are aware of.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,191 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    I’ve already chatted to him Unkel. Unfortunately the guys I used are all out of stock for the Y.

    I offered the chance that the 3 rear glass may be the same but a few have said it’s different alright.

    Just have to keep ringing the lads that sell it as when it comes in, it sells asap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,576 ✭✭✭eagerv


    I have a newish Model 3 RWD. I love the driving position, but it is low. Fine for a young lad like myself 😋 but not sure if paying customers would appreciate...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,636 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Ideal taxi the Model Y. Great respect for the taxi drivers running them. Smart lads, saving themselves a fortune.


    Smart lads, or they have smart advisers 😁



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭tesla_newbie


    I phoned the link add I received here and I wouldn’t trust the guy I spoke to as far as I’d peg him



This discussion has been closed.
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