Russia - threadbanned users in OP

It is a tactic that they use sometimes in desperation and to some effect.

Article says nothing about expanding the arsenal, they're replacing decomissioned warheads and using the plutonium from them. Also says this process was set out and began in 2018, well before Putin pulled out of the treaty.

No expansion of arsenal, no new enriched plutonium so a fair difference in reality to what you are saying.

That whole article is a poorly disguised Oppenheimer promotion.

Some Buryat tradesmen were sent to Ukraine to work and they got put in uniforms when they got there.

Deepstate showing the Russian gains towards the Oskil river today at the focal point of their new offensive taking 3 more settlements. It puts Ukranian troops to the north on the east side of the river in a precarious position of potentially being cut off. They may have to abandon their positions and move to the western side of the river soon.

The Ukranian focus seems to be Bakhmut at the moment. Tough fighting going on there south of the city. They had some gains yesterday.

I wonder is the Russian offensive further north an attempt by Russia to force Ukraine to redeploy troops from Bakhmut as they know it could eventually be encircled the way things are going.

This might go some way to explaining why Russia is not suffering severe shortage in equipment just yet.

Russia-Africa Summit in St. Petersburg Thursday

Putin will be holding the Russia/Africa summit on Thursday. There will be over 40 African countries there, heads of state, ministers etc. Do you think Ukraine has the ability to put on a show for the Africans, maybe with a drone strike ? If they could it would be a huge embarrassment for Putin ?

Before

After

It doesn't look like Ukraine have been able to contain the Russian breach near Karmazynivka.

As far as I know, the last mobilization order was never rescinded, its still being used. Unless he moves to a full War footing and that changes anything? Some technical issues maybe? For sure, he's definitely closing all the loopholes that Russians were using to escape mobilization.

Most African heads of state are boycotting this event.

Mad when you look at the maps. It's all fields that have been captured. Now Ukraine have to recapture these fields yet again.

This is exactly what I was posting about a week or so back when I said that the US and the West is not going to back Ukraine enough to win this.

Again they are finding more delays to train Ukrainians for F16's, this is being drawn out for a reason. Also it seems very unlikely now the US will send ATCAMS, and other long range weapons.

The counteroffensive has now only obtained small gains for Ukraine, while Russia are now making breakthroughs themselves and could start making a big push in some areas.

Still not sure what the end game is going to be, I cant see any scenario where Ukraine reclaims large amounts of its territory back at this stage.

I still think negotiations at some stage may have to be a consideration for Ukraine, not sue what alternative their is now apart from a war that may drag on for years.

It's four villages and fields, but it could get worse if something isn't done soon.

The Russians look very close to the villages of Kopanky and Pershotravneve. As you can see from the terrain map they occupy the apex of the high ground and are now very strategic. I'll be keeping an eye on this sector over the next few days.

Works both ways.

Russia concentrated up there could leave gaps and vulnerabilities elsewhere for Ukraine to exploit.