Assuming mobilisation ever stopped. I'm pretty sure they simply continued mobilising whomever they could on the sly without announcing anything.
Just by way of playing devils advocate. Ukraine also has had or continues to have restrictions on its working age males from leaving the country too. However there are a bunch of exemptions. And Ukraine doesn't seem to rushing their soldiers to the frontlines to soak up bullets and shells.
However thankfully any new wave of mobilisation won't be in time for what's happening in the field right now(several months) unless they're literally catapulted from their homes into the front line trenches. I wouldn't put it past Russia though.
It is a tactic that they use sometimes in desperation and to some effect.
The same when I was growing up in 90's in Balkans. We were excited/scared first two months maybe, everyone in basements etc. After that we would be playing outside, sirens for air attack would go off and our parents would be yelling from windows something like: "OK kids, 10 minutes and get in, here they go again!", you just get used to it, and our parents knew if there was a danger or not based on the news
Article says nothing about expanding the arsenal, they're replacing decomissioned warheads and using the plutonium from them. Also says this process was set out and began in 2018, well before Putin pulled out of the treaty.
No expansion of arsenal, no new enriched plutonium so a fair difference in reality to what you are saying.
That whole article is a poorly disguised Oppenheimer promotion.
The attacks on Ukrainian grain storage facilities and ships carrying grain prove that the Kremlin is willing to let millions of people in Africa starve. That would aggravate the Mediterranean people-trafficking crisis, thus causing western Europe to suffer unrest and possibly its own starvation crisis as well. Surely, that has to be justification for a NATO naval presence in the Black Sea. In that scenario, would the Russians really attack NATO warships?
Furthermore, the famine that the Russian blockade in the Black Sea will cause in Africa if a new deal is not reached to facilitate transport of grain would also lead to many African people attacking their own governments because they would have nothing left to lose. I could understand African leaders opposing the Western powers' stance on Ukraine because of the legacy of the Iraq WMD falsehood but, surely, those African leaders must know that, by associating with the Kremlin, they may be signing their own death warrants.
Some Buryat tradesmen were sent to Ukraine to work and they got put in uniforms when they got there.
I was in that part of the world too at that time. All of it, in fact over time. Beautiful part of the would and lovely people too caught up in a war which brought out the worst as it does.
Deepstate showing the Russian gains towards the Oskil river today at the focal point of their new offensive taking 3 more settlements. It puts Ukranian troops to the north on the east side of the river in a precarious position of potentially being cut off. They may have to abandon their positions and move to the western side of the river soon.
The Ukranian focus seems to be Bakhmut at the moment. Tough fighting going on there south of the city. They had some gains yesterday.
What I learned growing up during that time, is that fear is only emotion, and we are well made to control our emotions. It might be because of that experience I had as a child, I went through last few years without any fear, while people my age were sh***ng themselves that C will kill them, no, the bomb will 😀
I wonder is the Russian offensive further north an attempt by Russia to force Ukraine to redeploy troops from Bakhmut as they know it could eventually be encircled the way things are going.
Or blind luck. Their northern offensive does seem to be making rapid gains unless it's part if some UAF ploy. Its almost like some tilt in the map axis, Ukrainans gaining southern ground while Russians gaining northern ground.
This might go some way to explaining why Russia is not suffering severe shortage in equipment just yet.
UN coming around and speaking out slowly
Russia-Africa Summit in St. Petersburg Thursday
Putin will be holding the Russia/Africa summit on Thursday. There will be over 40 African countries there, heads of state, ministers etc. Do you think Ukraine has the ability to put on a show for the Africans, maybe with a drone strike ? If they could it would be a huge embarrassment for Putin ?
Yes, it does put things in proper perspective. Under the circumstances in the former YU, ( and similar situations world wide) you focus on now, today,. You do not have the luxury or the time for worrying about something that might happen tomorrow or not, never mind at some vague time in the future. The life was for living and that meant NOW! because your Life could be changed a minute or two later. Biggest joke back then? Talking to a colleague, Hey, you know that smoking kills, and so does Slivovitz? You should give them up for your health's sake!!! And then listen to the peals of laughter !!! And be offered both!. LOL.
Before
After
It doesn't look like Ukraine have been able to contain the Russian breach near Karmazynivka.
I think it is the other guys who strike at civilian targets when foreign dignitaries are visiting.
As far as I know, the last mobilization order was never rescinded, its still being used. Unless he moves to a full War footing and that changes anything? Some technical issues maybe? For sure, he's definitely closing all the loopholes that Russians were using to escape mobilization.
Ukraine claiming 2 Russia helicopters shot down in one engagement
Most African heads of state are boycotting this event.
Yes I know, hardly a boycott, I made the post after reading this on RT:
"Of the 49 African governments, 17 will be represented by heads of state. Five are sending their vice presidents, four will be represented by heads of government, and one by a head of parliament, Ushakov explained.
Another 17 countries will be represented by deputy prime ministers or foreign ministers, and five by ambassadors.
Putin will address the morning session of 17 heads of state, and is expected to announce several Russian initiatives to help Africa with “sovereign development,” including access to food, fertilizers, modern technologies and energy, the aide said. "
Mad when you look at the maps. It's all fields that have been captured. Now Ukraine have to recapture these fields yet again.
Reports of a big push by the UAF this morning
are the panzer fists finally being deployed
Heavy fighting continues in Klishchiivka.
According to Bakhmut Demon.
This is exactly what I was posting about a week or so back when I said that the US and the West is not going to back Ukraine enough to win this.
Again they are finding more delays to train Ukrainians for F16's, this is being drawn out for a reason. Also it seems very unlikely now the US will send ATCAMS, and other long range weapons.
The counteroffensive has now only obtained small gains for Ukraine, while Russia are now making breakthroughs themselves and could start making a big push in some areas.
Still not sure what the end game is going to be, I cant see any scenario where Ukraine reclaims large amounts of its territory back at this stage.
I still think negotiations at some stage may have to be a consideration for Ukraine, not sue what alternative their is now apart from a war that may drag on for years.
"Still not sure what the end game is going to be, I cant see any scenario where Ukraine reclaims large amounts of its territory back at this stage. I still think negotiations at some stage may have to be a consideration for Ukraine, not sue what alternative their is now apart from a war that may drag on for years."
But this is hardly a new opinion from you? Unless I'm mistaken, is this not the same drum that you've been beating for a while?
It's four villages and fields, but it could get worse if something isn't done soon.
The Russians look very close to the villages of Kopanky and Pershotravneve. As you can see from the terrain map they occupy the apex of the high ground and are now very strategic. I'll be keeping an eye on this sector over the next few days.
Whats new here?
Because whatever about a war of stalemate a Russian victory is a catastrophe for the West. They are not going to back out now.
I said this a few times, Russia has lost this war, but it remains in the air if Ukraine can win it. So far it looks like a stalemate, but who knows what will happen in the next 6 months.
Putin needs to get out of this war, with something that 'looks' like a victory, otherwise, his head is on a pike. The Russian elites know that the war is not going well and that they won't be able to win an outright victory. But they are more afraid of Russia without Putin at the moment.
Works both ways.
Russia concentrated up there could leave gaps and vulnerabilities elsewhere for Ukraine to exploit.
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