Russia - threadbanned users in OP

This is very naive. If Russia were to open a northern front it would change the dynamic completely and Ukraine would have to spread it's forces even more thinly than they are now.

I'm not sure Belarus will allow an attack from it's territory but it's still not good having these guys on the Belarus border. It's another potential attack route that Ukraine needs to guard. Another distraction.

….

Putin is not acting like a person who is capable of swiftly reasserting his power and cracking down on anyone who had sided against him or simply had chosen to step aside and pretend like nothing was happening

It is clear now that loyalty to Putin does not run deep. In the crucial 13 hours before Putin's speech, few came out in support of him. No governors, no Duma members, not even his national security council. Only 2 generals Surovikin and Alekseev recorded 'hostage videos' urging Wagner to stop.

After all, if Prigozhin can get away with mutiny to keep operating his Wagner PMC company, why shouldn't other do what they like as well?

It is also clear that faced with defeat Putin will do a deal, just like he did with Prigozhin.

One remarkable thing about the nature of Prigozhin’s coup gamble is that he literally put his life and freedom on the line in an attempt to save… his PMC business

So the reports of the Ukrainians crossing the river seem to be true, really thought this was propaganda

Wonder what they planning

They already tried a northern assault and already failed. At the beginning of the war Russians entered northern Ukraine from the territory of Belarus. This was the infamous convoy. Here is part of the wiki page about the incident:

source

If they couldn't manage to do it when they were at their full strength in the very beginning it would be extremely foolish to try it now.

It actually makes sense now how Putin feared Nato or Ukraine invading Russia, as it's so dam easy. The best way to end this war is you invade Russia, if this was 1943, and a country was so so weak, it would be picked off for fun.

I am inclined to agree in part. It would explain why he was hell bent on capturing Bakhmut. However, I think he was set up yesterday to believe that he could overthrow Putin, but key actors betrayed him this is why he made the save facing deal in the end. It seems the attack on his militia never happened. According to US Intelligence he was planning this for weeks. So it makes zero sense that he suddenly had a pang of conscience and wanted to save his men and fellow Russians from bloodshed,especially seeing as he was quite happy for thousands of his men to be used as cannon fodder to expose Ukranian defensive positions in Bakhmut. His March for justice/ coup was a failure. Regarding his exile, I doubt Lukashenko just agreed to let him carry on as he has been doing up to now once in Belarus. This man has a knack for self preseveration afterall. I think Prigozhin will be an isolated figure in Belarus and will be bumped off at some stage without a security detail. The word immunity does not exist in Putin's vocabulary. He will want revenge and also to send a message to others that might be contemplating going against him that this is the price you will pay in the end.

Clearly the real one is glowing with pure evil and dark energy

This would seem like a logical explanation

They faced zero opposition,all they had to do was literally drive to the Kremlin,

He's not the type that looks for mass support

Eh the war is going tits up for Russia and has been for a long time already

The Kremlin are saying putin was inside the Kremlin all along during the March to Moscow but now refuses to make any public statements to reassure the Russians population, propaganda channels are running pre recorded interviews with him instead,

All this stress couldn't be great for him

It was hard to keep up yesterday. Was there any actual reliable confirmation that he'd left Moscow? Lots of tweets flying about flights heading out of Moscow with no destination set or going to Turkey. But was there anything concrete to say he'd left rather than locking himself in his bunker?