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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Russia hold over 100,000 km2. Ukraine taking back 100 km2 in a week is .1%. That's practically a rounding error and it came at considerable cost.

    Taking well-defended and heavily-mined territory is costly. It was costly for Russia to take it and it will be costly for Ukraine to take it back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    But we simply don't know this - we are too close in time to really know what is happening on the ground and too far away in distance. We can forget that it is the collective will of the 'West' that Russian military are driven out of Ukraine and that there is considerable capacity for intelligence gathering in the west, which information and strategising will be being shared with Ukraine. This must be a source of great concern to the Russian military, they may think they have a handle on the capacity of the Ukrainian army but quite uncertain what is being gathered about them & fed to Ukr commanders.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,217 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Not good narratives for the German public starting to appear in their media.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,358 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    I'm going to sound like RT television now.

    Can we not just drop nukes on Russia already. It'll kill good people but it'll get the monsters too.

    Russian SS units systematically making sure their prisoners of war are humiliated enough and won't breed more Ukrainian people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    That's a pro-Kremlin propaganda account. Very good chance that guy just cherry picked some quotes out of context so as to misinterpret the message of the entire article



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Gerry T


    Did you click the link ? The first couple of comments ripping that poster for making up stuff that's not in the article, suggesting this is his typical tactic.

    We have a number of posters on here doing the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The considerable cost.....

    Let me guess... A dozen Bradley's in a field in Zaporizhzhia, the same failed counterattack that keeps being brought up again and again.

    Most of the territory gained has not been on the Zaporizhzhia front. So yes it was a costly failed offensive there, but elsewhere along the line they are making gains.

    Everyone saying the counteroffensive is failing etc... Is focusing on one of 4 hot spots on the Frontline. Pretty much exactly how Russia would like the narrative to remain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I found an English translation of that Der Spiegel article. As expected that propaganda account took a line out of context and twisted it to make it sound as bad as possible:


    Going into battle in a tank is frightening, something that Sasha, 55, is quick to admit. "For the enemy, we are always the first target," the tank commander says. Misha, the 25-year-old gunner, says that he has always been lucky so far. "Two of my tanks have been destroyed since the beginning of the war, but I’m still alive." There are even soldiers who try to get out of it, says the 22-year-old loader, who goes by the nom de guerre "Hudzik." Sometimes, he says, soldiers will even invent a problem with their tank. None of the three Ukrainian soldiers hold it against those who refuse to fight. Misha knows that his luck, too, could turn. "If they hit the turret, you’re just a pile of ashes," he says. "It’s better to refuse to go into battle than to chicken out in the middle of the fight," Hudzik says. Fear, says Sasha, isn’t the problem. That begins to fade once the first shot is fired. Panic though – that must be avoided at all costs.



    The silly thing is that there are plenty of other anecdotes in that article he could have trumpeted directly that would have suited his needs without having to resort to making stuff up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,379 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    None of us know the true cost of the counter offensive and maybe a lot of us were a bit over optimistic about the progress but it's not defeatist or pro Putin to question the likely huge cost to the Ukrainians to push Putin out .We had posters predicting the collapse of the Russians months ago but unfortunately they still will be very hard to break and be pushed out completely. Hope I am well wrong about that .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 447 ✭✭thereitisgone


    Deep breaths....... breath again

    This is just the start of a very long summer autumn campaign, if your losing your head now, by September your gonna be in bits

    This is gonna be a long slow process, the Russians are more prepared now.

    But Ukraine will prevail in the end but this will take time



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,024 ✭✭✭thomil


    That's very likely exactly what happened, because that post has almost nothing to do with the content of the Spiegel article. I just read through this twice, and still haven't found the "heavy losses" that twit is talking about. The tidbit I took away from the article is that the vast majority of Ukraine's assets allocated to the offensive haven't even been committed yet

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,459 ✭✭✭zv2


    They need to find a way to pound Russian positions so the can move in with minimal losses. More artillery.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,134 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Its all about the air capabilities which unfortunately Ukraine just doesn’t have.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    This is a handy site for anyone looking to view data on the Russian defensive fortifications:


    This is high-level view of the Zaporizhzhia-Donetsk region. From what I can make out by comparing it to the front-line maps it seems that the further west you go the nearer Ukraine are to those defensive lines right now.

    image.png


    The region where they have been taking the most villages in the last week is just south of Velyka Novosilka so that's still over 10km to the defensive lines in that part of the front. (I added the current front-line in blue)

    image.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It's air power,fast jets, Helicopters,and a hell of a lot more mobile artillery,they are expected to fight a Nato /US type war missing most the the equipment to do exactly that ,a few months training will only get them so far ,all the while facing unmapped mines fields ,mass artillery and fortifications and attack helicopters,

    It's going to be a tough few months



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,134 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Seems another K-52 downed.


    4th in the last 5 days.


    Have Ukraine received something in the last few days?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Likely manpads,they have been responsible for the most of the helicopters Been taken down



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,054 ✭✭✭✭briany


    MANPADS - for that time of the month when it's time to down Russian helis, which is every day of the month.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The UK/US/Denmark & Netherlands announced an AA package 2 days ago.

    Hundreds of short and medium range air defence systems will be procured via the fund. Delivery of the equipment has already begun and is expected to be completed within weeks. The package consists largely of Soviet-era missiles, supporting the Armed Forces of Ukraine’s most pressing needs for systems to support offensive operations and protect critical national infrastructure. - Ben Wallace

    Surprisingly it's mainly soviet era missiles. I've no clue who they are buying them off. But it could mean with Western AA protecting cities, the old soviet systems could be moved closer to the frontline.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,459 ✭✭✭zv2


    There was something about 'hundreds' of Stinger missiles from The Netherlands and some other country, I forget which.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    Only thing that could have changed in that period of time is tactics. Maybe the Russians are taking more risks or maybe the Ukrianans are pushing their AA closer to the front line - or potentially behind the front line with small teams with Manpads.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They received tens of thousands of manpads and Anti tank weapons over the last year ,they have been shooting helicopters down fairly regularly since the start of the war , nothing new



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If they only lost what we have seen and no more - 16 Bradleys, 3 Leopards etc - that in itself would be pretty bad for Ukraine. Losing those to take 1/1000th of their territory back... the numbers are not sustainable.

    The reality is likely far worse. Throughout the war both sides sustain more losses than what are immediately pictured. It's likely that Ukraine lost several hundred vehicles of varying types.

    So yes, their gains came at considerable cost. This is not a narrative.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It's possible they are getting Strela-10s and buk systems being they were deployed by Eastern European States post fall of the Soviet union, most of them were retired, but this also could suggest a shortage of western systems and missles



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Strela and especially Buk systems would be extremely useful for air cover on the counter offensive. The west really don't have mobile (self propelled) SHORAD systems with a range longer than manpads.


    I wouldn't read it as a shortage of western missiles. Both Germany and Canada announced a large package of AA missiles recently. Ukraine is also due to still receive 4x Patriot systems and 2x SAMP/T along with another 2 IRIS and I think 6x NASAAM's. All to be supplied over the next 18 months. But it shows the west's commitment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Again, the issue is pointing to a failed attack Ukraine conducted and assuming the same is happening on the other hot spots on the front line, despite the fact Ukraine has gained more land on the other fronts. It's like only focusing on Omaha beach and calling D Day a disaster, while ignoring the other beaches.

    They don't need to take 100% of the territory back to turn the tide. They just need to break through 1 section of the Russian defense. Once they break through they are now behind the defensive line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Ukraine will keep advancing, momentum, better resources, motivation to fight, Russian forces being woeful in most aspects.


    There are still several hundred thousand Red Army, who have been digging and fortifying for most of a year.


    Tens of thousands of Ukrainian forces to die between now and most of it being liberated and well into next year or 25 before that.


    That's more likely than a Russian collapse. The Red behind 2 feet of reinforced concrete is less likely to run to open ground than when he was advancing on Ukrainian forces and meeting hard push back.


    Hopefully it will end with a collapse in Russian forces but reality suggests otherwise.


    Long past Time for Europe to get serious about arming them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭eoinbn




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭macraignil


    Extrapolating total Ukrainian armed forces losses over the last nine days of an escalated counteroffensive from material being released from putin's side of the information war doesn't make any sense to me. The fact that one incident of Ukrainian armour being stopped is being shown repeatedly and from different angles may be simply because putin's forces have nothing else they can show off as a positive and statements from Ukraine maintain the losses on the moskovyte side remain higher than their own.

    Whatever the losses for Ukraine are now it is the land in front of the prepared moskovyte defenses where the costs for Ukraine are likely to be the highest as this is where putin's forces have decided to try to hold a line to keep the territory they have illegally occupied. Ukraine now has a much better idea of what tactics putin's forces will try to use to stop them and an increased number of moskovyte helicopters being shot down and moskovyte artillery being destroyed points to ways the cat and mouse of battlefield strategy is likely to play out with success from one side seeing countermeasures from the other.

    Not sure if anyone honestly believed removing putin's forces from Ukraine would be easy but I'm fairly sure Ukraine's armed forces know well that it was going to be difficult and I get the feeling they have the determination to tackle the problem of the criminal invaders of their country even if it is not going to be easy or smooth sailing the whole way to sending them back over the border or turning them into fertiliser..



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  • Posts: 1,251 ✭✭✭ Willow Fat Neckerchief


    “Just as to be German was a dirty word for decades after WW2”.

    Wrong. France & W. Germany were founder members of the European Coal and Steel Community in 1951 following the Schumann Declaration of the year before. W. Germany went on to join NATO in 1955. None of this would have happened so quickly if your suggestion were in any way true.



This discussion has been closed.
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