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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Putin the saviour of children according to himself when meeting the South African delegate's today.......




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,473 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    What an absolute evil prick of the highest order.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,890 ✭✭✭✭briany


    @zv2

    At this point it is not a question of whether the Ukrainians are making progress, it is a question of what that progress costs. A recent news item said their losses are 'substantial'. How long can they go with substantial losses? It is really a question of how much this offensive will cost them. If their losses are substantial all the way to the Black Sea what state will their army be in at the end of it?

    That question can only really be answered by AFU commanders at this stage, i.e. the people most likely to be getting accurate intelligence on their side's casualty rate, but they'll be keeping that information close to their chest. For us watching on, the best evaluation of whether the offensive is a success or failure, or whether the gains are worth the cost, is if offensive operations continue along the front. I very much doubt that the AFU will be calling time on the thing nine days in, somehow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    Early in the war they were calling for castration on RT. Where's the napalm?

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    So you're basis of it being a failure is a news report? Quite a few news reports of it being a failure, all quoting the same source..... Putin.

    Only 30% of their armor is currently involved so far. Were you expecting them all to just charge the Frontline or maybe they are poking and prodding the front to find weaknesses. Everyone is fixated on Ukrainian losses around Zaporizhzhia while ignoring the success they are having elsewhere.

    Maybe, just maybe AFU know more about what's happening than we and the media do. Maybe they know they would loose armor and not all assaults would be successful. Maybe they know they just need to find one weakness on the Frontline and then commit the rest of their forced to punching through it, rather than trying to punch through all 1500km of the Frontline etc..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    @briany "If they want people to cut out the orc talk, the door out of Ukraine is thattaway ===>>>."

    I agree. The Russian people need to hear it loud and clear and understand how they appear to us. Just look at what is acceptable to them on RT.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭wassie




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,817 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain


    Hopefully this is them pulling back from Rivopnil. Location has been geo confirmed as between the two locations listed in the tweet.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    @Wolf359f "So your basis of it being a failure is a news report"

    No, I don't say it is a failure, I'm saying it is not succeeding at the moment. Or if it is, the cost is too great, especially in these early stages. They need some way of blasting Russian cannon fodder, without serious losses. Artillery seems to work for the Russians and Ukraine has great precision artillery but not enough of it. It seems 90% of dumb Russian artillery is wasted making holes in fields so Ukraine would only need a decent fraction of the shells the Russians have, but they don't seem to even have that.

    Post edited by zv2 on

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    It's a bit late for this. Why do you wish Russian people well? They have embraced and facilitated this regime of warfare, whether willingly or unwillingly. Prigozhin made a fair point when he talked of despising the Russian elite and middle classes living lives of relative luxury and in relative calm whilst the bodies of his conscripts piled up. They are all guilty of prosecuting this war and they will be despised as a people for decades to come. Just as to be German was a dirty word for decades after WW2, so is the lot of the Russian people to come.



  • Posts: 1,656 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Russia hold over 100,000 km2. Ukraine taking back 100 km2 in a week is .1%. That's practically a rounding error and it came at considerable cost.

    Taking well-defended and heavily-mined territory is costly. It was costly for Russia to take it and it will be costly for Ukraine to take it back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    But we simply don't know this - we are too close in time to really know what is happening on the ground and too far away in distance. We can forget that it is the collective will of the 'West' that Russian military are driven out of Ukraine and that there is considerable capacity for intelligence gathering in the west, which information and strategising will be being shared with Ukraine. This must be a source of great concern to the Russian military, they may think they have a handle on the capacity of the Ukrainian army but quite uncertain what is being gathered about them & fed to Ukr commanders.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,096 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Not good narratives for the German public starting to appear in their media.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,012 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    I'm going to sound like RT television now.

    Can we not just drop nukes on Russia already. It'll kill good people but it'll get the monsters too.

    Russian SS units systematically making sure their prisoners of war are humiliated enough and won't breed more Ukrainian people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    That's a pro-Kremlin propaganda account. Very good chance that guy just cherry picked some quotes out of context so as to misinterpret the message of the entire article



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,622 ✭✭✭Gerry T


    Did you click the link ? The first couple of comments ripping that poster for making up stuff that's not in the article, suggesting this is his typical tactic.

    We have a number of posters on here doing the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The considerable cost.....

    Let me guess... A dozen Bradley's in a field in Zaporizhzhia, the same failed counterattack that keeps being brought up again and again.

    Most of the territory gained has not been on the Zaporizhzhia front. So yes it was a costly failed offensive there, but elsewhere along the line they are making gains.

    Everyone saying the counteroffensive is failing etc... Is focusing on one of 4 hot spots on the Frontline. Pretty much exactly how Russia would like the narrative to remain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I found an English translation of that Der Spiegel article. As expected that propaganda account took a line out of context and twisted it to make it sound as bad as possible:


    Going into battle in a tank is frightening, something that Sasha, 55, is quick to admit. "For the enemy, we are always the first target," the tank commander says. Misha, the 25-year-old gunner, says that he has always been lucky so far. "Two of my tanks have been destroyed since the beginning of the war, but I’m still alive." There are even soldiers who try to get out of it, says the 22-year-old loader, who goes by the nom de guerre "Hudzik." Sometimes, he says, soldiers will even invent a problem with their tank. None of the three Ukrainian soldiers hold it against those who refuse to fight. Misha knows that his luck, too, could turn. "If they hit the turret, you’re just a pile of ashes," he says. "It’s better to refuse to go into battle than to chicken out in the middle of the fight," Hudzik says. Fear, says Sasha, isn’t the problem. That begins to fade once the first shot is fired. Panic though – that must be avoided at all costs.



    The silly thing is that there are plenty of other anecdotes in that article he could have trumpeted directly that would have suited his needs without having to resort to making stuff up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,702 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    None of us know the true cost of the counter offensive and maybe a lot of us were a bit over optimistic about the progress but it's not defeatist or pro Putin to question the likely huge cost to the Ukrainians to push Putin out .We had posters predicting the collapse of the Russians months ago but unfortunately they still will be very hard to break and be pushed out completely. Hope I am well wrong about that .



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 453 ✭✭thereitisgone


    Deep breaths....... breath again

    This is just the start of a very long summer autumn campaign, if your losing your head now, by September your gonna be in bits

    This is gonna be a long slow process, the Russians are more prepared now.

    But Ukraine will prevail in the end but this will take time



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,923 ✭✭✭thomil


    That's very likely exactly what happened, because that post has almost nothing to do with the content of the Spiegel article. I just read through this twice, and still haven't found the "heavy losses" that twit is talking about. The tidbit I took away from the article is that the vast majority of Ukraine's assets allocated to the offensive haven't even been committed yet

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    They need to find a way to pound Russian positions so the can move in with minimal losses. More artillery.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,473 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Its all about the air capabilities which unfortunately Ukraine just doesn’t have.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    This is a handy site for anyone looking to view data on the Russian defensive fortifications:


    This is high-level view of the Zaporizhzhia-Donetsk region. From what I can make out by comparing it to the front-line maps it seems that the further west you go the nearer Ukraine are to those defensive lines right now.

    image.png


    The region where they have been taking the most villages in the last week is just south of Velyka Novosilka so that's still over 10km to the defensive lines in that part of the front. (I added the current front-line in blue)

    image.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It's air power,fast jets, Helicopters,and a hell of a lot more mobile artillery,they are expected to fight a Nato /US type war missing most the the equipment to do exactly that ,a few months training will only get them so far ,all the while facing unmapped mines fields ,mass artillery and fortifications and attack helicopters,

    It's going to be a tough few months



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,473 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Seems another K-52 downed.


    4th in the last 5 days.


    Have Ukraine received something in the last few days?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Likely manpads,they have been responsible for the most of the helicopters Been taken down



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,890 ✭✭✭✭briany


    MANPADS - for that time of the month when it's time to down Russian helis, which is every day of the month.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The UK/US/Denmark & Netherlands announced an AA package 2 days ago.

    Hundreds of short and medium range air defence systems will be procured via the fund. Delivery of the equipment has already begun and is expected to be completed within weeks. The package consists largely of Soviet-era missiles, supporting the Armed Forces of Ukraine’s most pressing needs for systems to support offensive operations and protect critical national infrastructure. - Ben Wallace

    Surprisingly it's mainly soviet era missiles. I've no clue who they are buying them off. But it could mean with Western AA protecting cities, the old soviet systems could be moved closer to the frontline.



This discussion has been closed.
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