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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    They'd be more than entitled under such a system to defer paying the property taxes until the house is sold/transferred, if they weren't cash liquid. But someone earning €300k a year isn't exactly likely to be struggling. Theres also nobody forcing said person to live in such an expensive house - its entirely a personal choice if someone wants to live in a multi-million euro house. Are people who drive Ferraris being unfairly charged a higher rate of motor tax than people who drive Ford Mondeos? Because its the exact same principle.

    @Bass Reeves plenty of places have property taxes in excess of 1%. In New Jersey its 2.49% per year, in Illinois 2.27%. In France its up to 1.7%. In Chile its up to 2% etc. Theres nothing remotely unusual or controversial about it.

    We're going to have to figure out some way to prevent foreign investors flooding the market here as has happened in countless other cities like Vancouver or London. And ideally something to encourage downsizing while we're at it. Short of property taxes with exemptions for low and middle earning tax residents I haven't heard of any better ideas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,955 ✭✭✭Nermal


    Plenty of states in the US with effective property taxes substantially in excess of 1%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,927 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves



    The US has very low personal tax and Vat rates. As well PT in the US often funds education up to post primary level. Therefore people often downsize as they get old and move to Florida which has relatively low PT. You cannot have high personal tax and PT. In a lot of countries @Blut2 suggests PT is actually a barrier to house ownership by lower income couples. Iow personal taxation rates actually benefits the well off

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Interest rates surely have to have an effect on affordability. How much of an effect though I dont know.

    A couple I know who returned from Australia have been waiting for property prices to come down for about 6 years now while they rent here. They are still waiting. And the more prioces go up the more they feel they have to wait. But in truth I think between the rent they are paying now and the interest rates I think that the properties they would have wanted are now beyond them. As much as they save, prices are running away on them. Add interest rates to that and I think they are out of the current market and not by choice this time.

    And the worst part of it is that they are both 40 years old now, so their potential mortgage payments will be getting higher the longer they wait because of that too.

    So there are definitely a lot of people getting dumped out of the bidding for property simply because they cannot afford that property anymore. It doesnt seem to be having an effect on prices yet because there is still a steady stream of buyers, but I feel if interest rates go up much more there are going to have to be price adjustments. Or more likely more REITs will be in to buy up houses and apartments. The councils too.

    There is just demand from all directions now, even with people dropping out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    affordability is definitely dropping with each rate rise

    more and more anecdotal stories of young people in their 30s giving up hope on buying a house and deciding to travel instead


    Property prices fall for third month in a row

    The property market is slowing down as mortgage rate hikes impact the market.

    https://m.independent.ie/business/personal-finance/property-prices-fall-for-third-month-in-a-row/a1276061782.html



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,927 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    It's hard to tell yet as properties bought in January/ February will probably be only going through finalisation now.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 208 ✭✭Bakharwaldog


    6th monthly decrease in property prices in Dublin in a row. Interestingly houses saw a larger monthly drop than apartments. Last time we saw 6 months of decreases was in 2008 and that led to 33 months of monthly decreases.

    Expect to see media outlets only quote the headline YoY growth figure of 1.7% (for better or worse)

    EDIT: I was wrong https://www.independent.ie/business/personal-finance/property-prices-fall-for-third-month-in-a-row/a1276061782.html

    Also of note is that February saw the highest volume of Dublin second hand sales since records began in 2010 and highest January volume since 2014



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Two things in Ireland are true:

    We have one of the most progressive income tax systems in the world with an incredibly narrow tax base where a smallish number of high earners pay for everything.

    We have the highest level of under occupied homes because of older people with low incomes living in massive houses too big for their needs.

    Your proposal has negative implications for both. Force all the younger high earning couple with families out of their big homes because they can’t afford to pay crippling income and property taxes. Older people in €2m houses in Dalkey exempt as they have low incomes.

    Ireland is already bleeding high income earners for everything. There’s only so much blood you can take from this cohort - well proven around the world. It’s very easy to just pick an arbitrary income point (usually a point above where the proposer earns funnily enough) and say tax them more. There’s unlikely to be any other country in the world where someone on €200k+ pays so much income tax for such crap public service. And if they lose their jobs, social welfare not even linked to their income despite PRSI being paid on the full amount.

    We earn in the €300k+ territory and if I was landed with a further €45k tax bill every year to go on top of my €150k+ income tax bill - I’d be booking the plane ticket tomorrow, as would many in my boat I expect.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    So true. So much so that myself and my wife have decided to go on the dole for a couple of years. Sick of paying so much tax. Feel like im working for the state. Might as well let them pay some of it back now and have 40 hours each back to ourselves every week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭JohnnyChimpo




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    persistent high inflation coupled with high house prices and multiple rate rises definitely hitting some would be buyers

    recent job insecurity in tech industry etc. may also be affecting some buyers



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Profit for bank, investment fund, developer, builder.

    State has money coming out it's ears and is perplexed about what to do with

    Government number 1 and 2 priority is housing and inflation

    Housing is the greatest cost for most families up and down the country

    What is the definition of clueless?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Agree that inflation has to have some effect. Especially as high as it has gone.

    But tech jobs are not in trouble at all. Anyone in tech who has lost their job so far - the only reason they wont have a new job already is if they dont want one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 852 ✭✭✭FernandoTorres


    We're getting close to the point where the Irish Times are no longer going to be able to use the 12 month change to frame the narrative of prices increasing. I'm not sure what they're going to do!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    How would you feel about a reduction in your paye to offset a rise in property tax.

    Rebalance taxation between land labour and capital. Labour is by far carrying too much of the load



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123



    Another monthly price drop of .6% have yet to drill into the report but if Dublin prices drops this would make it 6 months in a row that Dublin property prices have dropped.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Prices are dropping do so they if they keep waiting they may save themselves a nice chunk of change



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,955 ✭✭✭Nermal


    A 1% property tax would raise about €7B a year.

    We could cut income tax rates by a quarter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Would hugely support this and true wealth taxes over incomes clearly has tonnes of advantages. Concerns I’d have:

    Most people comically undervalue their homes for the current property tax calculation (it’s so irrelevantly small anyway that this hardly matters). This would need to be more tightly enforced or else it would be a very unfair tax.

    There would be countless sad stories. ‘My state pension won’t cover the tax bill on my house on Ailesbury road’ ‘I inherited my parents house in Ranleagh but I’m a single mum’ etc. For the tax to be taken seriously you’d need to be able to take the property to pay it. As unlike income tax it can’t be deducted at source.

    Zero chance that is happening so then you’d end up with tax deferrals sitting against the property for decades unpaid waiting for the person to pass away which poses other cashflow problems.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Hows about no more taxes until our spend side is sorted I find it funny people think there is only one way to go in this country the powers that in control are wasting billion after billion and our solution is tax more or differently?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 768 ✭✭✭dontmindme


    Is there actual price drops or are the 'drops' being reported a drop in the rate of price increase growth?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Actual price drops and not a drop in the amount that prices were going up - Property prices in Dublin are about 2.5 - 3% less than this time 6 months ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 208 ✭✭Bakharwaldog


    Actual drops. According to CRO data, a property will cost you ~3% less today than what it would have cost in September 2022



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    You seem to be ignoring the other examples in my post. Would you call France a low income tax country? You absolutely can have high income tax and property taxes, as plenty of countries around the world have today.

    Even in the US, a household in New Jersey (to use one of my listed examples, with a yearly property rate of 2.49%) with an income of $300k pays a tax rate of 35% on income. An Irish household earning €300k pays an equivalent of 44%. Not a million miles off, and the lower income tax, and higher tax on property, is surely much more beneficial to society. We'd be much better off taxing people's unproductive assets, rather than taxing them for working harder and getting promotions/higher pay.

    And property tax is even better in that non-tax residents would still have to pay it, theres no escaping it. They'd actually have to contribute to local services. As well as other benefits like encouraging downsizing etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 172 ✭✭Beigepaint


    Non stop nonsense out of you.

    Danny McCoy says the state should be bigger.

    He's right, you're wrong.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/2022/09/17/ibecs-closet-social-democrat/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Higher property taxes have been empirically shown to do literally the opposite of what you're suggesting. They encourage older people, who've kids have moved out, to downsize.

    The immigration/emigration statistics are also very clear, Ireland is not bleeding high income earners - we still have net immigration even at the top income levels.

    Most of wealthy Europe has higher marginal tax rates than Ireland at the high end of income - 55% in Denmark, France, Austria etc. With higher PRSI equivalents on top too. If you want to move to another country where you can earn €300k as a household and pay lower income taxes than Ireland you're going to struggle hugely. Which is why despite moaning about high earners being taxed too much in Ireland very few actually do move.

    As I said in my last reply, the issue of foreign money buying Irish property is only accelerating. And will reach Vancouver/London destructive proportions if no measures are taken to restrict it. So short of higher property taxes, which you apparently object hugely to, what better, more effective, solution would you offer instead?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    You’ve exempted everyone with a household income under €100k from this tax which is why it wouldn’t hit any older people!

    I’m hugely supportive of higher property taxes but your proposal to link it to income tax is the stupid bit as they are already so progressive as is.

    in terms of what I’d do, you could increase stamp duty massively but have it able to be fully offset against income tax paid in Ireland. Would deter foreign money but simultaneously support those actually working and paying tax in Ireland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Really I think most intelligent people would agree that our spending is an absolute joke. Just a little sample of the waste going on.

    https://www.pbp.ie/government-continues-to-waste-public-money-on-irish-water/


    https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=167650395469148


    Not to mention other things like the price tag on the children's hospital or paying politicians 3/4 pensions no matter how competent or bailing out banks that were not systemic but the boyos buddies had to be bailed out, or what about Nama put the properties in here and anything decent cherry picked and sold for a pittance to insiders. How's about the amount we spend on our HSE and when you visit a hospital here its in an absolute dire condition so much so most third world countries would be ashamed of it. Yeah but you keep banging your drum that we need more taxes so the lads can keep burning through it. I think most educated people on here would agree the vast majority of people pay more than enough in taxes and get a p1ss poor return with regards to services for it and its time to take a microscope out and find out where our cash goes and get some accountability.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Also, comparison to Scandinavian countries is pointless due to the public service and social benefits they receive.

    A person earning 300k in Ireland will pay more income tax than almost any non Scandanavian country in Europe. Massively more than UK and Germany. More than France. I’d struggle to think of any where you would pay a higher total tax.



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