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Fighter jets for the Air Corps?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,921 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    But it’s garnishing more attention which I hope puts pressure on the government to stop this nonsense once and for all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭sparky42


    If it dates back to the 1950s we did it as there was no way the state could afford a full up capability to detect and intercept Soviet aircraft at that point and arguable not until the 90s could we have done so, not without a defence budget closer to 5% and there would never have been sustained public support for that. Since then as usual it’s a case of “if it’s not broken/costing us money why change?” Might be different if the U.K. started handing us a bill but so far they don’t seem to have.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    Unless you had a 60 minute warning i just dont see how the UK could help, besides when it comes to russian aircraft the RAF only go as far as the northern edge of irish air space where the russians fly down the west coast on there own untill they are met by the french when they head towards there area



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭roadmaster




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    What do you think happens when you shoot it down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,561 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    A deliberate shoot down can pick their spot. In Irish airspace it would be done over water or failing that, a rural location.

    I was in the air in another aircraft on my way to Greece when the Helios flight came down. It caused a right barney in Greece itself in terms of their engagement procedures which had little to no contingency for such a thing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Even a marvel movie would find a plot where you shoot a plane down onto an exact spot quite far fetched.

    "We'll shoot them on to the runway"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Way to derail a thread with tram anecdotes.

    You're not going to control where an airliner at altitude comes down if you turn it into unguided missile. You could add likely hit a town as miss it. Or cruise ship.

    To quote goose "... You're going to do WHAT!...."



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,561 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Of course you're not going to control it. But people with knowledge of such dynamics can calculate, with fair accuracy, the debris fan of an aircraft of such a mass, at such an altitude, at such a speed, being shot down at a given point along its course. It gives options for the lesser of two evils if nothing else.

    Remember the Payne Stewart ghost jet crash? Before the engines flamed out, the Air National Guard units and FAA had calculations available to them, as to what window of airspace the plane would starve of fuel and that let them consider whether it would be better to let that happen and have it crash in one piece, in open country, or to shoot it down in pieces earlier, if there were a population centre in the impact window.

    Its certainly not as utterly random as you make out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    That seems to be another example of an aircraft NOT getting shot down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭sparky42


    There is always a decision tree of how and when lethal force would be used in such a situation in nations that have the capability to actually do so, for us debating what/when and where such force might be used is relatively pointless as we don’t even know what is in our controlled airspace without being told.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭roadmaster




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Of course they won’t like anything to do with the U.K., and while still in opposition will like make hay from it and declare how they would do things different, but when they end up in Government, I doubt they would back the spending needed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,319 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    65 billion budget surplus forecast over next 3 years. No excuse for not bunging a billion at the DF and investing in a decent quantity of jet aircraft and a frigate, as well as a decent pay package for the membership.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭purplepanda


    Mary Lou's speech at the weekend would suggest they have no intention of implementing the Defence Commission report recommendations, however, if they need FF to support them in a coalition, I can't see FF agreeing with this policy.

    Then again FF, FG, LP & GP have also presided over the reduction in real terms in Irish defence spending since the mid '90's.

    SF still have major issues with the Irish Defence Forces, many of their members would like to see Irish defence abolished as some sort of perverted revenge for the Civil War.

    If SF were to increase defence spending when in government & / or coalition, it would be a major stop forward in their credentials to be a proper democratic political party.

    I do think pressure is being brought to bear by EU nations & governments, the USA & UK on the present Irish government, this will continue in future, SF will have to take account of this. They also would have to seriously tone down their traditional Euro scepticism policies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,561 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I wouldn't argue with a vast improvement in pay, but the problem is, if you hardwire in a stream of expanded current expenditure and base it upon a windfall income, then you could be left holding the baby if that surplus begins to disappear. And that applies to all Govt expenditure, not just DF remuneration.

    However, the Government does seem to be taking a prudent approach to this surplus wedge and are going to split it between long term warchest, debt pay down and one-off capital items.

    Again, while I'd love to see Defence get a big dividend from that, the problem is the very low capacity of the DF to expand at the moment. What I mean is, headcount is so low and expertise to bring in a radical modernisation is so scarce, that you could end up with a load of white elephant ships, aircraft and armour with no one to integrate and man them.

    And so, I think the thing to do is use any additional capital to accelerate the air defence radar and associated systems and to begin replacing current equipment with LoA targets on a one for one basis, while making a huge push for recruitment and much improved career opportunities, with an attractive package for new entrants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭sparky42


    I’d pretty much agree with this, the Primary Radar purchase could be the major additional ticket item for the current capital plan (though could we get the fecking Flagship actually having steel cut?), and as you mentioned the upper limits of procurement capacity of the DF/DOD would need to be addressed. However perhaps a “two for” as wel instead of upping current spending with additional pay might be accelerating the investment in the DF facilities? Better accommodation or facilities might help retention as well and isn’t anything with “sticker shock”? Outside of one offs, it’s not beyond the capacity of the budget to add say €100 million to the defence budget outside of capital spend I would say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Investing in infrastructure makes a lot of sense.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,319 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    Them PC9's are supposed to have an out of service date of 2025. Why not replace them with PC21's which are considered to be a more viable LIFT aircraft?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Because they have far longer than that left, because the mentioned limited capacity of the DOF/DF for procurement can be better spent, because if the AC is still trying to figure out what it might end up being, how about we wait till then before buying more trainers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,561 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    As regular discussions here show, there is no point thinking about Ts unless we have Fs to LI to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,561 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Yeah it would actually be a good spend of that windfall to do accommodation and facilities for personnel and families generally.

    And the DF medical centre at the Don, and the national Army HQ too, if they could get their feckin act together and make a decision on some of these important elements in the re-org.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Don't need a fighter to not shoot it down every time... just saying.... :)

    I just couldn't remember anytime it had happened. Where an unresponsive airliner was shot down to save a populated area.


    Though coincidentally watched "Cry of The Innocent (1980)" recently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Out of curiosity when the Casa go out on Maritime patrol. Where do they fly out of? Do they operate out of any of the regional airfields even for refuelling?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    While the window shopping by the "experts" on here about which jets would best soothe there wannabe top gun notions..


    The reality is this talk of jets for defence is extremely short sighted and makes me question even our own "experts" advocating for these expensive yet pointless show ponies.


    Let's entertain the scenario that alot of the experts on here are basing our need of such jets on... The dreaded Russians...


    Say they do encroach on our airspace and say they refuse to heed the warnings of the extremely hollow Irish airforce.. what do we do then they ve called our bluff and are saying we will stay our course and if you fire at us we will retaliate with full force.


    What do we do then? Our shiny show ponies are there and ready to go altho outnumbered and technologically outmatched.


    Option 1 : We open fire and down the Russian aircraft we are now in open war with Russia and Russia is entitled now to launch a full force response of it's choosing. We of course are completely banking on our handful of outdated jets to be our saviour.


    Now since we have given the RAF the middle finger because our "experts" on here have deemed ourselves big boys and should be able to defend ourselves. They laugh and gladly leave us to our devices.


    Needless to say our airforce has been made short work of and we are completely at the mercy of Russia.


    Option 2 : We let them fly harmlessly over and get on with our day. Country intact no one hurt win win.


    Option 3 : We do it properly we either completely get onboard with the RAF and have some form of a treaty where we contribute to a combined defense of Ireland and the UK. Or we join NATO and have a proper fully fleshed out military and allow NATO forces to station here.

    This notion that a handful of jets means defense tho is laughable they would be gone in the first meaningful exchange with a force capable of attacking Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,561 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I....

    Actually nevermind, I really can't be arsed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 502 ✭✭✭Grassy Knoll


    We join NATO IMHO. Equally do we think Denmark or Finland etc could credibly defeat the Russians singlehanded? All being equal I dont, nor do they, as they have voted with their feet and are in a military alliance. However, I don’t hear their defence (albeit much more potent than ours) being decried. The point of defence is to provide some form of deterrent and to also put something on the table so your allies are not doing all!the heavy lifting or assuming all the risk. De facto we are not neutral - in the air domain it has been revealed properly now we are in a (one sided)defence pact with the UK ….



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,319 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    You raise some interesting points and scenarios. Clearly the answer must be that the AC must be more than a token number of "show ponies" but have an appropriate amount of aircraft to be a credible deterrent so that "Jonny Russian" does not even think of giving them the two fingers. I'm not suggesting arming up to the RAF level....but perhaps as many as 16 interceptors.

    BTW...nobody has suggested acquiring out of date gear as you seem to assume.

    Likewise I would argue that the navy needs at least one ship with war fighting capability for interception / shadowing the likes of the Admiral Grigorovitch.



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