Russia - threadbanned users in OP

More evidence of the change of tactics from the Russians ,

Seems they are now supplying forces with clothing and blankets which hide IR and Thermal signatures , reduced IR uniforms /tactical gear can be bought on line relatively easy but the issuing blanket's which hide IR signature's and Thermal signatures makes it extremely difficult even for drones to spot.

On Taiwan how's many nato or eu countries have diplomatic relations for the most part very few do have any kind of diplomatic or military relationships due to China completely isolating Taiwan from the the rest of the world,,

It's already been predicted if China goes to retake Taiwan by force the US would lose the majority of it's surface vessels and hundreds of aircraft in the first week alone ,

Don't won't go down with the US public or government

If nobody saw it ,

Then it didn't happen Chinese proverb...

While I'm sure Ukrainian arms production certainly isn't matching it's historic output (the 4th largest arms exporter in the world back in 2012 according to Wiki (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defense_industry_of_Ukraine) and it's currently using more materiel than it could possibly manufacture domestically in such a scenario where the upcoming counter-offensive fails to liberate as much of the occupied territory as we'd like to see, it's a fair assumption that it will at the very least further degrade Russia's forces and equipment on the ground.

With sanctions in place we're already seeing stories of Russian arms production floundering due to lack of such basic components as precision ball bearings and that's before we even get onto more advanced stuff like optics and microchips. Add in the brain drain they're been experiencing for years, the furthering of this through feeding the meat grinder that Ukraine has been for them to date and the further incentive for young men to try and flee the country before they get conscripted is it really that far fetched to think that the Ukrainian arms industry, who aren't under such sanctions and who don't seem to be as likely to conscript their engineering talent from the defence industry into the rank and file couldn't out-produce the Russians?

Support for Ukraine from the Baltics is far less likely to waver than that from the rest of Europe or the US either so I really can't see a scenario where Ukraine find themselves unable to continue fighting due to lack of ammo. I'm not suggesting they'd be able to maintain their current rates of fire but it seems unlikely that Russia would be able to do so either?

Macron really looks even more stupid for his pathetic attempt to craft a reputation and legacy as a master diplomat, after his meet-up with Xi he immediately called for Europe to free itself from US influence and to let China in the door - moron. This after his repeated attempts to 'talk' Putin out of it last year when any fool could see that a well armed response was the only thing the Orcs wouldn't be deaf to. Talk about misreading the POS and the situation.

Macron sucking up to the two biggest dictators heading the two worst anti-west regimes on the planet - genius.

Well when it comes to War Crimes. the Russians are the acknowledged experts.....still strange for them to be so concerned about the "LAW" after historically showing scant regard for it in all their activities world wide over the years, especially since Putin came to power. And as for free speech......when it comes to Russia,it just does not exist.

Is there such thing as a Russian journalist???

For sure, Russia are far from finished, but they are having mega problems too on nearly every front, and these problems don't have immediate solution's. They are getting worse if anything, so the clock is not working in Putin's favor either. Lots of signs that all is not well on the the Russian home front, not everyone is happy with Putin's 3 day war at this stage.

Macron seems to have a firm eye fixed on his legacy and how he might be regarded as the great statesmen of his time! An arrogant so and so.

My point is that I can't see Ukraine surrendering even if they lose support from Western allies. Without the US, they'd still have friendly neighbours with a demonstrated willingness to provide what armaments they can (and host repair workshops etc.), have some capability to produce their own armaments and, crucially imo, aren't under sanctions restricting their ability to procure essential components for the manufacture of modern arms.

Russia's ability to produce arms has been seriously degraded by those sanctions and their stockpiles have been greatly depleted by the war to date.

Without support from Western Allies Ukraine would certainly have to fire less artillery rounds and would likely lose the ability to muster combined forces assault groups for large scale counter-offensives etc. but this is an existential war for them: a withdrawal of support from their allies is unlikely to erode their willingness to fight (and some aspects of the support already delivered i.e. training and equipment would continue to be useful in the medium term).

It seems unlikely to me that an actual Russian Asset like Trump would take power in the US again too so while a future US president may be forced by Congress to row back on the big price ticket arms deliveries, the sharing of intelligence with the Ukrainians which despite not having a large monetary figure attached has been invaluable to them could well still continue as long as there was someone in the Whitehouse interested in seeing Russia's military capabilities further degraded (and I think that's a fair assumption of a US President, Democrat or Republican).

The war would change and unless Ukraine could continue to mount an effective air defence they'd be in a very precarious position but from what we've seen of the "world's second army" would anyone be surprised if Ukraine continued to hold out without overt US support?

The “West” is already at war with China. The war in Ukraine is just the beginning, as disillusioned I am with the west, authoritarianism isn’t the answer. And if you think some Chinese fella cares about your interests, you’re seriously deluded.