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Share Picks 2022

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,025 ✭✭✭Curious Geroge


    Thoughts if Fastly or Lemonade will recover in the coming years ?



  • Posts: 45,738 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Boeing is ticking along nicely this last few months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 827 ✭✭✭farmingquestion


    Bear market rally in the market and because of the exchange rate, I'm still going backwards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 827 ✭✭✭farmingquestion


    No post from anyone but me in 2 weeks. Everyone must have exited.

    As for me, I'm still cratering, down 10k as the USD continues to weaken against the EUR. Despite my stocks themselves doing well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Mantis Toboggan


    Probably because people have moved on to 2023!!

    Free Palestine 🇵🇸



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 827 ✭✭✭farmingquestion




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,125 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    Jesus Intels share price has taken some hit lately, there back down to 2013 levels not at all a great sign for the future. The Employee share incentives aren't much good to the employees in Leixlip with that dreadful performance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,863 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    That's what happens when you put accountants in charge of engineering companies.

    I've heard you say many times that you're better than no one
    And no one is better than you
    If you really believe that you know you have nothing to win
    And nothing to lose



  • Posts: 7,946 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Care to expand… what have accountants got to do with the PC market cratering?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 827 ✭✭✭farmingquestion


    Bob Swan was a bean counter. He had no place being CEO of a tech company.

    You won't see the results of Gelsinger for years.

    7 years ago AMD was worth 2 dollars a share. It's now nearly 80, growth of about 3,600%. Intel should be dominating and cleaning up the data centre market.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,863 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Intel generated huge cash flows for years but never reinvested sufficiently to keep ahead of the competition. Cash flows now gone into negative as it tries to catch up.

    I've heard you say many times that you're better than no one
    And no one is better than you
    If you really believe that you know you have nothing to win
    And nothing to lose



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,865 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    US inflation numbers bad this morning (inflation up not down as expected), next fed raise is going to have to be 0.5%, going to be a bloodbath in the markets.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 827 ✭✭✭farmingquestion


    You'd think ultimately, that inflation would be good for stocks right?

    Like, prices rarely ever come down. So if things do stabalise, you'd think the higher inflation would mean higher profits than a couple years ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,496 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    Inflation has never been good for stocks, especially non dividend payers , why chase high beta growth when you can get 4% plus from government bonds?

    when interest rates are zero, growth stocks shine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,496 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    I lightened up on my Tesla position yesterday, looks like I cut a little early, still my biggest position so see what investor day brings



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 459 ✭✭padjocollins


    intel had the best horse and carriage for a couple of decades and a lock on it , along came a car . I’ve to reread this article but as far as i remember it gives a great overview https://debugger.medium.com/why-is-apples-m1-chip-so-fast-3262b158cba2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,863 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Anyone holding Ryanair? I've some here since Covid days. Bought circa 9 €. They're back in profit again. Had a sell figure of 17€ in mind. Just have to sit it out.

    I've heard you say many times that you're better than no one
    And no one is better than you
    If you really believe that you know you have nothing to win
    And nothing to lose



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 117 ✭✭AnF Chuckie egg


    Why sell a share thats on the up. Why not sell one of the losers instead. Like Peter Lynch said "selling a winning stock and holding onto a loser is akin to pulling up the flowers and watering the weeds"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,863 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Ryanair's current Market Cap is 18.1789 Bil. It generates about a billion a year free cash flow, give or take, every year. All that cash flow goes into growth. No dividend and no share buy backs. I'm between minds, to be honest.

    I've heard you say many times that you're better than no one
    And no one is better than you
    If you really believe that you know you have nothing to win
    And nothing to lose



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,084 ✭✭✭daheff


    you should be holding/selling based on what you feel the share will do in the future. holding a stock that is in profit, but doesnt move much for the next 1,2,5,1020 years isnt a good idea. Why not cash that in and reinvest in another stock that you think will continue to increase?


    Similarly selling a loser just because its a loser is not a great idea. It may have bottomed out and may be going to increase (in your opinion).


    If you think something is going to keep going down, SELL. If you think something is going to go up, BUY (or HOLD).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,040 ✭✭✭One More Toy


    Anyone have any thoughts on the JNJ offer?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,593 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Yes, don't. They are spinning of brands that are unlikely to grow significantly which is why they are dumping it along with some of their debt (and going into a recession the last thing you want are low premium brands relatively speaking as consumers cut back on their spend due to inflation/recession). In theory you have a 7% discount and could sell them to buy back JNJ but reality is the market is likely to re-price things to not make that possible combined with other trading firms will be the once who can get it done on the second pushing down the share price directly. If you want the spin off you're still better of holding on to JNJ shares and sell them afterwards and buy the depressed new company stock (and that's assuming JNJ can get the full trade completed; if it goes to book building they will go even lower).

    Those are my toughts.



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