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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,052 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The United States will support the transfer of F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine by allies - US Ambassador to the OSCE Michael Carpenter in Delfi comments

    To the question: "Is the Administration of US President Joe Biden ready to allow the Netherlands to supply Ukraine with F-16 fighter jets", Michael Carpenter answered:

    - We have long held the opinion that what our allies supply is their business. And we support the countless contributions (to defense) that our allies have made for Ukraine. And this has been true from the very beginning of the war, when we were discussing legacy Soviet systems, to the current period, when we are discussing main battle tanks and more sophisticated air and missile defense assets and systems.

    To a clarifying question, whether this also applies to fighter jets, the ambassador answered in the affirmative.


    OMG! (if true)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,675 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    What is the nature of this 'fear' exactly?

    Because I don't buy this angle of German tanks being a Russian trigger.

    Why doesn't Poland - closer to the war than Germany or the US, a country invaded by German tanks - have this fear of it being a trigger?

    I don't see any evidence of a commitment from Germany to help Ukraine in recovering its lost territory.

    There are logistical issues wrt some of the US weaponry.

    These do not apply to Leopard tanks, which are a much better fit for the requirements of Ukraine.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Put it this way, I have VW cars for the past 30 years. But no more after this. I have no problem with them not sending tanks etc from their own inventory but stopping other states is inexcusable at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 728 ✭✭✭20Wheel


    You're a waffler.

    Its never 1 topic. Its always shifting.

    Thats because you know if you're pinned down the facts will show you up.

    So thats what Im going to do.

    You said, Germany would be ... quote ... "happy to sacrifice Ukraine". Here is an incomplete list of aid proving you're waffling.

    https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/09/fact-sheet-on-german-military-aid-to.html?m=1

    Surface-To-Air Missile (SAM) Systems (1 System)

     1 IRIS-T SLM* System (Three Launchers Per System) [October 2022]


    Self-Propelled Anti-Aircraft Guns (30)

     30 Gepards* [Training started in June 2022. Delivered from July to September 2022]

     

    Multiple Rocket Launchers (5)

     5 227mm M270 ''MARS'' [Arrived to Ukraine in July (3) and October 2022 (2)]


    Laser-Guided Rocket Systems (20)

     20 70mm Laser-Guided Rocket Launchers On Pick-Up Trucks [December 2022]


    Self-Propelled Artillery (14)

     14 155mm PzH 2000s [April 2022. Training completed in May 2022. Arrived to Ukraine in June (7), July 2022 (3) and October 2022 (4)] (Delivered along with 10.500 155mm rounds)


    Tanks (Unknown Number)

     T-72M1s [2022] (Delivered from Czech stocks in exchange for 15 Leopard 2A4 MBTs and 1 Büffel ARV through the 'Ringtausch' programme)

    Infantry Fighting Vehicles (70)

     40 BMP-1A1s [Delivered from October 2022 onwards] (From Greek stocks in exchange for 40 Marder IFVs through the 'Ringtausch' programme)

     30 BVP-1s [November 2022] (From Slovak stocks in exchange for 15 Leopard 2A4 MBTs through the 'Ringtausch' programme)


    Armoured Personnel Carriers (54)

     54 M113G3DK/G4DKs [July and August 2022] (M113s taken from Danish stocks and subsequently overhauled with German funding)


    Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) Vehicles (50)

     50 Dingos [November and December 2022]

     

    Man-Portable Air Defence Systems (3200)

     500 FIM-92 Stingers [March 2022]

     2700 9K32 Strela-2s [March 2022] (Former East German stocks)

     

    Anti-Tank Weapons (23.800)

     900 Panzerfaust 3 RPGs [2022] (Delivered along with 3000 DM72A1 (PzF 3-IT) and 50 DM32 Bunkerfaust rounds)

     7.944 RGW 90 Matador RPGs** [Delivered from March 2022 onwards]

     14.900 DM31 And PARM DM22 Anti-Tank Mines [2022]

     

    Anti-Drone Systems And Jammers (116)

    10 Anti-Drone Guns* [2022]

    55 Anti-Drone Sensors And Jammers* [2022] (Including 20 Frequency Range Extension Devices)

    12 Electronic Anti-Drone Devices* [2022]

     2 Large Anti-Drone Jamming Systems* (Installed on HMMWV IMVs) [August 2022]

    7 Radio Jammers* [August 2022]

    30 Drone Detection Systems* [December 2022]

    Radars (10)

     8 Ground Surveillance Radars* (Installed on HMMWV IMVs) [August 2022]

     1 Cobra Counter-Battery Radar System* [September 2022]

     1 TRML-4D [October 2022]

     

    Surveillance Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (26+)

     Vectors** [June 2022]

    Engineering Vehicles And Equipment (48)

     15 Bergepanzer 2 Armoured Recovery Vehicles (ARVs)* [August, October and December 2022]

     3 Brückenlegepanzer Biber Bridgelayers [November 2022]

    4 Remote Controlled Mine Clearance Systems* [August 2022]

     6 HEP 70 Mobile Decontamination Vehicles [August 2022]

    17 Heavy And Medium Bridge Systems* [November 2022]

    Vehicles (660)

     13 Oshkosh M1070 Heavy Equipment and Tank Transporters* [November and December 2022]

    Missing flag.png 12 Heavy Duty Trailer Trucks [December 2022]

     30 Armoured Volkswagen Amarok SUVs [2022]

     35 Heavy Duty 8x8 Trucks [December 2022]

     280 All-Terrain Vehicles (ATVs), Minibuses And Trucks [2022]

     143 Pick-Up Trucks [2022]

     107 Border Protection Vehicles (Iveco VM90s, Iveco ACL 90s and Renault TRM 2000s) [October, November, December 2022 and January 2023]

    36 Ambulances [November and December 2022]

    6 Forklifts [October, November and December 2022]

    2 Airport Fire Trucks [December 2022]

    Small Arms (130)

     130 MG 3 General-Purpose Machine Guns [2022] (Delivered along with 500 spare barrels and breechlocks)


    Ammunition

     Additional Missiles For The IRIS-T SLM SAM System* [November and December 2022]

     Ammunition For The 227mm M270 ''MARS'' MLRS [July and October 2022]

     53.000 Rounds Of 35mm Ammunition For Gepard SPAAG [Delivered from June 2022 onwards]

     4000 Rounds Of 35mm Practice Ammunition For Gepard SPAAG [August 2022]

     18.500 155mm Artillery Rounds For PzH 2000 SPG [Delivered from June 2022 onwards] (Including at least 1000 flare and 2000 smoke rounds)

     SMArt 155 Guided Artillery Rounds For PzH 2000 SPG [Delivered from June 2022 onwards]

     60.000 Rounds of 40mm Ammunition For Automatic Grenade Launchers [September and December 2022]

     3 Million Rounds Of 5.56×45mm Ammunition [2022]

     5 Million Rounds Of 7.62×51mm Ammunition [2022]

     14.1 Million Rounds Of Small Arms Ammunition [2022]

    100.000 DM51/DM51A2 Hand Grenades [2022]

     3000 DM72A1 (PzF 3-IT) For Panzerfaust 3 [2022]

     50 DM32 Bunkerfaust Rounds For Panzerfaust 3 [2022]

     (Artillery) Ammunition [March and April 2022]

     5300 Explosive Charges [2022]

     100.000 Metres Detonating Cord [2022] (Delivered along with 450.000 detonators)

     

    Military Clothing

     28.000 Helmets [2022]

     15 Palettes Worth Of Military Clothing (Including 1300 Bulletproof Vests) [2022]

     116.000 Winter Jackets [2022]

     80.000 Winter Trousers [2022]

     240.000 Winter Hats [2022]

     600 Safety Glasses [2022]

    353 Night Vision Goggles [2022]


    Miscellaneous Equipment

     MiG-29 Fighter Jet Spare Parts [2022]

     Mi-24 Attack Helicopter Spare Parts* [ November 2022]

     M2 Browning Heavy Machine Gun Spare Parts [2022]

    38 Laser-Range Finders [2022]

    20 Laser-Designators [2022]

     16 Palettes Worth Of Materiel For Explosive Ordnance Disposal [2022]

     290 Binoculars [2022]

     1 High Frequency Unit [August 2022]

     1 Radio Frequency System [2022]

     3000 Field Telephones [2022] (Delivered along with 5000 cable reels)

     200 Tents [2022]

     14.000 Sleeping Bags [2022]

     2646 Generators [2022]

     36.400 Wool Blankets [December 2022]

     148 Mobile Heating Systems [November and December 2022]

     405.000 Meal, Ready-to-Eat (MREs) [2022]

     Diesel And Gasoline [2022. Supplies ongoing]

     10 Tonnes Of AdBlue [2022]

    From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_foreign_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War#G

    • €1.83 billion in bilateral aid since 2014.
    • Approx. €4 billion via the EU in the form of grants and loans since 2014.
    • One mobile field hospital worth €5.3 million and associated training of medical staff in February 2022[228]
    • One mobile field hospital in September 2022 in a joint project with Estonia.
    • Evacuating and treating wounded Ukrainian soldiers in Germany since 2014.
    • Deutsche Bahn initiated a "railbridge" in March 2022 and began delivering over 10,000 tons of humanitarian aid.

    This is an incomplete list.

    Other efforts include sharing satellite intelligence with Ukraine since April 2020.

    And about a million refugees welcomed in and given 3 year work visas.

    Tell me again in the context of all the above, and the bits Ive missed, how Germany would be happy to sacrifice Ukraine you absolute waffle-bag.

    We haven't even started on the sky-high costs of implementing sanctions against Russia.

    Or the re-jigging of Germanys entire economy to cut out Russian gas.

    This is Germany "happy to sacrifice Ukraine". This is the country Gatling describes as cowards.

    Putin is a dictator. Putin should face justice at the Hague. All good Russians should work to depose Putin. Russias war in Ukraine is illegal and morally wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It does annoy me when politicians come out and say things like that, knowing full well they need permission from the US. Never the less it's more pressure on Biden at the very least.

    It's definitely needed for a spring offensive.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,012 ✭✭✭✭Discodog


    You would have to wonder who will buy German equipment, in the future, if they have to ask Germany's permission to use it or give it to someone else ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    😂😂😂


    Tanks -Zero


    Most of that list didn't come from Germany which was claimed their contribution was huge

    Compare to the US 15,20, 30 ,40 billon at a time



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,675 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And from the article you linked...

    While ultimately positioning itself as a reliable partner of Ukraine, it can be argued that Berlin's communication to affirm its Ukraine stance and explain foreign policy goals has been nothing short of an unmitigated disaster.

    SO all that and yet Leopard tanks from Poland would be a huge escalation risking WW3?

    Pull the other one.

    Poland, which has memories of being invaded by German tanks and would be the next country in the firing line if the war spread, knows it is BS.

    And once again, where was the military support for Ukraine when threatened by Russia? It was the US and UK that provided the vital aid.

    It is the same topic - Germany's support for Ukraine.

    The German political classes could tolerate a Ukrainian defeat, the reversal of their energy political is a huge political embarrassment, and they are being led by public opinion into supporting Ukraine, not taking a lead in it.

    I see no evidence of a German political commitment to Ukraine recovering its lost territories.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 836 ✭✭✭junkyarddog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 728 ✭✭✭20Wheel


    Putin is a dictator. Putin should face justice at the Hague. All good Russians should work to depose Putin. Russias war in Ukraine is illegal and morally wrong.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,005 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Since day 1 German leadership have dragged their feet every step of the way in regards to supplying Ukraine with what it needs.

    Other, smaller nations have provided relatively a lot more than Germany has. Smaller nations that are displaying much more in terms of decisive actions and leadership skills during this crisis than Europe's largest power.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,052 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    It looks like US allies can give what they like:

    Either Biden is waffling or something is in the works:

    "Ukraine is going to get all the help they need," Biden said when asked by a reporter whether he supported Poland's intention to provide Ukraine with German-manufactured tanks.

    Could it be that all the Leopard 2 talk is a smokescreen and that the deal has already been done and Ukrainian crews are currently training on them in the same way they have been training on Challengers, so when ukraine kicks off it's spring offensive - surprise ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,252 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I would not so much think they are training as they are trained. As well it would be easy to send trained soldiers from some of the former Eastern block countries to act as advisors or even some may volunteer to serve.

    Next stop the Kerch bridge

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 836 ✭✭✭junkyarddog


    What a wonderful country,show compassion,get arrested.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Does that mean Germany would have to pony up some of its jets because American is giving theirs ?????



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,675 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    We can hope, if so Germany are playing a blinder with their disinformation, I can see through the spin as BS but hopefully Russia cannot...

    Would be delighted to be proven wrong :)

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,398 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    Export licences aren't new or unique to German equipment, they're an EU requirement and span beyond the EU as well.

    Beverly Hills, California



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 728 ✭✭✭20Wheel


    Do you think that maybe some of the delay may be due to not wanting to give a nuclear armed dictator the propaganda fuel he needs to set the continent ablaze?

    I would say that if ever there was a time to not rush in, its now. Germany is going at an appropriate pace, considering the abyss its crossing. Deaths in the double digit millions have previously happened on this continent due to war. And Putin seems intent on taking a lot of people with him as his age ticks up. His health doubted by some. A history of mercilessness and venomous spite behind him.

    Same reason why a nato coalition hasn't simply plowed in full steam, boots on the ground. Putin would just point his propaganda machine at it 'look, look they're out to get us see' and he gets his egoic death legacy, takes millions with him.

    Putin is a dictator. Putin should face justice at the Hague. All good Russians should work to depose Putin. Russias war in Ukraine is illegal and morally wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,331 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Just putting my thoughts out there, as the narrative of German govt. corruption, selfishness & a sort of collaboration with Putin/Russia delaying supply of weapons (such as your post) is always so dominant on the thread and it mostly goes unchallenged.

    Sniff and sneer at it if you like but part of it is fear of escalation. Fear of taking a risk (even a necessary one), of taking the initiative.

    Poland have not sent any of their non-Soviet era tanks. They shout alot (mainly to hammer Germany, the govt. likes doing that), but they won't put their arse on the line and unilaterally take large numbers of modern tanks (or anything else) away from their own army without having guarantee of rapid replacements, and others (Germany) stepping up + sharing this load. It will not happen, they won't do anything alone without others IMO. I am not blaming them for this btw, Ukraine and this war is very close to them.

    As for the US, defer to experts about their tanks being a poorer fit.

    IMO the imperative to achieve a good outcome of this war and also not to have it grind on for a very long time is much less acute for the US than for any European country. Perhaps we are approaching limits now of what the US/Biden will take a risk with for Europe's security/Ukraine. Maybe they believe it is Europe's/European's "job"/resposibility to handle the tanks aspect and they are doing enough/more than enough for Ukraine already, which is fair. I suppose a serious negative change in Ukraine's circumstances (like Russia launching + succeeding with some new offensives and/or further mobilisations this year, changing or improving its tactics, getting more weapons/materiel support from major 3rd parties) could affect this again.

    Anyway if the European countries/Germany want to see Ukraine end this war in a strong position and not have it drag on for years maybe they are going to have to organise, step up + accept more responsibility for getting Ukraine the weapons it needs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It's a thing


    Screenshot_20230121_180405_Chrome.jpg




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,675 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I agree with your last paragraph but on the specific point of Poland and tanks...

    Leopard tanks are non-Soviet era tanks and Poland wants to send them.

    Where is evidence for your statement re: the quid pro quo that Poland will only send them if they get replacements / other countries do it also rather than because they need permission from Germany to re-export?


    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,393 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Possibly the poster is mixing up statements from the polish government.

    They will send 14 leopard's now and more during the year when more deliveries from Korea arrive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,052 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    It's just a minor twist on schadenfreude, if you think about it - 'you thought we were really going to pull you out of ze crashed car - zo funny, ha, ha, ha'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Or maybe the ambassador is waffling?

    I tend to be cautious of blanket statements like that. I think it's more that if the US agree to give Ukraine X then any countries with X can also give theirs.

    So if and when the US agrees to give, say F16's then other countries are free to give them also. There's no limit on the quantity

    As for the training, it was one poster on here stating that Ukraine have been training on challenger tanks for weeks already in Estonia. However Ben Wallace stated after the announcement of challenger tanks that training will start in a few days. Personally I'd take Ben Wallace's statement more than a poster on boards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,331 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I admit that was just my own surmising about what will (could) happen in the end - that if it happens the Polish Leopard tanks will go as part of a European coalition and they will need to be "replaced" somehow.

    The modernised Soviet tanks they already sent to Ukraine are meant to be replaced eventually with more & better US/Korean ones, and I think the UK (and maybe others?) have some tanks in Poland also now as part of NATO deployment (article on these points - https://www.wsj.com/articles/poland-supplies-ukraine-with-hundreds-of-soviet-style-tanks-11651240293).

    I don't know what the story is with this "permission" aspect. Polish govt. says (per article you posted) they will act unilaterally regardless of permission withheld, and am sure they do want to send these tanks when they can, but I don't tend to just believe and accept what anyone out of that govt. says. They have form.

    I will watch what they do instead. I'd be amazed if they do act unilaterally on it (edit: e.g. a scenario like Germany publically gives them permission, & then 100s of Polish Leopards head off to Ukraine ahead of other countries sending any or a plan being in place for replacements).

    Post edited by fly_agaric on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,005 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    No, because other countries, which are physically much closer to Russia, are not delaying like Germany is. So that doesn't hold up.

    It's not "the same reason" as NATO fighting Russia directly on the ground, that's a different issue entirely.

    Perhaps the German leadership are playing "the contrarian" so that they can leverage eventual negotiations with Putin out of it, but they are paying for that with Ukrainian blood. Many people rightfully think it's not the right approach. Putin only responds to strength, nothing else. We've learnt nothing but that in the last 20 years. It appears some in Germany haven't (incredibly enough).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,052 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 728 ✭✭✭20Wheel


    Nato aren't in Ukraine for the same reason that Germany (and US) aren't sending tanks, yet.

    Same reason US was strict about some of their weapons not striking inside Russian territory.

    Nobody other than Putin wants to spark a third world war. Not nato, not US and not Germany. All are reluctant, or have been, with good reason. A twisted nuclear armed dictator.

    Putins strength comes from propaganda and mass manipulation, if nato fly jets over Ukraine, or if US weapons strike inside Russia (Im aware some may have at this point but not initially), or if German tanks roll east and start wiping Russian units out, thats propaganda fuel for Putin.

    If Germany is to be accused of being reticent then so is nato. Why aren't the skies closed by nato jets, this reticence is paid with Ukrainian blood. Remember, Putin only responds to strength, nothing else. Haven't US and nato leaders learned that in the last 20 years.

    Or perhaps its a big plot, American multinationals owned by the elite wanted to prolong the war for arms sales and political instability in a growing Europe, so they didn't close the skies. The prolonged war made Europe dependent on imported US fuels, this was all planned long ago when the US helped disarm Ukraine of its nukes. US bad, yadda yadda yadda.

    Putin is a dictator. Putin should face justice at the Hague. All good Russians should work to depose Putin. Russias war in Ukraine is illegal and morally wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,345 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Why are the police wearing the army naZi Z symbol ?

    Who are these? military police?

    Otherwise they've gone full on nazi in home society.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 728 ✭✭✭20Wheel


    https://www.openpetition.eu/petition/online/people-around-the-world-ask-nato-to-close-the-airspace-over-ukraine

    'We, people around the world, are asking NATO member states and Ukraine-friendly countries to close the airspace over Ukraine and deploy peacekeeping troops in Ukraine, provide military assistance to Kyiv and support the Ukrainian people.'

    • Launched February 2022.

    booo, booo nato, booo. nato needs to step up.

    Putin is a dictator. Putin should face justice at the Hague. All good Russians should work to depose Putin. Russias war in Ukraine is illegal and morally wrong.



This discussion has been closed.
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