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Air Accident / Incident thread

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,494 ✭✭✭✭joujoujou
    Unregistered Users




  • Registered Users Posts: 13,494 ✭✭✭✭joujoujou
    Unregistered Users


    Latest update: 40 bodies recovered so far. Some sources say approx 15 foreign passengers were onboard, including one Irish.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,494 ✭✭✭✭joujoujou
    Unregistered Users


    64 bodies recovered. It is very unlikely there are any survivors, I'm afraid.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭EchoIndia


    It was actually on approach to Pokhara:

    "The plane took off at 10:30am on Sunday morning and crashed on the banks of the Seti Gandaki river just 10 to 20 seconds before it was due to land at the newly opened Pokhara international airport."



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,494 ✭✭✭✭joujoujou
    Unregistered Users


    First reports said "shortly after take off". It was, however 20-ish minutes flight, hence misunderstanding, I'd say.

    Anyway, 64 bodies recovered so far.

    Edit: looks like that was 9N-ANC:

    https://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/yt691#2edb480c



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,776 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Looks from the video that the port engine was idling and the prop was at best auto-rotating in the headwind. But whether it was an engine or control surface issue, it appears a catastrophic asymmetrical imbalance flipped the aircraft at an unrecoverable altitude.



  • Registered Users Posts: 110 ✭✭Astral Nav


    Which was most likely a stall. Numerous comments on other sites have pointed to the apparently high angle of attack. The airport is only open two weeks and directly on line with the old one.

    Furthermore the video distinctly shows the nose being pitched up a fraction of a second before the stall and consequent roll. No big questions as to how it crashed, the question is why did it get into this situation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    It seems flaps were in full landing configuration, if this video clip is valid (video horrible, except it demonstrates that passengers had almost zero awareness they were crashing)

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    Old airport has runway running across a valley of steep mountains and requires a banking departure/approach. I flew out of the old airport, and the moment the aircraft becomes airborne a left bank commences. My purple line above demonstrates curving approach from north/departure from south. The brand new airport has runway in centre of valley and in an axis with it. I put in a red X above where the aircraft crashed into the ravine, which incidentally is a tourist attraction.

    It has been said on forums that the Captain had 25 years experience and was teaching the newbie first officer with only 100 hours experience. That latter had been widowed 15 years previously when her husband, also a pilot, was killed in an air crash in Nepal. It has been speculated they erroneously (out of habit?) making the familiar & trickier approach to the old airport, going against ATC instructions to approach the new airport runway from opposite direction than they ended up in,

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    According to pilots’ reports the ATRs have very good single engine handling.

    But there was the case of the fatal TransAsia ATR crash in Taiwan when the aircraft suffered an auto feather which caught pilots off guard.


    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    This is a clip from a video I took taking off in an ATR72 from old Pokhara, running lying across and near end of valley. The purple approximates the turn of the aircraft which commenced very shortly after rotation. The red arrow marks the ravine where the Yeti ATR72 crashed. A relatively short distance to the right of the red arrow is where the new airport runway is located, approx perpendicular to the old one and in line with the valley.

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭EchoIndia


    Fair play to you for telling that from that very poor quality video. 😐️

    Blancolirio (Juan Browne), a very experienced commercial, ex-military and private pilot, provides an initial assessment here:

    https://youtu.be/OnuVPUsz9VE



  • Registered Users Posts: 866 ✭✭✭HTCOne


    Close call at Kennedy the other night.


    https://avherald.com/h?article=503c9620&opt=0



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    Apparently Nepalese Co-pilot was not a newbie, but her 100 hours specific training was to qualify as a Captain. After landing the aircraft she would have received her certification.

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    From the video screenshots and observations of those on PPRUNE I deduce this is the approx path the aircraft was taking, the orange X marking the spot where it crashed into the ravine. It didn’t seem off course for this approach. One has to remember a curvaceous approach is necessary owing to the rings of mountains around this basin. This approach path would therefore probably be the correct one to take to the intended runway, but the aircraft became too low and too slow over Pokhara and stalled.

    Why it became slow and low is the is the question. I’m hazarding a guess here, but they were not familiar with brand new approach, which I think is a visual one sided by VOR. I suspect it may have been a case of both sets of eyes watching approach runway and failing to observe airspeed and altitude. But the aircraft has good audio warning systems, a distinctive alarm when approaching stall speed, and “too low pull up” warnings. I’m wondering did the “too low, pull up” start sounding, followed by pull-up manoeuvre which induced the high aoa. The stall alarm would have started sounding in short order, simultaneously then with “too low, pull up” resounding. All whilst they were busy trying to visually keep runway in sight and avoid the mountainous terrain. A crm issue, most certainly.

    Post edited by recode the site on

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    Zoomed out, this would be the approx intended approach to the runway.

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,815 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    I genuinely can't believe what I just heard on the radio news. A quick segment on the crash and they named the Irish person that died. They then cut to a sound bite of someone from the Air Corps and he said... and I sh!t you not...

    "I thought it was weather related but I believe that's not the case now, I believe this happened very close to the airport so the pilots should have been able to see the airport"

    My God... there was never any mention of weather and the videos circulating within minutes showed that. Why comment on something you haven't a breeze about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,870 ✭✭✭Storm 10




  • Registered Users Posts: 6,734 ✭✭✭knucklehead6


    From latest reports, the Irish person isn’t Irish



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭EchoIndia


    I didn't hear the clip (on what radio station?) but it is more than likely that a short excerpt of a longer interview was carried. If the interviewee is the person I am thinking of, he is a sound and well-informed contributor on aviation matters. Most Irish media reporting on this accident has been pretty poor, with little informed commentary by anyone with a professional knowledge of aviation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    Nepal air crash: Indian passenger's video caught plane's last moments https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-64287331

    Simon Hrádečky said on his AvHerald that two fake videos allegedly from inside the aircraft were circulating but it seems that one is in fact genuine.

    Post edited by recode the site on

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,815 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    CH 80's.. it replaced Christmas FM. Sounds like they use a generic radio news package.

    Totally off subject but banging 80's music all day 😃



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,782 ✭✭✭Quags


    Those last few seconds are unimageable I imagine



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,462 ✭✭✭thecretinhop


    https://youtu.be/5AbpxqtXcPk


    Not sure that's up near miss on Friday it's insane



  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭cosanostra


    I know this is pilot deviation but it seems like a pretty poor layout, also the instructions given to Delta1943 to "cancel takeoff clearance" just doesn't seem like the right language id imagine "Delta 1943 STOP STOP STOP" would be more appropriate in this circumstance its not ambiguous and you know right away what you must do with out any need for thought.



  • Registered Users Posts: 33,801 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Both of those Nepal videos look fake and show nothing useful anyway.

    Life ain't always empty.



  • Registered Users Posts: 540 ✭✭✭AnRothar


    From DOC4444

    ... to cancel a take-off clearance before aircraft has commenced take-off roll

    ATC) HOLD POSITION, CANCEL TAKE-OFF I SAY AGAIN CANCEL TAKE-OFF (reasons);

    Aircraft) HOLDING; 


    to cancel a take-off clearance before aircraft has commenced take-off roll

    ATC) STOP IMMEDIATELY [(repeat aircraft call sign) STOP IMMEDIATELY];

    Aircraft) STOPPING; 



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,208 ✭✭✭✭recode the site


    Yes, lack of urgency. I was once landing a light aircraft at Weston when a guy, whose radio had failed, was being escorted to its base at Dublin Airport by a pilot with a radio. I had announced all my positions, my turn to base my turn to final. I saw them below approaching the runway and presumed they would hold short. I was getting a bit nervous looking at them, the pilot with radio making inadequate announcements, so I said firmly I was on short final. Next second the leading pilot moves onto the runway with the following pilot immediately behind and they commence a roll. I shouted ROLLING AIRCRAFT ABORT ABORT ABORT! I went around to the left, but saw they had stopped.

    Can I get away with anything if I pay the piper, so to speak?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 644 ✭✭✭faoiarvok


    Not commenting on the merits, but US ATC is governed by FAA procedure JO 7110.65.

    3-9-11 in that doc says:

    PHRASEOLOGY−

    CANCEL TAKEOFF CLEARANCE (reason).



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