Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

MAKINITUP does need to be ridden covered up hoping he finds the gaps so luck in running will paly a part but I thought he was an unlucky loser last week when we backed him at Windsor, this uphill finish may help him.

4.55 Rambuso creek 2pts e/w 17/2 skybet/powers 4 places

RC last race at Sandown reads well for today race after clipping heels and stumbling RC got back into the race finishing 9/11 btn only 3 and 3/4L. there were a bunch of higher rated horse in front of him that day...92..90..87.. race comments below

Slowly into stride, clipped heels and stumbled soon after start, in rear, ridden over 1f out, headway inside final furlong, not clear run and no impression inside final 110yds (op 14/1) he was actually dropped 2LB for this run 😀 It was a messy race so with any luck in running should give us a run for our money

Bank +68.4pts

barjon · 17-10-2022 10:50am

Hi del,

Just popped in to say hello. Good to see you’re still bringing them home - good stuff, as always.

Cheers

(keep an eye on Doom at Donny on Friday - been burning up the gallops, but hasn’t fired yet in two races. Mind you, she got a rotten ride last time when there was plenty of money down.)

Count Dracula · 17-10-2022 6:52pm

hasn't had a winner in a month, has Hughie, so guess he's due one soon 🤣

Just the 2 wins this afternoon, 11/1 and 16/1, i hope you were on!!!!

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 17-10-2022 6:58pm

😁

ya indeed Count - was obliged to have a cupla yoyos each way on his five today 😊

Great rides by Marquand on both his winners at Windsor there ! - esp on the second one, Promoting 🤣

has five entered for Friday - if have any coin left, I'll back all his what goes to post 😃

del roy · 18-10-2022 2:29pm

Pontefract 3.45 makinitup 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 6 places unpl never really got into the race very disappointing

4.55 Rambuso creek 2pts e/w 17/2 skybet/powers 4 places 2nd 11/1

Bank +65.8pts

Yarmouth 5.05 Island of Skye 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet. 5 place

Stone last of the 15 runners ffs

Bank 61.8pts

del roy · 19-10-2022 3:14pm

Saturday Cheltenham 2.05 What's Your Thinking Handicap Chase

COEUR SEREIN 2PTS E/W 12/1 SKYBET/POWERS 3 PLACES

This is an antepost bet if this horse does not run we lose our money

del roy · 19-10-2022 4:22pm

Navan 5.40 STEPS IN THE SAND 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 6 places finished 7th

I thought it ran really well just did not stay, at least we now know she loves that ground and will watch out for her next year.

The last time this horse raced on soft going, I actually think it was nearer heavy as the race time was 17.62s slower than average, SITS was 4th comments below

Bumped start, in rear, headway going okay over 2f out, keeping on when nudged along until short of room and hampered 2f out, soon lost position and switched left, ridden over 1f out, not clear run repeatedly final 110yds, ran on, not reach leaders (op 22/1)

The three horses ahead of her in that race were rated 74...60....71....STEPSINTHESAND was rated 67 in the race but runs off 61 with the kid taking a further 7LB off its back however it was only 1m2f but she has given the impression she might stay this distance in some of her last few races seemingly full of running behind a wall of horses.

Top three rated horses in todays race is 65..63..62

Actually 8 of the field are rated 50 or under

Anyway at 18/1 ...6 places I will play.

Bank +57.8pts

del roy · 20-10-2022 11:02am

7.45 Grace angel 2pts e/w 6/1 powers 3 places

del roy · 20-10-2022 6:21pm

Cheltenham

Friday 4.30 NICK LOST 2pts e/w 33/1 powers 5 places 6th

the one time I did not go with Skybet who were paying 6 places 😪

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 20-10-2022 8:39pm

On barjon's Doom @ Donny 2.20 5/2

Del's Couer Serein @ 12/1 (made da decs 😊 9s now)

and i'll stick with the in-form Hughie Morrison; have done his three (all newcomers) tomorrow - all at Newbury:

12.50 Icy Dip 28/1 EW

1.25 Ascari 22/1 EW

2.00 Mr Mistofelees 14/1 EW

prices taken about ~2hrs ago - took 25s , 20s, but me gots double carpet on Mr Mistofelles 😁🙏

also on Del's Nick Lost ew 33s 5plcs

hope be lucky this wkend 😎

del roy · 21-10-2022 10:00am

2.00 Mr Mistofelees 14/1 EW

prices taken about ~2hrs ago - took 25s , 20s, but me gots double carpet on Mr Mistofelles

Mr Mistoffelees is a son of Siyouni for whom we have made Irish 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby entries. As with the two previous runners today, it would not be a shock for him to run well in a race we did win 12 months ago with Bushfire. He would be of similar ability at the same stage, so no forlorn hope under Hollie.

Trainers other horse in the race would be the one for me

4th in his only race over 7f this extra furlong should be well in his range with a dosage of 0.50 and same jockey riding again

del roy · 21-10-2022 10:51am

7.45 Grace angel 2pts e/w 6/1 powers 3 places 2nd +0.4pts profit

Bank +58.2pts

Cheltenham

Friday 4.30 NICK LOST 2pts e/w 33/1 powers 5 places

Doncaster

5.10 SWIFT TURTLE 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 5 places

Hoping this softer ground helps ST here, trainer says Swift Tuttle shaped well in the spring and after a gelding operation in the summer, badly needed the run at Windsor earlier this month. He will be straighter today and will love the ground and the trip is ideal. I give him a great each-way shout.

Being sired by FAST COMPANY he should enjoy this softer ground, he was only beaten 5 and 1/2L when he badly needed the race so any improvement should have in the frame here

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 21-10-2022 2:18pm

Muhaarars seem to be acting on the soft / soft-heavy / heavy going

two ran 2day so far: Cicero's Gift {a newcomer}- 1st Nby (Soft) 1,25 ; Alba Longa 3rd Doncaster (Soft/Heavy) 1,45 - both 2yo races, and both over a mile = "interesting" 😎

one more going today in shape of MORNING SUN 5.10 Donny,, very short @ 5/2 ats

i'll be keeping an eye on them in t'coming days/weeks - five entered tomorrow, with one at Chelmsford; the rest on the (soft) turf trax,, regardless of horsies ages, I reckons they're worth a second look

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 21-10-2022 4:16pm

no joy with Hughie's three; nd Doom was fierce unlucky at Donny - wasn't held up today, which was a change from filly's two previous runs

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 21-10-2022 5:16pm

😓

Swift Tuttle did nae want tae win 😥 weee Raab did his baysht, but tee nae avail 😴

Bad Donkey !

del roy · 21-10-2022 5:24pm

Friday 4.30 NICK LOST 2pts e/w 33/1 powers 5 places 6th lost

5.10 SWIFT TURTLE 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 5 places 4th rule 4.....40p profit...3.3pts profit on race

Loss of 0.7pts on the day

Bank +57.5pts

Saturday Cheltenham 2.05 What's Your Thinking Handicap Chase

2.05 COEUR SEREIN 2PTS E/W 12/1 SKYBET/POWERS 3 PLACES

This is an antepost bet if this horse does not run we lose our money

Leopardstown 3.10 SUNSET SHARRAZ 2pts win hills 4/1

Doncaster 4.10 Tolstoy 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 5 places

Chelmsford 7.30 ESTRELA STAR 2pts e/w 10/1 4 places Skybet

realdanbreen · 22-10-2022 12:00pm

Young Fire in the first at leopardstown seems good ew although a big field, 18

realdanbreen · 22-10-2022 12:38pm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119778690#Comment_119778690

Mean first in Doncaster of Course

del roy · 23-10-2022 12:20pm

2.05.potters legend 3 pts ew. 12 /1

3 places

del roy · 24-10-2022 1:18pm

Well a nightmare of a weekend and 20pts lost

Bank 37.5pts

3.30 micks dream 2pts e/w 11/2 ...skybet 4 places

j@utis · 24-10-2022 1:28pm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119786757#Comment_119786757

What's the reasoning behind it? I find Guess the most interesting runner in this race, now upped to 8f for the 1st time.

del roy · 26-10-2022 8:26am

Bank 31.5pts

seems I can’t buy a winner at the moment so no bet from me for a few days.

on another note I see joe gizzard banging in a few winners, that’s good cos I like backing horses from that stable.

del roy · 02-11-2022 4:38pm

Back from a weeks holiday.

I see JOE TIZZARD has the yard ticking along very sweetly last 7 runners have produced 5 winners, loads of well handicapped horses in that yard after the terrible time they have had.

del roy · 02-11-2022 5:44pm

DUNDALK

5.05 Sweet November 2pts e/w 22/1 4 places skybet and powers

del roy · 04-11-2022 11:39am

12.48 KILDRUM 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 4 places 3rd 16/1 profit 5.2pts

Bank 27.5pts

del roy · 04-11-2022 1:37pm

12.48 KILDRUM 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 4 places

Raced 11 times for Mikey and four of them were here at Hexham resulting producing form figures of 1...pu...5....2.....the pulled up was on the heavy over an inadequate 2m4f

Jockey Emma has ridden the horse to win before, according to the other site horse is in decent form at home and now 20/1 with skybet may plod on for a place

del roy · 04-11-2022 5:23pm

Bank 32.7pts

Doncaster 3.13 ON TO VICTORY 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 7 places

Won this race two years ago off a rating of 99 runs off 92 tomorrow.

Onto Victory has raced 27 times and has finished in the first three places no less than 14 times.

del roy · 09-11-2022 11:22am

Bank 28.7pts

12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places

del roy · 11-11-2022 10:02am

12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places 3rd a little unlucky after landing on his nose at the last 1.6pts profit on the race

Bank 34.3pts

del roy · 11-11-2022 11:25am

Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places

del roy · 11-11-2022 11:53am

Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places

Trainer Ben Pauling has his string in fine form with 3 winners from his last 12 runners and 10 of them being in the first three places plus it is napped over on the other site

del roy · 11-11-2022 1:54pm

2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

10 November 2022//by Andy Newton

Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (11th-13th Nov 2022).

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

In 2020, we saw the Evan Williams-trained Coole Cody and could be back for more in 2022, while 12 months ago it was the Sue Smith-trained Midnight Shadow that won the race.

We take a look at the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 12th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)

2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)

2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)

2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)

2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)

2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)

2015 – Annacotty (12/1)

2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)

2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)

2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)

2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)

2010 – Little Josh (20/1)

2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)

2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)

2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)

2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)

2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)

2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)

2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)

2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

20/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before

19/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before

19/20 – Won by a UK-based trainer

16/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting

14/20 – Carried 11st or less

14/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before

14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out

12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old

12/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before

11/20 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)

10/20 – Placed favourites

9/20 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting

9/20 – Aged 7 years-old

8/20 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance

5/20 – Won their last race

5/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out

4/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable

3/20 – Winning favourites

3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

3/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

3/20 – Ran at Carlisle last time out

2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

1/20 – Irish-trained winners

The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975

Paul Nicholls has saddled 11 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 43 runners

The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10.5/1

Above from GEEGEEZ.CO.UK

so the Irish are 1/20, not really getting excited about any at the front of the betting so I will take a chance on the Alan King horse

DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 11-11-2022 4:25pm

looked at that Galahad Threepwood myself last night (one of the very few i looked at), but couldn't make a case for him 'on the clock' hahahah 😃 (not always the best way of finding a winner tbs)

think he has a few lengths to find myself, but what do i know 😋

beyond that, race looked too hard to solve

he seems to be gone into single figures with most the books anyhow ,, good luck with him del 🙂 ☺️

del roy · 11-11-2022 5:22pm

Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places 5th 2.8pts profit on race

Bank +37.1pts

Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places

del roy · 12-11-2022 6:06pm

Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places 5TH LOST

as there were two non runners in this race the place terms changed to 4 places only so losing bet

Bank +33.1pts

Sunday Cheltenham 2.55 A DIFFERENT KIND 3pts e/w 16/1 6 places skybet

Sweet Talkin Romeo · 12-11-2022 6:08pm

that's disappointing tbs del :(

didn't back meself (me pick Simply The Betts unplaced) but figured you had collected place money on yours 😪

del roy · 13-11-2022 9:43am

Would have got paid if I did it with skybet at 18/1

wasc

del roy · 17-11-2022 9:49am

8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet

Bank +27.1pts

del roy · 21-11-2022 11:18am

8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet 2nd 2/1f

Bank +24.1pts

Sorry I have been tied up with work stuff so back with a few weeks to take this on daily, probably -50pts by Christmas the way its going anyway onto today.

Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places

Ok the negatives first

I couldn't pick me nose at the moment
only one win from 15 over hurdles but has placed 6 times
194 DSL

Now some pluses

1 form at the course over hurdles 4463 when rated 93 to 96 runs off 87 today

2 todays jockey seems to be his regular rider these days

3 trainer has a 33% place strike rate at course in class 5 handicap hurdle with a poor win ratio 2/39 however horse seems to like the hurdle course here 20/1 seems fair for 4 places.

del roy · 21-11-2022 5:21pm

Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places...3rd 12/1 profit on race 6pts

Bank 30.1pts

Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places

del roy · 23-11-2022 8:22pm

Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places......non runner

Bank 30.1pts

Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places

LOVE ACTUALLY has run twice at Taunton resulting in two wins albeit in class 5 and 4 handicaps however sneaks into this class 3 with 10st-2LB and the jockey who rode it at this course to win its last race taking 5lb off.

del roy · 24-11-2022 11:37am

Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places

into 3/1 lets hope it at least places

del roy · 25-11-2022 1:52pm

Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places 5th

Bank 26pts

Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places

del roy · 30-11-2022 11:20am

Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places 8th

Bank 20pts

Really struggling for a place never mind a winner but I will press on and keep the faith.

5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places.

hammerdub · 14-12-2022 4:18pm

Del Roy. Did you miss Steps in the Sand In Dundalk today, wins at 14/1.

del roy · 16-12-2022 2:28pm

Yes hammer I missed it. Wasc

del roy · 09-01-2023 11:48am

5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places. 2nd

Bank 20pts

Wolverhampton 8.30 POSITIVE FORCE 1pt e/w 50/1 skybet 4 places

Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

Comments

2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends