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Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

124

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Sedgefield 2.40 ALmost gold 11/2 2pts win unpl


    Naas 5.15 Dairerin 2pts e/w 16/1 skybet 5 places 6th

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Pontefract 3.45 makinitup 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 6 places

    4.55 Rambuso creek 2pts e/w 17/2 skybet/powers 4 places


    Bank +68.4pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Pontefract 3.45 makinitup 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 6 places

    MAKINITUP does need to be ridden covered up hoping he finds the gaps so luck in running will paly a part but I thought he was an unlucky loser last week when we backed him at Windsor, this uphill finish may help him.

    4.55 Rambuso creek 2pts e/w 17/2 skybet/powers 4 places

    RC last race at Sandown reads well for today race after clipping heels and stumbling RC got back into the race finishing 9/11 btn only 3 and 3/4L. there were a bunch of higher rated horse in front of him that day...92..90..87.. race comments below

    Slowly into stride, clipped heels and stumbled soon after start, in rear, ridden over 1f out, headway inside final furlong, not clear run and no impression inside final 110yds (op 14/1) he was actually dropped 2LB for this run 😀 It was a messy race so with any luck in running should give us a run for our money




    Bank +68.4pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 1 barjon


    Hi del,

    Just popped in to say hello. Good to see you’re still bringing them home - good stuff, as always.

    Cheers

    (keep an eye on Doom at Donny on Friday - been burning up the gallops, but hasn’t fired yet in two races. Mind you, she got a rotten ride last time when there was plenty of money down.)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,297 ✭✭✭Count Dracula


    hasn't had a winner in a month, has Hughie, so guess he's due one soon 🤣

    Just the 2 wins this afternoon, 11/1 and 16/1, i hope you were on!!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    😁

    ya indeed Count - was obliged to have a cupla yoyos each way on his five today 😊

    Great rides by Marquand on both his winners at Windsor there ! - esp on the second one, Promoting 🤣

    has five entered for Friday - if have any coin left, I'll back all his what goes to post 😃

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Pontefract 3.45 makinitup 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 6 places unpl never really got into the race very disappointing


    4.55 Rambuso creek 2pts e/w 17/2 skybet/powers 4 places 2nd 11/1


    Bank +65.8pts


    Yarmouth 5.05 Island of Skye 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet. 5 place

    Stone last of the 15 runners ffs


    Bank 61.8pts

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Saturday Cheltenham 2.05 What's Your Thinking Handicap Chase 

    COEUR SEREIN 2PTS E/W 12/1 SKYBET/POWERS 3 PLACES

    This is an antepost bet if this horse does not run we lose our money



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Navan 5.40 STEPS IN THE SAND 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 6 places finished 7th

    I thought it ran really well just did not stay, at least we now know she loves that ground and will watch out for her next year.

    The last time this horse raced on soft going, I actually think it was nearer heavy as the race time was 17.62s slower than average, SITS was 4th comments below

    Bumped start, in rear, headway going okay over 2f out, keeping on when nudged along until short of room and hampered 2f out, soon lost position and switched left, ridden over 1f out, not clear run repeatedly final 110yds, ran on, not reach leaders (op 22/1)

    The three horses ahead of her in that race were rated 74...60....71....STEPSINTHESAND was rated 67 in the race but runs off 61 with the kid taking a further 7LB off its back however it was only 1m2f but she has given the impression she might stay this distance in some of her last few races seemingly full of running behind a wall of horses.

    Top three rated horses in todays race is 65..63..62

    Actually 8 of the field are rated 50 or under

    Anyway at 18/1 ...6 places I will play.


    Bank +57.8pts

    Post edited by del roy on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    7.45 Grace angel 2pts e/w 6/1 powers 3 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Cheltenham

    Friday 4.30 NICK LOST 2pts e/w 33/1 powers 5 places 6th


    the one time I did not go with Skybet who were paying 6 places 😪

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    On barjon's Doom @ Donny 2.20 5/2

    Del's Couer Serein @ 12/1 (made da decs 😊 9s now)


    and i'll stick with the in-form Hughie Morrison; have done his three (all newcomers) tomorrow - all at Newbury:

    12.50 Icy Dip 28/1 EW

    1.25 Ascari 22/1 EW

    2.00 Mr Mistofelees 14/1 EW

    prices taken about ~2hrs ago - took 25s , 20s, but me gots double carpet on Mr Mistofelles 😁🙏


    also on Del's Nick Lost ew 33s 5plcs

    hope be lucky this wkend 😎

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    2.00 Mr Mistofelees 14/1 EW

    prices taken about ~2hrs ago - took 25s , 20s, but me gots double carpet on Mr Mistofelles


    Mr Mistoffelees is a son of Siyouni for whom we have made Irish 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby entries. As with the two previous runners today, it would not be a shock for him to run well in a race we did win 12 months ago with Bushfire. He would be of similar ability at the same stage, so no forlorn hope under Hollie.


    Trainers other horse in the race would be the one for me

    4th in his only race over 7f this extra furlong should be well in his range with a dosage of 0.50 and same jockey riding again



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    7.45 Grace angel 2pts e/w 6/1 powers 3 places 2nd +0.4pts profit

    Bank +58.2pts


    Cheltenham

    Friday 4.30 NICK LOST 2pts e/w 33/1 powers 5 places

    Doncaster

    5.10 SWIFT TURTLE 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 5 places

    Hoping this softer ground helps ST here, trainer says Swift Tuttle shaped well in the spring and after a gelding operation in the summer, badly needed the run at Windsor earlier this month. He will be straighter today and will love the ground and the trip is ideal. I give him a great each-way shout.

    Being sired by FAST COMPANY he should enjoy this softer ground, he was only beaten 5 and 1/2L when he badly needed the race so any improvement should have in the frame here



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    Muhaarars seem to be acting on the soft / soft-heavy / heavy going

    two ran 2day so far: Cicero's Gift {a newcomer}- 1st Nby (Soft) 1,25 ; Alba Longa 3rd Doncaster (Soft/Heavy) 1,45 - both 2yo races, and both over a mile = "interesting" 😎

    one more going today in shape of MORNING SUN 5.10 Donny,, very short @ 5/2 ats

    i'll be keeping an eye on them in t'coming days/weeks - five entered tomorrow, with one at Chelmsford; the rest on the (soft) turf trax,, regardless of horsies ages, I reckons they're worth a second look

    Post edited by Sweet Talkin Romeo on

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    no joy with Hughie's three; nd Doom was fierce unlucky at Donny - wasn't held up today, which was a change from filly's two previous runs

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    😓

    Swift Tuttle did nae want tae win 😥 weee Raab did his baysht, but tee nae avail 😴

    Bad Donkey !

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Friday 4.30 NICK LOST 2pts e/w 33/1 powers 5 places 6th lost

    5.10 SWIFT TURTLE 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 5 places 4th rule 4.....40p profit...3.3pts profit on race

    Loss of 0.7pts on the day

    Bank +57.5pts


    Saturday Cheltenham 2.05 What's Your Thinking Handicap Chase 

    2.05 COEUR SEREIN 2PTS E/W 12/1 SKYBET/POWERS 3 PLACES

    This is an antepost bet if this horse does not run we lose our money


    Leopardstown 3.10 SUNSET SHARRAZ 2pts win hills 4/1

    Doncaster 4.10 Tolstoy 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 5 places

    Chelmsford 7.30 ESTRELA STAR 2pts e/w 10/1 4 places Skybet

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,214 ✭✭✭realdanbreen


    Young Fire in the first at leopardstown seems good ew although a big field, 18



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,214 ✭✭✭realdanbreen




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    2.05.potters legend 3 pts ew. 12 /1

    3 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Well a nightmare of a weekend and 20pts lost

    Bank 37.5pts


    3.30 micks dream 2pts e/w 11/2 ...skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    What's the reasoning behind it? I find Guess the most interesting runner in this race, now upped to 8f for the 1st time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Bank 31.5pts

    seems I can’t buy a winner at the moment so no bet from me for a few days.

    on another note I see joe gizzard banging in a few winners, that’s good cos I like backing horses from that stable.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Back from a weeks holiday.


    I see JOE TIZZARD has the yard ticking along very sweetly last 7 runners have produced 5 winners, loads of well handicapped horses in that yard after the terrible time they have had.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    DUNDALK

    5.05 Sweet November 2pts e/w 22/1 4 places skybet and powers



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    12.48 KILDRUM 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 4 places 3rd 16/1 profit 5.2pts


    Bank 27.5pts

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    12.48 KILDRUM 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 4 places

    Raced 11 times for Mikey and four of them were here at Hexham resulting producing form figures of 1...pu...5....2.....the pulled up was on the heavy over an inadequate 2m4f

    Jockey Emma has ridden the horse to win before, according to the other site horse is in decent form at home and now 20/1 with skybet may plod on for a place



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Bank 32.7pts

    Doncaster 3.13 ON TO VICTORY 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 7 places

    Won this race two years ago off a rating of 99 runs off 92 tomorrow.

    Onto Victory has raced 27 times and has finished in the first three places no less than 14 times.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Bank 28.7pts


    12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places 3rd a little unlucky after landing on his nose at the last 1.6pts profit on the race


    Bank 34.3pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places

    Trainer Ben Pauling has his string in fine form with 3 winners from his last 12 runners and 10 of them being in the first three places plus it is napped over on the other site



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

    10 November 2022//by Andy Newton

    Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (11th-13th Nov 2022).

    The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

    In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

    In 2020, we saw the Evan Williams-trained Coole Cody and could be back for more in 2022, while 12 months ago it was the Sue Smith-trained Midnight Shadow that won the race.

    We take a look at the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 12th November.

    Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

    2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)

    2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)

    2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)

    2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)

    2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)

    2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)

    2015 – Annacotty (12/1)

    2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)

    2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)

    2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)

    2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)

    2010 – Little Josh (20/1)

    2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)

    2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)

    2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)

    2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)

    2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)

    2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)

    2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)

    2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

    Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

    20/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before

    19/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before

    19/20 – Won by a UK-based trainer

    16/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting

    14/20 – Carried 11st or less

    14/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before

    14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out

    12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old

    12/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before

    11/20 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)

    10/20 – Placed favourites

    9/20 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting

    9/20 – Aged 7 years-old

    8/20 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance

    5/20 – Won their last race

    5/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out

    4/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable

    3/20 – Winning favourites

    3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

    3/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

    3/20 – Ran at Carlisle last time out

    2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

    1/20 – Irish-trained winners

    The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975

    Paul Nicholls has saddled 11 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 43 runners

    The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10.5/1

    Above from GEEGEEZ.CO.UK


    so the Irish are 1/20, not really getting excited about any at the front of the betting so I will take a chance on the Alan King horse

    DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    looked at that Galahad Threepwood myself last night (one of the very few i looked at), but couldn't make a case for him 'on the clock' hahahah 😃 (not always the best way of finding a winner tbs)

    think he has a few lengths to find myself, but what do i know 😋

    beyond that, race looked too hard to solve

    he seems to be gone into single figures with most the books anyhow ,, good luck with him del 🙂 ☺️

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places 5th 2.8pts profit on race


    Bank +37.1pts


    Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places 5TH LOST

    as there were two non runners in this race the place terms changed to 4 places only so losing bet


    Bank +33.1pts


    Sunday Cheltenham 2.55 A DIFFERENT KIND 3pts e/w 16/1 6 places skybet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    that's disappointing tbs del :(

    didn't back meself (me pick Simply The Betts unplaced) but figured you had collected place money on yours 😪

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Would have got paid if I did it with skybet at 18/1

    wasc



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet



    Bank +27.1pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet 2nd 2/1f


    Bank +24.1pts


    Sorry I have been tied up with work stuff so back with a few weeks to take this on daily, probably -50pts by Christmas the way its going anyway onto today.


    Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places

    Ok the negatives first

    1. I couldn't pick me nose at the moment
    2. only one win from 15 over hurdles but has placed 6 times
    3. 194 DSL

    Now some pluses

    1 form at the course over hurdles 4463 when rated 93 to 96 runs off 87 today

    2 todays jockey seems to be his regular rider these days

    3 trainer has a 33% place strike rate at course in class 5 handicap hurdle with a poor win ratio 2/39 however horse seems to like the hurdle course here 20/1 seems fair for 4 places.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places...3rd 12/1 profit on race 6pts

    Bank 30.1pts

    Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places......non runner

    Bank 30.1pts


    Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places

    LOVE ACTUALLY has run twice at Taunton resulting in two wins albeit in class 5 and 4 handicaps however sneaks into this class 3 with 10st-2LB and the jockey who rode it at this course to win its last race taking 5lb off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places


    into 3/1 lets hope it at least places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places 5th

    Bank 26pts

    Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places 8th

    Bank 20pts

    Really struggling for a place never mind a winner but I will press on and keep the faith.


    5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places.



  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭hammerdub


    Del Roy. Did you miss Steps in the Sand In Dundalk today, wins at 14/1.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Yes hammer I missed it. Wasc



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places. 2nd

    Bank 20pts


    Wolverhampton 8.30 POSITIVE FORCE 1pt e/w 50/1 skybet 4 places



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