Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

Bank 28.7pts

12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places

Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places

2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

10 November 2022//by Andy Newton

Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (11th-13th Nov 2022).

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

In 2020, we saw the Evan Williams-trained Coole Cody and could be back for more in 2022, while 12 months ago it was the Sue Smith-trained Midnight Shadow that won the race.

We take a look at the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 12th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)

2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)

2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)

2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)

2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)

2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)

2015 – Annacotty (12/1)

2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)

2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)

2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)

2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)

2010 – Little Josh (20/1)

2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)

2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)

2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)

2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)

2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)

2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)

2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)

2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

20/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before

19/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before

19/20 – Won by a UK-based trainer

16/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting

14/20 – Carried 11st or less

14/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before

14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out

12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old

12/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before

11/20 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)

10/20 – Placed favourites

9/20 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting

9/20 – Aged 7 years-old

8/20 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance

5/20 – Won their last race

5/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out

4/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable

3/20 – Winning favourites

3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

3/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

3/20 – Ran at Carlisle last time out

2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

1/20 – Irish-trained winners

The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975

Paul Nicholls has saddled 11 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 43 runners

The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10.5/1

Above from GEEGEEZ.CO.UK

so the Irish are 1/20, not really getting excited about any at the front of the betting so I will take a chance on the Alan King horse

DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places

Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places 5th 2.8pts profit on race

Bank +37.1pts

Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places

8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet

Bank +27.1pts

Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places...3rd 12/1 profit on race 6pts

Bank 30.1pts

Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places

Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places

into 3/1 lets hope it at least places

Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places 8th

Bank 20pts

Really struggling for a place never mind a winner but I will press on and keep the faith.

5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places.

Yes hammer I missed it. Wasc

Wolverhampton 8.30 POSITIVE FORCE 1pt e/w 50/1 skybet 4 places

50s looks generous considering 4 places up for grabs obviously something a miss with the horse being dumped out of Kevin Ryans yard after only 7 races however some of the winners he raced against when trained by Ryan are rated a few pound higher than this field.

the sires stats are terrible however the trainer books Tom Eaves who has form figures 245 the only time he has ridden the horse.

As I say 50s might be a little too big considering 4 places avaiable

3.00 Tommy Cullen 3pts e/w skybet 6 places 8/1....7th

Thats the problem when you think your picking up an easy 3pts finishes 7th...ffs

2.15 blow your horn 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places

over the last 9 years there have been 17 off spring from GOLDEN HORN run over 1m3f to 1m4f

4 have won and 8 have placed with an a/e of 1.08 which is decent enough

Trainer record at Lingfield over last five years....127 runners.....15 winners.... 38 placed

Bank 12pts

3.00 WOULDUBEWELL 2pts e/w 20/1 skybet 5 places p/u

Bank 11.6pts

1.20 Mr Rascal 2pts e/w 7/1