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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,217 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Well with the saving accounts 8-10 years ago it had to be all online

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Branches aren’t the only fixed cost…regardless of size of bank they need a banking platform which will cost more or less the same for 100k customers or 1m customers.

    The need payment systems and access to payment networks.. most of this will be a fixed cost.

    They need AML and Risk. Systems to comply with banking regulations…yet again all fixed cost.

    They need access to treasury systems to monitor liquidity and be able to trade bonds etc and make placements with central banks..more fixed cost.

    on the people front they need people in central functions such as finance legal risk IT…yet again fixed cost on not really dependent on Size.

    On top of that the Irish banks have seen little investment in the past 10-15 years besides regulatory compliance and have a poor customer offering as a result which allows fintech compete and take over profitable parts of the business such as FX etc. If they don’t invest or acquire fintech companies and get up to speed it is questionable will they still exist in 10 years.

    Unless a bank is a certain size it will struggle to remain profitable even if they get a return from the central bank. If they struggle to write enough new loans which all Irish banks have difficulty doing as more loans are paid off than draw down for the past few years the return on equity is going to be low and it makes perfect sense to shut up shop and release the capital and use it else where they can get a better return.

    Saying they get a return from a central bank as opposed to earning a return else where is the equivalent of someone parking 10m Euro in a current account and getting a minimal return instead of investing the money elsewhere and getting a good return. It didn’t Matter much when rates were negative/low as it was difficult to get a return anywhere but with rising rates it’s more important than ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 398 ✭✭jimmybobbyschweiz


    Of relevance to Irish property, as with other stories of big tech companies, due to the commercial property demand from these entities and also the demand for rentals from the employees of these companies.

    At the same time we are told this year's corporate taxes are a once off. The perfect storm but surely unsurprising to any of us when we saw there were no rentals available the past year or so anyway for these big companies to keep expanding in Dublin. Putin and inflation will be blamed blah blah but don't be fooled into thinking the fallout could not have been at least mitigated by ensuring a more sustainable housing market.





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    However, speaking at the Cop27 climate summit in Egypt on Monday, Taoiseach Micheál Martin urged: “Don’t panic.”

    What an arrogant plank. I would be advising anyone in that situation to brush up their CV and look for a job asap. Tis well for moneybags Martin....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 126 ✭✭zisdead


    And the snowball now starts rolling. How big does it grow and how far does it roll. Twitter staff now in the mix of course.




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 767 ✭✭✭dontmindme




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭gaming_needs90




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,823 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Area would have a poor reputation also



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,217 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    When you look at the price you could have figured that out

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 229 ✭✭byrne249


    Gives new meaning to the saying 'I got a Leopard skin wall to sell you'



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Certainly it is one of those areas where the the the remainder after the low purchase price would be used for an armed escort to and from home :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals



    Commercial property in Dublin not looking fantastic atm


    Zuck also just confirmed they're letting go more than 11,000 people globally.


    Screenshot 2022-11-09 at 11.15.49.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    At least now we will see if housing is the governments number 1 priority. This is there opportunity to steal SF thunder. Cooling demand, increased labour pool, burgeoning tax take, plenty of land and empty buildings

    All the ingredients required are present, have they got the bottle to deliver affordable housing to workers that keep our cities moving. Time will tell



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,595 ✭✭✭tigger123


    How are empty office blocks going to impact supply of housing? Surely they're unsuitable to live in, and not zoned for residential use?



  • Posts: 14,708 [Deleted User]


    It’s almost as if some numb nuts are applauding people losing their jobs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    We could not build sufficient houses because Labour was tied up building office blocks in the last decade. That excuse appears to be obsolete currently



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    While others appear to applaud boom bust policies that lead to such job losses



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭drogon.


    Lol. Says scrooge mcdav10

    A man with multiple houses, wants his wealth going up only. You have no worry for people losing their jobs, same as you could careless for people struggling to find rental accommodation, or ability to pay their rents or ability to afford to buy a house at a decent price.



  • Posts: 14,708 [Deleted User]


    Show me someone who wants their wealth to go down. I admire people who can help themselves, I’m less impressed with people who expect others to help them, I have never hid that and I don’t feel in anyway bad about it.

    But I would never be glad that another person became unemployed, or see it as a positive for me or others in society.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 398 ✭✭jimmybobbyschweiz


    On a side note, how old is that photo in the article? The lads look like they came out of the 2005!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    You might point us to the numb nuts that you claim applauds person(s) loosing there jobs

    If he doesn't reign in that metaverse crap there will be more losses



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 192 ✭✭IWW2900


    He called people numb nuts and then said people were applauding job losses. Who exactly is applauding?

    Dont know why some people are allowed to post here. Just rude.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭drogon.


    You're acting like a wolf in sheep's clothing Dav. You have never been empathetical to people's suffering, so don't pretend to act like you actually care that people are loosing their jobs for one minute.

    The average/middle class in this country are suffering with high rents, spending more than half their earning in rents alone. Because of terrible government policy.

    I just find myself fortunate to have bought a house 14 years, with more than 75% of my mortgage paid off and I don't expect anyone to help me. Rents in my own estate are 3.5K, 3 Eastern European families are renting a 3 bedded house with 8 or 9 kids between them. It actually sickens me how people are being taken advantage by slum landlords. Just so they can price gouge people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,081 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    Reality is utterly really ****, some people mostly older boomer age just cannot see it and don't want to hear about it either. QE and low interest only serves one purpose, Inflate asset prices. Sad thing is it only benefits existing asset owners like the boomer era that have houses and assets. Once the divide between the have and have-nots gets to levels that are completely unstable like now, then society is on the decline. Asset prices have to fall inorder to save society one way or another and that means boomers will have to start seeing reality. Sad and abit controversial but that's just my opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    A wealth/property tax is one answer but not a hope it will ever be implemented at least not as a direct tax…maybe implemented as some stealth tax but not directly.

    You also have the issue that people are mobile so can easily move to a country with no wealth tax and end up being a loss of tax and investment in Ireland.

    let’s not forget that there were similar housing issues throughout the years and the solution was always council houses. The biggest problem now is people have negative views on council houses when in reality a very large portion of Irelands middle class were raised in them especially if they were born in the 50/60’s as it was the only housing option for the majority in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 398 ✭✭jimmybobbyschweiz


    If you're not panicking yet, I'll have some of what you're smoking. Articles in the IT quoting soft-landing and "now is not the time for fear" sentiment from "sources" (being government, IDA and civil service officials).

    However, while it might sound good that they are attempting to plan for life without big tech being dominant in the economy, why there are huge issues with any efforts to "reinvent" the FDI model are there in black and white. Even with the best alternative and back up plan, no housing and general infrastructure being poor is why Ireland is going to have to just let the cookie crumble as it cannot actually pivot due to said housing and other infrastructure issues.

    Government sources said the hope is that the white paper will be published next month. A senior source said it would take in an assessment of new markets and sectors, as well as training, education, tax breaks and competitiveness. “It won’t be reinventing the wheel – just getting new tyres.”

    Others are more doubtful that a rethink can have a meaningful effect. Many “capacity constraints” cited by the IDA as “negatively impacting” and “eroding” Ireland’s advantages are near-chronic problems – energy, water, infrastructure, planning and, above all, housing. The paramount importance of tax revenues from multinationals provides a backdrop.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Would you be of the belief that your assets have had considerable help in appreciating and preserving their value. 4billion a year is some spend most of it on the demand side of housing

    I own a home and I would much prefer to pay more tax on the land that home sits on and have a corresponding relief on the tax on my labour. That would be of far more benefit to the populace, country and economy.

    Don't be under any illusion that you are not a recipient of help from the state. Property owners are one of the greatest beneficiaries of state spending



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    If your working and living here that state spending comes directly out of your pocket, its not as simple as you make it out to be. I have zero and I mean zero confidence if the state upped other taxes or introduced new ones that they would drop income tax proportionately. So better to fight new taxes as once they have their claws and mechanisms in place to tax something for example labour this tax is at the mercy of the government of the day. Property tax will be increasing over the next decade so once a new tax comes into place even if it is "supposedly temporary" (like the USC) it is very hard to ween our welfare state from the tit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,217 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Yes and the people that generally have higher tax bills will have higher value property.

    The problem with a lot of so called intervention taxes lately is they are too punitive and too many opt outs. For I stance the vacant site tax is 3% but there is loads of opt outs. If it was set a 0.5% year one and 1% year two and leave it at that with no opt-out it would be much more effective.

    Same with vacant house tax. If we had a general higher rate of property tax and charge 1.5% rate on vacant property no opt-out it would make people think.

    Problem is with high rates you have to have opt-outs. When you have an opt-out people find a way to apply it to themselves.

    But quid quo pro have realistic tenancy termination rules and have the option of shorter term contracts where there is a vetted reason for house being vacant and where it may need to be taken out of the rental market ( owners going abroad for a few years or go e into a nursing home)

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,126 ✭✭✭wassie


    The timing of former IDA boss Martin Shanahan's early exit from his tenure as CEO now seems more than a co-incidence. If anyone had the inside running as to what kind of sh!t show was coming, it was him. Get out before you have to face the music.



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