Russia - threadbanned users in OP

After the Ukrainian counter attacks we we're all wondering what was next. Now in hindsight we know. It was a massive Russian counter attack that's cost the lives of thousands for a few hundred metres of ground. They're throwing everything at Bakhmut and a few other settlements for some badly needed gains before winter. Could be another month or two before they let up for winter.

I'm not sure Crimea is as clear cut as you suggest. It is regarded by the entire international community as illegally occupied by the Russian fascist state. Very hard to imagine how it can move from that (especially after nine months of war in Ukraine) to anyone ever accepting it as legally part of Russia. The regime have hammered home the point this year with their war that the original occupation in 2014 was 100% illegal.

If the war ends Russia will lose Crimea. There will be a lot of angry Ukrainians there and it won't be a comfortable place for Russians. They will have to leave. It's like if we get a united Ireland - where will the unionists go? There'll be a lot of republicans up there doing dirty work on them.

There has been a lot of trouble in the south including the incendiary attack in Odesa. I think Crimea would become like the north was during the troubles. I can't see Russians being happy there, especially the ones that moved in recently. As for N. Ireland, there is still a lot of bitterness and resentment there. It is very easy for nationalists to stir up trouble. And there are plenty of people here who don't want the Brits. in Ireland. When there is resentment among the people it is easy to stir things up until it becomes conflict. This is the kind of social unease that often precedes conflict. The war in Bosnia came suddenly and as a shock to many, but there you have it...it is now getting tense again with this licence plate business in Kosovo - licence plates? starting a war? Possible.

Blackout in Kherson after explosion at Beryslav-Kakhovka power line

Kherson is on the front line of this war

There are numerous riots and mutinies happening among the Orcs protesting conditions, poor equipment but mostly is that they are not receiving their supposed sign up bonus nor high rate of pay, and that is not going down well.

Mobiks are being sent to Belarus to make preparations of bases and they are suffering wholly unsanitary conditions, leading to wholesale incapacitation due to serious illnesses and they are having to hurriedly find and send medical workers from Russia to try and deal with the situation.

In one video I might upload, an entire camp surrounds a general's tent all yelling protests about conditions and lack of pay. When said general emerges, he's clearly drunk and unsure of what to do, then clears off. The others coming out of his tent seem drunk also.

This mobilisation is a disaster, before even getting to the rate of attrition they are suffering when they get to actually being consumed by the Ukrainian meat grinder.

At the rate they are losing tanks and vehicles, they might be needing the remaining Ladas for the front line soon

It can take only a single incident to set off a conflict, as in WW1. But that is only on the face of it. In real terms tensions can be building for years or decades and one incident can translate these tensions into physical conflict. There's no telling how the modern world will go because it is full of tensions of all kinds. They stormed the Capitol building last year. Who could have imagined this would happen? The world has become as unpredictable as the weather because there is too much energy in it.

You're asking what would be the difference between a UI and the current protestant statelet?

You're either clueless or being deliberately obtuse.

Fair few sources and Reddit posts reporting the same thing. Hundreds of Mobiks wiped out.