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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I don't think I can recall a conflict where people calling for peace has been such a red flag. As in, I haven't heard anyone Ukrainian or who supports them call for peace. How can you call for peace when you have invaders stealing your land. How can you call for peace when you know that the enemy will just use that "peace" to regroup, rebuild and wait to steal more of your territory in the future. How can you call for peace with someone who only respects strength.

    To put it in simpler terms: It's like being told that the only way to deal with a bully is to give them exactly what they want and not try to fight back against them. Oh, and if you do want to continue to fight back against them, then you are the aggressive one.

    It's gas-lighting, plain and simple.

    The main people guilty of it are tankies and hard-left types: PBP/Solidarity, Clare Daly, Mick Wallace, Thomas Pringle, Jeremy Corbyn, George Galloway, Russell Brand and anyone with "Free Assange" in their bio on twitter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    The Russian army is stuffed full of contracted soldiers who are purely fighting for the money. How much stomach would they really have for defending Kherson city if the rest of the West bank was entirely in Ukrainian hands, the supply lines from the east bank were down for heavy weaponry but they were still able to escape on foot?

    I don't think it's a ridiculous notion that the Ukrainians would prefer to allow them to escape on foot (abandoning their heavy weaponry) then have to fight them for it at huge cost to their own numbers.

    It certainly wouldn't be an act of mercy by the Ukrainians. This is a unique situation given the lack of bridges on that river. When it comes to the Donbass they really will have to fight village by village, town by town and city by city.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,726 ✭✭✭storker


    I'd imagine the concerns are:

    1. Ukrainian civilian casualties - although it could be argued that these will occur anyway
    2. Getting bogged down in a long war like Vietnam/Afghanistan, although I don't believe this would happen. The circiumstances are very different and I'd say Russian forces would fold pretty quickly if NATO really went for it.
    3. Ukraine isn't a NATO country. On the other hand it could be argued that Putin has now indirectly attacked Germany.
    4. Nukes. You can roll a pebble down a hill and maybe it will just roll down the hill or maybe it will cause a landslide, but you won't know until after you've rolled the pebble.
    Post edited by storker on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,726 ✭✭✭storker


    It would fit with the "Provide your enemy with a golden bridge" advice by Sun Tzu. Plus modern technology would allow the retreating forces to be hammered as they were crossing the golden bridge, like at the Falaise Gap in Normandy in 1944 (even if that wasn't actually the plan at the time).

    Post edited by storker on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11



    Ukrainian air defense shot down all 5 Iskander missiles launched at Dnipro city overnight

    Dundalk, Co. Louth



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,104 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If this attrition war continues as it has been, then it's going to come down to which side has the economic and political will to keep fighting. We can see on our own side that concerns over the cost of living are mounting and that could lead to pressure to relieve whatever generators of austerity can be relieved, including the idea of lifting some Russian sanctions in return for cheap gas/oil, which would in turn give Russia more revenue to continue with this dreadful war.

    On Russia's side, things are a bit more opaque because it's, well, Russia. The killing of Darya Dugina is highly suggestive that things are not at all well within Russia and there is probably widespread quiet discontent over Putin's actions within Ukraine. Given the generally paranoid nature of Russian politics, the pressure Putin is feeling has to be significant.

    Obviously, another couple of years of this is going to be good for no-one, or relatively very few. Russia needs to be driven back hard to wherefrom they came as soon as possible. They shouldn't be bled slowly to defeat, they should have their throat cut.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,736 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Yes interesting that Putin is snubbing Gorbachev funeral. What is the rational behind that? Is he afraid to make any PR mis steps?? In stable countries these things are not an issue.

    Boris Johnson Mickey D and Micheal Martin were like peas in a pod at the David Trimble funeral.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,104 ✭✭✭✭briany


    What PR misstep would there be to make in skipping Gorbachev's funeral at this point? He probably hated Gorbachev, blaming him for selling out the USSR, and I don't know if the regular Russian on the street would be worried about Putin skipping it either. Putin doesn't even have to play nice to the West anymore or even play ambivalent, so there's not even a reason to attend the funeral in order to look good that way. Plus it's one less public appearance he has to make.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,829 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    This time next year putin will be dead, this energy crisis is going to cause total chaos and recession around the world, putin will have made too many enemies, he is surrounded by thieves and criminals in a rust bucket kingdom, someone is going to put a knife in his back



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    He held him personally accountable for the break-up of the U.S.S.R., something which he famously stated was "the greatest geopolitical tragedy of the 20th century".

    Had Putin been in charge then he would have sent in the tanks and he saw Gorbachev as weak for not doing likewise. He had no respect for him and probably doesn't want to be associated with him or his legacy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,736 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    The PR mis step I was alluding to was in attending the funeral not skipping it. Skipping it is playing it safe.

    Out of respect for his former boss and a fellow elite holder of the same high office. There should be no question of it. In the vast majority of civilised countries in the world the current incumbent would show their respect very publicly for a former incumbent despite any differences. Putin and Gorbachev did not have much quarrels in their time they weren’t rivals and really belong to two different eras. Personally it would not cost him much soul searching to attend.

    But in the current febrile unstable atmosphere in Russia it looks better to the Z types for Putin to snub it. He is snubbing it to appease the lunatics. IMHO.

    Gorbachev would probably be happier he didn’t attend



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,104 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It would be great to see Putin gone in one way or another, but we can't sit back and say that's just going to happen as a matter of course.

    Putin is banking on the very chaos you're talking about, though he would obviously be hoping that it will break Western countries' desire to continue backing Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Putin hates Gorbachev for collapsing the Soviet Union.


    The ending of the Soviet Union has been described by Putin as the greatest geopolitical tragedy of the last century.


    It's why he is trying to recreate it and the Communist society he grew up in, ableit a less murderous and less aggressive version of it. That's just a reflection on how murderous Soviet Russia was, especially in Ukraine, Putin has a long way to go to meet the savagery of that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,736 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Gorbachev did send the tanks in. It didn’t work. The appetite was not there for it. The red army did not want to murder its own people on the mass scale needed to hold the Soviet Union together. Most of the red army divisions ordered to put down the break up were local to the areas they were ordered into.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,481 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Biden and the West in general are working on the assumption that Putin is 'not' going to croak it soon or be removed from power. Most of their long term strategy is based around the idea that he will still be in place in 2-3 years' time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,709 ✭✭✭Rawr


    And even if Putin was gone tomorrow, there’s no guarantee that the next fella won’t be as bad. Best to try to win the war itself than bank on Putin’s end being some kind of magic bullet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,104 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Agreed, and Russian political culture is such that even if Putin's successor weren't as bad, it would only be a matter of time until someone else came along who was. They can have their little House of Cards going on in Russia 'til the cows come home, for all I care, but their influence on the world stage must become greatly diminished or at the very least Western reliance upon them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,128 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    Has anyone seen anything factual reported about the kherson offensive?



  • Posts: 6,246 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Couldn't be ruled out,Gorbachev family might not wanted him attend .....similar vein to trump and McCain?



    However bad a look him not turning up is,it would be multiples worse,if he turned up and was turned away



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    There's a media black out currently in place,were getting a few tit bits here and there but no real detail about where and when they did or are doing something.

    Seeing drone strikes are back too .

    Very little coming from the orc's other than ukraine has suffered huge losses and the counter offensive has totally failed



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Putin also blocked a full state funeral for him too .

    To say I can't turn up because I'm too busy is a big sleight,but yet can be seen floating around Kaliningrad



  • Posts: 2,015 [Deleted User]


    Good insight to russias war propaganda and disinformation




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭EOQRTL


    There's absolutely nothing except a few gullible idiots posting Twitter propaganda.

    Hopefully some good solid Ukrainian advances over the next month or so.



  • Posts: 2,015 [Deleted User]


    Thats because Zelensky and Ukraine keeps it silent on purpose

    They didnt report anything during D day in 1944 either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Its starting to look like people are going to be found out about the lack of real knowledge about whats going on the ground in Ukraine as we speak



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,147 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    That question wasn’t meant for you sorry!!


    It was a response to a poster saying we need to negotiate with Russia to stop the war.



  • Posts: 2,015 [Deleted User]


    Exactly,because Russian propaganda and disinformation is taking advantage of it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 791 ✭✭✭foxsake


    from today bbc.com


    The economic impact of the war in Ukraine is tough on its allies, the country's first lady has told the BBC, but as Britons "count pennies", Ukrainians "count casualties".

    how dare you count the cost to your life for a war that should have nothing to do with you .

    Olena Zelenska told Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg that if support for Ukraine was strong the crisis would be shorter.

    We want more money off you and we deserves it too.

    Zelensky's are shameless in their demands of us. I kinda admire their brass bollocks.

    This whole media love in for Zelensky stinks of something else I'd guess something along lines of "10% for the big guy"

    yes, I know Putin is hitlers secret love child and all that and I should be willing to send my kids to the mines to support Zelensky's quest for whatever he is trying to achieve poking the bear next door.

    Couldn't kill my granny with covid cos that would be socially irresponsible but killing her with hypothermia for the Zelenskys - that's noble.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,609 ✭✭✭Tonesjones


    Putin , Von Der Leyen , Lagarde and Coveney all need to go imho.

    US will keep pumping in the cash until Biden is shoved out the door. China does not fear Brandon.

    Zelensky gone awol



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




This discussion has been closed.
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