Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Russia - threadbanned users in OP

1145814591461146314643690

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr



    If you buy into the EU PR of Europe being one big happy familiy committed to fairness, equality and lollipops then it's hard to fathom. If you understand France and Germanys selfish aims in cosying up to Russia as did they many times before, it makes sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,073 ✭✭✭JoChervil


    USA are not doing a charity job by sending weapons. Russia will no longer be able to compete with them in LGN gas sale. So US will earn additional billions thanks to it. Germany has no LGN terminals because they put their bets on Nord Streams, so their situation is completely different. Longer war means gains for US, while big losses for Germany.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    It's a hierarchy of competing priorities. Short-term and long-term.

    1. Short-term; do we want to give Ukraine all assistance to fight off Russia and ultimately defeat them? Yes.
    2. Long-term: do we want an angry, aggrieved nuclear-armed state on our EU borders? No

    So yes, we want to weaken Russia's ability to wage war on Ukraine in the short-term but in the long-term we want to help them become a more open, trusted partner - such that they won't menace 'us' again.

    It truly is a balancing act of incredible delicacy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    @ronivek Also I'm pretty sure when people are saying Ukraine "can win"


    That's exactly what they are saying and meaning , they are winning and will continue to win , considering they were only given 72 hours at best they are steam rolling the Russians and I believe they won't be stopping until the last Russian leaves by the kirch straight



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    And thus we see the delusion that was the Wests policy towards Russia before Vlad disabused them of such nonsense by invading Ukraine

    Obviously there's still a few stragglers who havent got the memo that jig is up on Russia as a trusted partner 😂



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Curious_Case


    Does it make any difference though? - all the raw materials that would have been used will now be available to be eaten in other forms.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,327 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    In this clusterfúck that the fúckwit putin kicked off by invading Ukraine; the Ukrainians lose, even if(and it looks more and more like when) they win, thousands of their men women and kids are dead, millions have left the country, a generation scarred, a lot of their infrastructure is shot to hell, a number of their cities destroyed, their already tiny economy fúcked.

    Russia has lost. Their economy is in freefall, sanctions are a long way away from being lifted. Their international commercial and political reputation shot, never mind their military rep. Never mind their own men lying dead in foreign fields and their brain drain has accelerated and so has their demographic time bomb.

    The EU are losing too. Energy prices up, a looming food shortage, inflation and likely a recession on the back of this and the Woo Flu and the costs of more refugees on top of the previous refugee crisis that hasn't gone away. Plus the infighting among some EU members isn't helping.

    Further afield those poorer nations relying on wheat from Ukraine are likely to be hit badly. Much of the Middle East wlll think are we invisible here, most of Africa being quite sure they are, while China stands to the side, as usual, looking at their own woes that could blow up in their face.

    The only winner in this is pretty much the US, or those in the US who will profit from this in one way or another. They get a weakened Russia that's getting weaker by the day. Result. Increased influence in Ukraine as that lend lease isn't charity, nor are the weapons. Result. Any chance of a mashup of the EU and Russia which they really didn't want to happen since the 1990's, as the EU and Russia would be an economic and political force to reckon with, all now a distant memory. Result. The British or again those Britons in the position to make hay with this, will have a bit of a win too. As US lapdogs post their empire falling, they'll get a pat on the back and soon enough it'll be business as usual in the City of London.

    Putin, you utter fúcking moron. You've screwed Russia, screwed Ukraine, screwed Europe and increased NATO and US influence with bugger all cost for them. Well done moron.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,029 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Posts: 25,917 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Seeing how the Europeans are still, still trying for normalcy and "stability" I'm glad the yanks have stuck their oar in. Will they make money back out of what they're sending? Yeah, sure. Is it the right thing to do since most of the local powers are rolling the clocks back 80 years and being little bitches and pleading for calm so Russia can take what they want? Again, I'll go with yes, and I'm glad they're doing it.

    Taking your 2nd point word-by-word...

    Angry? Nothing anyone can do about that short of bending over, they're always angry. After 20 years of the kid-glove treatment they're still angry. It doesn't work.

    Aggrieved? Sure this is why they invaded, they're aggrieved about reality. Again, other than everyone bending over and lubing up there's not much to be done.

    Nuclear-armed? Not much can be done about that either.

    The nicely-nicely approach hasn't worked so eh, maybe we need to be even nicer?



  • Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Sweden said they would apply if Finland did,and Finland applied yesterday.

    Only thing that can stop them now is the voting in NATO,hopefully that turns out well



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,833 ✭✭✭✭Grayson


    I've said it before but I don't want to see them humiliated. I understand where it comes from but i think it's wrong. A complete collapse of a nuclear power could be horrific. No-one knows what could happen. And a humiliated country with nukes? Sure the chance they use them might be slim, but that's not a gamble I want to make.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Look, I hear you.

    But (and this might be hard to fathom from where we are right now), we can always make choices that don't make a future confrontation even worse. Or, ideally, avoid that future confrontation entirely.



  • Posts: 25,917 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Except that the last 20 years of letting them do what they like has led to this confrontation. Poisoning Litvinenko? Ah shure.Georgia? Ah shure. Crimea? Ah shure. Donbas? Ah shure. Poisoning the Skripals? Ah shure.

    If the Russians want to run a criminal state that's their business. The West tried the hands-off approach, treating them like a normal country with normal relations and it didn't work. Maybe all the Russians' "hardman" talk betrays what they really want and need, to be put in their place?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Not clear what 'put Russia in its place means' though.


    What are you suggesting - Iraq style invasion and regime change? Which is impossible for very obvious reasons so I imagine you're not.


    Or something along the lines of 'sanction them to death'? Or something else?



  • Posts: 25,917 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    They need to be faced down. There are quotes from 15 years ago (and many more more recently and often) from insiders that Putin will keep pushing and pushing til he's stopped. Even without those quotes it's pretty obvious from his actions that it's true. The big EU players seem to want to play things down and follow the playbook as much as possible, they're dying to get back to normal.

    They'll be "humiliated" and "angry" no matter what, if that's what they choose. As a few of us have been saying they could have pulled out after 2 weeks with most of the Donbas semi-secured and claimed victory. They've decided not to. So they're happy to continue to inflict misery and death on 10s and 10s of thousands of people for no reason, just because they can.

    The next confrontation, whenever it comes, will be in roughly the same place. Certain European countries want to keep playing like they have for the last 20 years and let on like it'll turn out differently. The Scandinavians are showing both self-interest and some morality by joining NATO. The Baltics have been sounding the alarm all along. I'm going to listen to them over Macron who's busy making memes or Scholz who'd probably stop on the street to pick up a 1c coin.

    The best (for the world aggregately) semi-realistic outcome is when Putin goes he's replaced some cadre of oligarchs who are happy to just rape and pillage within Russia's borders. Otherwise a pause now will just be a chance for Russia to build up militarily and of course it would only take one or two appointments in the right place to change their tactics from human wave attacks.

    Post edited by Ten of Swords on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,728 ✭✭✭storker


    Putin already has an off-ramp to avoid humiliation - he can pull out of Ukraine and declare that his "Special Punishment Operation" was a howling success and he'll have a number of ruined Ukrainian cities to prove it. All his dead Einstazgruppski members can be proclaimed Heroes of the Motherland with gongs all round. His media lapdogs will parrot this round the clock, and most Russians will be happy to believe it and the ones who don't will keep their mouths shut because they know what's good for them.

    Alternatively, he may be allowed to keep some of his territorial gains and...goto paragraph 1.

    If he wants more than that then we're looking at a real victory for him and then the west is in full-on Chamberlain mode if it grants it: give him what he wants and hope he goes away. But history has taught us that those types never do go away. At some point a halt must be called. If not, the west might as well disband every army and destroy every weapon it has, because Putin will just need to say "nuke" and everyone will roll over.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I mentioned it earlier and I'm not sure about it. I also think that if they got that far, and tried that, Russia might mobilise it's full army since in Russian eyes, Crimea is part of Russia.

    By the time that happens a full army may be down to 50% of a crap army. Russia has made some very impressive threats during this but has also shown it cannot back any of it up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,418 ✭✭✭Field east


    I’ say u know bloooody well what it means. It is up to the Russians -its leadership - to work on it and to ‘cut its cloth according to its measure’ Russia should not try to be something its not, drop the idea that it is constantly being attacked/ countries constantly planning to attack it, etc, etc,etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,514 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    But it is impossible for them to become an open and trusted partner under Putin. He and the regime have burned all their bridges with Europe - he launched all out war on a neutral and peaceful European country without any warning or provocation and the war is still underway months later.



  • Posts: 9,117 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I see Wibbs above mentioning the sanctions continuing for quite some time - and it’s kind of what I’d like to see too but yes you’re right to say a crumbling Russia is a dangerous Russia - I guess it all depends on who Putins successor will be and how the approach the west and that’s not looking too good - Nikolai Patrushev seems to be favourite right now but there’s a few others of similar Ilk there with him - we can’t trust Russia for a very long time to come, and that in itself is a very worrying thing



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,029 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    So Oryx is the guy (the team) who independently count battlefield equipment losses via visual confirmation only (photo/video). A new captured Russian document details their actual losses during a specific time period. The comparison from this information shows Oryx appears to cover around 77% to 82% of total Russian losses.

    TLDR to get a decent idea of minimum Russian losses, take Oryx's totals and add around 25%.

    Disclaimer: this is based on one piece of Ru info and may not be indicative of all losses, etc.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Well, it looks as though Death the Leveller will take care of Vlad in relatively short order.

    And then...we have the same problem, under new management.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,029 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    As somebody or other once said: "trust - but verify".

    What is really needed is both mutual incentives (to abide by good behaviour, as we in the West generally do). The success of those incentives will eventually engender mutual trust.

    Nobody in 1945 could ever have envisaged that, in the blink of a historical eye, Germany and Japan could become bulwarks of the international order.



  • Posts: 7,946 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,327 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The American leadership are warmongering twats. The actual facts back this up. They've been pummeling into dust and bone little brown people since the 90's and well before that and lying like bastards for the "reasons", when the real reasons were oil, money and geopolitics. The 20th century history of many South American nations has been built on the bloodied corpses of thousands upon thousands of their citizens with American support for vicious dictatorships throughout, and of course the bloody Russkis arming whatever other side there was. Post war Iran. Paraguay. INdochina which turned into the clusterfúck that was Vietnam. Suez. Malysia. Yeman. Korea. Congo. Cambodia. Lebanon. Kenya. And there's more, some more than once and some are still not sorted. Proxy war pricks the pair of them that have killed millions. And this will turn out to be another one. It already is.

    This has been going on since the fall of the European empires and the end of WW2. The Russians carved up the east of Europe with their more obvious inlfuence, the Americans did similar in the West of Europe, though less directly obvious, and of course it should be even more obvious which "side" was the better to live under. That said the Americans were very quick to rehabilitate Germany when it suited, because now it was "theirs" and their bulwark against the commies. They were all too happy to pick the brains of previously committed nazis so long as it suited America's ends. The Russians for all their sins, and there were and are many, at least shot the bastards or threw them into gulags.

    I would prefer for both the Russians and the Americans to fúck off out of Europe as far as direct influence and Europe ramp up our own defence and wider geopolitics.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Posts: 7,946 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    What you forget here is that both Germany and Japan were utterly defeated (humiliated) - they had to have a real good talk to themselves to see where they went wrong. It was a sea change. From what I've read of what you have said you're not advocating this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,509 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Screenshot_20220516-112228_Chrome.jpg

    Not sure if this was shown here or not. But been following this guy's account. Absolutely brilliant stuff.

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Curious_Case


    I think so too.

    The only thing a chain swinging, bandana wearing, punk such as Putin understands, is the Crocodile Dundee approach.

    Dem be metaphors, folks. No need to inform me that Putin doesn't wear a bandana, etc.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Nobody would advocate trying to inflict total defeat on Russia, for the small detail that this would literally mean the end of all life on the planet.



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement