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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Yes, how on earth does Russia recover from this calamity? Even if there was a peace agreement next week, nobody would want to do business with them again. No tourist would want to visit the country. Their brand is utterly toxic now.



  • Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I don't agree with joining NATO, but being a member of it does not mean that we would have been involved in the U.S. lead invasion of Afghanistan. Nothing even close to the majority of NATO members provided troops for the 2001 invasion. The same would be the case for any future military action undertaken by a Nato member, other members are not required to join in any such action.

    More countries including Ireland had military personnel involved in the U.N. established International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan from late 2001 to 2014 than those involved in the initial invasion.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭jmreire


    If they ( the EU/ World) did not give damn about the Ukraine before Putin invaded, they as sure as hell do now. Because this is far from just a "situation" between Russia and Ukraine, it concerns all of the European Country's, and much of the rest of the World as well. Just have a look at the world wide reaction. Its pretty safe thing to say that Putin's invasion will change the whole world. It will never be the same again, when the dust settles, it will be on a completely changed landscape.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,919 ✭✭✭ronivek


    Utterly toxic to the West at any rate. Not really sure what way things could go between Russia and India/China/Brazil/etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,895 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Well of course it's not acceptable but unfortunately we have to deal with the realities on the ground. Putin may be looking for an 'off ramp' that involves granting him a few token concessions so he can tell his people the invasion wasn't a total flop. One of those concessions may invole Ukraine ruling out joining NATO for the foreseeable but gaining instead some form of security guarantee that means much the same in practice.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,062 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I think it would be a similar situation to Iran, regarding tourism, in the sense that the average person is probably friendly enough when treated in a friendly way, but you'd be pretty nervous dealing with the authorities in case they decide to detain you for some arbitrary reason. Therefore, yeah, I would expect tourism to Russia from the West to drop off fairly precipitously for the next few years at least.

    Russia is looking to form stronger bonds to its east. I mean, I don't doubt that China/India and Russia can do business, but it has to be a surface-level partnership at the end of the day. The countries would share little to no cultural similarity. I have this mental image of Russians packing into the cinema on a Friday night to watch the latest Neeraj Pandey blockbuster and having to grit their teeth like they're getting as much out of it as they would the latest Mission Impossible. Maybe the Russians would crowd around the TV with snacks of an evening to watch Chinese ping-pong. Or maybe not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,818 ✭✭✭threeball


    Yes but there's a chance you get drawn into something you shouldn't. The EU countries I mentioned are not hawkish countries so there's practically no chance of getting involved in something you shouldn't perhaps through just feeling pressured or obliged to do so.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Double post... erm.... Nice weather we're having lately... looks like its going to break... coming over from Russia... typical!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    @briany - Maybe the Russians would crowd around the TV with snacks of an evening to watch Chinese ping-pong.


    After they've eaten their cabbage soup.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    EU army yes. NATO army no. Can't see British troops stationed in ROI any time soon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,931 ✭✭✭PrzemoF


    Brand might ve toxic but business don't do moral decisions. The companies linkend with names like Coke, McDonalds, Adidas wouldn't be quickly coming back but I bet a subsidiaries registered in Kayman Islands of all companies that are not facing the average Joe on social networks would be back in Russia as soon as they could make money there. Russia has tons of different raw materials and trading bans can be worked around using China, Israel or other countries that are not in the hard line trade ban group. Since 2014 at least 10 EU countries suplied banned goods to Russia. Toxic customer brand just makes the stuff more expensive. And nobody asks a Bosch CEO is they supplied electronic parts to Russian transporters. The CEO is asked for business results.



  • Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Actually there isn't a chance of getting dragged into something you shouldn't, no more than there is by us providing military personnel for U.N. missions.

    Hence why suggestions by some posters on here that Poland should get directly involved militarily with the Ukraine by sending in troops etc as it means that all the other members of NATO would have to assist are wrong. If Poland did decide to do so no other NATO countries are required to come to their defence under the articles of NATO if Russia then attacked Poland.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11


    the Uk might object to their neighbour and former colony joining the EU army, they might invade and split the country like north and south Korea...oh wait

    Dundalk, Co. Louth



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,214 ✭✭✭wylo


    Us boosting our conventional defense would be an utter waste of time imo and just a reactionary decision. We are too small so at best if we were invaded all out and received no assistance from US or UK then a good defense would probably buy us a few weeks at most. We may as get real and acknowledge our tiny size and take advantage of the fact it would be futile. It would be like giving a 8 year old child the best self defense classes available to someone that age in case they get mugged.

    Perhaps we should invest in guerrilla warfare training. Peacekeeping yes (as a way of doing our bit) but conventional warfare no. Either way if ireland is invaded we will either need USA or UK or EU to assist or we will have to let ourselves be occupied without a fight and start a guerrilla war.

    As for our neutrality I think it’s absolute bull at this stage, we aren’t neutral and never have been, we might have slightly appeared neutral during WW2 but even that wasn’t the case then.

    Allowing US planes into Shannon coming to and from Iraq was the nail in the coffin as far as I’m concerned as far as neutrality is concerned.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,337 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I think even greedy/shortsighted companies do have some memory for the pain suffered when they get beaten up and robbed of their property. Russia seems to be gearing up for that (e.g. they have already taken all the leased Western civilian aircraft that were on their territory when war started and sanctions came in).

    I think there could be an escalating situation for the companies that try and carry on, caught between Western govt.'s bringing in more sanctions which will force them to exit Russia in the end (a slower process...), and Russia's crooked system which can be "fixed" by decree of Putin (can happen almost overnight!) so their assets are expropriated and gifted to a crony of the regime.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,497 ✭✭✭AyeGer


    Lets hope so, it would be great to see Putin humiliated and hopefully thrown in jail or done away with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,734 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    I don’t agree with this. Naval invasions are incredibly difficult. The D day invasion took 4 years to plan by two of the biggest army’s in the world at the time and the German defences in Normandy were thin on the ground with their forces spread over two other major active fronts in the East and in Italy. We could be a very difficult country to invade. The entire western sea board would be a nightmare to land for any invading army. The wild Atlantic coast is a powerful natural defence. A few concentrated defence installations and a decent well funded defence force on the more favourable landing points on the south and east coasts and no one would bother invading us. Look at Odessa and the hesitancy the Russians have about landing there. Unfortunately since February the world of hard power has reared its ugly head. We are well adept at soft power. A small concentrated investment in hard power would do this country no harm at all. If we just give up and say there is no point then we are leaving ourselves wide open. It might seem pointless but the world has changed over the last month and being a helpless weakling depending on others is no longer acceptable .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,919 ✭✭✭ronivek


    no other NATO countries are required to come to their defence...

    I suspect that's incorrect. Any attack on Polish forces in Poland or attacks on Polish territory would trigger Article 5.

    Polish troops in Ukraine who were attacked may not trigger Article 5; but as far as I can tell NATO can interpret the treaty in any number of ways and there isn't really a whole lot anyone else can do about it. They can also take actions outside of Article 5.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    British troops have no permanent bases in NATO Europe (except in Cyprus, which is not NATO) - only an extremely small contingent in Germany (less than 200 after the post-WW2 mission was scrapped).

    British troops would be stationed in Ireland no more than there are no Turkish troops stationed in Greece.

    Should we join NATO, we may see a small US detachment based in Ireland, but that's likely it.

    *Not a mega strong NATO membership proponent, I favour strengthening defence capacity and spending generally, but believe NATO membership should never be taken off the table via referendum as some of the fringe left suggest.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,309 ✭✭✭✭wotzgoingon


    I agree. Russia is not coming for us. The only way will will be bombed would be if the pilot thought Ireland was England like some German pilots did in WW2 but I doubt that would happen these days with GPS and what not. The only country we have to watch out for is UK them scumbag still haven't giving us back our occupied six counties.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Their reputation wasn’t exactly great before this invasion but it will be absolutely in the toilet at this stage.

    A lot of companies will be completely unwilling (and even without sanctions unable) to take the kinds of risks presented by the Russian market now. So you can expect no FDI, even businesses from countries that aren’t sanctioning them are going to be extremely nervous of being caught up in some mess like having assets seized.

    There are also likely now complications where companies exporting technologies that are dependent on Western software, hardware, components, banking services, IT services etc are all likely to be hugely problematic. Major insurers also wouldn’t touch you. If you’re a consumer focused company, or a big brand or even a business to business supplier, you could well also be boycotted by your customers and land in extremely negative PR and reputation all damage.

    You’ve also got a likelihood of opening a company to sanctions by the US, EU and others, and Russia is a relatively unattractive market to begin with and its spending power is shrinking dramatically and you’d have to be paid in Rouble, so yeah … I can’t see companies being very enthusiastic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,553 ✭✭✭lmimmfn


    Nevermind, didn't realise this site is complete **** on mobile and replies don't function correctly.

    Ignoring idiots who comment "far right" because they don't even know what it means



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy



    The German Govt have put up more of a fight for Putin than most of the Russian army.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Well I am not suggesting that we join but I wouldn't take it for granted that Russia would never target Ireland to send a message.

    A Western European country with effectively no ability to fight back, but also no trigger of a NATO response.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭MyStubbleItches


    ‘We can’t house our own’


    at the risk of derailing the thread, get the fück out with that shitè. The ‘housing crisis’ was caused by a stroke of a do-gooding pen which made every Jamella in the country pack her bags in her mams council house and declare herself homeless in order to get her own free forever house. A fücking shambles that Johnny taxpayer gets screwed for again.


    we should join nato, if they’ll have us. It’s wrong just to sit back and let uk/USA defend us because they have to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,916 ✭✭✭eire4


    For me I would like to see us become a full participant in the likely future EU defense forces and we can look at whether NATO makes sense down the road after we have been a full partner in the EU defense force for a time. Being part of the EU is where we are and where our future lies.

    Sure we are a tiny country and nobody is suggesting suddenly we are supposed to be some serious military force. But what we can do is look for a niche where we can provide a high level of contribution and skill. Given we are an island national maybe an increased naval capability would be the way to go. We used to spend about 1.5% of our gdp as recently as the early 1980's so certainly there is scope for us to build up to that level again from the paltry 0.3% we were at in 2020.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I was in favour of eu defence v nato but seeing how appallingly the Germans have been about this.....I'm leaning towards nato.

    Regardless we should strengthen our defences and decide if we join anyone or stand alone. At a minimum we need to be able to deter Russia from deciding the undefended island between the USA and the EU would be a good place to set up.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,500 ✭✭✭circadian


    This looks like it'll cause a strain in EU relations considering the German's approach compared to many others in the bloc. I don't think it'll collapse or anything drastic like that but I wonder if there will be an attempt to reduce Germany's political power within the EU.



This discussion has been closed.
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