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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Yes but that should be the sort of threat that comes as last resort. By throwing it into the ring early on, Putin has shot his bolt a bit. You can make it once and people sit up, take notice and go high alert.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,567 ✭✭✭XsApollo


    That will be all well and good if Ukraine accepts, even if they do, sanctions should not be rolled back till Putin has been tried or dead.

    I haven’t seen anywhere that sanctions would be rolled back if Russia abandoned Ukraine but hopefully that won’t be the case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Fair points, I would also add it is easy for him to have an opinion and we have no way of testing it. If NATO had not expanded we might well be looking at a situation where Russia had already taken over the baltics and other areas. It isn't like we can run a controlled experiment to test his theory.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 24,432 CMod ✭✭✭✭Ten of Swords


    @Black Noel do not post in this thread again



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,313 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Their lifeless riddle corpses in their still smouldering car kinda gave the game away. Clearly BBC CGI.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Yes, you are probably right, which would also explain why they don't take everything they capture,,,,most they just destroy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,073 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    They are big losses but they are not game changing ones. And this 5% is just the equipment they have brought in, not the equipment that they have at their disposal. The tide hasn't turned.

    We need to be realistic here, as horrific as the Russians have been here, they are holding back force and still gaining ground. I still maintain, though valiant the Ukrainian effort has been, the country will fall in the next two weeks.

    No pleasure in saying that, but it remains the likely outcome here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    That would work very well too!!!. In Afghanistan the present day, the landscape is littered with the rusting hulks of Russian tanks and A/V's, so they would make great long lasting road blocks. None of your cheap rusting Daihatsu rubbish; LOL.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,358 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    Yes. That is why we see Russia have drafted in a world war 2 train into the situation and other trains carrying 1950s and 1960s equipment from eastern Russia across the the western front. Coupled with Russian troops being transported in actual bin lorries....


    Yet they are 'holding back' equipment. It's utter nonsense. They're holding back nothing. Their military might has been exposed for the disease ridden corruption that has left the military thread bare. Whether it's maintenance or tyres or fuel. It all seems to have had a price and many many people are taking a cut. Snip snip left right and center.


    Russian might appears to only exist in the dreams of random Twitter accounts and useful fools who follow them on here.



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Food situation worse again today. Indonesia now curbing palm oil exports.

    A global food crisis sparked by Russia's invasion of Ukraine escalated today as Indonesia tightened curbs on palm oil exports. The move added to a growing list of key producing countries seeking to keep vital food supplies within their borders. The conflict in Ukraine is threatening global grain production, the supply of edible oils and fertiliser exports, sending basic commodity prices rocketing and mirroring the crisis in energy markets.

    Palm oil is the world's most widely used vegetable oil and is used in the manufacture of many products including biscuits, margarine, laundry detergents and chocolate. Palm oil prices have risen by more than 50% this year. Indonesia's Trade Minister Muhammad Lufti said the export curbs aimed to ensure that cooking oil prices at home remain affordable to consumers.




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭Bigmac1euro




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 111 ✭✭Botrys



    and when the Ukrainians looked for west protection we should've have made it unequivocally clear from the very beginning that we cannot help them and encouraged them to find terms with the russians. Because truly we cannot help them and we're not helping them...


    I sympathize with the Ukrainians and the just cause they're fighting for,

    we can help where we can, but i'm not ready to shoot myself in the foot over it.


    On the contrary, we contributed setting up this quagmire and dragged the russians into it, at the same time we also so stupidly dragged ourselves into it with massive media investment and sanctions that are backfiring on us. It's like the plan from the very beginning was to put the russians and the europeans at each other throats and stop russian gas pumping into europe.

    I agree with Mearsheimer that the US played a major role in how the events unfolded in Ukraine,

    Unfortunately our politicians in the EU seem to be dedicated to execute the US policy in the region not caring about our core EU strategic and economical interests.

    Right now in EU, a politician could lose elections over his stance from Ukraine, that's how moronic this whole thing has become.


    perhaps things aren't really as black and white as you think they are.

    I'm sorry, i really do care about the EU, but i find it very hard to trust american foreign policy after how many events they were involved in unfolded around the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,728 ✭✭✭✭josip


    What anti-Putin messages did he tweet?

    He said in this interview he didn't want to say anything due to his family in Russia

    I am contacted by journalists now who want me to make statements. I feel very uncomfortable about this and also think that it can affect my family in Russia.

    and the statements he is making are the usual "both sides" kind of cop outs.

    ‘I still believe Russian culture and music specifically should not be tarnished by the ongoing tragedy,’ he wrote. ‘People cannot be judged by their nationality.’


    ‘hatred going in all directions, in Russia and around the world.’




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 894 ✭✭✭Bayonet


    "the truth is that every Russian will feel guilty for decades because of the terrible and bloody decision that none of us could influence and predict."

    One of his facebook posts. Again, expecting these people to come out and say "Putin is a scumbag killer" while they live and have family in Russia, is completely unfair.

    Telling Russians they can't share their culture because a dictator decided to start a war, is crossing red lines in my opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    I hope they are not put under pressure or made to feel like they have to take it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,380 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    Pretty horrific, bizarre angle for someone to go with...


    plus I have seen the CGI in doctor who they aren't that good at it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,112 ✭✭✭wassie


    China won't be supporting Russia unless it serves Chinese interests to do so. And the Chinese have long memories. Russia are going to simply go from being economically beholden to the west to potentially being beholden to the east.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,728 ✭✭✭✭josip


    I think we can see in Ukraine what Russian culture really is. And I'd prefer if they kept it within their own borders.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,366 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,313 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The problems for Russia don't stop at 5%. Their mobilisation and logistics strategies were and are based on defending Russia, not prosecuting wars beyond their borders(unlike the USA). They rely on Russia's huge rail network which the state owns to move men and material(this is very old style, Germany did similar in WW2). Which is fine, even very effective within Russia or vassal states like Belarus, but they run into major supply problems beyond that network, as we've seen in Ukraine. That's why they have that huge road convoy seemingly stuck and very vulnerable and why we've seen looting by Russian troops and vehicles waiting for fuel(the humble jerrycan was one of the most important 'weapons' in WW2). Firepower win battles, supply lines win wars. They have the former, but they can't effectively get it to the front because of a lack of the latter.

    And when they get into the cities proper it could be one helluva slog if the defenders are dug in and highly motivated. Consider the fall of Berlin in 1945. The city was a flattened wreck, the Germans were a spent force of around forty odd thousand, with about the same in kids and elderly and police etc making up the defence, facing over two million Soviets encircling the city with artillery, tanks and complete control of the air. It took them two weeks to take it and if Hitler hadn't done the decent thing and put a bullet in his head and the Germans hadn't surrendered it might have lasted another week until the bitter end. I hope it doesn't come to this and some sort of peace is agreed upon, but the defenders of Kyiv could make it a hell on earth for the invading Russians.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,073 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    Holding back force, I said. They could pound absolutely everything that they come across, and not to minimise the devastation they've caused, they haven't flattened any city - yet. Although I do fear they will.

    The Russian army numbers over a million men of which maybe 15-20% has been deployed for this conflict. It could double it's deployed force without leaving gaps elsewhere but it hasn't. They are not at the stage of throwing the kitchen sink at this yet. The Russian army is nowhere near as strong as many feared it was, but it's not as incompetent and terrible as many are trying to paint it either.

    While the operation so far has had major failures, the facts remain that overall the Russians are holding the gains in territory, they are amassing yet unused force and encircling Ukrainian positions. I just cannot see them being pushed out any time soon.



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It has decided to travel East, it seems. And Russia for all its resources would always be beholden to someone, somewhere if it wants to have any international trade & relations at all.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Greenwald was right once and people seem to believe this means he is infallible.

    The reality is he is either 1. in the pocket of Putin or some associate, 2. in the process of going full Gemma, or 3. Both



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,567 ✭✭✭rogber


    I agree with you but I fear a rolling back of the more extreme sanctions will be part of any compromise deal. If the West has to choose between principles and the economy in the long term, it will as always choose the economy. It's already doing so with oil.

    But if that saves the prolongation of all the suffering then maybe it's the lesser of two evils



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    I’ve watched half it so far and it’s fascinating and depressing at the same time.

    A very good question posed, if Ukraine continues to repel the attack what exactly do people think is going to happen? Do they think Putin will just hold his hands up and walk away?

    He could end up pummelling Ukraine Into the ground with more destructive weapons if things aren’t going Russias way, is that good for Ukraine?. It’s all good and well the west cheering on and arming the Ukrainians but it’s their country and people who are the victims in all this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    The Russian military is huge in comparison to Ukraine (in terms of armor, vehicles, aircraft, equipment)

    Keep in mind the 5% is a bit of an old figure, current estimates are that it's about 8% to 10% of Russian equipment destroyed/inoperable of those forces designated for this war.

    Looking at this in terms of e.g. tanks, the Russian military's total is believed to be approx 2,800. There is visual evidence that a minimum of 150 of these are destroyed/captured in Ukraine. That's more than 5% of Russia's entire total of tanks, in 2 weeks.

    Also keep in mind that the Ukrainians are fighting in home territory, the Russians are fighting in another country, they are taking heavy attrition from this, tyres on vehicles are falling to pieces, there are a lot of breakdowns, 150,000+ Russian soldiers require 3 square meals a day in foreign territory, each mobile piece of armor requires fuel and repairs, and all these supply lines are vulnerable to Ukrainian infantry who, combined with reservists, grossly outnumber the Russians in terms of manpower. Add to that their much higher morale and resolve to fight and a vast amount of anti-armor and anti-air infantry weapons flooding into the country

    Russia's air-force is massively larger than Ukraine's, but they don't have air superiority, in fact, much of Ukraine's air force is intact.

    Of course, something dramatic could happen in the next 2 weeks, some shocking tactic, a strike on Zelensky, a dramatically successful move on Kyiv - but barring all that, from what I am reading, the Russians (at current pace) aren't expected to make much progress. Some are speculating that as time goes on, the Ukrainians could even start making progress.

    Of course I could be completely wrong here, but that's how I am reading it at present.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,366 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭Ninthlife


    Probably already posted but with this and Palm Oil exports being reduced there will be a sharp increase/shortage on products. Ireland imports 60% of its grain.

    May be some hard times ahead



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It shouldn't be - offered does not imply coercion and we are winding down our programme.



This discussion has been closed.
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