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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,346 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Well, the the Ukrainians will answer the call to arms, just a question of getting enough arms for all of them, and that's literally a work in progress. Extended supply likes? If the US get involved, you can be sure that the EU will also be involved, so plenty of bases nearby to resupply from, not to mention that they will have access to Ukraine itself. In any case, distance has never been a major problem for the US,,,anywhere in the world. I guess you have never seen the US military Logistics in action? Then the jibe about pronouns,,,,Bullshit. I've seen them up close and personal in action, and its not their pronouns the enemy will be worried about. Don't read too much into Russian propaganda. A pound to a penny, the US military have now ( and for quite awhile, years in fact ) planning in place for just such a scenario as is developing ( and lot of other scenarios too, world wide )



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    The Ukrainian army will roll over. They are just guys looking for a steady salary. A large chunk of the army would be ethnic Russians too and will flip sides, no problem. It happened in Crimea, where large chunks of their armed forces just defected, and the rest of the units just said "fupp that" I ain't fighting, we don't have a chance.


    Of course there will be Ukrainian patriots that will fight to the death but they are so small in numbers on the grand scale of things



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They didn't roll over last time when Russia invaded and tried in vein to sieze more land and ports .

    The Ukrainians are better trained , equipped and paid than previously and the minor issue of they hate russians



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,700 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    There's a massive difference between Crimea/Lukhansk/Donetsk and west of the Dnieper river in Ukraine. The Ukrainian army certainly can't compete with the Russians but at a minimum they can make life extremely difficult for them especially using guerrilla tactics if Russia tries to hold territory there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,262 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Spain sending a warship to the blacksea, Brits sending new gen anti tank equipment, Canada also sending a warship.

    Be interesting to see if the US, Italian and Turkish forces in exercise in the Med might be making a course change.

    Fcuk Putin. Glory to Ukraine!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The Montreux Convention restricts non-Black Sea states to a certain tonnage in the sea at any one time, but NATO states exercise right of passage regularly and coordinate that there are Treaty states present pretty much year-round. So while it could be interpreted as a move on the chessboard, it was likely planned for some time.

    The convention is a source of contention for Turkey as they believe it has led to the Black Sea to being turned into a glorified Russian lake.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    Russia won't go beyond the Dnieper River. They basically just want Luhansk, Donbass and maybe Kharkov. The areas of Ukraine with strong Russian ties.

    They most certainly won't be trying to take a city like Kiev. The Easy oblasts in East that have large ethnic russian influence



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The size of the Force they are amassing suggest they're planning to go big,

    I'm still think they will take everything on the black sea as far as Moldova this then gives them the ability to claim the blacksea and expel nato and stop Ukraine from having ports of any kind



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The US state Department gave the go ahead to lativa , Estonia and Lithuania to transfer US weapons to Ukraine , including artillery , javelin anti tank missiles and stringer anti aircraft missiles ,

    The last time Russia went against forces with stingers missles they lost over 300 aircraft in Afghanistan.



  • Registered Users Posts: 777 ✭✭✭Glenomra


    What concerns me is all the US talk about crippling the Russian economy etc. Sounds ominous but surely that only provokes Russia to keep escalating the conflict, knowing that if it threatens to spiral into all out war, NATO will have no choice but to compromise. Otherwise not just Russia but all of Europe is crippled, with millions of refugees and devastating effects on stock markets etc. I genuinely can't see NATO, regardless of how many casualties Russia suffers in Ukraine coming out ahead here. Who has the most to lose? It's the super wealthy western countries imo.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,455 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    He has a 900k men soldier and 2 million reserves. Of that 900k about a third are conscripts..


    Where else is he going to go and if where else could he hold?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,466 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    They're sending a few ships, but what use are they considering they will merely be observers to the conflict?

    It's too little, too late on the anti-tank armaments too. Not enough time to train troops and allocate the weapons. They'll probably end up being captured by Russian military forces, and they will make a big song and dance after having done so too just to rub salt into the wound.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,455 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    I think so as well, the Ukraine has 40million in it, that's a big country and holding it would be very difficult.


    The Dnieper is a natural border for them, takes the best of the land, makes the rest of the Ukraine unviable.

    They make also take the land and connect up with Trans Dniester holding.

    Who knows though, who ever thought we'd be dealing with a pandemic and looking at the possibility of a large scale war in Europe again.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Russia needs the eu ,non cooperating eu stops buying oil and gas from Russia or heavily reduced purchases badly effects Russia who's economy is heavily dependant on money from Europe ,this build up of forces is already costing putin a fortune,any conflict will see the Russian economy completely collapse ,and those with wealth will be quick enough shift it to safer countries , just as Europe is dependent on Russian energy supplies but not solely dependant on Russia ,

    The question will be where is the line that cannot be crossed , putin takes Ukraine he will want other Sovereign states back too ,if he's not stopped before getting into ukraine we could be looking at several years of conflict in Europe



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They have already been arriving regularly into ukraine , most antitank missiles don't need a lot of training to use effectively ,at this stage they are nearly point , lock and shoot ,drop and walk or run away pretty much like a law or rpg kids can pick them up,

    and Ukrainian forces have been receiving training from nato forces for the last 7 years



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    No one is mentioning the thousands of nuclear weapons on both sides that are on hair trigger alert. Politicians have been known to miscalculate and things have a way of getting out of control. These must be jumpy times for the people in the nuclear silos, watching the radar screens. I hope no one leaves a simulation running, or misidentifies a flock of birds, a satellite launch, or a passenger plane for a warhead. All of these things have happened in the past.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Ukraine vs Russia

    Ukraine Out numbered and out gunned but yet they held off Russian forces for over 7 years ,and they have massively reorganized , equipped and trained better year on year



  • Registered Users Posts: 34,601 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    The way I always looked at these events and the nuclear threat is this - If nobody launched a nuclear weapon during the height of the Cold War with the amount of opportunities each side had (and believe me, there were lots), then we've nothing to worry about in situations such as this.

    Russia literally had an alert in 1983 that five ICBMs were on their way from the US and they didn't strike back for fear of what might happen.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alarm_incident



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,800 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Again, all of this just seems to be based on the fact that the Kremlin does not want Ukraine to join NATO. Really doesn't want it. From that perspective all this brinksmanship makes sense. It's pretty inevitable that Ukraine will join NATO, so Putin has decided that if he creates an absolute shitstorm out of this, rattles markets, brings the whole thing to the very edge, it's the only way they will get the US/West/NATO to rethink granting Ukraine membership. He has to make the whole thing so unpalatable.

    In terms of something actually happening, perhaps a minor incursion could be on the cards to test Western resolve and European solidarity, but personally, I very much doubt Putin actually plans to literally invade Ukraine. It makes no sense from a Russian perspective, they get screwed economically, they become a global pariah (worse than they already are), they lose the European gas market (they aren't doing enough new business in China to replace it), they'd have casualties, could lead to all sorts of global complications. They'd lose so much and gain so little.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The problem can only get worse ,the only two options are placate him and let him invade Ukraine and force it back into Russia , then Georgia , Moldova and the other Baltic states , where does it end ?

    Option B - kick Russia out of the swift banking system ,and engage in military action if Russia moves more men and equipment into ukraine ,

    Nato should take over the security of Ukraines borders and skies ,

    Let the people who keep putin in power that they have more to loose if they don't get Putin to change course on Ukraine



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,620 ✭✭✭AllGunsBlazing


    The Russian lads must be freezing their bollix off waiting for Vlad to make up his mind.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I view it differently. If the possibility of a nuclear launch — either on purpose or, most likely, by misunderstanding — is just 1% per year, it is likely that a launch will occur within a hundred years. The first nuclear bomb was detonated 77 years ago, and the probability is that more of these bombs will be built by more states over the next few years, several of which could well have a slightly more millenarian view of the world than Ivan, Tommy, Pierre, and the Yanks.

    It is insane that thousands of these world-ending weapons exist and that more of them are being built. Who is to say that Putin won’t have one vodka too many at some crisis point, or that his judgement wavers? Who is to say that a conventional missile launched from a silo that is also capable of launching a nuke isn’t misinterpreted as an actual nuclear launch at a crucial moment?

    The panic over climate change is hyped to the nth degree, but there are at this moment literally thousands of hydrogen bombs aimed at all the major cities of the world, and nobody seems remotely worried about it. People are far too complacent, imo. Either that, or they’re ignorant (anyone born after 1990 is probably very ignorant of this topic), or none of them want to talk about it because it’s too traumatic to contemplate. I want to know why not a single journalist seems to have asked these politicians (on both sides) what steps are being taken to minimize the risk of nuclear escalation while warships, tanks, troops and missiles are being maneuvered around Europe like it’s 1914.


    (EDIT: There were no tanks or missiles in 1914, but my point is clear I hope)

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Seem the Russian government is asking Putin to officially recognise the two separatists areas of east ukraine as Sovereign independent states who can then vote to join Russia this allowing the build up of troops to enter Ukraine proper to aid in another annexation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,524 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    At what point do people accept that Russia isn't going to invade Ukraine? There has been a mass psychosis going on since at least November of last year, fuelled almost entirely by elements in the media and rampant Russophobia which simultaneously believes Russia is a terrible threat and pathetically weak.

    The only thing which could spark a Russian military intervention in Ukraine is a Ukrainian offensive against the Russian separatists, or Russia itself. The Ukrainians are not that dumb (I hope) so it isn't going to happen.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Eh, did you miss the goings-on in 2014? About 10'000 people in body bags and an unrecognized Russian puppet state to rival Manchukuo on Ukrainian sovereign territory aided by the Russian military? The seizure of Crimea?

    I don't think the people warning of conflict are the ones suffering from psychosis.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    @Sand rampant Russophobia.

    That's the excuse for everything that involves speaking out against putin .

    So putin moves 120,000 + troops and vehicles and amphibious forces into the blacksea ,and according to you it's not happening and it's nothing but propaganda ????



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭Fiery mutant


    So... Russia, which has massed 127,000 troops and supporting artillery and armaments on the Ukraine border, is definitely not going to invade, right?? But, somehow, Ukraine could start a major war by attempting to take back land, (their own land!!) which was illegally annexed by Russia. There is no evidence anywhere that Ukraine is planning to do that. But somehow conflict would be Ukraine fault???

    We should defend our way of life to an extent that any attempt on it is crushed, so that any adversary will never make such an attempt in the future.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Grown-ass Irish people eating up unsophisticated Kremlin talking points/propaganda like a Sunday roast on the edge of a war that spells disaster for European security and economy is a very strange phenomenon.

    I'm not sure I understand what's going on there but it's a weird one.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    🤣

    Embarrassing. The Ruble has been one of the world's most volatile currencies for the past 10 years. Russian savers (that are fortunate to be able to do so) elect to save in euro or dollar-denominated accounts. The rich park their wealth outside the country, another tell-tale sign of an unreliable currency if you weren't an economic illiterate. Imports from widgets to cheddar are transacted in dollars or euro - Russian firms need reserves of foreign currency to do so, and need to buy currency with locally earned rubles that spazzes out in value terms regularly.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-09/ruble-close-to-unseating-rand-as-world-s-most-volatile-currency

    I'm scarlet for you that you're actually posting such crap and think you're not making a fool of yourself.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,453 ✭✭✭brickster69


    All roads lead to Rome.



This discussion has been closed.
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