Volatile or not, russia is not functioning on trillion dollars deficit which can never be repaid. If there is a definition of scam fake economy it would not be the russian one.
You should leave economy talk aside it is obviously not your strong point.
Economic zone, not territorial waters. It's a big open space far enough away that there shouldn't be all that much civilian traffic, but not so far away it take unnecessarily long to get there.
What the actual hell is that about? It’s within Ireland’s exclusive economic zone.
Are they testing the EU or is this some kind of weird testing of Biden by jangling the Irish American linkage, or threatening to see if the U.K. will intervene now that they’ve Brexited?
It shows how having absolutely ridiculously low levels of military investment here isn’t a very good long term plan as we become more economically significant. We’re don’t even have active radar never mind any ability to patrol.
Also, it’s making me start to wonder if that very large cyber attack on the health service was more than a randomly opportunistic event, even if sloppy security made it very easy.
All fleets of the Russian navy are due to stage drills and war games within the next month.
The Northern Fleet are conducting their missile drills in the Atlantic, 250km from Cork.
Oh, nothing at all to worry about so! All is honky dory.
What if he is on medicine that affects his judgement. What if he has a mental illness. What if he becomes depressed. What if his judgement isn’t what it used to be. What if he receives bad intel that nukes are being moved to x location and then missiles are launched from the same location. Play around with the possibilities; you will find there are a lot of possibilities for things to go wrong with any of these players.
Putin doesn't drink
Three nuclear powers in a war game is a no win game here, anyone on either side of the coin saying "their" side is justified in their actions isn't seeing things long term..
Everyone is going to lose when the match is lit here, leave alone the the nuclear arms at the disposal of the players, the economic impact on everyone seems just as crazy as the 3 nuclear armed nations are ready to go to war so a nation can join an armed faction..
I've seen a picture of the expansion of NATO from the 1940s.. the encroachment towards Russia, if I was a Russian I'd have serious concerns.. lets not get away from things with every "good" it needs the same in "evil".. Russia's concern for me it seems totally justified, NATO ends up in the Ukraine, the US is literally on the doorstep of their enemy.. troops, missile bases etc doesn't take a whole lot of effort to launch an assualt against Russia if ever the thought arises in Washington.
Europe and the world need the calm hands that held the nuclear buttons in days gone by and rejected pushing it.
Diplomacy, we are in 2022 and if war is the only answer we can talk ourselves to, we are f+*ked!!
Germany seem to be in a difficult no win situation with all this.
🤣
Embarrassing. The Ruble has been one of the world's most volatile currencies for the past 10 years. Russian savers (that are fortunate to be able to do so) elect to save in euro or dollar-denominated accounts. The rich park their wealth outside the country, another tell-tale sign of an unreliable currency if you weren't an economic illiterate. Imports from widgets to cheddar are transacted in dollars or euro - Russian firms need reserves of foreign currency to do so, and need to buy currency with locally earned rubles that spazzes out in value terms regularly.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-09/ruble-close-to-unseating-rand-as-world-s-most-volatile-currency
I'm scarlet for you that you're actually posting such crap and think you're not making a fool of yourself.
Grown-ass Irish people eating up unsophisticated Kremlin talking points/propaganda like a Sunday roast on the edge of a war that spells disaster for European security and economy is a very strange phenomenon.
I'm not sure I understand what's going on there but it's a weird one.
So... Russia, which has massed 127,000 troops and supporting artillery and armaments on the Ukraine border, is definitely not going to invade, right?? But, somehow, Ukraine could start a major war by attempting to take back land, (their own land!!) which was illegally annexed by Russia. There is no evidence anywhere that Ukraine is planning to do that. But somehow conflict would be Ukraine fault???
@Sand rampant Russophobia.
That's the excuse for everything that involves speaking out against putin .
So putin moves 120,000 + troops and vehicles and amphibious forces into the blacksea ,and according to you it's not happening and it's nothing but propaganda ????
Eh, did you miss the goings-on in 2014? About 10'000 people in body bags and an unrecognized Russian puppet state to rival Manchukuo on Ukrainian sovereign territory aided by the Russian military? The seizure of Crimea?
I don't think the people warning of conflict are the ones suffering from psychosis.
At what point do people accept that Russia isn't going to invade Ukraine? There has been a mass psychosis going on since at least November of last year, fuelled almost entirely by elements in the media and rampant Russophobia which simultaneously believes Russia is a terrible threat and pathetically weak.
The only thing which could spark a Russian military intervention in Ukraine is a Ukrainian offensive against the Russian separatists, or Russia itself. The Ukrainians are not that dumb (I hope) so it isn't going to happen.
Seem the Russian government is asking Putin to officially recognise the two separatists areas of east ukraine as Sovereign independent states who can then vote to join Russia this allowing the build up of troops to enter Ukraine proper to aid in another annexation.
I view it differently. If the possibility of a nuclear launch — either on purpose or, most likely, by misunderstanding — is just 1% per year, it is likely that a launch will occur within a hundred years. The first nuclear bomb was detonated 77 years ago, and the probability is that more of these bombs will be built by more states over the next few years, several of which could well have a slightly more millenarian view of the world than Ivan, Tommy, Pierre, and the Yanks.
It is insane that thousands of these world-ending weapons exist and that more of them are being built. Who is to say that Putin won’t have one vodka too many at some crisis point, or that his judgement wavers? Who is to say that a conventional missile launched from a silo that is also capable of launching a nuke isn’t misinterpreted as an actual nuclear launch at a crucial moment?
The panic over climate change is hyped to the nth degree, but there are at this moment literally thousands of hydrogen bombs aimed at all the major cities of the world, and nobody seems remotely worried about it. People are far too complacent, imo. Either that, or they’re ignorant (anyone born after 1990 is probably very ignorant of this topic), or none of them want to talk about it because it’s too traumatic to contemplate. I want to know why not a single journalist seems to have asked these politicians (on both sides) what steps are being taken to minimize the risk of nuclear escalation while warships, tanks, troops and missiles are being maneuvered around Europe like it’s 1914.
(EDIT: There were no tanks or missiles in 1914, but my point is clear I hope)
The Russian lads must be freezing their bollix off waiting for Vlad to make up his mind.
The problem can only get worse ,the only two options are placate him and let him invade Ukraine and force it back into Russia , then Georgia , Moldova and the other Baltic states , where does it end ?
Option B - kick Russia out of the swift banking system ,and engage in military action if Russia moves more men and equipment into ukraine ,
Nato should take over the security of Ukraines borders and skies ,
Let the people who keep putin in power that they have more to loose if they don't get Putin to change course on Ukraine
Again, all of this just seems to be based on the fact that the Kremlin does not want Ukraine to join NATO. Really doesn't want it. From that perspective all this brinksmanship makes sense. It's pretty inevitable that Ukraine will join NATO, so Putin has decided that if he creates an absolute shitstorm out of this, rattles markets, brings the whole thing to the very edge, it's the only way they will get the US/West/NATO to rethink granting Ukraine membership. He has to make the whole thing so unpalatable.
In terms of something actually happening, perhaps a minor incursion could be on the cards to test Western resolve and European solidarity, but personally, I very much doubt Putin actually plans to literally invade Ukraine. It makes no sense from a Russian perspective, they get screwed economically, they become a global pariah (worse than they already are), they lose the European gas market (they aren't doing enough new business in China to replace it), they'd have casualties, could lead to all sorts of global complications. They'd lose so much and gain so little.
The way I always looked at these events and the nuclear threat is this - If nobody launched a nuclear weapon during the height of the Cold War with the amount of opportunities each side had (and believe me, there were lots), then we've nothing to worry about in situations such as this.
Russia literally had an alert in 1983 that five ICBMs were on their way from the US and they didn't strike back for fear of what might happen.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alarm_incident
Ukraine vs Russia
Ukraine Out numbered and out gunned but yet they held off Russian forces for over 7 years ,and they have massively reorganized , equipped and trained better year on year
No one is mentioning the thousands of nuclear weapons on both sides that are on hair trigger alert. Politicians have been known to miscalculate and things have a way of getting out of control. These must be jumpy times for the people in the nuclear silos, watching the radar screens. I hope no one leaves a simulation running, or misidentifies a flock of birds, a satellite launch, or a passenger plane for a warhead. All of these things have happened in the past.
They have already been arriving regularly into ukraine , most antitank missiles don't need a lot of training to use effectively ,at this stage they are nearly point , lock and shoot ,drop and walk or run away pretty much like a law or rpg kids can pick them up,
and Ukrainian forces have been receiving training from nato forces for the last 7 years
Russia needs the eu ,non cooperating eu stops buying oil and gas from Russia or heavily reduced purchases badly effects Russia who's economy is heavily dependant on money from Europe ,this build up of forces is already costing putin a fortune,any conflict will see the Russian economy completely collapse ,and those with wealth will be quick enough shift it to safer countries , just as Europe is dependent on Russian energy supplies but not solely dependant on Russia ,
The question will be where is the line that cannot be crossed , putin takes Ukraine he will want other Sovereign states back too ,if he's not stopped before getting into ukraine we could be looking at several years of conflict in Europe
I think so as well, the Ukraine has 40million in it, that's a big country and holding it would be very difficult.
The Dnieper is a natural border for them, takes the best of the land, makes the rest of the Ukraine unviable.
They make also take the land and connect up with Trans Dniester holding.
Who knows though, who ever thought we'd be dealing with a pandemic and looking at the possibility of a large scale war in Europe again.
They're sending a few ships, but what use are they considering they will merely be observers to the conflict?
It's too little, too late on the anti-tank armaments too. Not enough time to train troops and allocate the weapons. They'll probably end up being captured by Russian military forces, and they will make a big song and dance after having done so too just to rub salt into the wound.
He has a 900k men soldier and 2 million reserves. Of that 900k about a third are conscripts..
Where else is he going to go and if where else could he hold?
What concerns me is all the US talk about crippling the Russian economy etc. Sounds ominous but surely that only provokes Russia to keep escalating the conflict, knowing that if it threatens to spiral into all out war, NATO will have no choice but to compromise. Otherwise not just Russia but all of Europe is crippled, with millions of refugees and devastating effects on stock markets etc. I genuinely can't see NATO, regardless of how many casualties Russia suffers in Ukraine coming out ahead here. Who has the most to lose? It's the super wealthy western countries imo.
The US state Department gave the go ahead to lativa , Estonia and Lithuania to transfer US weapons to Ukraine , including artillery , javelin anti tank missiles and stringer anti aircraft missiles ,
The last time Russia went against forces with stingers missles they lost over 300 aircraft in Afghanistan.
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