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The UK response - Part II - read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    UK reports more than 50,000 new coronavirus cases for a second successive day



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,364 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    Luckily for us who live in GB life goes on as normal, seems like mental hysteria at home.

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 432 ✭✭ISOP


    Hospitalization and deaths are steadily decreasing



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,678 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    Boris claiming there was "no party" at Crimbo, who else will likely resign?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,364 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    Ffs I was wrong about life going on like normal.

    Anybody know if a recovery pass will do as a Covid cert this time? Unclear from Bozo's announcement

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,917 ✭✭✭GM228


    Parliament has voted that vaccination will be mandatory for frontline NHS staff from July 2022.

    No doubt a few court challenges ahead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,620 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Thats what happens when you double your daily testing capacity in December vs January



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,532 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Whitty getting some flak from the right honourable member for Indiana east.

    Did the Brits know how thick-as-mince their MPs were before Twitter?

    bpanews_856ec2e7-edfe-40de-9914-63568ff7b4cc_embedded264367190.jpeg

    (tweet deleted since but has been widely reported, even in the Torygraph)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,730 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    The Tories refusing requests from Wales, Scotland and NI for support packages for businesses affected by Omicron



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    3 days record numbers in UK



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical



    It has the advantage of objectivity. You died + you tested positive for Covid therefore "Covid death". It doesn't involve the opinion of a doctor deciding that you died because of Covid rather than merely with Covid. Comparisons can be made easily with other countries too as they count deaths in a similar way.

    The problem is that the nature of the disease is changing. With vaccinations and the virus itself mutating into less deadly forms, it is far more likely that a covid death will be a death with Covid rather than of Covid. If it was a very common but completely harmeless virus, then you would still get large numbers of "Covid deaths" simply because people die and a certain proportion will have the virus when it happens. This would clearly be a distortion of the truth if we treated it the same way as before.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    image.png

    Quick comparison of overall deaths in the UK vs the EU per head of population. The UK is about 10% higher at present but the gap is closing. This is despite the fact that there are very few restrictions in the UK compared to the EU generally.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,532 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    The graph I'd like to see is cumulative deaths per million since around late May 2021 for various broadly vaccinated European countries (i.e. zeroed at that point in time).

    This eliminates poor performance prior to initial vaccination rollout to the vulnerable and should show to some extent the effect of various policy approaches.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    The graph I posted includes all periods leading up to the present. So you can see performance at all points in time including May 2021.

    If the rules are that only deaths up to May 2021 count, then the EU is clearly ahead in Covid policy. However, if you take a longer term view and include vaccine performance, then this advantage is not so clear and may disappear altogether in the future.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,532 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    They're zeroed from April 2020. As I wrote, I'd like to see them zeroed from May/June 2021, so that we can see relative performance after vaccination rollout to vulnerable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    Sorry I misread your post. I would still have a bit of an issue zeroing the graph at various points in time when it is the cumulative deaths over the entire pandemic that counts. The graph I posted isn't "zeroed" at any particular time; it simply goes back to a point where there were next to no Covid deaths to record.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 302 ✭✭Perseverance The Second


    An interesting piece of data from the Financial Times today. A stat from London hopsitals indicates that 111/169 new Covid +ve patients who were admitted were not being treated primarily for Covid

    A good insight into Omicron given London has an extremely low vaccination rate versus the rest of the UK.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,065 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Other factors at play here, not just restrictions. Large parts of central and eastern Europe have had lower vaccine take up (countries such as Romania, Bulgaria and Poland).....the likes of Germany and France are not closing on the UK in terms of deaths.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    Overall, I think the UK handled the vaccine situation better than the EU generally. Crucially, they completed the bulk of their initial vaccinations as the summer was beginning. This allowed a much greater opening of society during the warmer weather when the virus could spread immunity without overwhelming the NHS. In the EU, we got to roughly the same stage as summer was ending. This meant that we could not our exit wave without serious consequences and therefore restrictions have had to remain in place for another winter.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,713 ✭✭✭cloudatlas


    Well my flatmate tested positive I guess that's me travelling home for Christmas scuppered.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,257 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Sorry to hear pal. Get a test though, you might not have caught it, fingers crossed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,713 ✭✭✭cloudatlas


    I don't have any symptoms, going for a pcr test tomorrow but apparently I still have to isolate for 10 days because she is positive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,257 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,713 ✭✭✭cloudatlas


    Apparently yes, after the pcr I have to take lateral flow tests to make sure I haven't contracted it subsequently because she will still be virulent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,257 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Ah Jesus, well I hope it all works out for you in the end. Sorry it’s happened.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    With regards to the EU figures Vs the Brits.


    Britain has a 5 fold lead in tests per million than say Germany or Netherlands who adopted a don't look, don't see approach and double most others up to 12 times the testing rate in some Eastern European countries.



    If they didn't push testing in Britain, they would have lovely figures as well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,896 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    You need to be careful comparing testing figures. Most countries only report PCR test results for obvious reasons, the UK report (or more accurately posters on here) only report the combined antigen & PCR figure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    PCR testing in the last week has the Brits running at about 9 to 1 Vs Germany. Treble our selves, 6 times the Dutch rate.


    Under half of Switzerland.


    Testing was late to the event in most of continental Europe and in much of it still is.


    In places like Germany it can only be a deliberate policy position. If the will was there, they could. It's not though.


    Don't look, don't see.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,896 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Hows Denmark compare? Leave the countries out that do better obliviously.

    With German cases falling, it makes sense that testing would reduce also. That's why positivity rate is taken into account.

    It just annoys me when a certain user starts comparing UK positivity (antigen & PCR) rate to another countries rate (PCR only) and thinking it's an equal comparison. If you remember there was a time the UK counted the nasal and mouth swabs as 2 different tests and each antigen test posted out was counted also (negative posted out and positive only if it was reported)



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