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Austria hits panic button.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,841 ✭✭✭TomTomTim


    To be fair, you could apply this logic to any tyrannical society. We're not exactly living in times of openness and debate driven consensus. There was a lad who lost his job for simply questioning government methods a year or so ago, and stuff like that creates fear, and when there's fear people shut their mouths.

    “The man who lies to himself can be more easily offended than anyone else. You know it is sometimes very pleasant to take offense, isn't it? A man may know that nobody has insulted him, but that he has invented the insult for himself, has lied and exaggerated to make it picturesque, has caught at a word and made a mountain out of a molehill--he knows that himself, yet he will be the first to take offense, and will revel in his resentment till he feels great pleasure in it.”- ― Fyodor Dostoevsky, The Brothers Karamazov




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,626 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The figures are reported on weekly (was 66% unvaxxed in ICU last week, making that 23x more likely to be unvaxxed in ICU then vaxxed).

    Anyway, assume what you're saying is true, what is the objective in lying to people? What is the grand plan here?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,507 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    OK, you you wrote

    the unvaccinated made up 50-60% of those in hospital at one point...this number is decreasing rapidly

    And then when challenged for data to support this you wrote

    The only breakdown I could find was this one that goes back to April...I am making an assumption that because they are not being transparent with the figures, the breakdown of vacc vs unvac in hospital is likely lower than 63% and in all likelihood is decreasing very rapidly given that immunity is waning.

    So you made a strong statement of fact and then admitted it was an assumption based on your distrust of authority.

    Let me help you out. The most recent report I can find is from RTE yesterday citing CSO data covering Sept and Oct.

    I think this is the CSO publication (one day RTE will discover hyperlink technology):

    This is only a snapshot and insufficient to establlish a trend (it does contain some time series for cases, but not for hospitalisations and ICU admissions), but it is recent.

    Fill your boots.

    (apologies that is is unrelated to Austria but it seems all thread discipline has broken down on this forum)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 962 ✭✭✭Burty330


    Luke o Neil lied during the summer when he stated with authority that vaccines would prevent transmission. He didn't have a clue what he was talking about. He made that false statement because somebody told him it was the right thing to say. All the other medics just go along with the narrative, they don't think about it, to them it's just about following directives



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    During September and October, 54% of ICU admissions were not vaccinated. Number of vaccinated adults was above 90% in the same time period.

    As of November 4, 52% of ICU admissions were not vaccinated



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 20,921 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    A ICU emergency consultant was on Claire Byrne live last night. In A&E at present they separate those with COVID symptoms from other at intake. Then they question them As to when symptoms started, if they had a COVID test already and if they have a positive result are they vaccinated or in vaccinated. Most of those not vaccinated will need much more treatment than a vaccinated adult and a large portion if the unvaccinated will end up in ICU. Her words. Anybody can listen to the interview in CB live.

    Professor Luke O Neill was on last night as well. The booster has taken Israel out of trouble. Not only that you development 25 times more antibodies from the booster than from the original second shot. His advice is for government and the HSE to concentrate on getting the boosters out there. He thinks those with Jansen should be prioritized. The boosters are giving huge immunity after 7 days. The results were staggering in Israel after two weeks.


    Just came across this from another ICU consultant

    https://www.rte.ie/news/regional/2021/1123/1262584-covid-catherine-motherway/

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭VillageIdiot71


    Good to highlight the data. But aren't there some other salient points?

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/br/b-cdc/covid-19deathsandcasesseries36/

    • "Almost 84% of those who contracted COVID-19 in September and October and admitted to an ICU had an underlying health condition
    • People aged 65 and over accounted for 50% of all those hospitalised through the whole period of the pandemic
    • Almost all (97%) of those who contracted COVID-19 in September and October and admitted to an ICU and who reported being vaccinated had an underlying health condition
    • Around 28% of those who contracted COVID-19 in September and October and admitted to an ICU were not born in Ireland, and 90% of those reported being un-vaccinated"

    This seems to be a very precise issue (still) involving people with underlying conditions. It suggests throwing a blanket over the unvaccinated isn't actually speaking to the problem. Why would people with underlying conditions still be featuring in large numbers? Is there any significance to the the level of non-natives (maybe not, but it was an aspect I was completely unaware of)?

    Saying "Over 50% are unvaccinated" (when someone else, incidently, was saying it was 66%) isn't hitting the nail on the head, when we know its overwhelmingly people with underlying conditions. Why are people with underlying conditions still not availing of the vaccine? Not a question I've seen answered by any expert, despite it clearly coming out of the data.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,626 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    There's no point with Markus, they just come back with other tangential posts instead, you're better off going down the rabbit hole and trying to find out what they think it all means. I don't believe there is any danger of misinformation there as it's all too fantastical.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,840 ✭✭✭Markus Antonius


    It's bad that the Village Idiot is now the voice of sound reasoning and logic 😛



  • Posts: 6,045 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Nope, sorry, that's not true, and just because you say it is, doesn't make it so.

    They media HAVE given us figures. You have said they are completely inaccurate, yet have failed to provide accurate figures (indeed you admit you cannot find any) and you also cannot say why they are inaccurate, other than some vague mistrust due to lack of transparency........What is "369/589 (63%)" if it isn't a figure and/or a statistic?

    You made two claims. Both were wrong. When this was pointed out to you, you changed your definition of emphasis from the widely accepted meaning of the word and applied your own interpretation. Even this new interpretation is wrong, yet you are still claiming you are in the right.

    Do you accept that both of your assertions were incorrect? If the answer is no, please explain how they are incorrect, please, otherwise you are demonstrating to everyone else that the only reason you're claiming your statements were correct is to save face and your position is held without any basis in reality.

    That's an awful lot of assumptions, there chief, and you know what they say about the word assume......

    Why would you assume anything about numbers in the face of cold, hard data surrounding those numbers?

    Why do you need a month-by-month breakdown, what difference does it make to the overall percentage?

    Why are you making assumptions that they are not being transparent, when they have provided the figures for people to see? Why also are you assuming they're decreasing rapidly, given you have zero data to back that up other than some sort of hopefulness that you're correct because it strengthens your argument? I

    You are deliberately pooh-poohing anything that disproves your point, for no good reason other than the breakdown is not to your liking and inventing stuff that backs up your stance out of thin air, because it doesn't exist. In fact, the opposite is true and data exists the DISproves your point. If you automatically assume that all figures provided by those with whom you disagree are false, isn't that the definition of having an agenda? Why then would you accuse others of that which you are also guilty?


    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/more-covid-19-cases-among-vaccinated-but-benefits-of-jab-clear-says-expert-1.4733525

    "More than half (54 per cent) of all of those admitted to ICUs in September and October said they were not vaccinated though the numbers of vaccinated adults have consistently been above 90 per cent in that time frame"

    So, twice as many vaxxed in hospital vs unvaxxed, in terms of cold hard numbers, but the unvaxxed are outnumbered by 9:1 in the general population. Conclusion: you are 4.5 times more likely to end up in hospital if not vaccinated.

    When we look at ICU figures, that translates to an even bigger factor. given that 54% of ICU are unvaccinated, using that same ratio of 9:1, you are 10 times more likely to end up in ICU if not vaccinated.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly


    technically it does... but not in the black and white way you are interpreting it..

    will you have person to person transmission who have been vaccinated... of course.... if I sat in a room full of measles patients, even though I've had MMR, I still have a 2 in 5 chance of getting sick with it....

    vaccine reduces viral load, it reduces transmissibility, which in turn stops transmission (it will always, like any virus, transmit to some, but the key point is that it doesn't have the free for all to transmit to all)



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,676 CMod ✭✭✭✭faceman


    I think the bigger question is what exactly is your point?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,048 ✭✭✭growleaves




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,666 ✭✭✭charlie_says


    Perhaps the people who don't want a vaccine might not want to tolerate taking a mediocre medicine or maybe even a society that forces it upon them?


    I wonder what might put more people in hospital in the end? Ever think about that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,069 ✭✭✭✭ohnonotgmail


    Covid will put more in hospital. and in the grave as well



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,797 ✭✭✭Working class heroes


    Racism is now hiding behind the cloak of Community activism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,337 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    You're wasting your time and energy.

    If you presented HSE published figures that were being updated daily, you'd likely be met with two "arguments":

    1) George Soros and Bill Gates are behind the fake HSE numbers

    2) and anyway, the daily pulished numbers are only a snapshot in time. Probably released at 5pm. They don't prove what the figures were at 4:59pm or 4:58pm or 4:57pm



  • Posts: 966 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Eh, no they're not 😄 Many have spoken out against the potential dangers and side effects they're seeing in their patients. They are then immediately ostracized and de-platformed.

    You probably only listen to the mainstream media, and hence only see one side of the narrative. Both sides of this should be presented in the mainstream (as with anything else). That, unfortunately, is not the case. Red flag.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭VillageIdiot71


    Again, this isn't really describing what the figures are saying. Just saying "unvaccinated" as if they were all equally at risk isn't reflected what's being experienced.

    For instance, nearly half of the unvaccinated ending up in ICU are not Irish born. Non-natives make up less than 20% of national population. So what's the deal? Is there some way in which non-natives are not being reached by the campaign?

    Now, probably lots of reasons why people don't want to be caught in public saying "a lot of the problem with unvaccinated in ICU is the non-native population". I suppose we might wonder then why we're, apparently, so willing to demonise everyone who hasn't been vaccinated, just because we don't want to focus on the problem.

    And I think folk should bear in mind that other countries looking at mandatory vaccination seem to have lower vaccination rates. It would be interesting to hear what benefit Austria would expect if they got 90% of their population vaccinated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,337 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    What can you not understand?

    The vaccine efficacy is less for those with underlying conditions.

    That is why the immunocompromised received their boosters already.

    We appear to have two main categories of people in ICU currently:

    1) Those vaccinated but who were not fully protected due to underlying health issues and conditions

    2) Unvaccinated who would not have ended up in ICU if they chosen to get their vaccine.


    You want to add 2 plus 2 and come up with 7. That's up to you. Nobody ever claimed the vaccine offered 100% immunity. That doesn't mean it is not stupid to refuse one. In the same way, a condom will not give 100% protection against STDs. That in itself isn't sufficient reason not to wear one when you're banging some random strange young wan you met round the back of the chipper on the way home from the local nightclub.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,814 ✭✭✭joe40


    The consistent message coming from meical experts both here and abroad was twofola. Vaccine would reduce the levels of transmission and more impotantly reduce the severity of disease.

    The general consensus now, with more data, is that the effect on transmission was not as good as hoped for, but vaccine are guarding against severe disease. There are very few vaccinated healthy individuals in ICU compared with the same cohort of unvaccinated.

    This is a new disease, treatments and vaccines will develop and improve over time. That is how medical science progresses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭VillageIdiot71


    What I don't understand is how you haven't looked at the figures.

    The two factors that best describe the cohort getting into ICU are these:

    80% have underlying conditions

    75% are aged over 45

    But folk prefer, apparently, to concentrate on the vaccinated vs unvaccinated question.

    Now, you'd think if people were concentrating on that aspect, they'd be seeking to understand it. They'd be asking "why, apparently, are older folk, and folk with underlying conditions, still turning up in ICU unvaccinated." Sure, they'd notice that 43 unvaccinated people aged under 45 were admitted to ICU. But they'd they'd quickly notice that double that number turned up from the over 45 age categories.

    And then if someone added "you know, half of the unvaccinated people in ICU are non-natives", they'd say "oh, so its not just a simple matter of healthy young Irish people needing to get vaccinated, then".

    Is that really so hard to understand?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,609 ✭✭✭Harika


    A silver lining for Ireland and the difference to Austria. Ireland has relatively few deaths thanks to the vaccination rate. Cases are high but people are not dying at a rate like see here:

    FE4ISdYXsAgqnCn.jpeg

    Statistics are really dangerous right now as too many people interpret those with tunnel vision.

    To add to above post. In Vienna the districts with the lowest vaccinated are those with the highest people from immigration background. Something to tackle



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,337 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Man, I don't know how you are still confused. The unvaccinated people have a choice. They make a conscious choice that ends up in them unnecessarily draining resources that could be put towards helping someone else. They are leeches and scroungers happy to sit up on the backs of others.

    Your figures say nothing to support whatever you are rambling on about. They prove nothing. Vaccinated people with underlying conditions are more likely to end up in ICU that vaccinated people with no underlying conditions. Unvaccinated people with underlying conditions are more likely to end up in ICU than unvaccinated people with no underlying conditions.

    And unvaccinated people are more likely to end up in ICU than vaccinated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,337 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    hmmm........you'd almost swear that there is a pattern to those numbers?????


    But, then again, I suspect that you got them from "mainstream media" ..... publishing those nice picture is how they get you



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭VillageIdiot71


    But I'm not confused. I'm just noticing, again, that you're fixated with one aspect of the figures (which are not "my" figures, but CSO figures.)

    Can I suggest you just reflect a little.

    And maybe start by reflected on the rush behind your last sentence "And unvaccinated people are more likely to end up in ICU that unvaccinated."

    I suspect we know what you meant to say - and we all make typos. But, seriously, policy can't be driven by despair.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,767 ✭✭✭Dakota Dan




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,517 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    That's what happens anyway when your hospital is overrun....people are left to die in favour of other people.

    If you are in hospital with COVID you are sick, there is no "less sick" its all just a matter of time, if there is no O2 left on the ward then a bunch of those people are going to end up in ICU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,767 ✭✭✭Dakota Dan


    I never said anything if the sort let alone think it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,337 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    I had fixed the typo. However the main logic is sound. You have no logic to your argument.

    If a person has underlying conditions, they are more likely to end up in ICU compared to if they did not have those conditions. Can you not understand that? Is it not something that you would expect?

    There are people with underlying conditions who caught covid and would have ended up in ICU if they had not been vaccinated but the vaccine saved them. And there will be unvaccinated people in ICU with underlying health conditions but who would not have been there had they taken their vaccine.

    Yet you see a figure telling you that 80% in ICU have underlying conditions and you think that proves something about the vaccine. It doesn't. It is a Facebook argument.


    The antivaxxers seem to be driven by a despair that there is nothing people can do to help themselves. It is quite silly.



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