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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭shesty


    A sentiment echoed by many, many parents.Not doing any of that again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,004 ✭✭✭✭AlekSmart


    Where ?

    Why do you suppose it has to "come" from anywhere ?

    You are a Pharmacist,yes ?

    You are,it appears,particularly concerned with non-vaccinated individuals.

    Are you prepared to forcibly administer a Covid vaccine to to a person who does not consent to it ?


    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

    Charles Mackay (1812-1889)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    You should probably back away from the keyboard and get some fresh air, you've taken an odd turn.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt


    Vaccines have reduced hospitalisation by over 90%. That’s not a total failure, that’s what we were told they would do. But for some reason Nphet thought they were 100% effective…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    I seem to remember some Nphet gowl (Lukey maybe) telling us that the vaccines would stop us from winding up in hospitals or dying

    All conveniently forgotten by the lads that just recaliberate and spout whatever the current line is. It's kind of impressive tbh



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,645 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    How long does that reduction in hospitalisations last? Several months at best. A great success!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale


    Yup it's great. The thought of where we would be now with no vaccine. God bless the science nerds



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,187 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    Over 80% of those fully vaxxed in hospital suffer from underlying conditions already. Most vaccinated persons who get covid can thankfully recovery easily at home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,271 ✭✭✭brickster69


    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 962 ✭✭✭Burty330


    So why is the government putting the vaxed under restrictions again? They require no hospital treatment. How many people under 50 /60 have been admitted to hospital?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Because of spread to at-risk people presumably



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    9871 people aged 64 and under have been hospitalised since the start of the pandemic (49.9% of all hospitalisations)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,243 ✭✭✭MOR316


    Tony Holohan: "Work from home! Reduce contacts and reduce the risk of coming into contact with the virus".

    Today, Tony Holohan went to every major radio station across the city of Dublin, interacting with so many people. He could easily have done the interviews by phone.

    Meanwhile Ronan Glynn goes on live TV news, speaking the same message. He could easily have done it by Zoom. He didn't need to greet a security guard, a receptionist, producers, make up artists and the two presenters.

    If these two can't follow their own advice, why should they expect everyone else to? They talk about personal responsibility but they don't look that responsible to me from where I'm sitting...

    There was no need for either of them to be at TV and Radio stations today



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    They have not reduced hospitalisations by over 90%. That was the hopeful outcome based on trials. However it doesn’t appear to be realised in the hospitalisation figures.

    It’s hard to find definitive percentages but for example, Paul Cullen in IT has arrived at;

    ’Last year there were 30-50 hospital admissions per 1,000 cases; this year the ratio currently stands at 35 admissions per 1,000 cases, according to the National Public Health Emergency Team (Nphet).’


    Yes we must factor in the more contagious Delta and the fact that many weren’t vaccinated until August/September this year, so that’s in no way saying vaccines aren’t helping - but there’s no way the vaccine has reduced hospitalisations by 90%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 962 ✭✭✭Burty330


    We see those numbers every week. So its pretty clear the strain on the hse is massively blown out of proportion as the vast majority of cases will recover at home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    We don't see 9k admissions a week.

    We see what number every week?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It's now down to 15-20 a week.

    So from 30-50 per 1000 unvaccinated people, let's say 40. down to 7-10 per 1000 vaccinated people, let's say 8 (seeing as how roughly half of the cases in 12+ are vaccinated and we want to compare before and after vaccines). So it's an 80% reduction?

    My math is crude and open to being corrected. I'd also add in delta has been shown to cause more serious illness/higher hospitalisation rate and I'll also add that vaccines are preventing covid, so there are alot more people out there who would have caught it and ended up in the figures if it wasn't for the vaccines.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,243 ✭✭✭MOR316





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,579 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    You appear to have a problem reading a source I gave you from the ECDC compiled by the WHO showing when variants of concern were first identified, so here`s a screen shot of the relevant section. It clearly shows that other than Beta, which has not been a problem, the others, and most importantly Delta were not even known until December 2020.

    So contrary to what you believe that report does exist and it shows that you somehow expected the government in September 2020 to come up with a plan that would somehow take into account and plan to counteract variants of concern that were unknown at the time, as well as taking into account that in September 2020 vaccines that we didn`t have, let alone know what they could do, if anything.

    That was your original premise was it not ?

    One that no matter how many times I have asked you what you believe how those totally unknown should have been planned for in September 2020 (and despite all the reams you have written and attempts at moving goalposts) you have continued to avoid answering.

    Screenshot 2021-11-17 at 22-33-43 SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern as of 12 November 2021.png




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    But those 50% you are discounting (vaccinated) have a large number included that didn’t receive the immune response hoped for. For those admitted to ICU and fully vaccinated, their immunosuppression prevented protection afforded to most of us. Majority of fully vaccinated in ICU are immunosuppressed (98%).

    The vaccines did not provide prevention against serious illness for them - and I think we can agree they may be more likely than most of us to need hospitalisation due to contracting a virus.

    Also, as cases become more prevalent in the community, hospital acquired infection rates rise, which again will target the most unwell in hospitals. They are sitting ducks for acquiring Covid infection outside of their behavioural control.

    Of course Delta must be factored in, but you can’t exclude ‘breakthrough’ cases when calculating how effective vaccines have been at reducing serious illness and death. Not sure anyone could put a definitive percentage on it but there’s no way it’s 90%.

    As for your claim that there are a lot more people that would have caught covid and ended up in the figures were it not for vaccination- that’s highly debatable now given what we understand about risk transmission after vaccination being ‘significant’, according to NPHET. So it might be ‘some’ but unlikely to be ‘a lot’.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭floorpie


    as well as taking into account that in September 2020 vaccines that we didn`t have, let alone know what they could do, if anything.

    Phase 2 trial results were released before September 2020, it was known what they could do by then



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,681 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    It'll be called 'The Pandemic'. What was your point?

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES, And So I Watch You From Afar

    Gigs '25 - Spiritualized, Supergrass, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Queens of the Stone Age, Electric Picnic, Vantastival, And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,681 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    I was at my first indoor gig since February '20 tonight in Belfast. 'Twas great!

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES, And So I Watch You From Afar

    Gigs '25 - Spiritualized, Supergrass, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Queens of the Stone Age, Electric Picnic, Vantastival, And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,579 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Was the efficacy results of those trials released in September 2020 ?

    Pfizer Phase 1 & 2 clinical trials were to deterine the safety, immunogenicity and optimal dose levels were the not ?

    Far as I recall efficacy levels were not released by Pfizer until November 2020 after Phase 3 trials that did did not even begin until end of July 2020.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I'm not excluding 50% which are vaccinated. I'm excluding the 50% who are unvaccined.

    So it's a comparison between 1000 confirmed cases before vaccinations were rolled out (1000 unvaccinated) and 1000 recent cases who are all vaccinated.

    I'm not excluding breakthrough infections.

    If you wanted to exclude immunocompromised people (as any vaccine they take would be much less effective, absolutely nothing new there with covid vaccines) it would show an ever bigger impact vaccines have made. You were talking about hospitalisations and not ICU admissions (ICU figures also show vaccines working extremely effectively in the vaccinated vs unvaccinated split)

    And finally, if (I don't have the exact figures to hand) 40% of new cases come from the 10% of the eligible population that are unvaccinated and 60% of the new cases come from the other 90%, that clearly shows that vaccines are preventing infection. If vaccines were not preventing infection, you would expect only 10% of new cases to be in unvaccinated and 90% in the vaccinated group (figures above for cases exclude under 12's as they are not eligible for vaccines)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 853 ✭✭✭MilkyToast


    And finally, if (I don't have the exact figures to hand) 40% of new cases come from the 10% of the eligible population that are unvaccinated

    Where's this figure from, where "eligible but unvaccinated" are differentiated from vaccinated and ineligible unvaccinated in term of cases?

    “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." ~C.S. Lewis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    Didn't know where to post this,

    But this is what's going on in China , Absolute bastards! Can you only imagine what they're doing to their own citizens off camera? makes me sick, I only wish there was a hell for these people to end up for doing that to a defenseless dog.


    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10204173/Chinese-officials-break-womans-home-beat-corgi-death-quarantine.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,681 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    I don't think it'd a case of telling the truth or lying. It's a case of Varadkar opening his mouth and shíte coming out. He doesn't believe half of what he says himself. He talks for the sake of talking.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES, And So I Watch You From Afar

    Gigs '25 - Spiritualized, Supergrass, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Queens of the Stone Age, Electric Picnic, Vantastival, And So I Watch You From Afar



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt


    That includes non vaccinated, when I said 90% I meant among vaccinated people.


    also there is likely far more asymptomatic infections now. I was one for example, son brought it home from school, he tested positive so I did a test, to my surprise I was positive, never would have bothered testing as I had no symptoms.

    it looks as if the vaccine has been effective, just the Nphet modelled it wrong.



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