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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    My thoughts exactly, he's also thrilled at Bloomberg ranking Ireland as Number 1 in the world with regard to resilence against Covid, how Bloomberg coming up that is beyond me

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It's a live option until it's decided it's not. The government don't want to go down that route and they continually emphasize their success in getting things open. So that brings us back to another 2 weeks, in the sense that NHPE have predicted the peak for round about then. So far they look like hitting the case numbers and the bottom end of ICU numbers but with hospital numbers down today that looks way out.

    In truth we probably have reached a point where NPHET genuinely haven't a clue, not through bad models but because it is becoming almost impossible to figure out what the link is between cases and hospitalisations and to model that.

    Personally don't believe we will see another lockdown but some reversal of restrictions may happen if things go really badly. Can't really guess at what that might be as that is a mystery known only to government!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    I live in the Midlands and recall the absurd local lockdowns, Laois, Offaly, Kildare. It was ludicrous, never actually happened, no one I know saw anything that remotely looked like a local lockdown, there was continuing Restaurant restrictions and pub closures but that had nothing to do with local lockdowns. They won't and have clearly not worked in the past, in fact at the Time there was counties elsewhere with much higher infection and new case rates that were never subjected to local lockdowns.

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,328 ✭✭✭bloopy


    Nobody wants to.

    This whole thing, and especially the last few weeks, has been characterised by a scramble to blame anyone else but themselves.

    The billions pumped into the hse over the years has been mismanaged and the health service is now not fit for purpose.

    They bet on the vaccines solving the problem and that has not happened.

    Now all they've got blame. Blame the tiny percentage unvaccinated, blame the children, blame the public. Blame anyone as long as no one blames them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    But on the other hand, they have said time and time again that what is open will stay open. So I fail to see what a lockdown will do apart from cripple the economy yet again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85




    covid is going nowhere... dont fix the one controllable in all of this though, the health service...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I'm inclined to agree and see some restriction tweaking as more likely but tired cliché or we need to look at what happens to cases and hospitals over the next two weeks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Well if we are to use 9/11 as example of how lax security caused one of the worst terrorist acts on the planet, then we may as well use the lax hygiene and sanitary controls they had in China.

    We will need to live with the virus, just like we live with any other virus out there. We adapt and move on, do I think it's possible to head back to our 2019 lives? Yes.

    Do I think there's an appetite for it within the Government? Not so sure.

    The thing is we aren't even 99% back to our normal lives, we will have constant surges, then it will die down, then surge again. Hulahoop himself said there will be surges.

    But there has been nothing but fear mongering for near on a week now about the increase, it's like utter panic setting in within the media and then again ramming it down our throats.

    What more can a population do? Those that aren't vaccinated aren't the problem, it's our terrible health service.

    100 people in ICU and we've people saying that lockdowns may be needed. What number is acceptable then? 5?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Thing is, they already said that over the next 2 weeks the numbers will rise. I wonder will they do like last year and shut everything down after Christmas or before Christmas.. to save Christmas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    All he's really saying is use rapid antigen tests. Article looks like it was written last Christmas and screams agenda very loudly. He may be right but he'll be another "expert" on a permanent media tour anyway.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Their modelling suggests they will. We're a week on from their numbers and there is no real evidence of that at all. In essence they've been reduced to guessing like the rest of us. I honestly don't see them trying to knock out Christmas and post-Christmas we should have a lot of at risk and over-60s done with a booster. I reckon we'll need to see north of 150 in ICU and hospital numbers close to 1,000 for the nuclear option.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    I think I saw the other day Glynn saying we should protect the vulnerable. Deja vu..

    And today I see he has said to parents that they should be asking their children about the activities outside and question if they are indeed necessary.

    Fcuk off...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    IIts typical our pathetic media let this morom off the hook, for fear of being labelled " Granny killers " any other country, he would be getting a proper questioning...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭Russman


    I don't necessarily disagree with you, but far better health systems than ours have found themselves in serious trouble with this. Totally agree ours is a shambles and has been for 20 years or more (not the fault of the frontline staff).

    You said it yourself, we adapt, so surely that implies some adjustments to how we do things ? Has there ever been a world changing event that didn't result in change ? Personally I think there will be some permanent legacies from all this, even if they're relatively small and trivial like hand sanitisers in places we would never have seen them before, or something bigger like, I dunno, only 4 people allowed in a lift or something.

    I don't think its the 100 people in ICU is the problem per se, its that we're almost maxed out and the knock on effect that has on "normal" hospital procedures. If we had 1,000 ICU beds and 990 of them occupied it would be the same scenario.

    I'm not defending the HSE for a moment, nor do I think lockdowns will ever be needed here again, but I think its more complex than open it up and see what happens. Pandemics run their course, and countries are all so interdependent on each other now, its very hard for one country to not be impacted by a surge close by.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    I can see tempers flaring and blood pressure rates rising


    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 542 ✭✭✭PhoneMain


    "our 2019 lives are not coming back"


    I'll eat my had if we are not back to 2019 type lives by 2023 at the latest. It's a global pandemic, it will be over eventually (hopefully next year!) and while covid will still be around, it'll be like influenza or like any other respiratory illness that 99% of people dont think of in their day to day lives.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 726 ✭✭✭SupplyandDemandZone


    Operation fear being rolled out across the airwaves this morning. Moistening the public up for what's coming.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,370 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Many have just switched off from this nonsense. Apart from the large Conservative section of Ireland that listen to RTE and Newstalk.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    Would it be safe to say a lot of night time venues, nightclubs not going to bother their holes staying open with these new ticketing rules (still awaiting publication) 🤔

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    1) There is only a handful of inspectors so the chance of an inspection is tiny

    2) Most places are just putting unlimited free tickets online, so already a way around it

    3) Much like the €9 meal stuff, there'll be hardly any cases that end up in a fine or anything else



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭Russman


    What question would you like him to be asked ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Nope wouldn't be safe to say it.

    Most nightclubs in Dublin last week were already ticket only and sold out weeks in advance, this weekend is Halloween and the majority were already ticket only & sold out.

    As per my other post, most late bars I know of in Dublin anyway are already putting free tickets online and if not already online they will be by the weekend. Others have already openly stated anyone coming in during the evening will get a ticket. There's ways around it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Adjustments yes, like you said, the legacy of this will never go away. If hand sanitisers were the be all and end all of it then I think we could all say we did well.

    But living under constant threat of lockdown, or cancelled surgeries, banned travel, kids being told they shouldn't really play with other kids, masks here and there is not a life. It's a prison sentence.

    As a whole, we need to move on from this. We are close to our 2nd year of the pandemic, we are in this almost as long as the Spanish Flu lasted. I really can't see them removing all remaining restrictions in February like they said they might a few weeks ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    Good, I just got a sense a lot may not bother , I saw commentary about smaller venues with live acts not likely to put on live acts due to dancing rules nonsense.

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,108 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    Yep agree with those points, I seriously doubt the 500 inspections touted as happened over last weekend seriously happened, more like a dozen I'd reckon.

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,983 ✭✭✭growleaves


    "If the point of covid certs are simply to prevent hospitalisation among the unvaccinated, why are people who cannot be vaccinated being added to the access scheme given they are still just as vulnerable and prone to hospitalisation as people who are unvaccinated through personal choice?"

    "Two part question Dr Glynn. How do you justify your previous statement that people should treat each other 'as if they had the disease'? Taken seriously this would have plunged many people into total isolation for 18 months and created a secondary health crisis all its own. Do you concede there is a moral dimension to the socially dangerous guidelines you present to the public and these are not merely technical matters?"

    "Are you concerned that NPHET models have been consistently inaccurate and do NPHET's repeated failures in this area inform your strategy out into the future?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭Russman


    Absolutely. The trivial adjustments will probably be permanent and barely noticed, but they'll be there all the same.

    The threat of lockdowns etc and all that, will recede with time, its just a question of how long. I think lockdowns are totally off the table and unnecessary at this point anyway, but other things like masks and generally being careful about what we do, will be around for a while yet. I've no idea how long but I don't think anyone anywhere does at this point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 805 ✭✭✭Relax brah


    We are nearly two years into this pandemic and the same people have been posting negative sh*te day in day out - I honestly feel sorry for some of you and how miserable your day to day must be.

    Go outside, it’s a beautiful world and we have a lot to be grateful for.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    I'd thrown in as well that comment he made that we should be treating people who have covid or the flu that leave their homes as akin to drink driving.



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