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National Development Plan 2022-2030

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  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,459 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Btw, keep this for non road discussion only. Thread forthcoming in the Roads forum.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Wouldn't it be better just to have a single thread for the NDP for discussing all aspects of it? The theme of this NDP is likely to be which projects made it at the expense of others, and probably whether certain public transport projects made it at the expense of certain road projects, or vica versa.



  • Registered Users Posts: 95 ✭✭densification


    This quote is from the email sent to me by (on behalf of) Paschal Donohoe after I emailed him re MetroLink reported delay.

    I can confirm to you that the Government will be launching the revised National Capital Development Plan, incorporating a capital investment programme in public transport of approximately €35bn, up to 2030 prior to the Budget which I am due to announce on October 12th next.

    Where's that money going?

    My own estimates:

    MetroLink €4bn, BusConnects Dublin €2bn, Dart+ €3bn, Dart+ Tunnel €2bn, Lucan Luas €1.5bn, Luas Finglas + Poolbeg €1bn, Cork Luas €1.5bn, Regional BusConnects €1.5bn, Navan Rail €0.5bn

    So that's €17n.

    So the other €18bn? What I want done that isn't currently being planned.

    Four tracking Northern Line to Drogheda (yes, all the way). €2bn

    Building a spur from Clongriffin-Airport. I'd continue this line to Naas via Leixlip LB, Maynooth, Clane and Sallins. Creating a regional rail alternative to the M50 and connecting Dublin's largest commuter towns. It's mostly through fields with no mountains or major obstacles in the way (apart from the airport). €1.5bn

    Spur from Maynooth to the Heuston Line (tie in 1km west of Adamstown). All IC + commuter trains go to Heuston. €0.25bn

    Four tracking Cork line from Hazelhatch to Kildare town (Cherryville Jnctn). Grade seperating Cherryville. €0.75bn.

    Double tracking to Carlow, Galway and Longford.

    Navan to Drogheda line reopend to passengers + station at Duleek.

    Electrifying all Double or more track rail lines. 200km/h line speed.

    Grade seperating and remodelling Limerick Junction so non-stopping trains don't have to slow down.

    Removing curves from rail lines: €1bn and remove as many as possible.

    BusConnects spines upgraded to BRT with all door boarding on articulated trolley buses.

    Dublin to Cork/Belfast/Galway fleet of pure electric 25kV trains. Overhead electric + Battery for rest of intercity fleet.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 12,181 Mod ✭✭✭✭Cookiemunster


    Never mind I read the headline wrong.



  • Registered Users Posts: 134 ✭✭DoctorPan


    4 tracking of the Northern Line study is part of the DART + Coastal contract with scope for delievery under the same railway order. It's being looked into.



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  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,981 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    densification, while I don't think it is all likely, that is a pretty awesome wish list. And if the money was available, I think it would actually be quiet a doable wishlist. It builds well on existing infrastructure and plans and there isn't anything too off the wall.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,094 ✭✭✭JohnnyChimpo


    At the risk of being too cynical if you take that initial ~€17bn of already hypothecated investment, you can probably double it to account for delays and cost overruns and then you get most of the way to 35



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,630 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Cork Suburban Rail is a quarter of a billion but it seems pretty ambitious for 8 new stations, electrification, dual tracking to Midleton etc, it will come to about half a billion when all is said and done imo.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Isn't there a decent wedge for Cork suburban rail coming from Europe, presumably that is on top of what the government puts up in the NDP.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Is NDP money Capex only or does it include Opex over that period too? I'm sure specific project allocations are Capex only but the overall funding envelope might include Opex too.



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  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,459 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Semi state non exchequer investment is included. I’d bet on the EU funding being part of that overall total



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,459 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    2018-2027 budget included overall TII national roads funding, everything. I presume the same applies here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,104 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    does that 35b include "active travel' or is that under another heading?



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 26,403 Mod ✭✭✭✭Peregrine


    I think it's all of transport. I know it was reported as €35bn for public transport but that doesn't make much sense.

    Monday the 4th is confirmed. It'll be launched in Cork.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 26,403 Mod ✭✭✭✭Peregrine


    Tomorrow's the big day.

    What are people's thoughts on DART Underground? I don't think it will get any money for construction but I think it will be funded up to planning application stage like Luas Finglas at least. I think we'll see a lot of projects funded for planning work only.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,526 ✭✭✭dublinman1990


    I would assume that DART Underground/DART+Tunnel will have funding allocated for this new plan being unveiled for all to see from tomorrow. But the questions that will remain is how much funding will be allocated to it & where will the money come from to actually fund & build it? Those to me are the key questions that we want to see answered about DART+ Tunnel because again it does need to be both a project of real value from a financial pov & a practical and worthwhile pov in the longer term. Answers like this need to be sought when other things are added into the mix like housing which has provisions for it to be provided by the LDA to allow it build new housing around the lands of Inchicore Depot.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 26,403 Mod ✭✭✭✭Peregrine


    My guess is that it'll be the same as the old NDP with one additional small Dublin project like Luas Finglas proceeding to construction, Cork Commuter Rail and Cork Luas projects brought forward, more money for walking and cycling and a few more rail projects funded for desktop work like feasibility studies, design, planning etc. The rest will be all roads. The 2:1 public transport spending commitment will be got around out by excluding all road projects based around an existing road which make up the majority of road projects and only including "new roads" like the M20 and Galway Outer Ring Road in the 2:1 calculation. They'll spend around €13.5bn on public transport, €17bn on roads and €4bn on walking and cycling (which will include a large % of BusConnects spending). The detailed breakdown won't be given and the larger projects won't have costs included.

    The feasibility study into high-speed rail from Cork to Belfast will be announced again to distract the media.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,459 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    I saw it confirmed somewhere earlier, 12bn on new PT and 6bn on new roads. 4bn on “walking and cycling” and 13bn on maintenance.



  • Registered Users Posts: 806 ✭✭✭jams100


    Your mad mate.

    This is Ireland there is not a hope in hell metro link with come in at 4B.

    It will likely 6B+



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,329 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Anyone know at what time this is being published at?



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  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 26,403 Mod ✭✭✭✭Peregrine


    DART Underground and Navan rail funded for appraisal and planning. Luas Finglas will "continue to progress". Luas Bray gone. Larger Enterprise fleet.




  • Registered Users Posts: 326 ✭✭MyLove4Satan


    Strategic Rail Review and Dublin Rail Plan bureaucratic spoofery all over again. As expected.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,329 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    This NDP is nothing other than a repackaging and reannouncement of the same projects that have been going on for years. Except this time it's even less clear what the timelines and budget being allocated to these are. Massively disappointing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    That tends to matter less than the fact that there is one. anything can happen over the next decade anyway but it gives the impression there's a determination by the current government to do something. Now we just have to see how much of this stuff they actually manage to do. If they can even get half of it right it takes the wind out of SFs sails on housing, not the primary aim but a welcome secondary one from the perspective of the two large parties.  

    Noticeable too that SF are straight out of the blocks to complain about  it.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,760 ✭✭✭AngryLips


    It's the same old ideas reheated. Very disappointing. I think they've been talking about an hourly service and reduced travel times on the Enterprise service since the late nineties.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,329 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Metrolink has a date of completion of TBC. Imagine having a National Development Plan which includes the largest infrastructure project in the state's history and plonking a big "TBC" as the completion date. Loving the commitment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,068 ✭✭✭Murph85


    Probably better optics than the time it will actually be delivered, some time around 2084...

    As for high speed rail between Belfast and cork... jesus its a waste of ink even printing that comedy!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Some of that is the purview of the Northern authorities, we've done the track part of it. There is a high speed Belfast - Dublin- Cork proposal in the region of €15bn.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,329 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    A high speed line from Cork to Belfast is just utter fantasy.



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  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,981 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    DART+ too. Also they aren't given cost estimates either.

    I suspect this is due to the cost and schedule overruns of the Childrens Hospital. Politically it is easier to avoid criticism if the cost or schedule increases, if you didn't given any cost/schedule in the first place.

    I don't see any suggestion that these projects are seriously delayed or cancelled like some were claiming over the past few weeks. I see these projects being highlighted as vitally important in the NDP, as good news.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,760 ✭✭✭AngryLips


    How is this anything less than delay/cancellation? It's gone from the realm of being firmly in the future to the realm of fantasy/aspiration.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    ...



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 26,403 Mod ✭✭✭✭Peregrine


    Sure but this a funding commitment to replace the fleet with 9 trainsets which will be enough for an hourly service. It's definitely progress. SEUPB funding is involved too as well as the NI Executive. I can definitely see it being a reality by 2030.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,283 ✭✭✭Deedsie


    Will there be a breakdown of funding towards specific rail lines on the network or just a €x billion for maintainence and upgrade of the existing network?

    The Ballybrophy line for example is long overdue being modernised. Completing the CWR track relay for the entire line and upgrading signaling, automating gates etc



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,981 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    "How is this anything less than delay/cancellation? It's gone from the realm of being firmly in the future to the realm of fantasy/aspiration."

    The NDP says it is "enter the statutory planning process in the first half of 2022".

    That is certainly not cancellation or anything like the serious delay that doom-sayers have been spreading over the last few weeks.

    If anything, it is an extremely firm commitment to Metrolink. If there were going to cancel it, it would have been dropped from this new NDP.



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  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,459 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    It's the same old ideas reheated because none of the same old ideas have been built yet. No point in new ideas unless we can get the old ones built first.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,981 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    I agree, it is very boring, but at least non of the old idea's have been dropped and instead they are being recommitted too.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 26,403 Mod ✭✭✭✭Peregrine


    I don't think MetroLink is being delayed, I think most of the delays are on the planning, design and construction side. Big questions need to be asked about resources allocated for planning and design from 2017 onwards because they missed every milestone so far but that's in the past now.

    I think it will go to ABP in Q2 2022, start construction in 2025 and will be completed around 2032.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,735 ✭✭✭✭Bobeagleburger


    That's what you'd call a nice to have project. Zero chance it'll ever be built.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Publishing costs for projects like Metrolink in the NDP would be meaningless anyway. Projects have to pass through the various stages of the Spending Code and it is the costs at those stages that matter. The Preliminary Business Case for Metrolink will be submitted soon but obviously a lot can change between now and RO approval. Same with DART+ where design isn't finalised yet.

    The NDP really is just a list of projects which will be funded up until the big decision has to be made, which is award of the construction contract. Only then are actual costs known. Being in the NDP probably doesn't really mean a whole lot (see Ryan's comments on some road projects not happening), but not being in it means the project is dead for at least a decade. Ideally there would be some kind of quarterly or half yearly update on the projects included with cost estimates at the various PSC stages included.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 72 ✭✭roddney


    If I've learnt anything over the last decade or so it's that the only thing that matters is when construction starts. We're left to hope here but that's all we have. Even trust is probably a step too far given cancellations the last time when railway order was in place.

    It's a shame how projects are run here. Realistically we need to be aiming to build a minimum of 2km of new Luas or Metro track every year and be planning projects all the time, not start stop.



  • Registered Users Posts: 326 ✭✭MyLove4Satan


    The Irish Government, in partnership with Kinzen reported thousands of posts and tweets to social media companies as “misinformation”. The clear intent of reporting these posts as misinformation is to ask social media companies to suppress them, to reduce their circulation, and to make sure that as few people as possible see them. This is the caliber of the politicians, bureaucrats and civil servants we are somehow expecting to be telling us the truth about building the Metro and DART Underground 'this time'. It is always worth bearing in mind that we are dealing with pathologically lying and devious socially-adept psychopathic scum before you get your hopes up.

    You're not ever going to be on a metro to the airport or go under the city centre in a DART ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,832 ✭✭✭crushproof


    The last decade? I'd say the last 50 years. Incredibly inept country when it comes to public transport and urban plannng. I just read about a brand new innovative suburb of Vienna being built. Started planning in 2006 for 50,000 residents in very livable surroundings. Already has a metro stop built, 20,000 residents, leisure facilities and 2 tram lines under construction. Compare that to the state of Adamstown which is on the same land area.



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Bsharp


    After a few false summits I've now reached peak cynicism.

    I sense the political view for our public transport system is to hope WFH papers over the cracks, and this combined with EVs, will somehow address the climate issue. Might help to a small degree but a failure of judgement overall.

    They've successfully torpedoed a lot of housing development. It's as if the relationship between land-use and transport doesn't exist. I'd envisage commuter towns to get a lot bigger as the political issue of housing trumps transport and sustainability. We won't get sustainable and compact development patterns without decent public transport.



  • Registered Users Posts: 338 ✭✭Tomrota


    They would love the commuter towns to get bigger. Then they can use their ‘feasibility’ studies to show that there is insufficient population/population density to justify any public transport in the commuter towns. Just look at Naas. Highest number of housing completions almost every year since 2017 and not a penny spent on improving public transport in the area. Not even a local bus service.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,329 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980



    Monard was supposed to be a new town built outside Cork on the Cork-Dublin mainline. First set out in the Cork Area Strategic Plan in 2001, it was envisaged to have 13,000 residents within a decade. In 2009 the Cork County Development Plan said the plan was to have 7,800 residents and the train station built on the mainline by 2020. Today it remains agri land with not a single sod turned or real plan in place. The train station remains a fantasy which is rolled out every now and again in various masterplans. An epic public policy and implementation failure.



  • Registered Users Posts: 995 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    I'm pretty sure every Irish Government has been hoping someone (Tesla 😄) will announce "Driverless flying cars coming soon!" so they can justify never doing any road or public transport projects ever again to free up cash for another €1.8million Dail printer.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,847 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    All the talk about public transport and the NTA cant even extend a simple bus route between louth and westmeath

    https://www.meathchronicle.ie/2021/10/06/three-years-later-and-still-no-sign-of-a-bus-service/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,917 ✭✭✭✭LXFlyer


    To be fair to the NTA, they have actually been very proactive in expanding local and bus regional services across the country significantly over the past number of years.

    They’ve funded a large expansion of Local Link regular bus services (as opposed to the the door to door service) around the country, often replacing once a week Bus Éireann routes.

    At the same time a lot of regional BÉ services have expanded too.

    I can’t offer an explanation for the delay in providing this service, which was supposed to be an extension of the 167 between Dundalk and Ardee, other than clearly they don’t have sufficient vehicles (and indeed drivers) to do it yet.

    There are a large number of new vehicles for regional PSO services to be delivered to BÉ in the next few months, some of which will hopefully be used to expand the services (as opposed to replacing old vehicles).

    There’s sadly a time lag between announcing new services and delivery which is caused by procurement time, recruitment, and funding.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,318 ✭✭✭pigtown


    What do people think about the proposed Limerick suburban rail network? As far as I know it's the first time one has been officially proposed by government. It's quite comprehensive and the vast majority is an existing/disused line which should mitigate some of the cost



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