Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
If we do not hit our goal we will be forced to close the site.

Current status: https://keepboardsalive.com/

Annual subs are best for most impact. If you are still undecided on going Ad Free - you can also donate using the Paypal Donate option. All contribution helps. Thank you.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.

Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

1146147149151152932

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭lossless


    Ah here now.


    The differences between invalides living in the country and people who literally don't live here are insanely incomparable.


    As for me being "influenced" by others subconsciously, there's more chance of me headbutting a meteorite back into the cosmos. I'm no bloody acolyte of fools.


    As for the pogrom comment, once again, how does one expel someone who doesn't yet exist? Give it a go, try to crash your make-believe ferrari tonight, see how appalled and shocked you are with the damage. It's complete fantasy.


    And that fantasy inspired line of "reasoning" is a large culprit for why we are where we are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    Grand so, don’t engage.

    What will we do about the foreigners? Immigration ban?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    If government blocks non-EU immigration, it could send bad signals to international companies, and even Universities. Unemployment may even increase, rather than decrease. And you may end up not only with housing crisis, but push whole economy into the crisis.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭lossless


    Engage with what, your imagined pogroms against literally non-existent people?


    If so, you are correct.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭lossless


    We have a housing crisis.


    If we avoid tackling an existing crisis for fear of imagined, non-existent crises, well, get comfortable with the housing crisis forever.


    Then again, there are some who would be VERY comfortable to see things stay just as they are. Ka-ching.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    You are the one counting the bad people.

    To move the conversation forward, I would suggest building more homes is a better solution than reducing the population. I’d also like to stay in the EU so a foreigner ban wouldn’t work for me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭lossless


    It's curious to me. Are you completely oblivious to the kind of thoughts that obviously flow through your mind?


    You are the one mentioning "bad" people, you are the one who brought the lovely "N-word" into it earlier, you are the one mentioning "pogroms", you are the one mentioning "foreigners, and if I recall correctly, "dirty foreigners" as well.


    Are you aware of the term "Freudian slip"? Are you sure that those thoughts aren't really YOUR feelings?


    Oh your going to "move the conversation forward" by suggesting building more homes. Well isn't that quaint. Antiquated, even.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    I'm not advising to avoid tackling housing crisis. But your solution to ban non-EU immigration, could lead to bigger problems, rather than solve housing crisis.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    No my friend, I am calling you out on the dog whistle talk you are putting out. You are fooling nobody when you put out that 360 - 300 nonsense.

    Irish people are massively in favour of the EU so we won’t be leaving the EU, we won’t be kicking out the foreigners and we won’t be banning their entry.

    Talk of non nationals is irrelevant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,854 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Everyone drop the (circular, pointless) immigration stuff



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭lossless


    To be perfectly clear, not once have I suggested that noneu migration be stopped.


    I am merely identifying, what in my opinion and the statistics scream aloud, that migration is key to solving the housing crisis. Migration in general, not specific migration.


    When a housing plan that promises 300k units meets a migration plan that promises 360k, that is the area to be scrutinised until the cows come home.


    I'd be more than happy to construct a way out of this situation, provide detailed truthful analysis as to not only the housing/migration issue but also all unintended consequences. The thing is, I'm going to want a lot of money for it.


    So in the meantime I'll point in the right direction for others who are supposed to be doing their job and failing. And there's no such thing as too much genuine information, so the more people know in general, the better.


    300k v 360k ain't no housing plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭lossless


    I'm no friend of yours, firstly.


    Your accusations are fruitless. Trust me.


    I'm aware of this phrase "dog whistle", as in a sound (or message) that is ultrasonic (or subconscious).


    Horseshyte.


    On the contrary, my guy, I propose that you are merely sensitised to such an extent by hapless imbeciles, you are, quite literally, hearing and seeing imaginary things.


    As for your interpretation of what Irish people want (leaving the EU??? Huh?), being the great belwether of reality that you are, I'm sorry but I'd sooner believe the economic theories of a dead crab.


    Good luck with "pogroms" and whistles and all that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,496 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx



    so we've reached the stage of " The final solution " card being played ?


    FFS



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    This is the housing thread not the immigration thread. It seems that the moderators are gone AWOL...

    Please come back propqueries.

    Ireland has become an exciting melting pot of cultures. That benefits some and may disadvantage others. Immigrants just like the millions of Irish emigrants before them require housing. Can we move on.

    More supply on myhome. Government signalling vacant property tax in the pipeline. Loads of empty apartments around Dublin. Another year with reduced travel. A commitment to reduce long term leasing for social housing.

    Are we at propqueries tipping point already?



  • Posts: 12,836 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    According to propqueries, house prices would have dropped 50% by now, so probably not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt



    I thought Props predication was a housing crash in August and we are now in Sept...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 20,770 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    You are slightly right but not totally correct Props prediction's were

    Nov '20

    Feb '21

    April '21

    June' 21

    Sept '21

    If he was still here in early July he have been predicting a collapse in October, at this stage of the year he be predicting a collapse in December just in time for Christmas.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    I thought he/she'd revised it to flood of property hitting the market due to probate sales and the crash starting in September....

    A bit depressing tbh, we're still looking and the prices seem to be rising...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,694 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    You made the ridiculous assertion in the first place, that building more houses makes things worse due to the influx of house builders - the burden of proof is firmly on yourself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Actually, this is a policy in motion already. They call it "flexible working" and it is a key component of the government's multi-faceted efforts to alleviate pressure on Dublin and revitalise rural Ireland. For example, the new law on requesting remote work looks like it makes it essentially impossible for an employer to force anyone who can WFH to go into the office, as the employer needs strong reasons including measurable performance / business ones to actually reject a request to wfh.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Even with full employment in this country, should foreign companies stall growth plans or even reduce head count, it should not pose such a risk to the wider economy and the property market. However, accepting that the current prices and rents depend on future population growth, which you are effectively doing, is an admission that the current situation of high prices and rents is not sustainable.

    The economy should not be so dependent on foreign, multi-nationals and the property market should also not be at risk of a crash due to the MNCs. It again speaks to me of the bubble in the economy and the property market.

    I am genuinely shocked that some people would be totally clueless to believe the property market would crash if the economy faltered. That is, quite simply, a sh1tshow of a property market if that is the case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    You do realise that the most likely party in government in 4 years was up until recently anti-EU? Further, the prospect of a united Ireland referendum in the next decade means our EU membership could be questioned in the discussion (as the North is not in the UK, neither is of course our closest ally in the UK as a whole). As such, I would be careful to jump on the "EU is necessarily good" Boomer bandwagon as the social unrest, populism and whatever else follows from high rents and house prices could result in our EU membership being opened for discussion. Think of the UK and the US and what they mean to our economy; both would happily support us outside of the EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    Ireland has a high public debt. Irish Government revenue, highly depends on Multinationals, and on people with high income, to service debt.

    "However, accepting that the current prices and rents depend on future population growth, which you are effectively doing, is an admission that the current situation of high prices and rents is not sustainable."

    I'm not sure what you want to say here. I'm not admitting that prices can't go up, it can go both ways.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Ronan Lyons wrote in the Currency last week to set out his interpretation of the data showing that increased supply actually reduced housing costs between 1995 and 2007. But that it was other factors, namely credit, which increased them. The net point that supply results in lower housing costs. That's all it is. All discussion on the problem can be summed up with one solution; supply versus demand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    My point is that it is shocking to me that our economy and property market would be so interlinked that a faltering in MNC activity would have a material impact in property prices and rents. The property market should be siphoned off from the economy if we want to focus on sustainability in the property market with an equilibrium in costs YoY.

    Saying Irish government has high debt is totally meaningless as the metrics used to measure it are totally ill equipped to address the 21st economy. CPI and GDP being the biggest culprits and the central bankers are unable or unwilling to shift their own thinking which has lead to them looking like spare pr1cks at an orgy trying to manage their mandate of ensuring financial stability and consumer protection. I read last week that the governor of the Irish Central Bank said we should use our "surprising" corporate tax windfall to pay down debt - he is an ignoramus. As the ESRI constantly says, we should not be so dependent on MNCs to the point where there is a systemic risk posed to our economy should they stall their growth or pull out of the country, this isn't news but there are people so blinded by the MNC light that they cannot see any other economy which doesn't depend on MNCs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    Right, it would be great and more stable, if country would not depend that much on foreign MNC. But it does.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,971 ✭✭✭Villa05



    It was policy long before wfh/flexible working. Workers have been fleeing Dublin since the late 90's to the point that there are more Dublin workers living outside Dublin than within, purely as a result of affordability and poor planning

    The HforA plan will further accelerate this trend



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,163 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I heard he applied for a job in Delphi, but his track record wasn't up to snuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,971 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Interview exploring the background to the situation where there is little recourse on defective buildings.

    Also deals with the situation where affordable purchase homes can be sold back into the private market


    Good points raised and none addressed by housing for all plan. Not much point building affordable homes if they can be easily unaffordable 3 years later



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,971 ✭✭✭Villa05


    John Moran formerly of the Land Development Agency raises concerns that the Housing for all plan may be inadequate



Advertisement