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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,620 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Yup. They gave us 11% asymptomatic, no breakdown of severity of symptoms in the other 89%. Very unlikely that the entire other 90% are all in hospital for their covid symptoms - much more likely that some are in for covid, some are in for other stuff and just happen to have mild covid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    That's a fair cherrypicking of data there, given that the "10% of cases" figure was a month ago.

    The reality is that without knowing the age profile of those in hospital, all of your calculations are wrong because they're based on assumptions:

    1. Vaccination is evenly spread across all age groups.
    2. Hospital admissions are evenly spread across all age groups.
    3. Everyone admitted to hospital is admitted for severe covid

    Which we know are wrong assumptions.

    That is, someone in the 70+ age group who develops symptomatic covid while vaccinated is at a considerably higher risk of requiring hospitalisation than a 26 year old in the same scenario. The CHR is about 3-4% amongst the whole population, but it's 20-35% for people over 65.

    Which means that even among the vaccinated older cohorts, we will see a higher incidence of hospitalisations. If it's only 9% for them, then that would be amazing.

    But unfortunately we've had no age profile of hospital cases since May, so we're stuck.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,163 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    I may be missing something here but how does the continued use of restrictions with over 80% of the population vaccinated show that the government believe vaccines are the way out of this?

    I mean, not reimposing restrictions isn't exactly something to celebrate when other countries around Europe are dropping all restrictions soon (or at least plan too).

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    @taxiperson wrote:

    The data re young people leaving, em, I know at least twenty graduates of class of 2021 who are going

    OK so. Rock solid data there. I'd say Paschal is sh1tting himself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭godzilla1989


    I understand Seamus

    It is wrong and cherrypicked, but they don't give us that data to do it correctly.

    They tell us nothing and it's very frustrating like you said, why they are hiding it I don't know.

    They surely know by now the max cases we can have per day to not overwhelm hospital system.

    When we had no vaccine's and no data in March 2020 they had many models predicting this and that and now nothing, 85% fully vaccinated and they can't predict anything.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 730 ✭✭✭gral6


    Just wait for Tony to come out of shadow again. Last year it has not happened well when he returned a day earlier.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 730 ✭✭✭gral6


    Last year wet pubs did not get a chance to open up despite the fact that they were given a date...same thing gonna happen to entertainment industry this year.

    We'll be lucky if by this Christmas we'll still have our outdoors dining open...never mind indoors



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    They stopped publishing it due to the hack. I'm assuming it's way down the list of priorities, but it is very annoying not having it.

    The 14-day epidemiology reports from the HPSC shine a clear enough light on the impact of vaccination without having to look at hospitalisations. 95% of all cases at the moment are in the under-65s.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Its rock solid to me, as I said if you were around any young students graduating this year you would know how many are planning to leave.

    And they are getting out as fast as they can before Gardai are put out at the airport to stop them leaving, nothing would shock me now as to the lengths the Government will go to to protect the shambles of a health service we have

    I really cant understand that you would be surprised by this, you are living in a complete bubble, not much has changed for you, you are still in full time employment so therefore scoffing at people worried about their livelihoods, worried about their mortgages,worried about rising costs.

    There is a serious mental health crisis in young people building up, do you realise there are no services available so the only help is "here is a prescription for anti depressants, off you go and pay the receptionist on the way out." At least my GP actually lets people into the surgery, other GPs have receptionists asking clients what their ailments are and dissuading them from visiting the surgery.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,965 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Unless they were rushed to hospital these were just faints a common reaction to needles of any sort and can affect anyone .

    If you are so concerned why not get your daughter to have a private blood test for antibody levels ?

    Then contact the Dept of Health and NIAC and get them to change the law all over EU for your daughter ?

    Would be a good thing to do as you feel so strongly about it .



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭godzilla1989


    Yes very annoying

    Before any vaccine's in Nov 2020, 85% of all cases were under-65s

    What does that tell us regrading the impact of vaccination?

    85% vs 95%




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,209 ✭✭✭amandstu


    I was wanting to see what are the current covid restrictions in various countries around the world.


    Is there a website that would give me that information without me having to look up each country separately and laboriously?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Its inevitable, the vaccinations wont protect the elderly,the immune compromised and the obese, their immune systems are too weak.

    We dont have enough hospital beds, enough staff or enough ICU units but we do know who is going to need those beds so should we not be going into nursing homes and other congegated settings and giving residents and staff booster shots now.Should we not be targetting the immune suppressed and the very obese with boosters too and telling them to keep themselves safe. Vaccinating thousands of young teenagers isnt the answer, none of these teenagers are going to become sick from covid and in fact it would be better for us all if hundreds and thousands of them caught covid over the summer.

    Boris and his advisers were totally correct when they said"if not now, when" in relation to easing of restrictions, how is us easing things going into the winter a good idea,if we had any sort of a decent independent media they would be asking about extra hospital beds, extra staff etc,ie what has changed since March 2020.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,965 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    You are right . Only Auckland since July . I think .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Up to May it's actually 88%. Which tells us that the share of cases in the 65+ cohort has dropped by about 60%, despite their own mobility in the community having increased dramatically. Remember that up until April (? May, perhaps), the under-70s were effectively told to hide in their houses until this was over.

    That's all gone now and yet their share of disease is still less than half of what it was.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Too late now, she rushed off like all the other young people to take the vaccine so she could socialise.

    She might live to regret this decision as having acquired natural immunity from covid in another country she should not have taken a vaccine.

    Young people simply dont care now, they want their lives back at all costs and if that means taking ten vaccines then thats what they will do.

    Its up to the experts to advise and no not up to me,covid certs should have been issued here for people who got covid in other European countries and if this had happened then thousands of young people who got covid in Spain, Portugal etc would not have rushed off to get a vaccine so they could socialise indoors with their friends.They had natural immunity and thats all they needed, their long term health is just as important as the health of people in nursing homes.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭shesty


    Actually now that it's mentioned, my sister's boyfriend (age 29) also fainted.

    I said the same thing to my sister it was just the fear of the needle, but she said no, the vaccination staff told him it was happening a lot and it was the actual vaccine and not the needle causing it (don't ask me how).But apparently it is happening regularly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,965 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Ahhh right.

    So all those years of putting needles in people and they fainting , it was THE VACCINE all along !

    Wish I had known that 😯

    No offence Shesty , but maybe they were sparing your sister's boyfriend's blushes!



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭shesty


    Simply passing on a message...that's what they were told.I gather he didn't faint on the spot, but 10 minutes later while sitting down.

    He's recovered anyway, he knows for next time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭godzilla1989


    Percentage reductions like that are very misleading in the benefit they have

    Example

    If we have 1000 cases a day and 95% are not over 65, that's 5 cases a day

    If we had 1000 cases a day before vaccine's and 85% are not 65, that's 15 cases a day

    If we had 1000 cases a day before vaccine's and 88% are not 65, that's 12 cases a day

    5/15 = 66%

    5/12 = 58%



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,082 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Is influenza not re seeded by wild birds and their migratory patterns?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yes, a pal working in a large vaccination centre said they were seeing a lot of young people fainting, these would be eighteen to late twenties.

    It could be their very strong immune systems reacting, who knows,its not a pleasant experience anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,282 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    GDY151


    2098 new cases, 52 in ICU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    2,098 new cases, 251 in hospital and 52 in ICU. Hospital numbers holding up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,965 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    That happens too . Rush of adrenaline at first and then whoosh when you relax afterwards .

    It's a natural response to stress.

    Can't think who it was said it was The Vaccine as the vaccine is just a minute particle in your muscle sitting there at that stage .

    If people have a reaction it is usually to the rest of the stuff ( !) in the vial that carries the vaccine .

    Just my tuppence and appreciate your point .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Absolutely nobody who collapses, faints or otherwise feels ill in the vax centre, is experiencing an immune response from the mRNA part of the vaccine.

    An immune reaction to the takes a minimum 12 hours to kick in, even in the healthiest individuals.

    The 15 minute observation period is to watch for severe allergic responses like anaphylaxis.

    Anyone fainting in the vaccination centre is experiencing fainting as a psychological response. It doesn't have to kick in when the needle appears, there can be a delay of a few minutes.

    Someone doesn't have to be afraid of needles to experience this, it can occur quite randomly and even without the individual necessarily "feeling" nervous beforehand.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The only stress my daughter had was fear that she wouldnt get the Johnson vaccine, it was pub time a week after this one and four weeks after the pfizer one.

    I really doubt any young person would be stressed about getting the vaccine, for most it was the belief that their lives would return to normal if they took it, I really feel sorry for them now,there will be no normal here until the hospital shambles is sorted out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,578 ✭✭✭✭Turtwig




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭CruelSummer


    Wow this is a very disrespectful post about a tragic circumstance. Your denial re vaccine being the cause is concerning. If he was perfectly healthy, then got the vaccine, then got headaches within an hour & died a few days later, of course the vaccine is the probable cause. It’s incredibly sad for all involved. I’ve seen local US press openly report on vaccine deaths there. The media burying this is giving fuel to the Irish National Party and other far right groups.

    RTÉ news wheeling out a young girl whose had a transplant on the news to say she’s delighted to have gotten her vaccine should be reported on in conjunction to the latest developments in Beaumont Hospital and a detailed explanation to the public as to why people awaiting transplants will not be kept on the list if they aren’t vaccinated.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,965 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Its stress of getting a needle I am talking about .

    Most people don't even realise they are under stress until they faint .

    It's called a vaso vagal response and is part of your body's 'fight or flight 'system and is totally unconscious on the part of the person .

    I have young people at home myself so understand what you are saying but tbh think you are over egging it a bit , taxiperson !



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