Vaccine Megathread No 2 - Read OP before posting

HSE is now releasing daily data on total number of vaccines administered. This can be cross checked against data from the ECDC in relation to vaccine deliveries to Ireland.

https://covid19.shanehastings.eu/vaccines/

So you took those figures on the page and that's what you're basing your figures on...

Have a look at the source data.... Belgium & Iceland have administered more vaccines then they got delivered.

It's not 100% accurate... or there's a delay with it. We also do not know when the deliveries arrive in Ireland and when the ECDC page gets updated.

Show me your workings:

3.8mil adults in Ireland... assuming 20%/10% hesitancy - 3.42 needing vaccination

100k J&J have been administered.....

1.2mil AZ have been administered.....

3.8mil mRNA have been administered....

How many more people need to be vaccinated?

*Administered figures as per HSE Vaccine Dashboard

I never said over 1 million over 35's were waiting for vaccines....

Again....

3.8mil adults in Ireland... assuming 10% hesitancy - 3.42mil needing vaccination

100k J&J have been administered..... 100k fully vaccinated

1.2mil AZ have been administered..... 600k fully vaccinated

3.8mil mRNA have been administered.... 1.9mil fully vaccinated

How many more people need to be vaccinated? 2.6mil fully vaccinated.... take that from 3.42mil.... gives 820k people or 1.64mil doses of mRNA

*Administered figures as per HSE Vaccine Dashboard

Let me help you fill the answers in bold

3.8 million

Be optimistic and take out 250k for Janssen (think it's less but we'll take that)

3.55million is 7.1 million plus 250k of Janssen is 7.35 million doses of vaccine required of which we've delivered just over 5 million.

That leaves over 2.3 million left to be done. Robin is saying 20% hesitant (I'd be very surprised if it's this high) if it is that's 700k people of 1.4 million doses. So 900k vaccines left to deliver to those that want it.

Yeah I'd say hesitancy is likely to be in the 10% ballpark tbh so 900k is way too low. But up to 2.3 million doses needed to fully vaccinate all remaining adults is the key figure. Not 400k or anything like it

I'm actually including the 10% or 20% hesitancy figure on the entire adult population... which you know is worst case scenario, especially when we have have massive uptake in the 70+ groups. You're trying some mathematical gymnastics to work out the 18-35 group which has been done and subtract those who don't want it.

Sick as a dog... started to feel rotten about 24 hours after 2nd Pfizer jab. Fever, the arm I got the jab feels terrible, aches and pain like I have the flu. Oh well. Better sleep it off.

Eh. No. 3 million with mRNA / AZ. Not 3.65m as you say

And 250k Janssen

300k first doses left to give. Not 940k

Read back the posts. My estimate was always 300k first dose mRNA left to give and there are 350 second mRNA doses left. That leaves 950k doses.

That was always my estimate. I never said any different.

300k first doses and 150k second doses in July and 450k second doses in August

Your estimate (in bold) if you want to read back is 1.64 million more mRNA doses.

Had my second Pfizer yesterday. The pain in my arm is unreal, worse than I remember it the first time. But other than that I feel completely fine.

There are no concrete studies that I can find from J&J. But efficacy seems to be about 66%. Which imo isn't mad high considering that we will be faced with new variants anytime soon.

I'm trying to keep opinions to myself about it, yes, he can read up on it, but as a parent you worry. Young adults tend to take information from the surface.

He's not a lad who has gangs of friends, no mad parties and hasn't been an arse about restrictions over the last year. A piece of me hoping he'll wait for Pfizer, but how long a wait, I don't know.

J&J is a good vaccine with good efficacy against symptomatic disease and also excellent against severe illness and hospitalisation. I'd happily recommend it to someone who was in general good health and looking for a convenient vaccine id go for it. It also offers an excellent t cell response which may prove more beneficial long term.

J&J is no more/less likely at this stage to be more or less effective against a new variants than the mRNA vaccines.

When are they going to vaccinate all the children going to camps etc..

The school bubbles were blown out of the water once the summer holidays happened. Mixing of random kids all over the place.

Surely the pharmacy ones should be opened to kids.

I have three of them and would love them to get it so I could send them to camps. Reluctant right now with the spread increasing!

Ive also only had the one Pfizer one, another due in about two weeks time thankfully.

It feels like we’re taking the foot of the gas slightly early in terms of opening up just for political gain, maybe not as bad as the UK but not far off.

They don't use Pfizer in the pharmacies due to the delivery and storage it needs.

The EMA have ok'd it as a vaccine in the 12 to 15 cohort, we haven't approved it here in Ireland yet. Although Pfizer employee's children have received it.

I stand corrected. They are administering it at the same rate as the HSE portal.