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Covid 19 Part XXXIV-249,437 ROI(4,906 deaths) 120,195 NI (2,145 deaths)(01/05)Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,471 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Knine wrote: »
    We were there yesterday as my daughter with a very serious genetic disorder is a close contact. She is showing symptoms & I had to bring her to Clogran this morning. The adults implicated went to the walk in centre near the aquatic centre. Very impressed with them. I also have symptoms with an extremely bad skin reaction. Today when I was heading to Cloghran with my younger daughter, my older healthy daughter is suddenly very unwell.

    The schools are absolutely not safe. We have done everything by the book meanwhile my neighbours are having hordes of Visitors!

    A very worrying few weeks ahead.

    Just to note if someone has symptoms you shouldn't be going to the walk in test centres, nor should close contacts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 229 ✭✭covidrelease


    Rosita wrote: »
    Scroll down to Cillian de Gascun's comment. Very surprised that anyone would need a source on this view at this stage. It's about as controversial as saying Paris is the capital of France. Can't imagine there's a day goes by without hearing it. Would be far more interested in sources for claims that everyone is ignoring restrictions.


    https://www.gov.ie/en/press-release/55ce1-statement-from-the-national-public-health-emergency-team-monday-22-march/

    So, this is what he said:

    "The B117 variant, Ireland’s most dominant variant of COVID-19 accounts for more than 90% of our cases and is extremely transmissible. Public health advice aims to limit the opportunities this virus has to spread, and it should be noted that B117 does not need much opportunity to do so. The most effective way to stop the spread of this variant and all variants of COVID-19 is to limit your social contacts and follow public health advice."

    So the original strain wasn't extremely transmissible, what was the need of the initial lockdown so?

    Matt Hancock is on TV now, on about new varients, but never mentions this UK variant, its like the new virus we have here, doesn't exist over there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,672 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Ours is not magic either but we can afford money that is almost at negative rates and the economy is far more diverse than others.

    Most of the money we borrow is seen as OK because of our debt to GDP ratio - problem is, our GDP is massively inflated due to our status as a tax haven, and because of multinationals offshoring assets in Ireland.

    Modified GNI (GNI*) is seen as the most accurate measure of Irish production.
    2019 GNI* was 202bn. GDP at that time was 388bn.
    Debt to GDP (2019): ~59%
    Debt to GNI* (2019): ~121%

    So dont for a second think that we can borrow grand, shur its only cheap money.
    Its cheap money until you have to pay it back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,100 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    Why not? Vaccinations will be well advanced by then

    Well we've only had 8 days of intercounty travel since late October

    They're only going to change 5km to 10km apparently and that's for 6 weeks to mid May

    Big jump from 10km to intercounty in the same month and NPHET won't allow intercounty travel before the June Bank Holiday


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,775 ✭✭✭Knine


    Just to note if someone has symptoms you shouldn't be going to the walk in test centres, nor should close contacts.

    They were fully aware of the situation! We are were not confirmed as a close contact until after we had been. Also due to the nature of a whole classroom of extremely high risk children involved, they wanted the testing done asap. So you cannot judge!

    I was also told by a HSE member that they would have made an exception & also tested my symptomatic daughter if I has asked!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,471 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Knine wrote: »
    They were fully aware of the situation! We are were not confirmed as a close contact until after we had been. Also due to the nature of a whole classroom of extremely high risk children involved, they wanted the testing done asap. So you cannot judge!

    I was also told by a HSE member that they would have made an exception & also tested my symptomatic daughter if I has asked!

    Not judging so don't be jumping to conclusions there, simply pointing out the guidelines that were issued to the public a few days ago.

    https://www2.hse.ie/conditions/coronavirus/testing/covid-19-walk-in-test-centres.html


  • Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I havent seen one Garda checkpoint yet, are people really following Nphet advice when it comes to travel? Sure you can claim almost anything as essential anyhow, just say your off to. Woodies to purchase some essential repair equipment for the house!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 229 ✭✭covidrelease


    KrustyUCC wrote: »
    Well we've only had 8 days of intercounty travel since late October

    They're only going to change 5km to 10km apparently and that's for 6 weeks to mid May

    Big jump from 10km to intercounty in the same month and NPHET won't allow intercounty travel before the June Bank Holiday

    10K won't cut it with the public. I'd say most people travel 10K frequently anyway, if its schools, a hardware store, butchers etc.

    5K to 10K is like giving a 1% pay rise and increasing VAT by 1% at the same time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,083 ✭✭✭Theboinkmaster


    I havent seen one Garda checkpoint yet, are people really following Nphet advice when it comes to travel? Sure you can claim almost anything as essential anyhow, just say your off to. Woodies to purchase some essential repair equipment for the house!

    I'm not paying any attention to NPHET "advice" I'm using my own judgment and doing what's right for my family.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭muddypuppy


    KrustyUCC wrote: »
    HSE planning on expanding walk in centres

    Interesting figures

    "The walk-in centres, which opened in four venues around Dublin and in Tullamore, Co Offaly last week, had carried out tests on over 7,500 with an average positivity rate of 3 per cent, with Tullamore and Grangegorman at 2 per cent, she said.

    Of the asymptomatic people tested 41 per cent were in the 25-44 age group and there was a 5 per cent positivity rate in the 15-24 cohort."

    https://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/hse-expecting-to-open-more-walk-in-covid-test-centres-1103171.html

    Yeah, I'm really surprised by those numbers. I guess the sample is not 100% random, but it's probably as close as you can get short of picking and testing random people off the street.
    I do wonder if it means that the virus is a lot more present than the swab numbers would give when you consider asymptomatic people.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,775 ✭✭✭Knine


    Not judging so don't be jumping to conclusions there, simply pointing out the guidelines that were issued to the public a few days ago.

    https://www2.hse.ie/conditions/coronavirus/testing/covid-19-walk-in-test-centres.html

    Exactly! They are guidelines. The reality is often very different!

    I was at Cloghran this morning! I was told it would have been better if the close contact was tested yesterday in Blanchardstown! Because her result will likely mean another 15 close contacts! All delayed as her result won't be available until tomorrow & the possible close contacts are all very high risk


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,685 Mod ✭✭✭✭Stheno


    muddypuppy wrote: »
    Yeah, I'm really surprised by those numbers. I guess the sample is not 100% random, but it's probably as close as you can get short of picking and testing random people off the street.
    I do wonder if it means that the virus is a lot more present than the swab numbers would give when you consider asymptomatic people.

    Someone on NPHET said last week that asymptomatics were up to 50% of the variant, think it was in the Indo


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    timmyntc wrote: »
    Most of the money we borrow is seen as OK because of our debt to GDP ratio - problem is, our GDP is massively inflated due to our status as a tax haven, and because of multinationals offshoring assets in Ireland.

    Modified GNI (GNI*) is seen as the most accurate measure of Irish production.
    2019 GNI* was 202bn. GDP at that time was 388bn.
    Debt to GDP (2019): ~59%
    Debt to GNI* (2019): ~121%

    So dont for a second think that we can borrow grand, shur its only cheap money.
    Its cheap money until you have to pay it back.
    Beyond offering a contrast to other countries, in how we are providing supports, really was not contemplating any of this at all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,607 ✭✭✭crossman47


    I'm not paying any attention to NPHET "advice" I'm using my own judgment and doing what's right for my family.

    And maybe what you are doing is fine but if everyone uses their own judgement, we'll have numbers rising quickly again. Its pointless saying this anyway as people are ignoring advice and then wondering how they got Covid "I only went shopping, etc but had friends over for coffee)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,672 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Beyond offering a contrast to other countries, in how we are providing supports, really was not contemplating any of this at all.

    We are the only country to close construction (and have to pay construction workers pandemic payments)
    We have kept hospitality, non essential retail closed longer than any other country. So not only do we lose tax take from these areas, but we have to pay income supports for them all also.

    We do not have to do these things - its a unique scenario to Ireland having this much industry closed for this long. The justification seems to be that sure we can just borrow, be grand. The figures show a different story though - we cant afford to just borrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,775 ✭✭✭Knine


    crossman47 wrote: »
    And maybe what you are doing is fine but if everyone uses their own judgement, we'll have numbers rising quickly again. Its pointless saying this anyway as people are ignoring advice and then wondering how they got Covid "I only went shopping, etc but had friends over for coffee)

    We followed all advice including the schools are safe lies & now look at us!

    Meanwhile the neighbours are having parties & meeting up in hordes!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,100 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    10K won't cut it with the public. I'd say most people travel 10K frequently anyway, if its schools, a hardware store, butchers etc.

    5K to 10K is like giving a 1% pay rise and increasing VAT by 1% at the same time.

    The rationale for that was given in yesterday's Indo

    "The prospect of people being able to travel around their home county, which some ministers have argued for, is thought to have diminished in recent days.

    "Nphet will look at that and go 'what's the bare minimum necessary to give people a bit of hope and optimism while not really changing anything'. I think it could be 10km," a government source said."

    https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/revealed-tight-covid-restrictions-until-may-as-virus-surges-40247322.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    So, this is what he said:

    "The B117 variant, Ireland’s most dominant variant of COVID-19 accounts for more than 90% of our cases and is extremely transmissible. Public health advice aims to limit the opportunities this virus has to spread, and it should be noted that B117 does not need much opportunity to do so. The most effective way to stop the spread of this variant and all variants of COVID-19 is to limit your social contacts and follow public health advice."

    So the original strain wasn't extremely transmissible, what was the need of the initial lockdown so?

    Matt Hancock is on TV now, on about new varients, but never mentions this UK variant, its like the new virus we have here, doesn't exist over there.

    Because he is in the UK and they just call it covid as its the dominant strain.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    KrustyUCC wrote: »
    The rationale for that was given in yesterday's Indo

    "The prospect of people being able to travel around their home county, which some ministers have argued for, is thought to have diminished in recent days.

    "Nphet will look at that and go 'what's the bare minimum necessary to give people a bit of hope and optimism while not really changing anything'. I think it could be 10km," a government source said."

    https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/revealed-tight-covid-restrictions-until-may-as-virus-surges-40247322.html

    This notion that NPHET are up on an eerie like Mordor with a cat-o-nine tales is really stupid at this stage. The Government is handing them the weapons they can use is it their fault that they are been given cluster bombs instead of cruise missiles.The strategy needs to change, Government decide on the strategy.:rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,451 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    People want hope, they want restrictions (but not for themselves), they want to return to normal but don't want another wave, they want to travel but not others to travel.

    Sort that out.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Christ.
    Yeah, it's likely to be the case. Be grateful there is finally tacit recognition of issues around continued compliance and people's frustrations. Of more importance is what the overall structure of the rest of the plan is like.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,100 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    Christ.

    I know

    Always going to be the way though with our slow cautious approach

    The bare minimum to placate people for the next six weeks

    They know they have to change the 5km but it won't be a massive change

    Funny the Covid plan has 5km or countywide travel so they're making their own plan redundant at the first opportunity again


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Some comments from Niamh O'Beirne , HSE Lead for Testing and Tracing, on current cases - social interaction. Also talks about testing plans in April.
    Ms O'Beirne said currently around 20% of people come under a community transmission category and do not know where they might have contracted the virus.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0329/1206691-coronavirus-ireland-latest/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 273 ✭✭Accidentally


    Christ.

    They can announce 10k if they want, but it's just going to lead to more people ignoring them. It's fairly obvious that people are moving on with their lives, and will continue to do so with or without NPHET or the government.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,147 ✭✭✭Rosita


    KrustyUCC wrote: »

    Funny the Covid plan has 5km or countywide travel so they're making their own plan redundant at the first opportunity again

    This is an important point. Almost from the point that the government launched the various Levels 1-5 they were somewhere between smudged and irrelevant. It should inform people desperately looking for a "roadmap" - any such thing would be a shot in the dark which would be just another target for criticism from those who'd study every syllable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I'm finding it increasingly hard to be grateful after 3 months and counting of "ah sure, we'll see next month" TBH.
    It's anxiety and data over human need for NPHET. I understand that but we are definitely at a point where we need a better vision from the government. Like others hearing more anecdotal stuff about people just not bothering any more.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,678 ✭✭✭Multipass


    They can announce 10k if they want, but it's just going to lead to more people ignoring them. It's fairly obvious that people are moving on with their lives, and will continue to do so with or without NPHET or the government.

    All of this agonising over 5, 10, 20.78km is just amusing now. The fact that anyone still takes it seriously is bizarre, and good luck to them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,106 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    Can someone answer this I'm sure there must be a logical explanation

    Why have walk in testing centres been set up now ? And not last year ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,992 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    You link to an single article in January 2021, and neglect to mention that the police had to apologise afterwards to the women for their heavy handed approach, after being crucified on social media and criticised by their own government
    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/uk-england-derbyshire-55625062And, yes, park benches have not been taped up since the end of lockdown one last year. And there has been a complete change in policing, even if the ‘stay at home’ ruling theoretically remains in place (albeit there is no limit laid down in law for travel distance to exercise)

    As for the Reuters article. All very interesting, and no-one denies the late 2020 surge, but case rates in Ireland and the UK now, despite an increased level of mobility and mixing and schools, no longer support this ongoing narrative of the dangers of this super transmissible UK variant.

    Incorrect.

    I linked to two articles from January detailing the UKs governments statement on the policing of UK restrictions including parking benches (which you pooh poohed etc) and other things.

    Any outcome of the previous story regarding the ladies which you came up with - is largely irrelevant. It still shows the type of policing which has occurred to date in the UK.

    As for the reuters article it clearly details the evolution and spread of the B.1.1.7 variant in the UK - the one you referred to as "Ah yes, the UK variant.....that old chestnut"

    This is what the Reuters article said about that "old chestnut"
    the new variant quickly spread from Kent across London and southern England, going from an estimated 3% of cases in England at the end of October to 96% at the start of February. The surge pushed Britain’s Covid death toll into six figures; it now stands at 126,000. Two-thirds of those deaths have occurred since Sept. 20, when the variant was first detected. 

    The article also details that in the  race between vaccines and variant - "Britain is now emerging piecemeal from a three-month lockdown that, alongside a fast-moving vaccination programme"

    Quick question here. You keep making claims that there's little policing of restrictions in the UK, that's there's been a complete seachange in policing, etc etc etc

    And all that without a single article or link to back any of that up. Now if you don't want to provide links that's fine btw but criticising those who do is a bit rich tbh.

    Now ok if you're relying on your own experiences but as you've said you've been decamping between Ireland and Spain all the while and only planning on heading to the UK once Spain removes its travel ban to the UK. However generally second or third hand anecdotes don't really work on an anonymous Internet forum tbf.

    Thats about it.


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  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Nothing of significance will change come April 5.

    We'll be thrown a token handful of crumbs whilst being asked to be grateful for everything we are given.


This discussion has been closed.
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