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Covid 19 Part XXXIII-231,484 ROI(4,610 deaths)116,197 NI (2,107 deaths)(23/03)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,070 ✭✭✭✭fits


    seamus wrote: »
    I think vaccination is fine. It's about their religious worship practices, which are incompatible with social distancing, and the community would rather get sick and die than forgo their religious activities.

    Insanely high case numbers therefore happen when you have millions of people mixing in close contact with no health measures.

    For example, this funeral in January:
    image.jpg


    There was a mad article in I think New York Times recently. About orthodox community and covid. An eye opener.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,145 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    ...so is it only in Ireland that there have been stillbirths, nowhere else in the world ?????
    Really ?? That kinda beggars belief :confused:

    Would you rather women didn't know? Keep them in blissful ignorance, because their doctors know best? Is that it?
    I really thought we had put this kind of paternalism when it comes to women's health behind us.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,070 ✭✭✭✭fits


    fits wrote: »
    There was a mad article in I think New York Times recently. About orthodox community and covid. An eye opener.

    Here it is. Well worth a read. Long article though

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/02/17/world/middleeast/israel-orthodox-jews-haredim.html


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    SeaMermaid wrote: »
    Reminds me of school and some students would claim they didn't lift a book to study ever and they encouraged their peers to do the same. Then they come out from the leaving cert with all honours over 500/550 points to 600. Doing very well and apparently without a tap of study done in years. While their peers come out doing poorly and their poor results show their lack of studies.

    Many of these people writing publicly on forums of being proud to breaking lockdown and putting themselves at risk and encouraging spread of disease - are nearly spurring their readers to do the same - and they will emerge from this pandemic as healthy as possible. Just keyboard warriors being bored with lockdown and being safe behind their screens, tapping away at their keys.

    Weren't you trying to link rising cases with schools being open again since Monday of this week? The comment is from yesterday morning.
    https://touch.boards.ie/thread/post/116473448


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,399 ✭✭✭✭ThunbergsAreGo


    OwenM wrote: »
    For something so preliminary and speculative we also have a common name (Covid Placentitis) for it? Needless doom mongering and Glynn could easily have sidestepped that question if he wanted to.

    Setting the age range of death to 0-96 was always going to cause questions


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,072 ✭✭✭MarkY91


    Does anyone know of any protests happening this weekend in Dublin?

    Would be interesting to see how the Garda would react this time. I think they deserved a lot of respect last weekend dealing with the scum of our society.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭muddypuppy


    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0304/1200970-archdiocese-communion-dublin/
    The advice came as a parish in west Dublin stopped handing out communion to 130 parishioners on Sundays, after gardaí advised it should not be doing so.

    [...]

    "They used to come through the main entrance of the church, receive communion and leave through the exit door. On these days we were having 130 people over a period of two hours," Fr Mathew said.

    [...]

    Fr Binoy Mathew, co-Parish Priest of Mountview and Blakestown Parish in Dublin, said that since November parishioners were visiting the Church of the Sacred Heart of Jesus in Huntstown to get communion after watching mass online on Sundays.

    Well it seems that not only young people are breaking covid regulations to party. I'm not surprised but a bit sad to not see any fines handled - if anybody else was doing it (think of a shop doing click and collect now - "customers used to come through the main entrance of the shop, receive their packages and leave through the exit door" ) I'm sure it would have made the headlines.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Yes, this is the risk, and those are bad numbers. The risks have been kept in check by low infections due to restrictions. If we reach for example, half the population vaccinated, half the population not, then with a relaxation of restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths will soar. It will be far more dangerous in the coming months for the unvaccinated than it is today.

    That's actually a completely incorrect conclusion to come too. You vaccinate the at risk and vulnerable groups, your claim suggests the virus is dangerous to all who contract it which all evidence suggests is completely wrong.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    muddypuppy wrote: »
    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0304/1200970-archdiocese-communion-dublin/



    Well it seems that not only young people are breaking covid regulations to party. I'm not surprised but a bit sad to not see any fines handled - if anybody else was doing it (think of a shop doing click and collect now - "customers used to come through the main entrance of the shop, receive their packages and leave through the exit door" ) I'm sure it would have made the headlines.

    Maybe it was students on the way to a house party stopping off for a bit of communion. Otherwise it suggests students/ younger people are being unfairly targeted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,355 ✭✭✭gipi


    muddypuppy wrote: »
    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0304/1200970-archdiocese-communion-dublin/



    Well it seems that not only young people are breaking covid regulations to party. I'm not surprised but a bit sad to not see any fines handled - if anybody else was doing it (think of a shop doing click and collect now - "customers used to come through the main entrance of the shop, receive their packages and leave through the exit door" ) I'm sure it would have made the headlines.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/dunnes-stores-accused-of-flouting-covid-rules-with-click-and-collect-1.4497583

    Like Dunnes Stores? Still offering click and collect, by all accounts.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,511 ✭✭✭lee_baby_simms


    Maybe it was students on the way to a house party stopping off for a bit of communion. Otherwise it suggests students/ younger people are being unfairly targeted.

    I fully expect a tweet from Simon Harris today describing what went on in that church was “a kick in the teeth to everyone who has sacrificed so much”.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭muddypuppy


    gipi wrote: »

    Dunnes is operating on a gray line tbf, since they're considered an essential store and are allowed to be open. What I meant is a store that's not considered essential.

    Also I would argue that clothes and homewares are essential (but yes, I know that the government doesn't agree with me).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    To put it into context: 70% of 12914 = 9039 hospitalized
    70% of 1296 = 907 went to ICU
    I'm not 100% sure on the percentages, but it's up there around 70% over the past 12 months.

    These are the stats that matter:
    (Profile of COVID-19 Deaths and Cases up to and including Friday February 19 2021 - from CSO)

    Age | Deaths | Median Age | Cases | Median Age
    0-14 | 0 | 0 | 18,753 | 8
    15-24 | .. | .. | 37,709 | 20
    25-44 | 35 | 36 | 72,738 | 34
    45-64 | 252 | 58 | 57,025 | 53
    65-79 | 1,138 | 74 | 16,788 | 72
    80+ | 2,454 | 87 | 11,809 | 86

    As you can see the most at risk are over 65s, below that its a tiny portion of the population at risk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,264 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    gipi wrote: »

    I just tried and its not available online , delivery only


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,561 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    Would you rather women didn't know? Keep them in blissful ignorance, because their doctors know best? Is that it?
    I really thought we had put this kind of paternalism when it comes to women's health behind us.

    Yep, the same people probably constantly demanding open disclosure and accusing Holohan of trying to "cover up" CervicalCheck issues by having a private inquiry before making everything public.

    You either want a paternalistic medical culture that tries to treat people with blissful ignorance, or you want one that is open and honest about things. There's no in between. You can't have both.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    timmyntc wrote: »
    These are the stats that matter:
    (Profile of COVID-19 Deaths and Cases up to and including Friday February 19 2021 - from CSO)

    Age | Deaths | Median Age | Cases | Median Age
    0-14 | 0 | 0 | 18,753 | 8
    15-24 | .. | .. | 37,709 | 20
    25-44 | 35 | 36 | 72,738 | 34
    45-64 | 252 | 58 | 57,025 | 53
    65-79 | 1,138 | 74 | 16,788 | 72
    80+ | 2,454 | 87 | 11,809 | 86

    As you can see the most at risk are over 65s, below that its a tiny portion of the population at risk.
    I would consider age breakdown of hospitalisation and icu admission to be just as important (and not as heavily skewed to fit your ambition).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Amirani wrote: »
    Yep, the same people probably constantly demanding open disclosure and accusing Holohan of trying to "cover up" CervicalCheck issues by having a private inquiry before making everything public.

    You either want a paternalistic medical culture that tries to treat people with blissful ignorance, or you want one that is open and honest about things. There's no in between. You can't have both.

    How about when asked, Glynn responds "There is no evidence both nationally or internationally of covid-19 causing stillbirths. The coroner is investigating these 4 cases, however we believe that covid19 was not a factor."

    And also don't list 4 stillbirths in the death statistics until you actually know that covid19 was a factor - because right now the evidence is overwhelmingly against that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,639 ✭✭✭completedit


    Hearing that in Bulgaria everything but nightclubs are now open. Businesses supposed to be at 50% capacity but Sofia has pretty much returned to normal. Honestly, we're such a passive country(for better or worse)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    I would consider age breakdown of hospitalisation and icu admission to be just as important (and not as heavily skewed to fit your ambition).

    Did you just accuse the CSO's death statistics to be skewed to fit my personal ambition? :confused:


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,561 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    timmyntc wrote: »
    How about when asked, Glynn responds "There is no evidence both nationally or internationally of covid-19 causing stillbirths. The coroner is investigating these 4 cases, however we believe that covid19 was not a factor."

    Because that's not what the Institute of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists are saying: https://www.rcpi.ie/news/releases/statement-from-the-institute-of-obstetricians-and-gynaecologists-4/

    If he said what you said then he'd be lying to make people feel better. They haven't formed a "belief" yet, it's being investigated.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,541 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    timmyntc wrote: »
    These are the stats that matter:
    (Profile of COVID-19 Deaths and Cases up to and including Friday February 19 2021 - from CSO)

    Age | Deaths | Median Age | Cases | Median Age
    0-14 | 0 | 0 | 18,753 | 8
    15-24 | .. | .. | 37,709 | 20
    25-44 | 35 | 36 | 72,738 | 34
    45-64 | 252 | 58 | 57,025 | 53
    65-79 | 1,138 | 74 | 16,788 | 72
    80+ | 2,454 | 87 | 11,809 | 86

    As you can see the most at risk are over 65s, below that its a tiny portion of the population at risk.

    The OP was in the mindset that because the flu hospitalised less people than covid, we should vaccinate all over 70's and open up. I merely was saying just vaccinating the over 70's and opening up would still see hospitals under pressure (assuming cases increase).

    If you vaccinate all over 70's, all over 18's in the high risk category and all HCW's, then the numbers dying and being hospitalised would be or should be entirely manageable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,578 ✭✭✭✭Turtwig


    timmyntc wrote: »
    Did you just accuse the CSO's death statistics to be skewed to fit my personal ambition? :confused:

    No.
    He or she quite clearly did not do this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    The OP was in the mindset that because the flu hospitalised less people than covid, we should vaccinate all over 70's and open up. I merely was saying just vaccinating the over 70's and opening up would still see hospitals under pressure (assuming cases increase).

    If you vaccinate all over 70's, all over 18's in the high risk category and all HCW's, then the numbers dying and being hospitalised would be or should be entirely manageable.

    Of the under 65s who died from covid, I think something mad like 90% had an underlying condition. I will try find the CSO data for that.
    Turtwig wrote: »
    No.
    He or she quite clearly did not do this.
    That you drew this interpretation is actually quite fascinating.
    I would consider age breakdown of hospitalisation and icu admission to be just as important (and not as heavily skewed to fit your ambition).

    The data is the data. Its the whole death range for all ages. How can it be skewed?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Amirani wrote: »
    Because that's not what the Institute of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists are saying: https://www.rcpi.ie/news/releases/statement-from-the-institute-of-obstetricians-and-gynaecologists-4/

    If he said what you said then he'd be lying to make people feel better. They haven't formed a "belief" yet, it's being investigated.

    Fair enough, technically they shouldnt state a belief. But the rest of my point stands - statistically speaking its incredibly unlikely, so to list them in the deaths already and then defer to the outcome of the coroners report with no reference to the fact that this hasnt been spotted anywhere across the world yet in any real numbers - its dishonest at best.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,541 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    timmyntc wrote: »
    Of the under 65s who died from covid, I think something mad like 90% had an underlying condition. I will try find the CSO data for that.





    The data is the data. Its the whole death range for all ages. How can it be skewed?

    I don't doubt that, but my point was not related to deaths, it was related to hospital and ICU figures and protecting the 70+ cohort (via vaccinations) will drastically reduce deaths, however it won't reduce the number of people in hospital and ICU by the same factor.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    This is up to end of January:
    CSO wrote:
    Underlying Conditions

    Due to the recent surge in cases there are a large volume of deaths and cases where underlying cases are unknown, which means the numbers of cases with underlying conditions in recent weeks are likely to be underestimated.

    Since the start of the pandemic, there have been 2,504 deaths of people with underlying conditions from 28,326 confirmed cases with underlying conditions. The median age of those dying with underlying conditions is 83.

    There were 2,320 deaths of people with underlying conditions in the over 65 age group. Of the 222 deaths in the 25-64 age group, 183 had underlying conditions.

    In terms of underlying conditions, chronic heart disease was present in 42% of deaths.

    82% actually had underlying condition as it turns out. Still quite high.
    Once over 65s, and all underlying conditions are vaccinated, hard to see any reason not to reopen to a level 3 at the very least.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    I don't doubt that, but my point was not related to deaths, it was related to hospital and ICU figures and protecting the 70+ cohort (via vaccinations) will drastically reduce deaths, however it won't reduce the number of people in hospital and ICU by the same factor.

    I take your point - however over 65s make up a big share of hospital & ICU, so once they are vaccinated we have a much larger capacity for the other cohort.

    And when looking at the role underlying conditions played in deaths under 65, I dont doubt they played a big role in who got hospitalised also.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,561 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    timmyntc wrote: »
    Fair enough, technically they shouldnt state a belief. But the rest of my point stands - statistically speaking its incredibly unlikely, so to list them in the deaths already and then defer to the outcome of the coroners report with no reference to the fact that this hasnt been spotted anywhere across the world yet in any real numbers - its dishonest at best.

    A decision wouldn't have been made to list them in the deaths.

    The process all along in Ireland has been to classify Possible, Probable and Confirmed deaths where Covid is present as Covid deaths, and then de-notify as necessary once more information is available. This is automatic.

    So purely because Covid is involved, it means that these will automatically be counted as possible Covid deaths until a coroner determines otherwise. This isn't new and has been the process since last April or so.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Amirani wrote: »
    A decision wouldn't have been made to list them in the deaths.

    The process all along in Ireland has been to classify Possible, Probable and Confirmed deaths where Covid is present as Covid deaths, and then de-notify as necessary once more information is available. This is automatic.

    So purely because Covid is involved, it means that these will automatically be counted as possible Covid deaths until a coroner determines otherwise. This isn't new and has been the process since last April or so.

    Didn't realise that, makes sense.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75 ✭✭johndanielmoore


    I fully expect a tweet from Simon Harris today describing what went on in that church was “a kick in the teeth to everyone who has sacrificed so much”.

    Please don't hold your breath.


This discussion has been closed.
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