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Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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Comments

  • #3512
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Took 5 mins, thanks Bryan


  • #3513
    Lost Ormond
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,592 ✭✭✭Lost Ormond


    Scotland minus 5 evens
    2nd part of double with Jonny May anytime try scorer already won.


  • #3514
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Loadacock

    ZF ya gimp


  • #3515
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Wales are +7 against England, 12/5 available for the win. Tempting!


  • #3516
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Ireland -21 away to Italy
    England -6 away to Wales
    France -12 home to Scotland

    They all feel about right.


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  • #3517
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,879 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    I reckon all the underdogs cover them, Italy is the one I'd be most concerned about.


  • #3518
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Dragons +25 at home to Leinster feels like good value. Dragons have only failed to cover those points once this year and that was in the reverse fixture against a mostly first choice lineup.


  • #3519
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    For the weekend

    dragons +25 @ evens

    all provinces to win @ 17/10

    folau faingaa 1st @ 15/2
    folau faingaa any time @ 5/6


  • #3520
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Leinster's starting pack scares me so I'm staying away from +25.


  • #3521
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    Leinster's starting pack scares me so I'm staying away from +25.

    its down to 23 now, and i do think with whitehouse there he tends to crucify a team with a large lead going it the last quarter.

    there was value in that +25 in my opinion, though i hate betting against leinster meeting the spread

    forecast is for a wet and windy newport as well


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  • #3522
    Leinstertomas
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 296 ✭✭Leinstertomas


    Leinster -5 HT
    Kearney anytime
    @ 13/8

    Leinster -10 HT
    Racing
    @ 7/5

    Conan and Penny anytime @ 7/1

    Ulster
    Cooney anytime
    Over 28 points
    @ 11/4


  • #3523
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Took the PP special of a provincial clean sweep at 17/10. If all goes well this evening I might look at hedging with Cardiff tomorrow, Connacht have burned me a few times this season.


  • #3524
    fryup
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    Italy to beat Ireland @ 13/1 a tempter?


  • #3525
    Leinstertomas
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 296 ✭✭Leinstertomas


    Reds
    Brumbies -9
    Blues +3
    Ireland HT/FT

    @5/2


  • #3526
    Leinstertomas
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 296 ✭✭Leinstertomas


    fryup wrote: »
    Italy to beat Ireland @ 13/1 a tempter?

    I doubt it.
    You would probably be better off backing Italy at a handicap if you think Ireland will struggle.
    Italy +12 @ 21/10 or something similar to that


  • #3527
    Leinstertomas
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 296 ✭✭Leinstertomas


    France -2 @10/11


  • #3528
    fryup
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    italy win gone up to 14/1 betfair


  • #3529
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    fryup wrote: »
    italy win gone up to 14/1 betfair

    Take Italy with the points if you think they'll do well. I can see Ireland struggling to a 15-20 point win but there's no chance of them losing bar some craziness. Italy are going to concede 30+, it's a question of whether they can put points on the board themselves.


  • #3530
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    Take Italy with the points if you think they'll do well. I can see Ireland struggling to a 15-20 point win but there's no chance of them losing bar some craziness. Italy are going to concede 30+, it's a question of whether they can put points on the board themselves.

    yeah if you want those odds , id be looking at a bet builder acca to give something similar.
    wait till the teams are named and see what extra books are open.

    for example you may get 14/1 if you bet on Italy to score 0.5 tries in each half AND italy say +12


  • #3531
    fryup
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    what's a 0.5 try ??


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  • #3532
    Lost Ormond
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,592 ✭✭✭Lost Ormond


    fryup wrote: »
    what's a 0.5 try ??

    If you bet on 0.5 tries you are betting if there will be one or more tries scored by team/player/in that game


  • #3533
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    fryup wrote: »
    what's a 0.5 try ??

    essentially its to score at least 1 try in each half..

    its presented as, say, 1.5 or 2.5 so that theres no confusion

    for example, over 2.5 trys means 3 or more trys.


  • #3534
    fryup
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    so italy to score a try each half would be a safer bet you think?


  • #3535
    Thrashssacre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,284 ✭✭✭Thrashssacre


    fryup wrote: »
    so italy to score a try each half would be a safer bet you think?

    Wouldn't call it a safe bet but definitely a much better chance then them winning.


  • #3536
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    fryup wrote: »
    so italy to score a try each half would be a safer bet you think?

    Yeah but you won't bet anything close to 14/1 on that


  • #3537
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Took a Munster/Connacht/Ulster to win treble before the lines moved. Got it at 0.9/1.


  • #3538
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    ireland +21 @ evens
    larmour anytime @ 13/2
    kelleher anytime @ 11/10

    connacht -8 @ evens

    highlanders +9 @ 10/11
    highlanders win @ 5/2
    ash dixon 1st @ 20/1
    ash dixon anytime @ 11/4

    france grand slam @ 3/1
    dupont player of the tournament @ 12/1


  • #3539
    fryup
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    france grand slam @ 3/1

    that looks unlikely now, unless its postponed till autumn


  • #3540
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 43,082 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    fryup wrote: »
    that looks unlikely now, unless its postponed till autumn

    yeah i took it at those odds after the ireland game.

    id be surprised if its forfeited... if it requires a game in autumn so be it, theres history for doing that already


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  • #3541
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Small stake on Glasgow +19. Feels a few points too high but I hate taking the opponent's points in the RDS.


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