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Covid 19 Part XXXI-187,554 ROI (2,970 deaths) 100,319 NI (1,730 deaths)(24/01)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,429 ✭✭✭PCeeeee


    y2k2020 wrote: »
    Anything that requires hard work won't be done

    Pacific countries have work ethic, us westerners have none

    Which is why they are having concerts and laughing their heads off at us.

    We are a bunch of morons

    Why are you lazy?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Sets precedent for Tony to advise the same, not good

    What precedent? We all knew this was going on until the end of Feb at the earliest.

    Its not exactly a surprise


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,554 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    seamus wrote: »
    By the way Donnelly goes on, he either doesn't or he's paying his advisor too much.

    The irony here is that Donnelly is exactly the guy who would have gone mad at this and accused the MoH of being sloppy.

    Susan Mitchell (formerly deputy editor of the Business Post) is one of his key communication advisors.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,181 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    Amirani wrote: »
    Susan Mitchell (formerly deputy editor of the Business Post) is one of his key communication advisors.

    Colette Sexton recently left too I think. Only started the job in October.

    https://twitter.com/eoghanymurphy/status/1348060723335847936


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    is_that_so wrote: »
    It's not a long finger job it's a No, always has been from him. Very early on he said "it's not what we do". The constant control the travel narrative ignores the fact that it is behaviours within the community which are spreading this.

    I agree with you that fundamentally it is behaviour amongst the community that is driving the spread - at the moment.

    And I was of the opinion that during the summer questions regarding travel were given too much prominence when the amount of imported cases was then miniscule, relative to "homegrown" cases. There is a danger that focusing too much on travel allows people to take their own eyes off the ball in their own behaviour.

    But, at the same time, there is a danger posed by travel into the country. It has been flagged multiple times by NPHET and swathes of experts.

    Obviously the relatively large amounts of people who travelled into the country through December played some significant role in the madness of case numbers that ensued. Travel did play a role.

    And now there is the added risk of new variants being imported from abroad, we've already been burnt here. Why there isn't more caution in case of these eventualities is amazing to me.

    And another aspect is once you lower cases, then the relative risk from imported cases increases substantially.

    I completely understand the need for current restrictions, but I equally don't understand the completely ham fisted and lackadaisical approach taken to inbound travel into the country. It's farcicial that they have no concrete and robust measures of worth after nearly a year. It's actually negligent.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,578 ✭✭✭✭Turtwig


    Is today when the updated guidance on ventilation is due to be published?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 314 ✭✭Golfman64


    Arghus wrote: »
    I agree with you that fundamentally it is behaviour amongst the community that is driving the spread - at the moment.

    And I was of the opinion that during the summer questions regarding travel were given too much prominence when the amount of imported cases was then miniscule, relative to "homegrown" cases. There is a danger that focusing too much on travel allows people to take their own eyes off the ball in their own behaviour.

    But, at the same time, there is a danger posed by travel into the country. It has been flagged multiple times by NPHET and swathes of experts.

    Obviously the relatively large amounts of people who travelled into the country through December played some significant role in the madness of case numbers that ensued. Travel did play a role.

    And now there is the added risk of new variants being imported from abroad, we've already been burnt here. Why there isn't more caution in case of these eventualities is amazing to me.

    And another aspect is once you lower cases, then the relative risk from imported cases increases substantially.

    I completely understand the need for current restrictions, but I equally don't understand the completely ham fisted and lackadaisical approach taken to inbound travel into the country. It's farcicial that they have no concrete and robust measures of worth after nearly a year. It's actually negligent.

    There's a broad range of measures that could be inferred from the recommendations of the public health team being anything from enacting the current 'restriction of movements advisory' into a legal requirement, to measures as extreme as NZ or Australia with mandatory 'health hotel' quarantines. I suspect the maximum (and even this seems unlikely) that would be considered in Ireland would be a legally enforced restriction of movements until a negative test on day 5 from high risk countries. Given the efforts to enact this type of legislation and the fact that we are likely to see somewhat of a return to normality of at least intra EU travel in Q3 of 2021, it's probably not worth the effort.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,534 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    Was there any swabs today?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    Was there any swabs today?

    There was indeed. 2300 swabs, 10.17% positivity rate. Bookmark this (IrishStuff09 developed the site)

    https://covid19.shanehastings.eu/api/swabs/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,181 ✭✭✭✭Eod100




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,195 ✭✭✭Corruptedmorals


    y2k2020 wrote: »
    It's not the low hanging fruit anymore

    It's the office's

    So many people are coming into office's that can WFH it's ridiculous

    Look at the HSE, they have a **** load of admin staff on site

    If our own government won't do it for own staff, why would private care?

    Have HSE ever heard of virtual machines or remote desktop?


    Well a lot of the admin staff are needed on site. On site is where the patients are, where the medical teams and nursing are, and where the patient charts are. Mine and all of the admin staff around me revolve around physically being there for those reasons. I would imagine plenty of the non-hospital admin staff are indeed working from home.

    But there are too many working. Busses are at 25% capacity and this week cut the service to Saturday timetables Monday-Friday. Lots of busses now can only serve the first 8 or so stops and then nothing else the whole way in. It's a nightmare. I have to talk to the start of the route to get on and am lucky it's not that much further than normal. Technically the busses should be fine if it was essential workers only.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    Was there any swabs today?

    Yes.

    2300.

    They seem to have changed how thet are reporting swabs (with previous days swabs increasing msot days) so Im not sure how useful the daily numbers are.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,257 ✭✭✭✭castletownman


    I hadn't realised that Holohan's latest remarks were in a letter to the Minister for Health. It's not as bad so and I got my wires crossed.

    Then again, when the headline is "Tony Holohan predicts as many as 1000 Covid deaths in January" as a news notification on my phone, I don't tend to click in for the daily gloom. Media-driven scaremongering.

    I find its better for my mental health.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,039 ✭✭✭✭SEPT 23 1989


    Not great


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    I hadn't realised that Holohan's latest remarks were in a letter to the Minister for Health. It's not as bad so and I got my wires crossed.

    Then again, when the headline is "Tony Holohan predicts as many as 1000 Covid deaths in January" as a news notification on my phone, I don't tend to click in for the daily gloom. Media-driven scaremongering.

    I find its better for my mental health.

    Context makes a massive difference.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 346 ✭✭redt0m


    Eod100 wrote: »
    51 deaths, 2,608 cases


    How many deaths is that now in January alone?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    wadacrack wrote: »
    It has plateaued tbh, Ro I would think is at about 1 or maybe abit below that hopefully.


    https://twitter.com/gpbuddy/status/1352275717925588992

    Calculating R0 based on an incomplete survey of GPs is probably not the most reliable method.

    A doctor on twitter pointed out that these numbers are possibly plateauing because GPs are referring close contacts (if they claim to have symptoms) for testing rather than the contact tracers, so this means GP referrals will stay higher as they are doing more of the referral work than normal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    redt0m wrote: »
    How many deaths is that now in January alone?

    536 deaths reported so far this month.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    Turtwig wrote: »
    Would you prefer the CMO made up the facts for policymakers to base their decisions off?

    Fwiw, In pretty much every one of his letters I've read there's pretty much a paragraph every time praising the Irish people for their effort and the enormous sacrifices being made by various demographics. Some of the hard hit groups that barely even get media coverage.

    Literally the very first thing I heard when I tuned into the briefing was Philip Nolan, midsentence, saying: "... the people of Ireland have made exceptional efforts to bring the disease under control."

    But yet the myth of the widespread unacknowledgement of that from NPHET will be repeated again and again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,534 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    Yes.

    2300.

    They seem to have changed how thet are reporting swabs (with previous days swabs increasing msot days) so Im not sure how useful the daily numbers are.

    They've changed how they report swabs.... That sounds ominous


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,923 ✭✭✭Bananaleaf


    536 deaths reported so far this month.

    Jesus, that's grim.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Yes.

    2300.

    They seem to have changed how thet are reporting swabs (with previous days swabs increasing msot days) so Im not sure how useful the daily numbers are.

    It was explain by Professor Nolan last week about the backlog or the misconception it was cleared. They typically report cases based on the previous 3 days of swabs. It's generally ~80% of swabs in the past 24hrs and ~10% the day before and ~10% the day before that. Obviously there's a daily cut off point where they start matching swabs with cases and any swabs to be counted past that would be matched up the following day etc...

    Short answer is, as swabs are decreasing, the cases can be a little higher if the swabs are reducing daily by less than 10%. A similar issue arises when swabs increase, cases will be lower than swabs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,181 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    536 deaths reported so far this month.

    More than December and November combined and it's not even finished. Grim


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,119 ✭✭✭manofwisdom


    Seven day average is 2699 cases per day been falling for 11 days in a row. It was 5074 last Thursday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    Eod100 wrote: »
    More than December and November combined and it's not even finished. Grim

    Almost a third of the total deaths from the pandemic more or less are in January.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,923 ✭✭✭Bananaleaf


    Seven day average is 2699 cases per day been falling for 11 days in a row. It was 5074 last Thursday.

    Are we back testing close contacts?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭Martina1991


    Bananaleaf wrote: »
    Are we back testing close contacts?
    Contact tracing still happens. Contacts are informed but not referred for a test.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    Bananaleaf wrote: »
    Are we back testing close contacts?

    Not yet. They want daily cases under 2000.

    Or at least that was the last indication I saw.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,077 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1352317635766136832

    That would still be good progress from where we were


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 200 ✭✭darem93


    Jesus cases are still remaining steady and even creeping up a little bit. I was hoping we'd be seeing them under 2,000 by now.


This discussion has been closed.
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