Racing Uncertainties

pottokblue wrote: »

Good luck with Jolymaker I have it in my placepot. I also have a WIN bet on Mocremehas. I think that JP might have a couple of Sunday winners and Limerick to win the Liam Cup

Yeah, that Mocacreme Has looks the likely winner... Not for me at 5/4 though.. His first run over the sticks was promising..

The one I'd like to be on each way; as I only just looked at the race, and he is still a nice price is Balleticon at around 9/2. Might back him yet. Was a good run at Bangor lto in a Bumper, where he came a respectable 5th, not beaten far in a good time. First run over the sticks, and a long absence though.

Not liking the second fav The Hoax at all, as he ran no sort of race on heavy in his bumper, but he did come 2nd lto in a hurdles race, but that was on good ground.

Maybe back Balleticon e/w, or w/o jolly, or both Decisions decisions :pac:

Edit to add I have done Balleticon win at 4/1 just now - for stats purposes

Good luck all

1.15 Comeatchoo 10/1 e/w

Deleted User wrote: »

2.30 Southwell Dame du Soir 22/1 e/w

Bit of a punt this one. I think the second and third favourites are vulnerable; either owing to the ground, which is soft (Nordica Bleue) , and the trip which may be too short at 2m (Shantung). The selection is mainly a chaser, and, in her few hurdles bids she has only prevailed once. I'm hoping she can take a lead, and at least be still in contention before the taps are turned on.

Not at all confident about this one's chances, but at the prices I can't resist having a bet all the same :P Saying that though, if one or two at the top of the market don't run as well as expected the door could be left open for a bigger priced one to get a place.

2nd

Delighted with that - Nordica Bleue withdrawn at start left just two places with only 7 runners. Was touch and go if she'd get placed coming to the last.

5.30 Kempton Purple Paddy 15/2 e/w , Casavola 28/1 e/w

Will give this Purple Paddy another chance. Needs a smooth passage, and can come with a sustained burst at the end.

Casavola is a punt job. 4 runs, and she's finished closer to the winner each time.

Deleted User wrote: »

5.30 Kempton Purple Paddy 15/2 e/w , Casavola 28/1 e/w

Will give this Purple Paddy another chance. Needs a smooth passage, and can come with a sustained burst at the end.

Casavola is a punt job. 4 runs, and she's finished closer to the winner each time.

Casavola out to 80-100/1 :P A fourth place will do

Deleted User wrote: »

5.30 Kempton Purple Paddy 15/2 e/w , Casavola 28/1 e/w

Will give this Purple Paddy another chance. Needs a smooth passage, and can come with a sustained burst at the end.

Casavola is a punt job. 4 runs, and she's finished closer to the winner each time.

A place for Purple Paddy is all... Note to self: Purple Paddy is a horse who needs to be delivered late from off a strongish pace,,, He's got a sudden burst of speed at the business end which he can sustain for about 120-150yds, or so... Not much good if he's too far back, and with a wall of horses in front of him.

Must back Purple Paddy in similar races as the last twice; but in 8-9 runner affairs, and not 13 or 14 like what he's being tackling recently,,

Not much with the olde P & L - about 1.5ps loss, and will update later..

15/12

Following on from yesterday's tale of woe where I spied too late a couple I put up before at massive prices I've noticed 2 running today that I've put up before; and I won't miss out again.

Granted, neither of em are anywhere near as big, but I'm not letting them go without having a jab..

Both e/w at Newcastle

3.45 Clay Regazzoni 5/1
I believe he was a tad unlucky lto at Wolves, and had to go the long way around, as he couldn't get a rail sit.

5.25 Nellie French 20/1
This one I remember putting up as a punt before, and she still is today :P
I see Laoise (who I also put up before) is in this race, but I think 5 is too short for her, so just Nellie for me in this.

Another few , also at Newcastle that I don't think I've put up before, and am going each way on are:

4.55 Blazing Dreams 8/1 , Firsteen 8/1

5.25 Dandizette 20/1
Another one in the 5.25, and each way also.. I think this 3yr old is capable, and has just lost her way recently.. Her third run for Mrs Carr.. The first of the previous two was over C & D where she tried to make all and faded in the last furlong. Is racing off 52 today, and has won before from a mark of 69 last year over the same trip at Musselburgh on the turf. Am hoping Ruth has found the key to her. Jock is A Mullen, so that usually gives a sinking feeling. Hopefully he's on his game today.

No great confidence in any of the above, but I've not been confident before and done okay.

Looking forward to finding one at a price in the near future that I can be bullish about... Meanwhile, I'll still try and find a dart or three to throw most days, lest I get too lazy

G'luck :pac::pac:

Deleted User wrote: »

7/12

A couple I really like today, and one's a punt...


4.05 Wolves Greengage 8/1 e/w
I think 12fs at the course is ideal for this mare. She was staying on well at the course over 2 1/2fs less a couple of runs back. That was in a Class 5 - goes today in a Class 6. Drawn wide in 10 should be ideal for a hold-up performer. Is twice a course winner, and has won over today's trip before at Newcastle.

3.55 Chelmsford Lady Alavesa 22/1 e/w
Another mare, and performs best when held up. Only 8 in this race, so hopefully she won't encounter too much trouble when making a late bid for glory. Has been banging on the door the last twice she ran here (over C & D). I'm confident of a good run today at a juicy price.

Plumpton 2.05 Mon Petit Cheri 150/1 e/w hope
I was scrolling through the racecard, and "The Chase" was on, and just as I was glancing at this one a question about Tony Blair was asked by Bradders. Could be written in stars, and her trainer who is also a female has been among the winners recently, and Paige the jockey has feminine credentials also. This one is a filly, so in the same ballpark as the other two (confident) selections. Stranger things have been known to happen eh?

Gluck Am due

It's getting chronic now

Glanced at that first race at Newcastle, and didn't have a proper look, as for some reason I thought it was an amateur race :mad:

Wins at 12/1. Fark me :pac:

Deleted User wrote: »

15/12

Following on from yesterday's tale of woe where I spied too late a couple I put up before at massive prices I've noticed 2 running today that I've put up before; and I won't miss out again.

Granted, neither of em are anywhere near as big, but I'm not letting them go without having a jab..

Both e/w at Newcastle

3.45 Clay Regazzoni 5/1
I believe he was a tad unlucky lto at Wolves, and had to go the long way around, as he couldn't get a rail sit.

5.25 Nellie French 20/1
This one I remember putting up as a punt before, and she still is today :P
I see Laoise (who I also put up before) is in this race, but I think 5 is too short for her, so just Nellie for me in this.

Another few , also at Newcastle that I don't think I've put up before, and am going each way on are:

4.55 Blazing Dreams 8/1 , Firsteen 8/1

5.25 Dandizette 20/1
Another one in the 5.25, and each way also.. I think this 3yr old is capable, and has just lost her way recently.. Her third run for Mrs Carr.. The first of the previous two was over C & D where she tried to make all and faded in the last furlong. Is racing off 52 today, and has won before from a mark of 69 last year over the same trip at Musselburgh on the turf. Am hoping Ruth has found the key to her. Jock is A Mullen, so that usually gives a sinking feeling. Hopefully he's on his game today.

No great confidence in any of the above, but I've not been confident before and done okay.

Looking forward to finding one at a price in the near future that I can be bullish about... Meanwhile, I'll still try and find a dart or three to throw most days, lest I get too lazy

G'luck :pac::pac:

NR now Blazing Dreams

7.10 Wolves Swissal 9/1 e/w

Likes to be held up. About 1/2 the field like to be in front, so should suit one what comes from behind.

Nothing there either - never even in with a shout. Just a crap day :mad:

15/12

Running P & L + 42.8pts

Invested 16pts. Blazing Dreams 4.55 NR @ 2pts. Total at play 14pts.

Returns - none

Total at play 14pts - returns zero

Loss for the day 14pts

Running invested total - 625pts

Total P & L + 28.8pts

2 e/w at Lingfield
2.45 Capriolette 13/2
3.20 Melburnian 9/1

7.35 Kempton Porto Ferro 40/1 e/w

One I've put up before, and she's too big to overlook today. Seems to be a lot of pace on in this 7f affair. Has never won over the trip, or the course, but has won off higher marks in the past. Racing off the basement rating (OR is 43) I'm hoping her 7lb claiming jockey C Hutchinson (who has ridden a few winners) can make the difference; and the selection can at least get a place by coming late to pass beaten horses - that's the hope and theory anyway :pac:

Gluck

6.05 Kempton Espresso Freddo 5/1 win

C & D winner lto... Looks value to win here.