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Covid 19 Part XXVII- 62,002 ROI (1,915 deaths) 39,609 NI (724 deaths) (02/11) Read OP

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Comments

  • #5942
    Non solum non ambulabit
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Stheno wrote: »
    Yep stubbornly stuck there

    Hopefully it starts to decrease later this week

    When level 5 kicks in in about 10 days we'll see Dublin numbers fall.


  • #5943
    Goldrickssan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    ACitizenErased wrote: »
    Its not in level 3 so that doesnt really matter anymore

    It is relevant when the goal when we leave level 5 is going back to level 3


  • #5944
    MerlinSouthDub
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,630 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    Goldrickssan wrote: »
    It is relevant when the goal when we leave level 5 is going back to level 3

    Well level 3 does seem to give stability, so if numbers to down as they should in level 5, it is very low risk to move to level 3. Level 2 in December, on the other hand, sounds pretty risky to me


  • #5945
    Non solum non ambulabit
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    MerlinSouthDub wrote: »
    Today's numbers are a little disappointing I would say. But hard to draw any real conclusions until we get the swab data tomorrow.

    We just need to hold steady until Level 5 kicks in next week sometime.


  • #5946
    KrustyUCC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,100 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    MerlinSouthDub wrote: »
    Well level 3 does seem to give stability, so if numbers to down as they should in level 5, it is very low risk to move to level 3. Level 2 in December, on the other hand, sounds pretty risky to me

    Might be risky but I'm not sure the government can afford not to at least have the travel aspect of level 2 as people will travel to see friends, family, partners at Christmas no matter what level the government say


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  • #5947
    Longing
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,275 ✭✭✭Longing


    ACitizenErased wrote: »
    7 day average today is 1014 compared to 1100 last week.


    So on average we have dropped less than a 100 cases. Not good at all. We need to be dropping more on a weekly basis. This day week we need to be less than 800 average. If we a striving for level 3. But I think it will be level 2 opening for December.


  • #5948
    MerlinSouthDub
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,630 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    KrustyUCC wrote: »
    Might be risky but I'm not sure the government can afford not to at least have the travel aspect of level 2 as people will travel to see friends, family, partners at Christmas no matter what level the government say

    Sorry, yes, they will definitely let people travel. Don't think they'll open pubs/restaurants though


  • #5949
    CIARAN_BOYLE
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    ACitizenErased wrote: »
    7 day average today is 1014 compared to 1100 last week.

    Breakdown of contact tracing last weekend meant 1400 cases approx slipped through the cracks over the last week.

    Some people did their own contact tracing to an extent. Others didn't. We don't know how many did.

    My negative mind suggests 700 slipped through the cracks and things are basically flat for the week.


  • #5950
    Non solum non ambulabit
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Longing wrote: »
    So on average we have dropped less than a 100 cases. Not good at all. We need to be dropping more on a weekly basis. This day week we need to be less than 800 average. If we a striving for level 3. But I think it will be level 2 opening for December.

    We are dropping under Level 3 restrictions. That is very positive.


  • #5951
    Benimar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,794 ✭✭✭Benimar


    MerlinSouthDub wrote: »
    Sorry, yes, they will definitely let people travel. Don't think they'll open pubs/restaurants though

    Agree about travel and pubs. I think they might leave actual restaurants open.


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  • #5952
    eagle eye
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,414 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    MerlinSouthDub wrote:
    Well level 3 does seem to give stability, so if numbers to down as they should in level 5, it is very low risk to move to level 3. Level 2 in December, on the other hand, sounds pretty risky to me
    Level 3 didn't give stability in Dublin, it just slowed down the rise in cases.

    It may work when we get to the stage that we don't have many cases. It may prevent another lockdown if we stick at level 3 when we come out of this.


  • #5953
    Goldrickssan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    I've never been so randy for some swab results.


  • #5954
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,887 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    MerlinSouthDub wrote: »
    Today's numbers are a little disappointing I would say. But hard to draw any real conclusions until we get the swab data tomorrow.

    Were you expecting numbers in Dublin to be lower?
    I think the one conclusion we can draw from Dublin is that level 3 was not enough, despite what Leo said. However, I think by the end of this week we will begin to see the effects of level 5 come through in case numbers. However if cases do not drop fairly substantially after a couple of weeks, who will be the scapegoat then? , will it be feckless construction workers on their lunch break, maybe people leaving their windows closed at home.
    As we all know the virus does a u- turn when it approaches a school building, it seeks out the nearest private home instead.


  • #5955
    Non solum non ambulabit
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »
    Breakdown of contact tracing last weekend meant 1400 cases approx slipped through the cracks over the last week.

    Some people did their own contact tracing to an extent. Others didn't. We don't know how many did.

    My negative mind suggests 700 slipped through the cracks and things are basically flat for the week.

    Let's be positive. Look around the world. We are holding our own well.


  • #5956
    Longing
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,275 ✭✭✭Longing


    Non solum non ambulabit wrote: »
    We are dropping under Level 3 restrictions. That is very positive.


    Sorry its not. Remember 3 of those counties were level 4 and Dublin was at level 3 for about 5 week I think. It not good enough to hold steady. But I for one thought we wold see a greater decrease today.


  • #5957
    Goldrickssan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »
    Breakdown of contact tracing last weekend meant 1400 cases approx slipped through the cracks over the last week.

    Some people did their own contact tracing to an extent. Others didn't. We don't know how many did.

    My negative mind suggests 700 slipped through the cracks and things are basically flat for the week.

    Source for that BS claim? Our test numbers don't reflect us missing 1400 cases based on the positivity rate.


  • #5958
    screamer
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭screamer


    MerlinSouthDub wrote: »
    Sorry, yes, they will definitely let people travel. Don't think they'll open pubs/restaurants though

    Wouldn’t bet on it. I thought the timing of that news article on Covid spreading on an aircraft was dubious to say the least. I can’t actually see us back at level 3 anytime soon being honest much as I hate this lockdown rubbish.


  • #5959
    Non solum non ambulabit
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Longing wrote: »
    Sorry its not. Remember 3 of those counties were level 4 and Dublin was at level 3 for about 5 week I think. It not good enough to hold steady. But I for one thought we wold see a greater decrease today.

    That's exactly why we moved to Level 5. Wait 10 days and see if it is working. Takes around 3 weeks to work.


  • #5960
    Longing
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,275 ✭✭✭Longing


    Non solum non ambulabit wrote: »
    That's exactly why we moved to Level 5. Wait 10 days and see if it is working. Takes around 3 weeks to work.


    I'm not saying level 5 will not work. It will work. But have we to stay in level 5 just to keep numbers down. Level 3 didn't work that was clear to see.


  • #5961
    Blondini
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Blondini


    Goldrickssan wrote: »
    I've never been so randy for some swab results.

    Weirdest. Sentence. Ever.


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  • #5962
    Goldrickssan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    Blondini wrote: »
    Weirdest. Sentence. Ever.

    Tis the lockdown it's getting to me. I really just wanted to buy a dressing gown today but Tesco have them covered in bin bags


  • #5963
    CIARAN_BOYLE
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    Goldrickssan wrote: »
    Source for that BS claim? Our test numbers don't reflect us missing 1400 cases based on the positivity rate.

    2000 people not contact traced. Average 5.2 contacts person. 11000 contacts missed. Average positivity among contact traced persons is circa 13%. They went through this in the press briefing during the week. George Lee asked the question I believe.

    Therefore 1400 cases missed from contact tracing snafu.

    Some of them were picked up from people doing their own contact tracing but others weren't.

    As I said me feeling negative suspects 700 were missed leaving the week basically level.


  • #5964
    ACitizenErased
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,802 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Goldrickssan wrote: »
    Source for that BS claim? Our test numbers don't reflect us missing 1400 cases based on the positivity rate.

    That poster has been preaching that claim for the last week


  • #5965
    manofwisdom
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,123 ✭✭✭manofwisdom


    Ten of Swords wrote: »
    Not the right thread for this
    Ten of Swords wrote: »
    Not the right thread for this

    I know and why I said back to the topic with my next post. Mloc123 on the other hand thought he was on some other thread.


  • #5966
    Goldrickssan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »
    2000 people not contact traced. Average 5.2 contacts person. 11000 contacts missed. Average positivity among contact traced persons is circa 13%. They went through this in the press briefing during the week. George Lee asked the question I believe.

    Therefore 1400 cases missed from contact tracing snafu.

    Some of them were picked up from people doing their own contact tracing but others weren't.

    As I said me feeling negative suspects 700 were missed leaving the week basically level.

    So you're basing this on George Lee and some tissue paper math?

    Is he your grandad by any chance? Yer negativity is very similar


  • #5967
    CIARAN_BOYLE
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    ACitizenErased wrote: »
    That poster has been preaching that claim for the last week

    Yep.

    While other posters have been throwing parties about positive signs that I feel has a big cloud over them.


  • #5968
    I Am The Law
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 657 ✭✭✭I Am The Law


    Blondini wrote: »
    Weirdest. Sentence. Ever.

    Somewhere in China.

    https://what3words.com/weird.sentence.ever


  • #5969
    owlbethere
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    MerlinSouthDub wrote: »
    Today's numbers are a little disappointing I would say. But hard to draw any real conclusions until we get the swab data tomorrow.

    I reckon the doom and gloom merchants are fairly disappointed about the numbers coming down. They want to live in lockdown forever. The government should have sat tight at the level 3 or at least tried the level 4 for a week or 2.


  • #5970
    BringBackMick
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,100 ✭✭✭BringBackMick


    I think we will decay by 100 cases every 3 days, do the math.


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  • #5971
    Blondini
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Blondini


    owlbethere wrote: »
    I reckon the doom and gloom merchants are fairly disappointed about the numbers coming down. They want to live in lockdown forever. The government should have sat tight at the level 4 or at least tried the level 4 for a week or 2.

    Ah Jaysus would you stop with this craap.


This discussion has been closed.
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