Covid 19 Part XXVII- 62,002 ROI (1,915 deaths) 39,609 NI (724 deaths) (02/11) Read OP

RIP, the four people who died

Dublin & ROI daily/7 Day/14 Day numbers and percentages for the past 3 weeks

Excluding any legitimate debates/concerns over backlogs and/or lack of contact tracing - the 7 day average numbers and percentage numbers are slowing down so I'm optimistic we are passing the peak of Ireland's 2nd wave, the next 5/6 weeks will be about how low the new case numbers are going so we can re-open in likely Level 3 for December

Day Month Date Dublin Weekly 7 Day 7 Day % 14 Day 14 Day % Non-Dub Weekly 7 Day 7 Day % 14 Day 14 Day %
Sunday October 4th 100 1,244 177.71 25.91% 159.43 20.52% 264 1,827 261.00 66.70% 208.79 102.42%
Monday October 5th 134 1,169 167.00 4.28% 163.57 22.33% 384 2,030 290.00 74.25% 228.21 111.59%
Tuesday October 6th 111 1,126 160.86 2.27% 159.07 19.47% 321 2,142 306.00 76.44% 239.71 117.22%
Wednesday October 7th 218 1,155 165.00 -2.70% 167.29 22.23% 393 2,295 327.86 73.47% 258.43 120.21%
Thursday October 8th 91 1,076 153.71 -9.58% 161.86 14.68% 415 2,438 348.29 69.54% 276.86 126.53%
Friday October 9th 123 1,001 143.00 -19.01% 159.79 11.46% 494 2,660 380.00 73.18% 299.71 133.76%
Saturday October 10th 241 1,018 145.43 -24.93% 169.57 16.60% 771 3,042 434.57 70.80% 344.50 160.00%
Sunday October 11th 226 1,144 163.43 -8.04% 170.57 14.15% 588 3,366 480.86 84.24% 370.93 163.07%
Monday October 12th 254 1,264 180.57 8.13% 173.79 10.94% 571 3,553 507.57 75.02% 398.79 171.68%
Tuesday October 13th 190 1,343 191.86 19.27% 176.36 15.97% 621 3,853 550.43 79.88% 428.21 182.12%
Wednesday October 14th 246 1,371 195.86 18.70% 180.43 15.77% 849 4,309 615.57 87.76% 471.71 193.90%
Thursday October 15th 288 1,568 224.00 45.72% 188.86 18.41% 917 4,811 687.29 97.33% 517.79 202.29%
Friday October 16th 254 1,699 242.71 69.73% 192.86 16.63% 746 5,063 723.29 90.34% 551.64 204.90%
Saturday October 17th 278 1,736 248.00 70.53% 196.71 16.06% 998 5,290 755.71 73.90% 595.14 196.09%
Sunday October 18th 408 1,918 274.00 67.66% 218.71 37.19% 875 5,577 796.71 65.69% 638.79 205.95%
Monday October 19th 235 1,899 271.29 50.24% 225.93 38.12% 796 5,802 828.86 63.30% 668.21 192.80%
Tuesday October 20th 203 1,912 273.14 42.37% 232.50 46.16% 1,066 6,247 892.43 62.13% 721.43 200.95%
Wednesday October 21st 263 1,929 275.57 40.70% 235.71 40.91% 904 6,302 900.29 46.25% 757.93 193.28%
Thursday October 22nd 244 1,885 269.29 20.22% 246.64 52.38% 822 6,207 886.71 29.02% 787.00 184.26%
Friday October 23rd 182 1,813 259.00 6.71% 250.86 57.00% 595 6,056 865.14 19.61% 794.21 164.99%
Saturday October 24th 192 1,727 246.71 -0.52% 247.36 45.87% 667 5,725 817.86 8.22% 786.79 128.38%

Ohmeha wrote: »

Dublin & ROI daily/7 Day/14 Day numbers and percentages for the past 3 weeks

Excluding any legitimates debates/concerns over backlogs and/or lack of contact tracing - the 7 day average numbers and percentage numbers are slowing down so I'm optimistic we are passing the peak of Ireland's 2nd wave, the next 5/6 weeks will be about how low the new case numbers are going so we can re-open in likely Level 3 for December

Day Month Date Dublin Weekly 7 Day 7 Day % 14 Day 14 Day % Non-Dub Weekly 7 Day 7 Day % 14 Day 14 Day %
Sunday October 4th 100 1,244 177.71 25.91% 159.43 20.52% 264 1,827 261.00 66.70% 208.79 102.42%
Monday October 5th 134 1,169 167.00 4.28% 163.57 22.33% 384 2,030 290.00 74.25% 228.21 111.59%
Tuesday October 6th 111 1,126 160.86 2.27% 159.07 19.47% 321 2,142 306.00 76.44% 239.71 117.22%
Wednesday October 7th 218 1,155 165.00 -2.70% 167.29 22.23% 393 2,295 327.86 73.47% 258.43 120.21%
Thursday October 8th 91 1,076 153.71 -9.58% 161.86 14.68% 415 2,438 348.29 69.54% 276.86 126.53%
Friday October 9th 123 1,001 143.00 -19.01% 159.79 11.46% 494 2,660 380.00 73.18% 299.71 133.76%
Saturday October 10th 241 1,018 145.43 -24.93% 169.57 16.60% 771 3,042 434.57 70.80% 344.50 160.00%
Sunday October 11th 226 1,144 163.43 -8.04% 170.57 14.15% 588 3,366 480.86 84.24% 370.93 163.07%
Monday October 12th 254 1,264 180.57 8.13% 173.79 10.94% 571 3,553 507.57 75.02% 398.79 171.68%
Tuesday October 13th 190 1,343 191.86 19.27% 176.36 15.97% 621 3,853 550.43 79.88% 428.21 182.12%
Wednesday October 14th 246 1,371 195.86 18.70% 180.43 15.77% 849 4,309 615.57 87.76% 471.71 193.90%
Thursday October 15th 288 1,568 224.00 45.72% 188.86 18.41% 917 4,811 687.29 97.33% 517.79 202.29%
Friday October 16th 254 1,699 242.71 69.73% 192.86 16.63% 746 5,063 723.29 90.34% 551.64 204.90%
Saturday October 17th 278 1,736 248.00 70.53% 196.71 16.06% 998 5,290 755.71 73.90% 595.14 196.09%
Sunday October 18th 408 1,918 274.00 67.66% 218.71 37.19% 875 5,577 796.71 65.69% 638.79 205.95%
Monday October 19th 235 1,899 271.29 50.24% 225.93 38.12% 796 5,802 828.86 63.30% 668.21 192.80%
Tuesday October 20th 203 1,912 273.14 42.37% 232.50 46.16% 1,066 6,247 892.43 62.13% 721.43 200.95%
Wednesday October 21st 263 1,929 275.57 40.70% 235.71 40.91% 904 6,302 900.29 46.25% 757.93 193.28%
Thursday October 22nd 244 1,885 269.29 20.22% 246.64 52.38% 822 6,207 886.71 29.02% 787.00 184.26%
Friday October 23rd 182 1,813 259.00 6.71% 250.86 57.00% 595 6,056 865.14 19.61% 794.21 164.99%
Saturday October 24th 192 1,727 246.71 -0.52% 247.36 45.87% 667 5,725 817.86 8.22% 786.79 128.38%

So you're saying the next 5/6 weeks are crucial?

So I think everybody now agrees that whatever concoction they have Trump it cured him of Covid-19 (in a very quick and spectacular way)!
So while we're waiting for a vaccine to arrive why doesn't the whole world just procede with distributing to each and every Covid patient what ever he was given?

Probably a cost issue, right?

Hamsterchops wrote: »

So I think everybody now agrees that whatever concoction they have Trump it cured him of Covid-19 (in a very quick and spectacular way)!
So while we're waiting for a vaccine to arrive why doesn't the whole world just procede with distributing to each and every Covid patient what ever he was given?

Probably a cost issue, right?

Some people recover extremely quick, some people don't and most have no symptoms at all. Trump having a quick turn around isn't actually surprising looking at the statistics.

The miracle drug Trump is going on about isn't that now that further studies have been done.

s1ippy wrote: »

With the NVRL closed, I'm not sure the figures over the weekend are going to be reliable anyway.

NVRL is only carrying out about 600 tests roughly per day. All outsourced to other labs this weekend and next.

Its no longer the primary lab and hasn't been for a while. Dont think its going to have much impact if any with 17k + tests still being done

So if things go well, two weeks from today we could be back down around 200 cases a day

4 weeks...100...Can we reopen at level 3- then? back to restaurants and non-wet pubs please. thanks

manniot2 wrote: »

Greater than 1 case today. Keep the country closed.

This is what i fear in 3-4 weeks, we could be back around 100-200 cases daily and we will still have people saying, ah wait another few weeks !

Harpy wrote: »

Where can you see the positive swab numbers?

https://covid-19.geohive.ie/datasets/f6d6332820ca466999dbd852f6ad4d5a_0/data?orderBy=Positive&orderByAsc=false

BringBackMick wrote: »

This is what i fear in 3-4 weeks, we could be back around 100-200 cases daily and we will still have people saying, ah wait another few weeks !

I remember there was a day in July when we had something like 60 cases and they were ‘deeply concerned’. They ain’t letting go of this limelight anytime soon, who will fill the late late schedule?

Deleted User wrote: »

If numbers continue to drop like this over the next few days, level 5 should be called off next week.

They should, but unfortunately I can't see them doing that with cases so high in NI. You'd have all them crossing the border again into Donegal etc...

Hamsterchops wrote: »

So I think everybody now agrees that whatever concoction they have Trump it cured him of Covid-19 (in a very quick and spectacular way)!
So while we're waiting for a vaccine to arrive why doesn't the whole world just procede with distributing to each and every Covid patient what ever he was given?

There's two issues. The Regeneron cocktail he got is still in trials. Those trials have to finish.

It's difficult to manufacture (at the moment). They're hoping to have a few hundred thousand doses by the end of the year, but there are 200,000 cases a day in Europe alone at the moment.

But hopefully it's going to part of the answer next year when manufacturing is scaled up.

GeorgeBailey wrote: »

Almost a certainty.

Not a chance. They need to get things as low as they can. I don’t want it to go beyond the 6 weeks but earlier without low numbers will mean another lockdown for Christmas