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Covid 19 Part XXVI- 50,993 ROI (1,852 deaths) 28,040 NI (621 deaths) (19/10) Read OP

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Comments

  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 56,906 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    On Dublin, the incidence rate isn't actually falling - it's just that other counties are doing much, much worse. So I wouldn't be exactly lauding Dublin as a test case for Level 3.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 498 ✭✭JP100


    Hellrazer wrote: »
    When you put it that way it sounds counter intuitive but it is what I mean.

    So lets say we are where we are today. Just for the sake of somewhere to start from.

    The whole country is at level 3.

    Theres an outbreak in Cavan town due to a GAA match celebration … move Cavan town to level 5 for 2 weeks. But strictly enforce that level 5. No one enters and no one leaves unless it absolutely essential.

    Meanwhile Virginia has zero cases. Move them to level 1 and let them get on with things. No one from Cavan town can enter or leave so hopefully Virginia stays relatively covid free.
    Cavan after 14 days is then put back to say level 2 or 3 and is allowed to get on with things.

    Target the places with the highest incidences.

    But enforcement is the key.

    If the HSE actually did their job and properly tracked and traced the whole enforcement thing would be much less of an issue. What we have now is just a scatter gun approach across the board.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,042 ✭✭✭optogirl


    Does this mean dirty phone calls are not allowed?

    No, I believe you can continue to breathe heavily and make grunting and/or groaning noises but absolutely no sending underwear in the post until 10th November, earliest.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,985 ✭✭✭Russman


    Just by the by, and with a view to enforcement and manpower, is there any legal way for the govt to temporarily, say for 6 months, empower the army with policing powers to assist with checkpoints etc etc ? Like instead of two Gardai you might have one Garda and one soldier at a checkpoint. Genuinely asking. I know there might be constitutional issues or problems with the civil liberties whingers.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,591 ✭✭✭bennyl10


    Necro wrote: »
    On Dublin, the incidence rate isn't actually falling - it's just that other counties are doing much, much worse. So I wouldn't be exactly lauding Dublin as a test case for Level 3.

    Exactly!’
    Yes it’s dropped down the table.
    But the incidence rate has shot up!!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,767 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 498 ✭✭JP100


    Necro wrote: »
    On Dublin, the incidence rate isn't actually falling - it's just that other counties are doing much, much worse. So I wouldn't be exactly lauding Dublin as a test case for Level 3.

    Exactly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,867 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    RossNolan wrote: »
    If a third of the country is passively ignoring restrictions we simply don't have the muscle to enforce compliance.

    A third of the country isn’t.
    It’s a small minority that’s easy to find and easy to do something about.

    It’s not people driving in rush hour traffic, where the Gardai are patrolling.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    optogirl wrote: »
    No, I believe you can continue to breathe heavily and make grunting and/or groaning noises but absolutely no sending underwear in the post until 10th November, earliest.

    Its perfectly fine to send it in a ziploc or vacuum bag and wait 3 days before opening it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    Some grim figures coming out of Italy this evening.

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1317138096023085058


    yep,they sre still on their first wave as it hsrdly got into most areas the first time round. sad


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 RossNolan


    Necro wrote: »
    On Dublin, the incidence rate isn't actually falling - it's just that other counties are doing much, much worse. So I wouldn't be exactly lauding Dublin as a test case for Level 3.

    In the circumstances doing 'less worse'.is a victory in itself. Leave it long enough (and have the surrounding counties and the same level) and we might see more progress without the devastation of a lockdown.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 315 ✭✭Akesh


    RossNolan wrote: »
    We literally only have stalling tactics without a vaccine.

    We won't be able to afford to buy vaccines if we decide to go into continuous lockdown. Maybe those championing these lockdowns should be forced to pay the tab.

    Everyone on the dole and in the civil service are desperate for another lockdown.

    The head of the HSE is running NPHET who are covering for our shambles of a health service. You couldn't make it up...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,721 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    It's getting to the stage where we need a coup d'etat to save the country from the idiots in government.
    Recommendation is level 5 but these clowns are more interested in keeping people at work so keep the schools open.
    Who is that serving? A lot of ordinary decent hard working people think it's helping but it's not about them at all it's about the super rich and their business interests.
    Fact of the matter is that if lots are not earning cash the banks have no choice but to make a plan to support them because there is no market for anything they take off them.

    These super rich people will be out and gone if the markets are in trouble.

    The long term economic forecast gets worse by the week as cases increase because when the lockdown comes, and it's definitely coming, it'll be a longer one the more time we wait.


  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 56,906 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    Russman wrote: »
    Just by the by, and with a view to enforcement and manpower, is there any legal way for the govt to temporarily, say for 6 months, empower the army with policing powers to assist with checkpoints etc etc ? Like instead of two Gardai you might have one Garda and one soldier at a checkpoint. Genuinely asking. I know there might be constitutional issues or problems with the civil liberties whingers.

    Army currently have 7300 active personnel. Might help, but still probably not enough for the level of enforcement probably required for Hellrazer's proposal (I don't disagree with it per se, I just don't think we have the manpower which is part of the problem).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,130 ✭✭✭✭Spanish Eyes


    I did think Paul Reid would shake up the HSE.

    Not so. He knows he cannot break down the Union centric organisation. We all know it now too.

    Sure just throw money at it to be as inefficient as possible going forward. Am very disappointed and don't how anyone will solve the problems of the Behomoth HSE anymore.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,531 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    JP100 wrote: »
    If the HSE actually did their job and properly tracked and traced the whole enforcement thing would be much less of an issue. What we have now is just a scatter gun approach across the board.


    The time for tracking and tracing was back in August, when numbers were manageable, they are not going to be able to keep up now.



    Everyone tolerated increasing numbers each week then, which is when they should have hunted cases down.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 314 ✭✭Golfman64


    bennyl10 wrote: »
    Exactly!’
    Yes it’s dropped down the table.
    But the incidence rate has shot up!!

    Level 3 has had an impact. It has slowed the increase. This is not a final solution but it is very possible, given what we were told regarding the high percentage of transmission events occurring in the household environment, that when the effects of this additional restriction on household visits are seen in 2/3 weeks time, we will hopefully have a workable solution for the coming months.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,459 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    And this is why the all Ireland/ island approach just won't work
    https://twitter.com/DarranMarshall/status/1317151841843544065?s=19


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,102 ✭✭✭Sonny678


    I also know today of a kildare town, where the local GAA club were in the couty final recently. And 10 players were tested with the virus afterwards. And their teenage sisters and brothers have been also being effected from close contact with these players and so now the virus has spread to local secondary chool. Talking to one teacher today she says 4 students in her class have the virus all got from close contact with 10 gaa players who picked it up after county final. There is many many more examples across country we are not hearing of. LEVEL 5 and all schools shut and cancel all GAA need to be done this weekend. If not its absolute madness what is going on.


  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 56,906 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    RossNolan wrote: »
    In the circumstances doing 'less worse'.is a victory in itself. Leave it long enough (and have the surrounding counties and the same level) and we might see more progress without the devastation of a lockdown.

    But the incidence rate is actually growing, just slower than other counties which are doing pretty bad.

    It's the smallest of small victories I suppose, but it's not actively combatting the spread.

    Though I reckon that's down to lack of enforcement rather than the actual restrictions themselves.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    Hellrazer wrote: »
    When you put it that way it sounds counter intuitive but it is what I mean.

    So lets say we are where we are today. Just for the sake of somewhere to start from.

    The whole country is at level 3.

    Theres an outbreak in Cavan town due to a GAA match celebration … move Cavan town to level 5 for 2 weeks. But strictly enforce that level 5. No one enters and no one leaves unless it absolutely essential.

    Meanwhile Virginia has zero cases. Move them to level 1 and let them get on with things. No one from Cavan town can enter or leave so hopefully Virginia stays relatively covid free.
    Cavan after 14 days is then put back to say level 2 or 3 and is allowed to get on with things.

    Target the places with the highest incidences.

    But enforcement is the key.

    that's reasonable. and agree about enforcement which is completely non existent right now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 RossNolan



    That's actually really encouraging. Even if the county has a whole is still going up portions elsewhere are stalled or even dropping.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,591 ✭✭✭bennyl10


    Golfman64 wrote: »
    Level 3 has had an impact. It has slowed the increase. This is not a final solution but it is very possible, given what we were told regarding the high percentage of transmission events occurring in the household environment, that when the effects of this additional restriction on household visits are seen in 2/3 weeks time, we will hopefully have a workable solution for the coming months.

    Slowed it? Sure for a week

    We are now back to exponential growth

    That’s not slowed!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,721 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Am very disappointed and don't how anyone will solve the problems of the Behomoth HSE anymore.
    It will take one strong man backed by the government who is willing to shred the red tape and tell everybody who gets in his way to get out or be sacked.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 89 ✭✭Maggie Benson


    xvril wrote: »
    Honestly think a level 5 lockdown will cause more problems than it will resolve

    Not an easy decision either way. No matter what they do - there will be criticism in abundance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,056 ✭✭✭UrbanFret


    bennyl10 wrote: »
    14 day incidence in Dublin has gotten considerable worse this week

    Level 3 is failed dramatically


    So how many cases would there have been in Dublin if they hadn't moved to level 3. Do you honest believe level 5 would have seen less cases today?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 498 ✭✭JP100


    RossNolan wrote: »
    We literally only have stalling tactics without a vaccine.

    Yes but within that some approaches are more effective than others. HSE are like headless chickens at the moment. This whole thing of it been down to domestic spread first and foremost is a total joke. Either the whole country is having a house party every weekend or the virus is magically coming down through the light fittings of people's homes. Domestic spread is very much their answer to everything. In other words they haven't a fupping clue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,130 ✭✭✭✭Spanish Eyes


    And this is why the all Ireland approach just won't work
    https://twitter.com/DarranMarshall/status/1317151841843544065?s=19

    Well he is probably correct. The REAL prods don't drink and have a dour attitude. lol. No bother to them.

    But god preserve us from a United Ireland. Stay up there folks, I don't care anymore.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 RossNolan


    Necro wrote: »
    But the incidence rate is actually growing, just slower than other counties which are doing pretty bad.

    It's the smallest of small victories I suppose, but it's not actively combatting the spread.

    Though I reckon that's down to lack of enforcement rather than the actual restrictions themselves.

    But as I've said I think that is at least partly due to contamination from neighbouring counties that have exploding numbers of cases. With everyone under Level 3 I think the rate will eventually slow down and then decline, slowly perhaps but still.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,584 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    And this is why the all Ireland/ island approach just won't work
    https://twitter.com/DarranMarshall/status/1317151841843544065?s=19

    In a few weeks it could be the other way


This discussion has been closed.
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