Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Covid 19 Part XXVI- 50,993 ROI (1,852 deaths) 28,040 NI (621 deaths) (19/10) Read OP

19293959798319

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    So, another round of Covid Bingo.

    Today, it's 'Doorbells'. Did anyone have that? Anyone????

    Oh right, ye all said schools.

    Another roll over next week so.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    244 in hospital this morning, up six on yesterday, up 43 on the start of the week.

    This is an encouraging sign of a slowdown in growth. This time last week we were seeing them grow by 20 people a day.

    Last week from Sunday-Friday, hospitalisations grew by 33%. This week they grew by 21%.

    Edit: On a Friday-Friday basis, the growth for the last seven days is 36%. For the previous seven days, 53%.


    Cases in ICU grew by 43% last week (21 > 31), this week they dropped by 6.5% (31 > 29)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,435 ✭✭✭mandrake04


    Nothing new. Close the borders and the airports, mandatory supervised isolation for arrivals, zero COVID etc etc.

    well the only alternative is to "learn to live with it", that lesson more or less started at midnight will probably ramp up over the next few weeks and will probably conclude in April.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭mloc123


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Yeah, it has become very clear that the NHPET stance is far too narrowly focused, as you would expect given their remit. As some have suggested maybe it is time to add some new, non-medical, voices to it.

    Cabinet are the non medical voices tho? NPHET only care about heath right, they will recommend the best approach from a health point of view and then the government will dilute that down to balance health and all other aspects?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,049 ✭✭✭Polar101


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Yeah, it has become very clear that the NHPET stance is far too narrowly focused, as you would expect given their remit. As some have suggested maybe it is time to add some new, non-medical, voices to it.

    Sounds like a dangerous idea. People who suggest that seem to forget NPHET are not the government.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,153 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    seamus wrote: »
    244 in hospital this morning, up six on yesterday, up 4 on the start of the week.

    This is an encouraging sign of a slowdown in growth. This time last week we were seeing 20 people a day being admitted.

    Last week from Sunday-Friday, hospitalisations grew by 33%. This week they grew by 21%.

    Cases in ICU grew by 55% last week (20 > 31), this week they dropped by 3% (30 > 29)

    Thst was because someone died in ICU yesterday


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 433 ✭✭rafi bomb


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Yeah, it has become very clear that the NHPET stance is far too narrowly focused, as you would expect given their remit. As some have suggested maybe it is time to add some new, non-medical, voices to it.

    Why would you add non medical voices to a medical body ffs.

    As you say it is there remit so they are doing exactly what they are supposed to do. They make recommendations and then its on the government to take in to account other factors and make their decision.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    Polar101 wrote: »
    Sounds like a dangerous idea. People who suggest that seem to forget NPHET are not the government.
    Yes. NPHET are there to give clear medical advice and you don't want that muddied. It's up to Government to balance the medical advice with any other advice they want to listen to.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    mloc123 wrote: »
    Cabinet are the non medical voices tho? NPHET only care about heath right, they will recommend the best approach from a health point of view and then the government will dilute that down to balance health and all other aspects?
    Yeah, they are but the size of NPHET offers scope for other input into decisions even if the Cabinet goes a different way later. It is now about getting a balance, not absolutes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,260 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    No wonder the bloody covid is spreading . We all got it wrong , it wasn’t crowded rooms or weddings or travel or gaa shenanigans. It was the doorbell and the towel we all share and the spoon that apparently everyone passed around and licked .


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 787 ✭✭✭jackal


    According to latest report from the ECDC, 12 countries in Europe with a higher 14 day incidence rate higher than Ireland and 3 more that are also over 100 per 100K in the report.

    Who do we compare the Irish "collective cop on" to? Do you not think the ask might be too great at this stage? The cornerstone of the advice is still to social distance and be two metres away from everyone...that is some ask of the general population for 8 months, with no end in sight.

    Absolutely. So sick of this line of thinking that it’s the feckless Irish attitude, or GAA, or our uniquely virulent Pubs or our penchant for house parties that is causing numbers to go up. There must be some amount of Irish in Spain, France, Belgium, Netherlands, Czech Republic... etc etc.

    The virus spreads by normal people doing normal things is really how it could be summed up. Not granny killers coughing in people’s faces or having massive raves in basements. Normality can only be avoided for so long. The colder weather is driving much of what’s left of social activity indoors also which is not going to help but that’s the reality of the next few months as we have an unpleasant climate during the colder months.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Yeah, it has become very clear that the NHPET stance is far too narrowly focused, as you would expect given their remit. As some have suggested maybe it is time to add some new, non-medical, voices to it.
    Or add some proper public health specialists and the opposite of 'nose in a computer model' epidemiologists and even an anthropologist to explain how all society and culture including health is interwoven and a high risk patient representative. Then cut the main group in half and keep the sub commitees. And a totally new head of nephet Tony Holahan not good enough.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    hmmm wrote: »
    Yes. NPHET are there to give clear medical advice and you don't want that muddied. It's up to Government to balance the medical advice with any other advice they want to listen to.

    The government are perfectly capable of muddying the waters themselves.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Polar101 wrote: »
    Sounds like a dangerous idea. People who suggest that seem to forget NPHET are not the government.
    It's input I'm talking about not decisions. A 5 year old could see where that Level 5 now recommendation was going to go. It would show that they acknowledge there are other things to be considered. It wasn't there in that decision because we and they knew 4 weeks was a fantasy number.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    iamwhoiam wrote: »
    No wonder the bloody covid is spreading . We all got it wrong , it wasn’t crowded rooms or weddings or travel or gaa shenanigans. It was the doorbell and the towel we all share and the spoon that apparently everyone passed around and licked .
    I've already planned our alternative family Halloween with the traditional games of "lick the doorbell" and "see how far you can stick a spoon up your nose", and now the government come out and tell us we shouldn't be doing this? I am outraged.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    seamus wrote: »
    Last week from Sunday-Friday, hospitalisations grew by 33%. This week they grew by 21%.

    There was 84 "admissions" Sunday-Friday last week.

    There was 130 for the same period this week.

    That's a 55% increase.

    Looks to be they have sped up discharges.

    00157f4f-614.jpg?ratio=1.78


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    rafi bomb wrote: »
    Why would you add non medical voices to a medical body ffs.

    As you say it is there remit so they are doing exactly what they are supposed to do. They make recommendations and then its on the government to take in to account other factors and make their decision.
    Their decisions are disease-related only. A decision which said we'd rally like Level 5 , but we recommend Level 4, is that kind of solution. Our political strategy now is to live with that, that means not going to Level 5, if it can be avoided. We also know that recommendations take twice as long to unwind.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    The photographs in this article are fantastic:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/17/nyregion/coronavirus-nyc-schools-reopening-outdoors.html

    We have a much gentler Winter climate than New York. Open the windows.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Boggles wrote: »
    There was 84 "admissions" Sunday-Friday last week.

    There was 130 for the same period this week.

    That's a 55% increase.

    Looks to be they have sped up discharges.
    The goal here is ensuring that the system can cope. It doesn't really matter if we're admitting 1,000 people a day, if we're also discharging 1,000.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    seamus wrote: »
    The goal here is ensuring that the system can cope. It doesn't really matter if we're admitting 1,000 people a day, if we're also discharging 1,000.

    It matters if they are not fully recovered, deteriorate and have to come back worse.

    But my point was, hospitalizations have sped up not slowed down.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,055 ✭✭✭IK09


    IK09 wrote: »
    Im in Galway and I called Monday at 9.30am. Doc called me back at 10.30am. Booked in for test Today at 5.00pm. Im assuming ill get results by 5pm Friday. So ya 4-5 days is about right.

    Im fairly certain I dont have it but cant be too careful. Hardest part of it is that I couldnt let my daughter go to playschool so shes at home with me while im also trying to work. Next to impossible. Id love to be able to just go to the shop :(

    Got results today at 9.15am so about 4.5 days for the full process from start to finish. Which isnt bad at all. I think the hold up is with contact tracing. Negative result thank buddha


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    hmmm wrote: »
    The photographs in this article are fantastic:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/17/nyregion/coronavirus-nyc-schools-reopening-outdoors.html

    We have a much gentler Winter climate than New York. Open the windows.

    But what was their approach for doorbells?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    I think the real crux of the problem is the hospitals. We don't have capacity. No amount of saying "live with the virus" will stop it becoming
    "lots of people dying directly or indirectly" because there is no capacity to treat Covid and all of the other things that kill people without urgent care.

    Staffing is going to take a whack swell further depleting resources. It's really not sustainable no matter which way you look at it. Perhaps when the 2021 ski season is cancelled will we se some actual solutions being put forward. They've had a disproportionate affect on this crisis to date.

    https://twitter.com/IrishSunOnline/status/1317024713760215040?s=20


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Boggles wrote: »
    It matters if they are not fully recovered, deteriorate and have to come back worse.
    We can't run on ifs.

    The number of people who have long-term issues is statistically tiny.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    How are European and USA numbers generally so bad in comparison a significant part of the rest of the world?

    Is it recording methods, geographical differences and/or cultural differences ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,153 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    Boggles wrote: »
    It matters if they are not fully recovered, deteriorate and have to come back worse.

    But my point was, hospitalizations have sped up not slowed down.

    Little to no patients discharged from ICU go home, most go onto a ward for a while do are still in hospital


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Little to no patients discharged from ICU go home

    I know, I never suggested otherwise.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Drumpot wrote: »
    How are European and USA numbers generally so bad in comparison a significant part of the rest of the world?

    Is it recording methods, geographical differences and/or cultural differences ?

    I've heard it be said that asian and African countries have faced existential public health crisis' regularly in the past so it's not their first rodeo. Even countries with extremely limited means are doing far better as they follow the public health advice. In these countries they've all lost family members young and old to "fevers".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 247 ✭✭CoronaBlocker


    is_that_so wrote: »
    But ICU numbers still holding steady.

    Do you remember that game Ker-plunk?
    Ireland feels a bit like that right now... only one marble down so far... ooooppp, another one there... steady, steady, steaaaadyyyy... :eek: all the marbles come crashing down. :(


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,382 ✭✭✭petes


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Yeah, it has become very clear that the NHPET stance is far too narrowly focused, as you would expect given their remit. As some have suggested maybe it is time to add some new, non-medical, voices to it.

    Like Dominic Cummings in the Sage meetings in the UK?


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement