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Covid 19 Part XXV-44,159 ROI (1,830 deaths) 21,898 NI (598 deaths) (13/10) Read OP

1170171173175176323

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,129 ✭✭✭✭Oranage2


    Russman wrote: »
    It’s almost like NPHET have access to lots more information and indicators than commentators on the internet do......

    Joking aside, surely if case numbers approach 1k per day and the associated increase in admissions becomes a reality, it’s only a matter of time before Micheál has a very uncomfortable press conference to do ?
    Or will Dublin potentially stabilising buy us more time to see if Level 3 works ?

    MM done well here I think, most people associate Leo with the rufusal to listen to NPHET.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,139 ✭✭✭What Username Guidelines


    Threw together a very crude page that will grab the stats without needing to do the maths here. Just pulls the data straight from the government API.

    c0lsdkR.png

    Good stuff, please change the favicon when things start looking good again :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 44,336 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Ok so you agree then that in the letter we would have moved to phase 5 and schools would remain open for the time being at least.

    That was a core priority and one of the main reasons to move to Level 5 at Midnight Monday, it stated to achieve the priorities they would need significant buy in for 4 weeks.

    No where in the letter did it state that the Tanaiste should go on live television, throw a complete teenage tantrum and we will all have a think about at level 3 for 3 weeks.

    Industrial action would also more than likely have occurred if following that recommendation from NPHET.

    That's a narrative that seems to have become a fact for absolutely no reason.

    Teachers want to show up to school and teach, the alternative is a fúcking nightmare.

    The unions were the first out today saying there was absolutely no need to close the schools and a 50/50 model or some alternative should be explored.

    Irelands hide and seek champion and all round creepy cyborg Norma Foley has not offered any such direction, there was "guidelines" rushed out this morning which as usual are pretty fúcking scant on detail.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 822 ✭✭✭IrishStuff09


    Good stuff, please change the favicon when things start looking good again :)

    Hopefully very soon! :(


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Blondini


    Boggles wrote: »

    Teachers want to show up to school and teach, the alternative is a fúcking nightmare.

    Correct.

    We don't want school closures but it will happen.

    We were ignored from March onwards when we called for proper planning and a staggered/hybrid return in September.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 192 ✭✭Deshawn


    Varadkar is a shït stirring smug merchant.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,139 ✭✭✭What Username Guidelines


    When we hit lower levels over the summer we were looking at 12,000-13,000 cases per day, now though...

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1314597770431467521?s=20


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,580 ✭✭✭JDD


    I'm confused.

    Covid has a natural R rate of about 2.5, if no precautions are taken. And of course, that means schools are open, as are pubs, nightclubs, concerts, festivals, sports matches etc etc.

    Two thirds of the working population are WFH. Public transport is fairly deserted. People are wearing masks indoors most of the time, and at least attempting social distancing if they are not wearing a mask. Gyms are closed. Hardly anyone is flying on airplanes.

    So how are we in a situation where someone who gets infected with covid goes on to infect between 1 and 2 more people? I know some people will say "it's the schools, it has to be!", and I admit there is a certain logic to that. But if it was the schools that were fueling this, would we see a massive increase in percentage of infections being in the 0-14 category? It's not like they're not being tested - primary school children have been to testing centres in their droves since school reopened and the usual slew of back-to-school lurgy began.

    I had really thought that 80/90% of people wearing masks and practicing social distancing indoors, along with having 2/3 of the working population stay at home and off public transport would have a much bigger impact on the R number than it has.

    i mean, if it's not the schools, how the f*ck is thing still transmitting so efficiently?? And if it is the schools, why is the 0-14 age category still only making up 10% of positive cases, which is the same percentage of positive cases during the summer?

    i have to admit. I'm flummoxed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,312 ✭✭✭jackboy


    When we hit lower levels over the summer we were looking at 12,000-13,000 cases per day, now though...

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1314597770431467521?s=20

    Looks like we are still at wave 1.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭mountgomery burns


    Boggles wrote: »
    That was a core priority and one of the main reasons to move to Level 5 at Midnight Monday, it stated to achieve the priorities they would need significant buy in for 4 weeks.

    No where in the letter did it state that the Tanaiste should go on live television, throw a complete teenage tantrum and we will all have a think about at level 3 for 3 weeks.




    That's a narrative that seems to have become a fact for absolutely no reason.

    Teachers want to show up to school and teach, the alternative is a fúcking nightmare.

    The unions were the first out today saying there was absolutely no need to close the schools and a 50/50 model or some alternative should be explored.

    Irelands hide and seek champion and all round creepy cyborg Norma Foley has not offered any such direction, there was "guidelines" rushed out this morning which as usual are pretty fúcking scant on detail.

    Pretty horrendous comment about Norma Foley, pretty irrelevant comment about Varadkar.

    This link also includes comments from a Union about wanting to keep schools open as well as balloting members for industrial action, so they don't seem to be mutually exclusive views.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thejournal.ie/asti-strikes-5210580-Sep2020/%3famp=1

    I know plenty of teachers delighted to be back at work. However, there is a significant amount of others who are very worried and I think in a situation where everyone was on stay at home orders would prompt a response from them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Boggles wrote: »
    The call on Monday guaranteed school closures and a curtailment of non covid health care.

    The 2 core priorities that were to be protected above all else has changed.

    NPHET are playing chess with this, the government and the HSE are playing checkers.

    Paul Reid went from Monday

    Sure we are grand

    to

    Ah actually we are not

    in 4 days.
    I don't see having a lot of the country in a complete panic on a Sunday evening as a good strategy. NPHET called it as they saw it but messed up very badly in the communications. This may be wrong to do but we are now aware of what is or may be coming imminently. An immediate Level 5 leaves us no other options except quite probably a lockdown till January. I believe 4 weeks as much as I believe one of the vaccines is a cure.

    I see a week or three of reminding people what personal responsibility looks like is worth a try. A further problem with Level 5 is that NPHET will not give it up easily and by the sound of things will not commit to any metrics that would signal a possible end to Level 5.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 44,336 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    A Department of Education spokesperson said that keeping schools safely open for children and staff was a key priority at all levels of the Government’s framework plan for living with Covid-19

    Schools, early learning and childcare services, adult and higher education

    Level 4
    Schools and creches will remain open with protective measures.
    Level 5
    Recommendations based on situation and evidence at time

    It's no surprise the DOE are not keeping up with the evolving situation, but you would imagine they would have given it a glance before issuing a press release.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    Teachers should still be brought in.

    Without pupils their is no risk of spread.

    An empty school can easily accommodate them all.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,730 ✭✭✭mirrorwall14


    Teachers should still be brought in.

    Without pupils their is no risk of spread.

    Why? If there are no students why would they not work from home like every other business?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,139 ✭✭✭What Username Guidelines


    Italy climbing another 1,000 cases with 5,372. Jaysus after getting hit so hard, all the theories of t-cell immunity, 20% herd immunity, etc, just seem to be evaporating and hard to find positivity in it all. Might be time for an evening off social media.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭kevin12345


    Teachers should still be brought in.

    Without pupils their is no risk of spread.

    An empty school can easily accommodate them all.

    If we were to move to some form of remote learning I think teachers should have the option to work from home or travel to school. My internet is 100x better at home than it is in school. It would be way more efficient for me to WFH when I will be uploading video lessons/powerpoints/voice notes etc. to facilitate online learning. As per the guidelines the teacher will have to be available during the school hours regardless of where they are.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭s1ippy


    Boggles wrote: »
    Irelands hide and seek champion and all round creepy cyborg Norma Foley...
    100%, A1 Yes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,131 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Why? If there are no students why would they not work from home like every other business?

    Exactly.... makes no sense.

    You need cleaners, maintenance, secretary/admin occasionally other support staff too..... no students just work at home.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,218 ✭✭✭khalessi


    Teachers should still be brought in.

    Without pupils their is no risk of spread.

    An empty school can easily accommodate them all.

    If I am going in, the kids will have to come too as no one to mind them and there will be a lot of teachers in that boat.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,441 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    khalessi wrote: »
    If I am going in, the kids will have to come too as no one to mind them and there will be a lot of teachers in that boat.

    There will be a lot of parents in that same boat .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,580 ✭✭✭JDD


    Teachers should still be brought in.

    Without pupils their is no risk of spread.

    An empty school can easily accommodate them all.

    To do what? Zoom classes? Would it not be better for them to do that from their kitchen table?

    I do think that special needs schools should stay open. As maybe should Deis schools, unless they get some special additional help and financial support to move to online learning.

    I also think that special needs children that are in the national school system, along with any at risk children as identified by Tulsa should continue to be taught in classroom. You wouldn't need all the teachers for that, only two or three experienced teachers per school. Lots of country schools have one teacher teaching 1/2/3 class, so having a few children from different classes shouldn't be a big issue. The rest of the teachers can continue to teach the classes from home.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    Deshawn wrote: »
    Varadkar is a shït stirring smug merchant.

    Why?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,762 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,831 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar



    Worth keeping in mind that NPHET believe we will be hitting 1,300 cases on a consistent daily basis by the end of this month.

    Things are bad if we are approaching 1,000 cases already.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    Why?

    He is too blunt.

    You cant tell the average Irish person the truth.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,445 ✭✭✭mloc123


    JDD wrote: »
    I'm confused.

    Covid has a natural R rate of about 2.5, if no precautions are taken. And of course, that means schools are open, as are pubs, nightclubs, concerts, festivals, sports matches etc etc.

    Two thirds of the working population are WFH. Public transport is fairly deserted. People are wearing masks indoors most of the time, and at least attempting social distancing if they are not wearing a mask. Gyms are closed. Hardly anyone is flying on airplanes.

    So how are we in a situation where someone who gets infected with covid goes on to infect between 1 and 2 more people? I know some people will say "it's the schools, it has to be!", and I admit there is a certain logic to that. But if it was the schools that were fueling this, would we see a massive increase in percentage of infections being in the 0-14 category? It's not like they're not being tested - primary school children have been to testing centres in their droves since school reopened and the usual slew of back-to-school lurgy began.

    I had really thought that 80/90% of people wearing masks and practicing social distancing indoors, along with having 2/3 of the working population stay at home and off public transport would have a much bigger impact on the R number than it has.

    i mean, if it's not the schools, how the f*ck is thing still transmitting so efficiently?? And if it is the schools, why is the 0-14 age category still only making up 10% of positive cases, which is the same percentage of positive cases during the summer?

    i have to admit. I'm flummoxed.


    Have you seen a dublin bus recently?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,922 ✭✭✭✭hynesie08



    I noticed he said cases, not deaths.....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,801 ✭✭✭Benimar


    He is too blunt.

    You cant tell the average Irish person the truth.

    Well Leo certainly doesn’t seem able to anyway...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,620 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    Italy climbing another 1,000 cases with 5,372. Jaysus after getting hit so hard, all the theories of t-cell immunity, 20% herd immunity, etc, just seem to be evaporating and hard to find positivity in it all. Might be time for an evening off social media.

    A good book and a nice bottle of whisky makes everything alright again


This discussion has been closed.
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