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Covid 19 Part XXV-44,159 ROI (1,830 deaths) 21,898 NI (598 deaths) (13/10) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,145 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    Would you prefer 3 weeks of level 5 and then level 2 for 12 weeks or 3 weeks of level 3 followed by 6 weeks of level 5 followed by 3 weeks of level 3 and 3 weeks of level 2.

    I saw one of the scientific types suggest that was the choice government made.

    I've no idea how accurate it is but if level 3 doesn't work it could be the case.

    I can imagine which one would have more of an effect on people's financial difficulty.

    You are living in ****en dreamland if you think they would go from level 5 to level 2 in 3 weeks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,133 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    Mwengwe wrote: »
    Every day counts when the numbers are this high. If they think the government are ****ing this then they have every right to push them on it. Fair play to them.

    Nothing has changed in 2 days

    The governments reasons are still the same as Monday

    They're not going to put an extra 300,000+ out of work


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,065 ✭✭✭Santy2015


    This evenings developments might explain why the NPHET letter was leaked on Sunday night........

    Expand??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,033 ✭✭✭Russman


    niallo27 wrote: »
    Which is why we have a national public health team, people keep saying they are only here to advise, but they have to realise their advice will affect millions of people and destroy thousands of lives. They had to know level 5 was not a go for so many reasons so their advice is totally useless, they have to give us viable advice.

    But who defines what “viable” is ? And viable from what perspective ?
    Bottom line it’s Money Vs health that it’s ultimately going to down to.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,480 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    niallo27 wrote: »
    I would be totally for your 2nd option, I think a lof of people would.

    Tbh I would be an option 2 person also. However I wouldn’t have a huge deal of trust in my fellow citizen not to act the gob****e unfortunately.

    We need government to come out and give us a clear idea of option 1 or 2 and put a plan in place, but to be honest they won’t do that and I can see it will put vulnerable people in a certain amount of danger also.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 454 ✭✭Mwengwe


    Messi19 wrote: »
    That's one of the issues for sure as it's not only educational but childcare issues too

    Let's face it, this is 100% a childcare issue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    manniot2 wrote: »
    'the numbers are this high'. what is a high number in this context? if we had the same testing capacity back in march that we have now, wed have had 10 times the daily numbers back then. would make todays numbers seem tiny.

    Well I think it's about the capacity of ICU and the movement in the number more than the number itself.

    Figures drawn off the top of my head.

    So if we have 600 cases a day and on average 1% needs icu and it's an average ice stay of 20 days of ICU each then that means 600 cases is 6 icu beds occupied for 20 days.

    If it's 600 a day and that's constant then in 20 days time it's 120 people in icu and it's a question of if the health service can cope with that. If it can then great we can stay with a steady state of restrictions. If it can't then we need more restrictions and our only choice is if we wait til the icu are full and people are dieing on corridors (or non covid care shuts down).

    If it's 300 today and 315 tomorrow and 330 the next day we know it's growing. Eventually it's going to be massive if left unchecked so they will call for restrictions now rather than waiting.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,568 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    Present evidence that schools are the problem and we'll listen but you never do.

    I never do :rolleyes: 4-24 are higher than ever, numbers have increase across the board since reopening, and the reason thats important is that schools cannot be taken in isolation from community, every student has a family of close contacts at home, did covid originate in schools in a particular case? Does it matter? They take a case into schools and spread to every other demographic (students/adults/oaps) , hence the increase accross all demographics.it isn't ****ing rocket science and im not getting into the details again and again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,817 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow




  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 284 ✭✭TexasTornado


    Can you link that?

    "Trying to justify their level 5 hysteria"

    That's what you said after the numbers where released today

    Trumper


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,568 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    I haven't really any view on schools myself, but there seems to be varying degrees of concern about it.

    For what it's worth, here's what the CDC say about schools and covid risks, which one is closest to Irish schools?:

    Continuum of risk

    By model of learning and implementation of proven mitigation strategies

    In general, the risk of COVID-19 spread in schools increases across the continuum of virtual, hybrid, to in-person learning with the risk moderated for hybrid and in-person learning based upon the range of mitigation strategies put in place and the extent they are conscientiously followed.

    While not exhaustive, this stratification attempts to characterize the risks of spread among students, teachers, and staff across this continuum:


    Lowest risk:

    Students and teachers engage in virtual-only classes, activities, and events


    Some risk:

    Hybrid Learning Model: Some students participate in virtual learning and other students participate in in-person learning
    Small, in-person classes, activities, and events
    Cohorting, alternating schedules, and staggered schedules are applied rigorously
    No mixing of groups of students and teachers throughout/across school days
    Students and teachers do not share objects
    Students, teachers, and staff follow all steps to protect themselves and others at all times including proper use of face masks, social distancing, hand hygiene
    Regularly scheduled (i.e., at least daily or between uses) cleaning and disinfection of frequently touched areas implemented with fidelity



    Medium risk:

    Hybrid Learning Model: Most students participate in in-person learning, some students participate in virtual learning
    Larger in-person classes, activities, and events
    Cohorting, alternating schedules, and staggered schedules are applied with some exceptions
    Some mixing of groups of students and teachers throughout/across school days
    Students and teachers minimally share objects
    Students, teachers, and staff follow all steps to protect themselves and others such as proper use of face masks, social distancing, hand hygiene
    Regularly scheduled cleaning and disinfection of frequently touched areas largely implemented with fidelity



    Higher risk:

    Students and teachers engage in in-person only learning, activities, and events
    Students minimally mix between classes and activities
    Students and teachers share some objects
    Students, teachers, and staff follow some steps to protect themselves and others at all times such as proper use of face masks, social distancing, hand hygiene
    Irregular cleaning and disinfection of frequently touched areas



    Highest risk:

    Students and teachers engage in in-person only learning, activities, and events
    Students mix freely between classes and activities
    Students and teachers freely share objects
    Students, teachers, and staff do not/are not required to follow steps to protect themselves and others such as proper use of face masks, social distancing, hand hygiene
    Irregular cleaning and disinfection of frequently touched areas

    And irish schools (at least post primary) fall into the cdc's highest category.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,133 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    niallo27 wrote: »
    You are living in ****en dreamland if you think they would go from level 5 to level 2 in 3 weeks.

    Exactly

    It was the be level 5 for 4 weeks minimum

    That's best case scenario

    They would prob want level 4 for a month minimum as well

    That's all going well before we get to level three

    We were amongst the slowest in Europe to ease restrictions and some scientists reckon we opened too quickly so no way we would be at level two before the new year if we go to level 5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,368 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    Ficheall wrote: »
    You've complained democracy isn't working because our elected gov't isn't making the same decisions you would, and now you're complaining that removing this guy as representative because he wasn't representing the board's views is undemocratic...

    C'mon, are you actually expecting logical consistency here?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,579 ✭✭✭mr_edge_to_you


    Santy2015 wrote: »
    Expand??

    Is it possible that NPHET advised the Minister for Health and other senior officials but perhaps they felt that the officials were not grasping the seriousness of the issue?

    My thoughts anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,033 ✭✭✭Russman


    tom1ie wrote: »
    Tbh I would be an option 2 person also. However I wouldn’t have a huge deal of trust in my fellow citizen not to act the gob****e unfortunately.

    We need government to come out and give us a clear idea of option 1 or 2 and put a plan in place, but to be honest they won’t do that and I can see it will put vulnerable people in a certain amount of danger also.

    The problem is nobody has given a realistic suggestion as to how we shelter or protect the vulnerable, or even define the vulnerable.
    It’s just not realistic. Think of the permutations, kids with vulnerable parents, parents with vulnerable kids, one parent families with vulnerable member, kids with vulnerable brothers or sisters, carers with families etc etc etc. It’d only be a matter of time before it breaks down.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,303 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Italy reports highest number of cases since April (3,678) as hospitalisations and ICU admissions climb. 31 deaths in last 24 hrs (highest since June 20th).


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Italy requiring people arriving from Belgium, Holland, Great Britain and the Czech Republic be tested.
    What happened to free travel. Did nobody tell them it's a right? Wonder what happens if you test positive.
    Outdoor facemarks. This should be the case here if physical distancing not possible. School gates springs to mind with
    all the parents yapping in huddles before and after school.
    The numbers of the infection are growing throughout Europe and of course also in Italy.
    From today, masks are also required outdoors and tests for those arriving from Belgium, Holland, Great Britain and the Czech Republic.
    Now more than ever everyone's contribution is important to stop the virus.

    https://twitter.com/robersperanza/status/1313909682680074240?s=20


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭tritriagain


    I really dont get the criticism of NPHET. They are doing what they have more or less done since the start of this nightmare. The previous government and the current one used them to take away their own responsibility for making tough decisions. They exist to give advice but it is the governments job to govern. They have , rightly or wrongly , started to do this . time will tell whether this was the right time to do this. I also think Leo is a complete egomaniac . He accused Members of NPHET of never having to tell anyone their job was gone or close the shutter on their business. when has he had to do any of these things. all of this from a former minister for health, Taoiseach and now tanaiste who has done nothing to improve the capacity of the health service. why didnt claire byrne ask him why instead of enabling yet another of his solo runs. He is acting like he is in opposition and trying to undermine the government he is vice leader of. Grow up and concentrate on your job rather than looking for good soundbites and likes on social media.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,556 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    "Trying to justify their level 5 hysteria"

    That's what you said after the numbers where released today

    Trumper

    How is that saying they massaged the figures??????????


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,891 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Italy requiring people arriving from Belgium, Holland, Great Britain and the Czech Republic be tested.
    What happened to free travel. Did nobody tell them it's a right? Wonder what happens if you test positive.
    Outdoor facemarks. This should be the case here if physical distancing not possible. School gates springs to mind with
    all the parents yapping in huddles before and after school.



    https://twitter.com/robersperanza/status/1313909682680074240?s=20
    There's a provision for free movement:
    The Treaty allows a Member State to refuse an EU national the right of entry or residence on the grounds of public policy, public security or public health.

    During a pandemic, proof of a negative covid test isn't too much to ask.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    I never do :rolleyes: 4-24 are higher than ever, numbers have increase across the board since reopening, and the reason thats important is that schools cannot be taken in isolation from community, every student has a family of close contacts at home, did covid originate in schools in a particular case? Does it matter? They take a case into schools and spread to every other demographic (students/adults/oaps) , hence the increase accross all demographics.it isn't ****ing rocket science and im not getting into the details again and again.

    The increased social activity during the summer seeded the virus all over and then this activity was replaced in Sept by schools.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Mwengwe wrote: »
    Let's face it, this is 100% a childcare issue.

    You obviously don't have kids and if you do god help them. The change in my kids since they went back to school has be immense. Lock them back up in the house and the regression will really harm them. Kids need to socialise to develop.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,368 ✭✭✭✭Arghus



    It's interesting, but all things considered it is a bit of a distraction. The media could be consumed by this for the next couple of days and a lot of political effort and energy will go into talking about, when really it isn't that significant whether it was known to Government exactly when it was claimed or 6 hours earlier or 12 hours earlier. There's a danger that this will become the big issue now, when there are far bigger things at stake.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    Arghus wrote: »
    It's interesting, but all things considered it is a bit of a distraction. The media could be consumed by this for the next couple of days and a lot of political effort and energy will go into talking about, when really it isn't that significant whether it was known to Government exactly when it was claimed or 6 hours earlier or 12 hours earlier. There's a danger that this will become the big issue now, when there are far bigger things at stake.

    Exactly what the leaker wanted pethaps.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭s1ippy


    The change in my kids since they went back to school has be immense. Lock them back up in the house and the regression will really harm them.
    This experience is not the norm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,568 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    The increased social activity during the summer seeded the virus all over and then this activity was replaced in Sept by schools.

    Im sure kids (25-30 people) where in cramped poorly ventilated rooms over summer, and every hour mixed with 100s of other kids doing the same. But im sure ye are right, covid cannot infect or spread between children aged 4-19

    As an aside, we have gone from 100-200 cases a day at the end of August to 400-600 a day in a month, but im sure schools have had no impact on this spread.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 251 ✭✭HeyV


    Im sure kids (25-30 people) where in cramped poorly ventilated rooms over summer, and every hour mixed with 100s of other kids doing the same. But im sure ye are right, covid cannot infect or spread between children aged 4-19

    Icyseanfitz, how is your nephew? Think you mentioned him being hospitalised earlier...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,568 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    HeyV wrote: »
    Icyseanfitz, how is your nephew? Think you mentioned him being hospitalised earlier...
    No news yet, still waiting on a covid result. Thanks for asking.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,713 ✭✭✭Gods Gift


    Feeney on with Matt Cooper now.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,772 ✭✭✭stockshares



    This article(Oct 7th 8.40pm)
    https://m.independent.ie/world-news/...-39599176.html

    Quote
    Despite suggestions the CMO went on a solo run in pushing for a national lockdown, it has now transpired Mr Holohan was keeping the health minister fully informed throughout last weekend. It can also be revealed Taoiseach Micheál Martin knew on Saturday afternoon about Nphet’s plan to hold an emergency meeting

    Contradicts this article(Oct 7th 2.30am)
    https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/...-39596357.html

    Quote
    Mr Holohan met Department of the Taoiseach secretary-general Martin Fraser in Government Buildings at lunchtime yesterday after the controversy surrounding the National Public Health Emergency Team (Nphet) recommendation of Level 5 restrictions for the entire country. Mr Fraser was understood to be furious about how Mr Holohan's recommendation for a second lockdown emerged and made his views known at a Cabinet meeting on Monday.
    Taoiseach Micheál Martin was not informed Nphet was meeting on Sunday night, which was a serious concern to some in Government.

    Timeline
    Thu 1st
    Nephet letter to Gov says further measures not recomnended. 3-4pm it's announced Tony Holohan to return.

    Fri 2nd
    Nephet recommends all county's should have same L3 restrictions as Dublin and Donegal

    Sat 3rd
    Donnelly tells Martin of planned Nephet emergency meeting for Sunday 4th. Taoiseachs Spox confirms this.

    Sun 4th
    CMO speaks to Donnelly before Nephet meeting and says he was given no guidelines on levels by Donnelly. CMO then spoke to Donnelly afterwards and recommended level 5. Donnelly informed Martin both times. Nephet letter leaked.

    Mon 5th
    Cabinet meeting. Secretary General Martin Fraser voices disapproval of Nephet . Two Ministers later say Taoiseach made out he did not know of Sundays Nephet meeting and their proposals. Level 5 rejected .
    Leo attacks CMO on Claire Byrne show .

    Tue 6th
    CMO meets Martin Fraser . L3 Guidelines come into effect midnight


This discussion has been closed.
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