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Covid 19 Part XXIV-37,063 ROI (1,801 deaths) 12,886 NI (582 deaths) (02/10) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    Didnt you get the memo, its restaurants driving this, not the schools.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    The_Brood wrote: »
    As it should. Unless people have other explanations for what is driving this? Compliance in the general non-school going public is not one bit worse than at the start of the virus, as someone in the heart and center of Dublin I guarantee you its the same.
    What's been driving it is high levels of mixing - people seeing eachother in their homes, meeting friends for drinks, going on holidays together, all very normal stuff, but that has the biggest impact.

    This is why cases started to increase in August; people started taking holidays in July, relaxing on the rules, and on into August.

    You won't answer because it doesn't suit your narrative, but why are we not seeing a huge surges of cases in schools? On a statistical level the increase from August to September is a smooth curve, there's no sudden jump associated with the schools.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,840 ✭✭✭hetuzozaho


    froog wrote: »
    Didnt you get the memo, its restaurants driving this, not the schools.

    Could it be both?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    seamus wrote: »
    What's been driving it is high levels of mixing - people seeing eachother in their homes, meeting friends for drinks, going on holidays together, all very normal stuff, but that has the biggest impact.

    This is why cases started to increase in August; people started taking holidays in July, relaxing on the rules, and on into August.

    You won't answer because it doesn't suit your narrative, but why are we not seeing a huge surges of cases in schools? On a statistical level the increase from August to September is a smooth line, there's no sudden jump associated with the schools.

    Important to clarify that most of those holidays took place in Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 296 ✭✭sekond


    ixoy wrote: »
    In April, you had to have multiple symptoms to get tested. Younger people are much more likely to have milder symptoms so they weren't being tested in April whereas now it's much easier to get tested (there were a lot more than 4k cases in April). We don't have a true number in most age groups to compare against April but even more so with those less at risk.

    There was also (in my experience) a reluctance to test younger people in March/April. I was referred for a test by my GP in mid-March as a result of a range of symptoms. My daughter and I were both ill, but GP would only refer me as "the test is pretty unpleasant, so I'm not referring kids unless I have to. Best see if you have it first". I was one of the people who was knocked off the list when they kept changing the criteria. So, even though I was ill for the best part of 3 week, including a trip to A&E, I was never tested, and therefore my daughter, with similar, milder symptoms also wasn't.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    hetuzozaho wrote: »
    Could it be both?

    That's way too complex a notion for people to grasp.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,546 ✭✭✭Gadgetman496


    OscarMIlde wrote: »
    Yup, was supposed to be off work today, had to pop in for an hour. 5 twenty year olds sitting on the top deck of the bus (not together), every single one if them is sporting their mask under their chin. Even if they are not personally worried about getting it, they should have some concern about contributing to community spread. I'm actually astounded how selfish many of them are. These are clearly middle class kids so they know the consequences of their actions.

    So you are suggesting that working class individuals would not know the consequences of their actions?

    "Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,656 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    I also live by my means and have not taken out big debts nor am I a person that wants everything now. I think you are in a privileged position which I would not begrudge you but I find your posts smack of smugness towards those who are not able to be in your position. I (think) you mentioned on another one of your posts that your children go on play dates to other people’s homes I would have thought if your families health was paramount you would have knocked that on the head considering NPHET are saying most transmission occurs in private households
    I have playdates with other families who are not sending their kids to school and are staying safe.
    I'm trusting that they are not taking shortcuts or anything like that.
    I understand the advice given and I think you need to use common sense along with it.
    When there was a 2km rule I didn't abide by it because it was much safer for me to drive 6km to a secluded area and walk my dogs, and kids, rather than walk around an urban area where you'd be meeting other families with kids and no control over what they would do.
    If it comes across as me being smug or arrogant that's not what I'm like and if you knew me you'd know that. I'm a very sociable guy and love to chat. Having said that I don't go many places to visit unless it's to do with the kids or my family. I've lots of work at home to keep me busy.
    I'm handy at math and I'm reading so much about this virus and keeping up to date on it. I read a lot of rubbish and I understand there are many agendas out there so I digest everything I read and decide what's rubbish and what's not. For example somebody saying that well haveva bunch mire deaths in old folks homes and care facilities seems ridiculous to me as we have already been there and learned what not to do. My position is that I try to make sensible decisions for the long term.
    I'm of the opinion that this virus is still too young and we don't know enough about it. Scientists and medical professionals have not explained to this point why some people are having organ trouble when they contract it, same with kids and pims, same with the extreme lethargy problem.
    When you haven't all the information to make a good decision I stay back and wait.
    There's a real possibility that we'll have a vaccine early next year. I'm willing to wait it out until then. As I said money is secondary to my family's health.
    As for my financial position, I'm not in a bad place but I don't have a big bank balance or extra property. One of my targets is to purchase a second property as an investment so there's money there for my kids when I'm gone.
    I'm fully invested in getting my kids to adulthood, healthy, educated and well rounded. If I succeed in that I'll be very happy.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Celbridge rate is off the scale. A school was closed there. I'm sure it's unconnected and they prob got it in a pub.

    https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/irish-town-worst-covid-rate-22709015
    The Irish town with the worst Covid rate outside Dublin where school closed and concern rife
    There is some concern about the Co Kildare town with a soaring Covid incidence rate.

    But there is major concern in the town that cases are still on the rise.
    A primary school in the area was advised to close by the HSE earlier this week due to a number of cases.
    Scoil Na Mainistreach in Celbridge received the guidance on Thursday after the HSE carried out a number of tests.
    It is thought originally just a few students had been sent home but after testing a further outbreak was feared.


    https://twitter.com/joeneville2010/status/1309231226704801794?s=20


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The_Brood wrote: »
    ....but the difference in terms of possible Covid exposure and spread potential is dramatically different between teens in school, which are virtually all teens, and people in their 20s who can be in very different situations - and in any case colleges aren't really open.

    The people in this country are being made absolute fools by this government.

    You think people in their 20's are not socialising? there are none so blind as those who will not see


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,287 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    seamus wrote: »
    but why are we not seeing a huge surges of cases in schools?

    How do you know we aren't?

    If the same contact tracing formula applies, schools would be by and large cut out of the equation, testing of kids is still pretty much optional with a family setting where they have to self isolate anyway.

    There was "no" transmission in pubs and restaurants either until we were told there was.

    Are schools driving the surge? - no, well at least not yet. Are schools and the extra 10s of millions of contacts adding to the daily cases numbers, absolutely, to think otherwise would be quite daft.


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    AgeRange.png
    Doesn't appear that the 0-24 (school range) are driving cases up.
    In fact, the 0-34 age range is pretty stable.
    The_Brood wrote: »
    As it should. Unless people have other explanations for what is driving this? Compliance in the general non-school going public is not one bit worse than at the start of the virus, as someone in the heart and center of Dublin I guarantee you its the same.

    Very handy chart - look how stable the rates in the young are since August


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,188 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    eagle eye wrote: »
    I have playdates with other families who are not sending their kids to school and are staying safe.
    I'm trusting that they are not taking shortcuts or anything like that.
    I understand the advice given and I think you need to use common sense along with it.
    When there was a 2km rule I didn't abide by it because it was much safer for me to drive 6km to a secluded area and walk my dogs, and kids, rather than walk around an urban area where you'd be meeting other families with kids and no control over what they would do.
    If it comes across as me being smug or arrogant that's not what I'm like and if you knew me you'd know that. I'm a very sociable guy and love to chat. Having said that I don't go many places to visit unless it's to do with the kids or my family. I've lots of work at home to keep me busy.
    I'm handy at math and I'm reading so much about this virus and keeping up to date on it. I read a lot of rubbish and I understand there are many agendas out there so I digest everything I read and decide what's rubbish and what's not. For example somebody saying that well haveva bunch mire deaths in old folks homes and care facilities seems ridiculous to me as we have already been there and learned what not to do. My position is that I try to make sensible decisions for the long term.
    I'm of the opinion that this virus is still too young and we don't know enough about it. Scientists and medical professionals have not explained to this point why some people are having organ trouble when they contract it, same with kids and pims, same with the extreme lethargy problem.
    When you haven't all the information to make a good decision I stay back and wait.
    There's a real possibility that we'll have a vaccine early next year. I'm willing to wait it out until then. As I said money is secondary to my family's health.
    As for my financial position, I'm not in a bad place but I don't have a big bank balance or extra property. One of my targets is to purchase a second property as an investment so there's money there for my kids when I'm gone.
    I'm fully invested in getting my kids to adulthood, healthy, educated and well rounded. If I succeed in that I'll be very happy.

    Paragraphs please :)

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,651 ✭✭✭US2


    Its pretty evident from walking around town and general living what's causing the increases.

    The 15-25 demographic hang around in huge groups. It's common enough to see groups of 7-12 so once one in that group gets it, it leads to a snowball effect.

    Also I see a trend on Tinder with girls in that age group looking for house parties.
    If you're willing to go to house parties with lads you dont know, you're going to have high contacts.

    I can see a situation arising where big groups are confronted as their actions at this stage are impacting all of us at an individual level.

    Instead if the Guards setting up checkpoints or closing pubs, maybe they should focus on breaking up big groups in that age range.
    If they're walking down the main street of town it shouldn't be hard to split them up and start to enforce control of house parties...these parties arent exactly incognito as they're loud and messy.

    I think OwlBethere hinted at this last week that girls who go out for a drink are spreading covid and many more diseases


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,580 ✭✭✭JDD


    Eagle Eye I think you should do whatever you think is best for your own family.

    It appears to me that you are self employed and can adjust your hours around home schooling, and perhaps your kids are older and may be better able to mind themselves during the day while you catch up on the work you have missed (or perhaps you just have taken on less work?). It is not the situation that everyone can avail of, as you have stated. And I can completely understand someone choosing to do this if a) they have the flexibility to do so and b) have vulnerable people in their household.

    I think we all worry to a certain extent about whether their may be long term effects from this virus. But I suppose it's a low level anxiety in my case, rather than a more immediate worry that would lead me to keep my children at home. But everyone as a different risk vs reward matrix. In my personal view, the risk of my children catching the virus does not outweigh the reward of them being taught by a qualified teacher, with other children, enabling me to stay in my job. That, of course, may change the more we know about this virus.

    I don't for a minute think that home schooled children are automatically at a disadvantage socially. If you can sign them up to after school clubs, gaa training, let them free on playdates etc they get all the social interaction they need. I suppose in my view, if I was so worried about the impact of the virus on my family that I pulled them from school, I probably wouldn't be letting them do sports/after school clubs/playdates either. We definitely wouldn't know enough (or indeed, any) other homeschooling families with children of a similar age that playdates would be a viable option. You appear to be in the lucky position that you do. In addition, should we get to next March/April and find that there is no vaccine on the horizon for another six months, would I continue to keep them at home? Would I then send them back to school and if I did, would I always be wondering what the impact the constant change on them would be?

    Ha! Maybe I'm more of a worrier than I think I am, given all the above is a hypothetical situation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    US2 wrote: »
    I think OwlBethere hinted at this last week that girls who go out for a drink are spreading covid and many more diseases

    WTF?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Very handy chart - look how stable the rates in the young are since August

    Rte reporting that 1/4 of all cases have been in the 15-24 year age range in the past 2 weeks. It's actually been that way for the past month. It's actually reduced down from a high at the end of August.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,833 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    So you are suggesting that working class individuals would not know the consequences of their actions?

    No, of course I'm not. I'm just highlighting that ignorance clearly wasn't the reason for them not wearing their masks.
    “Never argue with an idiot. They will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience.”


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 838 ✭✭✭The_Brood


    You think people in their 20's are not socialising? there are none so blind as those who will not see

    Obviously every age group is still "socialising" in different ways and reducing that should hopefully bring down the cases - but if our response to that is "oh well then, let's push on with the scientifically proven greatest spreader of Covid 19, aka long periods inside close-knit places mingling with multitudes" then that is absolute and complete madness.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,546 ✭✭✭Gadgetman496


    OscarMIlde wrote: »
    No, of course I'm not. I'm just highlighting that ignorance clearly wasn't the reason for them not wearing their masks.

    You have ignorant people from all walks of life, highlighting which class you felt they were from was unnecessary really.

    "Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid."



  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The_Brood wrote: »
    Obviously every age group is still "socialising" in different ways and reducing that should hopefully bring down the cases - but if our response to that is "oh well then, let's push on with the scientifically proven greatest spreader of Covid 19, aka long periods inside close-knit places mingling with multitudes" then that is absolute and complete madness.
    Wolf359f wrote: »
    AgeRange.png
    Doesn't appear that the 0-24 (school range) are driving cases up.
    In fact, the 0-34 age range is pretty stable.

    .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Very handy chart - look how stable the rates in the young are since August
    Actually looks like the 55-74 age cohort have seen a reckonable expansion since the start of September.

    This would be a key driver for hospitalisations. And if we want to point at schools being a problem; 55-74 is prime "babysitter granny" age.

    This would be worth looking at to see if there's a link. If there is, it seems like an obvious one to break by throwing money at childcare services for working parents and legal protections to allow parents to demand to work from home if at all possible.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,579 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Germany are a little ahead of us regarding schools. Seems to be ok for now but it is worrying some officials there.

    https://twitter.com/News4teachers/status/1310539053499113474?s=20
    BERLIN. The President of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), Prof. Lothar Wieler, has confirmed that there are now corona outbreaks in schools. “Everything seems to be under control at the moment,” he says. "But the situation can change at any time." For the first time, there is an official admission that teachers and students at school have been infected with the corona virus. So far nothing has been heard from the minister of education.


    Translated link:

    https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.news4teachers.de%2F2020%2F09%2Frki-chef-wieler-bestaetigt-was-kultusminister-verschweigen-es-gibt-mittlerweile-corona-ausbrueche-an-schulen%2F


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,833 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    You have ignorant people from all walks of life, highlighting which class you felt they were from was unnecessary really.

    Well everyone else on the bus, apart from one of a pair of drug addicts, managed to wear their mask. These kids weren't ignorant, they were selfish.
    “Never argue with an idiot. They will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience.”


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,541 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz



    The problem with that and comparing Germany to Ireland is that their educational system is far far better, much less students per class and bigger better ventilated buildings. In fact the majority of EU countries are the same.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    US2 wrote: »
    I think OwlBethere hinted at this last week that girls who go out for a drink are spreading covid and many more diseases

    LOL


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,593 ✭✭✭techdiver


    Ger Roe wrote: »
    You speak sense, but we do not have the organisational ability to do what you suggest.

    I have had experience of Ipad introduction in my child's secondary school - a half arsed and overly expensive implementation driven by the school itself, because of lack of guidance and commitment from the Dept. It was a total financial rip off for parents using a mish mash of existing services and various commercial platforms cobbled together by the school wood work teacher to promote a vanity project for the board of management. I attended the mandatory 'training' session for use of the Ipad (cost €50) and the first thing the kids were told to do, was to lie about their age so that they were old enough to sign up for the cloud storage service required to operate the system. Imagine... lesson one of internet usage - lie about your age to obtain services.

    The Dept needed to get a grip on the introduction of tech well before Covid. There should have been national standards and operating procedures rolled out with deals done at national level to provide standard approved equipment, infrastructure and resources. Schools are literally left to their own devices and the dept stays out of the picture.

    Half arsed doesn't begin to describe it. We are not starting from a good place in trying to implement a brave new world of remote teaching - not at secondary level anyway.

    Note : cost of the training session was €50. The Ipad had to be bought at full price from a single supplier who then knobbled it with their own software to restrict it's use to their educational platforms only. You had to use a new Ipad, no previously owned units were acceptable or no other devices (laptop, other brand tablet). The full cost of the implementation was in excess of €800 per head as opposed to a €75 book hire scheme that had operated previously - with parents being told to approach the local credit union for help with finance.

    What the actual ****! Why didn't the parents get together and tell the school where to go?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    owlbethere wrote: »
    LOL

    Not sure why you think the comment you made was funny. It was disgusting and i'm surprised a Mod didn't sanction you for it.


This discussion has been closed.
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