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Covid 19 Part XXII-30,360 in ROI(1,781 deaths) 8,035 in NI (568 deaths)(10/09)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,758 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    I wouldn’t be so sure asymptomatic means no long term damage.

    https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1300866785869135872?s=21
    Symptoms without symptoms? The whole article is a complete contradiction of itself.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,626 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    well then you should be extra careful not to catch covid

    good luck with it

    Ah thanks for the concern. I’m sure i’ll be ok ;-)

    You don’t need covid to drop dead. Heart disease is well able to do that on it’s own.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,231 ✭✭✭✭normanoffside


    I wouldn’t be so sure asymptomatic means no long term damage.

    https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1300866785869135872?s=21

    Djokavic will be fcuked, but not until 2025


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    owlbethere wrote: »
    They are probably feeling allergic to their children now at this stage, especially 6 months at home. Send the kids back to school and experience some exposures and get the granny and the granddads in every weekend. It's hard work parking SUVs as close as possible to schools in the
    'f uck you I'll park anywhere I want spot'.

    Ah calm down there now.

    Most of them are crossovers not SUVs ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,517 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Gruffalox wrote: »
    I never said a sustained period. I said on a day or two.

    I don't think you did to be fair, but if that what you meant, fair enough.

    But you don't just take one or 2 days and compare it with one or 2 other days, you compare 7/14 day averages to get a better picture.

    We had a similar amount of cases on the 28th of April as we had today, but comparing them is meaningless.
    Gruffalox wrote: »
    You distribute 100000 to 250000 cases over the time frame 1st March to end of August remembering it must ascend, peak then descend and show me how you fit in the numbers. 150000 divided by 180 days just at a flat rate is over 800. If 0.6% is 1800 then 100% is about 250000. 250000 divided by 180 days is 1400 every day since March 1st to August 31st. It peaked though and troughed. The numbers were WAY higher in the past.

    Our mortality rate is higher than 0.6%.

    Letting it run rampant in care homes skews the figure. We had 6000 confirmed cases in care homes with roughly 1000 deaths, 17% death rate. To put that in context we had over 8,000 health staff and 6 deaths. 0.08%.

    You are scaling up from a deeply unreliable number.

    As is the profile of confirmed cases, 6,000 of those in care homes and roughly 7,000 infections at work by medical professionals.

    The most accurate figure you can use is hospitalizations which is 3,405, but even that is inflated because everyone was hospitalized at the start.

    So with a hospitalization rate of 2-4%.

    Shoot in the middle at 3% you get 113,500 infections divided by 180 is 630 per day average.

    Remember large swathes of the country acted before our public health acted, that's what saved us from have a higher first surge of the disease IMHO.

    If you look at the antibody testing from England it puts the figure at only 6%, given they went down the stiff upper lip method of once in generation pandemic control, we did the majority right at the start, they didn't. It would not surprise me in the least backed up by hospitalization numbers, that our instance rate is less than half of Englands. 2-2.5%.


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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,477 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    I wouldn’t be so sure asymptomatic means no long term damage.

    https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1300866785869135872?s=21

    An airborne respiratory virus causing long term heart disease is one hell of a thing to consider.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    owlbethere wrote: »
    They are probably feeling allergic to their children now at this stage, especially 6 months at home. Send the kids back to school and experience some exposures and get the granny and the granddads in every weekend. It's hard work parking SUVs as close as possible to schools in the
    'f uck you I'll park anywhere I want spot'.

    Fair play for not engaging in generalisation , when it's such an easy trap to fall into.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,151 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    Could you say why?

    Putting the fear of god in elderly people that they won’t be able to have their family for Christmas


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack


    Micky 32 wrote: »
    I never said it can’t affect the heart. My point is i’d be more concerend about your cholesterol level affecting your heart longterm than going into hysterics about covid destroying my heart. The former is far more likely to happen.

    Cholesterol level is controllable for the vast majority of people. This complication due to Covid 19 is not.

    "A German study found that 78 percent of recovered COVID-19 patients, the majority of whom had only mild to moderate symptoms, demonstrated cardiac involvement more than two months after their initial diagnoses. Six in 10 were found to have persistent myocardial inflammation. While emphasizing that individual patients need not be nervous, lead investigator Elike Nagel added in an e-mail, “My personal take is that COVID will increase the incidence of heart failure over the next decades.”


    Judge teams on their actions. American College sports are not resuming for a reason. Their have been worrying complications due to this virus to healthy elite athletes. This could be much worse in the next few mths if the virus transmits at a much greater level. The denial about how serious this virus is strange and irrational at this stage. Obviously post lockdown fatigue is affecting people's judgement on the seriousness of this virus


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,829 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Boggles wrote: »
    If you look at the antibody testing from England it puts the figure at only 6%, given they went down the stiff upper lip method of once in generation pandemic control, we did the majority right at the start, they didn't. It would not surprise me in the least backed up by hospitalization numbers, that our instance rate is less than half of Englands. 2-2.5%.

    1.7 % according to this
    https://www.thejournal.ie/antibody-testing-ireland-5181472-Aug2020/

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,023 ✭✭✭Gruffalux


    Boggles wrote: »
    I don't think you did to be fair, but if that what you meant, fair enough.


    It is easy to check my posts. Then there could be no vague insinuation that I am lying.
    As for the rest we will have to agree to disagree. It is not possible to know. I believe my extrapolation to be feasible. You believe in yours. Either way we are very low in case numbers now compared to once upon a time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,551 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Cholesterol level is controllable for the vast majority of people. This complication due to Covid 19 is not.

    "A German study found that 78 percent of recovered COVID-19 patients, the majority of whom had only mild to moderate symptoms, demonstrated cardiac involvement more than two months after their initial diagnoses. Six in 10 were found to have persistent myocardial inflammation. While emphasizing that individual patients need not be nervous, lead investigator Elike Nagel added in an e-mail, “My personal take is that COVID will increase the incidence of heart failure over the next decades.”


    Judge teams on their actions. American College sports are not resuming for a reason. Their have been worrying complications due to this virus to healthy elite athletes. This could be much worse in the next few mths if the virus transmits at a much greater level. The denial about how serious this virus is strange and irrational at this stage. Obviously post lockdown fatigue is affecting people's judgement on the seriousness of this virus

    Americas is not the approach we should be looking to emulate, there is so much going on that there are other factors than covid stopping college sports.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    I wouldn’t be so sure asymptomatic means no long term damage.

    https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1300866785869135872?s=21

    It's a little bit like hiv exposures and seroconversion. If you were to read hiv forums, many people have different experiences after hiv exposure. Some people develop flu like symptoms where they are bedridden. Other people experience milder symptoms and others none yet the people who don't have any symptoms, they can still test positive for the hiv.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,517 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    odyssey06 wrote: »

    Honestly, I wouldn't entertain the results of that all though it backs up my claims.

    It's too flawed.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,023 ✭✭✭Gruffalux


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    An airborne respiratory virus causing long term heart disease is one hell of a thing to consider.

    Whatever about the minimisers or being pragmatic or living with covid etc etc the more research is done the more I don't want to get this damn thing.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 734 ✭✭✭Dionaibh


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Putting the fear of god in elderly people that they won’t be able to have their family for Christmas

    But don't they have to accept responsibility for being stupid enough to fall for it? This casedemic we find ourselves in will never end.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack


    Americas is not the approach we should be looking to emulate, there is so much going on that there are other factors than covid stopping college sports.

    Didn't state that, your missing the point I am making .Their a growing number of people who keep looking at the hospital numbers and are thinking that this virus is overestimated in its severity. Its not. College Sports are stopped in America because of higher transmission rates . The problem is that it is increasing here quite rabidly and the virus won't just simmer at these low levels it will start to hit more vulnerable people. The attitude/behavior of people is vastly different to that in April/May


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,517 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Gruffalox wrote: »
    It is easy to check my posts. Then there could be no vague insinuation that I am lying.

    Well if you are going to get arsey about it.

    Here it the post I replied to
    Gruffalox wrote: »
    Truthfully our case numbers today are about 1/30th or 3% of what they were when things were bad. Maybe even less. Just say that - we have 2 or 3% today of what we had in April. Now. That's okay.

    That's the post I replied to.
    Gruffalox wrote: »
    I never said a sustained period. I said on a day or two.

    Point out to me where it says "I said on a day or two"?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,668 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Cholesterol level is controllable for the vast majority of people. This complication due to Covid 19 is not.

    "A German study found that 78 percent of recovered COVID-19 patients, the majority of whom had only mild to moderate symptoms, demonstrated cardiac involvement more than two months after their initial diagnoses. Six in 10 were found to have persistent myocardial inflammation. While emphasizing that individual patients need not be nervous, lead investigator Elike Nagel added in an e-mail, “My personal take is that COVID will increase the incidence of heart failure over the next decades.”


    Judge teams on their actions. American College sports are not resuming for a reason. Their have been worrying complications due to this virus to healthy elite athletes. This could be much worse in the next few mths if the virus transmits at a much greater level. The denial about how serious this virus is strange and irrational at this stage. Obviously post lockdown fatigue is affecting people's judgement on the seriousness of this virus

    American college sports are resuming. For example, 10 of the 12 football conferences are starting over the next couple of weeks. Basketball is making an announcement later this month but expected to start in November or early December, just a few weeks later than the normal start date.

    https://www.ncaa.com/live-updates/ncaa/ncaa-sports-news-schedule-changes-coronavirus-updates-all-sports


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,023 ✭✭✭Gruffalux


    Gruffalox wrote: »
    Of course we did. We have recorded 28000 cases as of now. But between 2 and 5% have had Covid as researched. That is 100,000 to 250,000 people. Most we recorded in Aprilish was about 800 to 1000 cases. Do the sums. There are loads of cases missing. We could have had 10,000 cases on a day or so back then. It is very low now.
    May not always be. But tis now.

    For Boggles. On a day or so.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,568 ✭✭✭boardise


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Didn't state that, your missing the point I am making .Their a growing number of people who keep looking at the hospital numbers and are thinking that this virus is overestimated in its severity. Its not. College Sports are stopped in America because of higher transmission rates . The problem is that it is increasing here quite rabidly and the virus won't just simmer at these low levels it will start to hit more vulnerable people. The attitude/behavior of people is vastly different to that in April/May

    And it takes something pretty damned serious to stop College sports in the US -almost tantamount to a religion.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,023 ✭✭✭Gruffalux


    2% of 5 million is 100000.
    Divide that by 180 which is about every day from 1st March to 31st August.
    Answer is 555.
    That would have been 555 cases day in day out every single day without fail to accommodate just 2% of Irish population having had covid. 555 today, yesterday, that Thursday in mid June or July when it might have said 10 cases.
    Logically there was a peak when we had a shedload of cases. Way more, hugely more, than were announced those days.
    It is just freaking logical.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,245 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    harr wrote: »
    Not surprised by today’s figures, I know 3 families local who’s teenagers have come from holidays in Greece and now have Covid , two had no symptoms and continued with football training and working ,only got tested when a friend was confirmed positive. Most members of the households have gotten it.
    So out of 3 teenagers who returned from Greece it has turned into a 3 separate clusters with some contacts still to be tested. Big numbers returning from Greece over the weekend.

    Is Greece on the green list?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,551 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Didn't state that, your missing the point I am making .Their a growing number of people who keep looking at the hospital numbers and are thinking that this virus is overestimated in its severity. Its not. College Sports are stopped in America because of higher transmission rates . The problem is that it is increasing here quite rabidly and the virus won't just simmer at these low levels it will start to hit more vulnerable people. The attitude/behavior of people is vastly different to that in April/May

    It's not increasing here rapidly, the numbers are steady even with increased testing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,730 ✭✭✭DebDynamite


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Putting the fear of god in elderly people that they won’t be able to have their family for Christmas

    To be fair, in what they’ve quoted De Gascun as saying, he never mentioned Christmas at all, he just said something vague like next month or in the next few weeks...it’s Breaking News that seems to have put in the Christmas clickbait nonsense


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,170 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Putting the fear of god in elderly people that they won’t be able to have their family for Christmas

    He never said that nor intimated it


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Eod100 wrote: »
    What are you basing that on?

    Public health guidelines. He would not be a close contact.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,150 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney


    a large area of Scotland including Glasgow are back under restrictions again after 66 new cases were discovered in the region today

    how many did Dublin have today?

    https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0901/1162634-glasgow-covid-lockdown/


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,517 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Gruffalox wrote: »
    Logically there was a peak when we had a shedload of cases. Way more, hugely more, than were announced those days.

    We had way more, but not 10600 more than today's case numbers.

    You just don't get a one day peak at 11,000 odd cases, that would plateau for a week or 2.

    Even at our peak we had a negativity test rate of 83%.


This discussion has been closed.
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