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Storm Ellen - 19th/20th August 2020

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Comments

  • #242
    jonwang
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79 ✭✭jonwang


    Probably not the weather for a car wash but I've got a free circle K one if anyone wants it, desperately trying to give it away, only 3 hours left until the coupon expires. email me for the code skskennelly@gmail.com

    A bit unrelated but just posting on the most active tread I see.


  • #243
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,591 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Status Orange - Wind warning for Munster, Galway and Mayo

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Storm Ellen will track over Ireland this evening and tonight bringing severe and damaging winds.

    Heavy rainfall and storm surge will result in some flooding.

    Valid: 21:00 Wednesday 19/08/2020 to 06:00 Thursday 20/08/2020

    Issued: 11:22 Wednesday 19/08/2020

    No real change. They obviously think GFS track is wrong.


  • #244
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    tabby aspreme wrote: »
    Good to see you posting again, lock up the furballs tonight

    Thank you.

    As for the furballs; they have various hidey holes. When the gale gets going opening the door may not be possible.. or prudent.

    Brighter out here but no sun.


  • #245
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Graces7 wrote: »
    Thank you.

    As for the furballs; they have various hidey holes. When the gale gets going opening the door may not be possible.. or prudent.

    Brighter out here but no sun.

    It’s so good to hear you’re keeping well. Made of hardy stuff you islanders.

    :) x


  • #246
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Status Orange - Wind warning for Munster, Galway and Mayo

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Storm Ellen will track over Ireland this evening and tonight bringing severe and damaging winds.

    Heavy rainfall and storm surge will result in some flooding.

    Valid: 21:00 Wednesday 19/08/2020 to 06:00 Thursday 20/08/2020

    Issued: 11:22 Wednesday 19/08/2020

    Forgive please my amateur ideas but "storm surge" means exceptionally high tides? I mentioned this earlier. Thank you. Now that COULD be interesting …


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  • #247
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,261 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Keep an eye on the water vapour animation at the link below. In the last few frames there appears to be a stingjet forming on the back edge of the cold front (as evidenced by the sharp yellow streaks shooting southwards on the northern side of the yellow area; subsiding stratospheric air). The jet is not that strong (240 kph at 250 hPa), but given the strong moisture-loading it is leading to strong upward motion and rapid pressure falls at the surface.

    If it's a stingjet now then it may peak before reaching us tonight, so eyes down for the 12Z analysis.

    https://meteologix.com/ie/satellite/204-w-396-n/satellite-water-vapor-15min/20200819-1015z.html#play-0-29-9

    523465.png


  • #248
    Hurrache
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,381 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    aisling86 wrote: »
    Why?

    Because otherwise it's saying camping with kids in Ireland is stupid?


  • #249
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,617 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Indestructable wrote: »
    Ireland's Weather Channel is really going for this one. He has a huge following so might cause some distress, I wonder will Met Eireann follow suit.

    If only it was the other way around.

    I have a feeling the ECM is going to be wrong on this one, that the UKMO depiction will be correct.


  • #250
    Santy2015
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,065 ✭✭✭Santy2015


    Met Eireann particularly concerned about campers in the south and west of the country


  • #251
    typhoony
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,746 ✭✭✭typhoony


    nacho libre wrote: »
    If only it was the other way around.

    I have a feeling the ECM is going to be wrong on this one, that the UKMO depiction will be correct.

    can you say what the difference is between ECM and UKMO?


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  • #252
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 283 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Met Éireann still just going with Munster , Clare and Galway in an Orange warning


  • #253
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Anyone skill re tide tables please? Just been out and a very low tide; sand exposed. Patches of blue skies but massing dark clouds swarming in. Very dramatic.

    So when the tide turns? Rather lovely out but clearly not going to last.


  • #254
    Ninthlife
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,491 ✭✭✭Ninthlife


    typhoony wrote: »
    can you say what the difference is between ECM and UKMO?

    Id like to know this too..

    Also i sit on in Sth West Kildare on the border of Carlow and Laois. Any idea if it will be yellow or orange and should I weigh the trampoline down


  • #255
    optogirl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,040 ✭✭✭optogirl


    Hurrache wrote: »
    Because otherwise it's saying camping with kids in Ireland is stupid?

    OP meant there is some stupidity on the Camping With Kids in Ireland Group


  • #256
    no.8
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 820 ✭✭✭no.8


    Ah yes...because an event that lasts say 48hrs max. Means you certainly can't make use of the 3-4 months of the summer holiday season.

    So i presume you will never visit the southern states of the US (given your logic)


  • #257
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Ninthlife wrote: »
    Id like to know this too..

    Also i sit on in Sth West Kildare on the border of Carlow and Laois. Any idea if it will be yellow or orange and should I weigh the trampoline down

    I’d probably do it as a precaution anyway.

    Flower baskets are down. Parasol is in. I just need a second pair of hands to move the garden furniture. It’s rattan so it’s quite light.


  • #258
    Xenji
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,506 ✭✭✭✭Xenji


    Mount Vesuvius wrote: »
    Met Éireann still just going with Munster , Clare and Galway in an Orange warning

    Mayo as well.


  • #259
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,711 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Latest French models still keeping strongest winds to the East. WRF keeps to East.


  • #260
    Hurrache
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,381 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    optogirl wrote: »
    OP meant there is some stupidity on the Camping With Kids in Ireland Group

    Ah, I knew there must have been something more to it. It's a private group so dunno what they're up to.


  • #261
    aisling86
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 606 ✭✭✭aisling86


    Hurrache wrote: »
    Because otherwise it's saying camping with kids in Ireland is stupid?

    No I didnt I said in the group. The level of stupidity being shown in the group currently is though. Most asking is it safe to stay where they are on campsites in tents for tonight.


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  • #262
    dmc17
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,835 ✭✭✭dmc17


    Graces7 wrote: »
    Anyone skill re tide tables please? Just been out and a very low tide; sand exposed. Patches of blue skies but massing dark clouds swarming in. Very dramatic.

    So when the tide turns? Rather lovely out but clearly not going to last.

    Low tide should be around 12:40 in the mayo area with high around 18:45. It will be lower and higher than usual over the next few days


  • #263
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,464 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Rain to Southwest a 9pm tonight looks ominous


  • #264
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    dmc17 wrote: »
    Low tide should be around 12:40 in the mayo area with high around 18:45. It will be lower and higher than usual over the next few days

    Ah thanks; I will go out and look in a few minutes. It was already very low. Sky darkening again now. Those dark clouds look formidable.


  • #265
    Marty Bird
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭Marty Bird


    Ninthlife wrote: »
    Youghal be careful

    Joking aside will it be that bad ?wife is considering cancelling our hotel.

    🌞6.02kWp⚡️3.01kWp South/East⚡️3.01kWp West



  • #266
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,464 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Rain in Southwest looks severe.

    A rough night by all accounts


  • #267
    Ninthlife
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,491 ✭✭✭Ninthlife


    Strawberry Milkshake wrote: »
    I’d probably do it as a precaution anyway.

    Flower baskets are down. Parasol is in. I just need a second pair of hands to move the garden furniture. It’s rattan so it’s quite light.

    Yea i will do the same. I usually do once I see these threads but last couple of times it wasnt really necessary.

    i will go out once the rain stops so


  • #268
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 518 ✭✭✭Donegal Ken


    Indestructable wrote: »
    Ireland's Weather Channel is really going for this one. He has a huge following so might cause some distress, I wonder will Met Eireann follow suit.

    He over hypes every storm and drop of rain that falls. He is Irelands version of the daily express. Met Éireann have a team of fully qualified meteorologists and have much more technology than he ever will have. Putting out bogus warnings like he has done is dangerous and the day a actual proper red warning needs to be issued some will ignore because he issues them once or twice a week. I know most of the the forecasts pages have this view also.


  • #269
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,321 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Status Red - Wind warning for Cork

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Between 9pm and midnight Storm Ellen will produce a core of very severe and destructive winds.

    Valid: 21:00 Wednesday 19/08/2020 to 23:59 Wednesday 19/08/2020

    Issued: 11:00 Wednesday 19/08/2020


  • #270
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,321 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Just to note that last time Met Eireann mentioned “destructive” in the warnings was Ophelia


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  • #271
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,754 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Awh sh**.. waiting on the bus down to west cork now so hopefully there's some show but no damage at the same time :p


This discussion has been closed.
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