Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Covid 19 Part XXI-27,908 in ROI (1,777 deaths) 6,647 in NI (559 deaths)(22/08)Read OP

1213214216218219328

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,410 ✭✭✭Westernyelp


    Myramar wrote: »
    Can you explain?

    You seem to be questioning the statistics produced by the Dept of Health and the HSE.
    Do you Think they are lies?.
    These are the statistics from the same sources that you reproduce here on a daily basis and that represent the basis for your "informed opinions".
    Are they solid statistics when you like the numbers but become "Lies" when they disagree with your narrative?

    You're not from round here. is ya?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    Good.. .you got a mild dose. That doesn't mean that everyone you know will or won't have complications.

    You are correct of course. The point I am trying to badly make is that the way we as a country are going with half doing things, the majority are likely to get it over a prolonged period in a uncontrolled manner. Wouldn't it be great to have some control on this thing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    What do you mean, managed? Many die from their illness once they end up that ill.

    Many older people die from this. Not many healthy people under 45 die from this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,046 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Haven't been keeping up with the thread? There is strong evidence of T-cell immunity (regardless antibodies)

    2 studies that are indicative that T cells might confer some immunity for an unknown length of time but not sure or peer reviewed yet.
    This, while very hopeful does not equal " strong evidence" .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Renjit


    I disagree with you.

    Of course some people have 'flaunted' some of the advice at times. But I cant see that being a big factor. In any case you need to let people have some social outlet.

    If someone told me you could either go along with not going out or anywhere not meeting people concerts and all the rest of it for another couple of years or else you get the virus tomorrow I'd say I might take my chances with the virus.

    Take your chances, laddy :D


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 105 ✭✭Jaded Walker


    How can schools reopen if you can only have six people inside at one time?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,046 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Akabusi wrote: »
    Many older people die from this. Not many healthy people under 45 die from this.

    If they end up in ICU with it they are not very healthy. 1 in 5 die.

    My point was addressed to polesheep who seems to think that percentage that ends up in ICU can be managed? Not healthy under 45s.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,095 ✭✭✭Beau


    Are there any outdoor gyms in operation? I have yet to see one.

    Yes, my gym has moved to provide outdoor classes


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,857 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    You won't get to 0 for long. If it all. And if you did, itll return. And if it does, you're hard 20 days lockdown again, and again, and again. It's been tried, it doesn't work.

    The UK is having more flu and pneumonia deaths than covid, all while undergoing similar restrictions on life. It would seem that influenza and not covid might require more attention right now.

    , if the UK are making a bollöcks of things.. it’s not exactly a reason to give ourselves a hall pass to go down the same road. I think the whole argument of.. “ohhh look at xxxxx, that didn’t work there” ... is a little cop out strategy, almost trying to give ourselves a hall pass because somewhere else isn’t successfully dealing with it...

    The solution to the bind we are in and the work that needs to be done is on our own island, decisions... for us... by us... with our interests in mind..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,043 ✭✭✭Polar101


    Are you sure, it's not the way I heard it, let's say your are correct, can we still put an estimate on it, we've had how many people into the country since lockdown?

    I watched the press conference, but I'm not sure what mr. Donnelly meant either. 3 out of 100 cases are travel related, but that in itself is a silly figure - it's not like they are testing any incoming tourists. So he makes it sound like travel is no issue, but do we actually know?


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,354 ✭✭✭nocoverart


    Wuhan looks like a fun place right now, amazing looking pool parties over there. Fair fooks to them! the only thing they don't produce in that part of the world is empathy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,857 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Beau wrote: »
    Yes, my gym has moved to provide outdoor classes


    Mine too, although I prefer the online one from home....Probably only about another seven or eight weeks where the outdoor is feasible as it’s going to get cold not to mention wetter towards the end of September...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,134 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    Akabusi wrote: »
    I'm more worried about peoples mental health, this is going to be a dreadful winter. Higher taxes, unemployment, flu, Covid, isolation, homelessness all hitting different parts of our society. Hopefully we get a mild winter and the vaccine/treatments continue to progress.

    Ah that old chestnut. People will be fine, and those that like to bang the mental health drum will bang it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,857 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Ah that old chestnut. People will be fine, and those that like to bang the mental health drum will bang it.

    An awful lot of people use the ‘ mental health ‘ drum and beat it when convenient... quite apparent with covid...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,157 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Strumms wrote: »
    An awful lot of people use the ‘ mental health ‘ drum and beat it when convenient... quite apparent with covid...

    Mental health has been the bane (excuse) of Ireland for a long time not just covid

    Though I have an older friend who is having a real hard time with all this and especially after the announcements today - just wants to go to a bar for a few jars and chat with people with no restrictions (but isn't saying his mental health is suffering even tho I can see it is)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭Always_Running


    The median age of cases was always around the mid-forties, it was only the averages for deaths that were generally in the low-eighties.

    Thought as much. Reason I asked was because Tomas Ryan on prime time said we have few deaths in recent weeks because the median age of cases was in forties right now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,236 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    People have much more individual freedom now though, and much more aspirations towards a more prosperous life. A major shock could easily turn hope to anger and that’s why the Chinese government will tread carefully. It’s also got to be remembered that it’s only 2 generations since the cultural revolution misdirected anger towards the perceived old elites to perpetrate those atrocities. The Chinese leadership have a good historical perspective and realise that as much as they want control, if the people no longer acquiesce that control could come under threat
    Lol, what ridiculous points. You're forgetting how the outbreak happened and Xi Jinping did nothing while doctors who reported the epidemic were jailed instead. You're saying a president for life has earned his people a more prosperous life? Give me a ****ing break.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 416 ✭✭scary


    The median age of cases was always around the mid-forties, it was only the averages for deaths that were generally in the low-eighties.

    I don't think you understand the difference between median and average. In the early days the median was in the 80's for deaths not the average.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,142 ✭✭✭blowitupref


    Myramar wrote: »
    Can you explain?

    You seem to be questioning the statistics produced by the Dept of Health and the HSE.
    Do you Think they are lies?.
    These are the statistics from the same sources that you reproduce here on a daily basis and that represent the basis for your "informed opinions".
    Are they solid statistics when you like the numbers but become "Lies" when they disagree with your narrative?

    190 cases weren't all from today would be his point.

    It was known Monday we had additional 259 positive swabs from the previous 48 hrs of testing and only 56 cases was reported.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,157 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    190 cases weren't all from today would be his point.

    It was known Monday we had additional 259 positive swabs from the previous 48 hrs of testing and only 56 cases was reported.

    I would like to know the reasoning behind this - it is not a one off
    Are they verifying they are not double counted positives? Well the numbers always seem to match up after a few days
    Is it a case of the Glynn has to sign off on the reported figures - well this hasn't just happened at the weekends
    I'm trying to think of reasons as to the delay in reporting cases and coming up with nada
    It all seems a bit weird we get a low reported case number then the next day in the hundreds, then we get a low case number and the next day in the hundreds again
    We've had less than 100 cases per day on average the past week but 2 days of massive numbers reported (plus add in that some of these positive cases may even be historic as in not the past week but weeks ago)


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,129 ✭✭✭✭Oranage2


    fritzelly wrote: »
    I would like to know the reasoning behind this - it is not a one off
    Are they verifying they are not double counted positives? Well the numbers always seem to match up after a few days
    Is it a case of the Glynn has to sign off on the reported figures - well this hasn't just happened at the weekends
    I'm trying to think of reasons as to the delay in reporting cases and coming up with nada
    It all seems a bit weird we get a low reported case number then the next day in the hundreds, then we get a low case number and the next day in the hundreds again
    We've had less than 100 cases per day on average the past week but 2 days of massive numbers reported (plus add in that some of these positive cases may even be historic as in not the past week but weeks ago)

    As many people predicted they wanted to use the high figures as a scare tactic for yesterday's announcement. There has been inconsistencies before and people reckon it's to do with clusters, so they announce a cluster when all the results are back


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,157 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Oranage2 wrote: »
    As many people predicted they wanted to use the high figures as a scare tactic for yesterday's announcement. There has been inconsistencies before and people reckon it's to do with clusters, so they announce a cluster when all the results are back

    And it's BS if that is what they are doing - totally unfair on the general public when RTE and the ilk release the numbers and suddenly we have this massive spike to put the fear of god in to people

    It's just not right.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,129 ✭✭✭✭Oranage2


    fritzelly wrote: »
    And it's BS if that is what they are doing - totally unfair on the general public when RTE and the ilk release the numbers and suddenly we have this massive spike to put the fear of god in to people

    It's just not right.

    Yeah I agree, they should announce true numbers but emphasize the weekly numbers to show people how good or bad we're doing. I'd be in the safe age and health range but those big numbers terrify me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,949 ✭✭✭ChikiChiki


    Our surge is being reported by global news outlets this morning.

    The 2.30am indo release specifically has the words "Nation slides towards lockdown". If that's not buttering up the public for what's coming I don't know what is.

    What a shambles.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Spain has 10 times the incidence of Italy. That's pretty shocking.
    The doubling time there is 20 days (7 day rolling). It has doubled steadily for the past 60 days.
    One more doubling and they are back at the height of the first wave in terms of case count. They are probably picking up more cases etc through better testing but be in no doubt it's quite serious there.

    We are a long way off that. I'm skeptical about schools but hopefully numbers start coming down.


    523426.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Myramar wrote: »
    Can you explain?

    You seem to be questioning the statistics produced by the Dept of Health and the HSE.
    Do you Think they are lies?.
    These are the statistics from the same sources that you reproduce here on a daily basis and that represent the basis for your "informed opinions".
    Are they solid statistics when you like the numbers but become "Lies" when they disagree with your narrative?

    Well seeing as there was 31 postive swabs through the system yesterday not 190 and a large number of cases not announced Sunday / Monday then yeah yesterdays cases don't equal those announced as was discussed here on Sunday and Monday


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Tánaiste Leo Varadkar criticised his Fianna Fáil colleagues for rushing through the new measures without debating it at a Cabinet committee meeting with public health experts.

    Several sources at the meeting said the Fine Gael leader said: "If we keep doing business like this, we won't be doing business for very long,"

    Mr Varadkar was described as "furious" by one Cabinet source who said the party was "growing tired with the bad news constantly being announced under Fianna Fáil".

    Frustrations have also been raised among Fine Gael ­ministers over the severity of the advice given by Nphet on the virus.

    "You'd need a certain set of skills to deal with Nphet because anyone who can make logic of their recommendations needs to be a genius," a minister said.

    "We are implementing the most draconian restrictions in Europe," another minister said.

    https://m.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/no-end-in-sight-as-nation-slides-towards-lockdown-39461331.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 420 ✭✭grind gremlin


    fritzelly wrote: »
    I would like to know the reasoning behind this - it is not a one off
    Are they verifying they are not double counted positives? Well the numbers always seem to match up after a few days
    Is it a case of the Glynn has to sign off on the reported figures - well this hasn't just happened at the weekends
    I'm trying to think of reasons as to the delay in reporting cases and coming up with nada
    It all seems a bit weird we get a low reported case number then the next day in the hundreds, then we get a low case number and the next day in the hundreds again
    We've had less than 100 cases per day on average the past week but 2 days of massive numbers reported (plus add in that some of these positive cases may even be historic as in not the past week but weeks ago)

    Are they only reporting cases once contact tracing has been complete? They seem to announce them and also whether they are direct contacts / community transmission etc. Maybe less contact tracing at the weekends?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Deaths lag cases by a month. Age is a huge factor but it takes 3 weeks median time for case to death. Add into the mix our long period for registering deaths
    and it'll take much longer for them to filter through.
    The same debate was had in Florida.
    It started with young but eventually moved to old.
    The fatality is much lower in younger people, so we see case numbers increase without necessarily immediate increase in deaths

    According to the meta-analysis ages 0-34 have a fatality 70 times less than ages 55-64

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v3

    523428.jpeg


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    15th September at the earliest for new Garda powers and that hinges on the AG advice.

    https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1295955667279282177?s=19


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement