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Covid19 Part XVIII-25,473 in ROI(1,736 deaths) 5,760 in NI (551 deaths)(30/06)Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,959 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    absolutely no different to how any other country will handle a localised outbreak

    How do you know that?

    :confused:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Boggles wrote: »
    How do you know that?

    :confused:

    Because it's been said time and time again, take Ireland for example NPHET and CMO have said if we need restrictions they'll be targeted.
    Portugal targeting Lisbon.
    Germany targeting one region.

    Need I go on ?

    I know its hard for some to grasp but we won't see a full lockdown again


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Boggles wrote: »
    How do you know that?

    :confused:

    Evidence of every country that has eased restrictions so far. Maybe?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Reading back thorough the thread this morning you'd think we had just announced hundreds of cases. The level of fear is unbelievable. 2nd waves and lockdowns, I actually think some people enjoy the idea of them


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    well 17 cases is hardly a wave now is it?

    How do you know it's not the start of a wave? It's 17 cases in different clusters in offices and warehouses. Each of those 17 has to go home to their families. 17 new cases + 17 families. Each of those families go into other work and school. Can you do the maths?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Reading back thorough the thread this morning you'd think we had just announced hundreds of cases. The level of fear is unbelievable. 2nd waves and lockdowns, I actually think some people enjoy the idea of them

    There's two I just ignore now because you know they are deliberately searching for the worst case scenario and posting it here. I used to wonder what type of sad lives they have, now I just feel sorry for whoever happens to move within their circle. It has to be incredibly depressing to be witness to such negativity daily.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,959 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Because it's been said time and time again, take Ireland for example NPHET and CMO have said if we need restrictions they'll be targeted.
    Portugal targeting Lisbon.
    Germany targeting one region.

    Need I go on ?

    There is no need to go, you couldn't possible know how all countries will react to something that hasn't happened yet.

    As for the CMO given vague lip service to targeted responses, has he stated he would shut down Cork if push came to shove or Dublin?

    In the German example they have shut down 10 towns.

    They have introduced a curfew in Lisbon, hardly comparable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    How do you know it's not the start of a wave? It's 17 cases in different clusters in offices and warehouses. Each of those 17 has to go home to their families. 17 new cases + 17 families. Each of those families go into other work and school. Can you do the maths?

    I can thanks for your concern and cheap dig, hence tracking tracing and isolation is key which is being done.

    How do you know its a second wave ? See this works both ways in a discussion. But if I said something was black you'd say its white.

    You actually need to stop seeing the worst in absolutely everything.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,385 ✭✭✭schmoo2k


    How do you know it's not the start of a wave? It's 17 cases in different clusters in offices and warehouses. Each of those 17 has to go home to their families. 17 new cases + 17 families. Each of those families go into other work and school. Can you do the maths?

    You do understand that:
    * People know about the virus and its symptoms now
    * Time to get a test and results is days now
    * People know that if they are positive, then their household is effectively positive and will not go to work and will let people they have been in recent contact with know
    * People no longer touch strangers and make some effort to maintain a distance
    * People wash hands now!

    Its the flue I feel sorry for - it will have no opportunity to take hold this year...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Boggles wrote: »
    There is no need to go, you couldn't possible know how all countries will react to something that hasn't happened yet.

    As for the CMO given vague lip service to targeted responses, has he stated he would shut down Cork if push came to shove or Dublin?

    In the German example they have shut down 10 towns.

    They have introduced a curfew in Lisbon, hardly comparable.

    how is it hardly comparable?? They are both a targeted number of restrictions and not a blanket lockdown.

    All evidence so far is targeted restrictions, you can't argue against that.

    If a town or city in Ireland needs restrictions imposed then yes I'd expect them to do it


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,550 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Reading back thorough the thread this morning you'd think we had just announced hundreds of cases. The level of fear is unbelievable. 2nd waves and lockdowns, I actually think some people enjoy the idea of them

    People enjoy the idea of policy plus of going over and above to bring this and US to a sensible, safe and happy conclusion so that EVERY aspect of our lives can be made , safe, normal, etc... and we are not fûcking dying.

    My Aunt a woman in her late 70’s is being bullied and harassed by the religious organization she works for to return to work. My Dad has even advised her to start attending mass elsewhere as they were turning up at the back of the church on her way out to burn the ears off her.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,513 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    poppers wrote: »
    their 7 day moving average has been stable in the low to mid 40s for the last month, not really much of a second wave think they will be ok

    Did you read the article? The south Korean government explicitely said that despite the low number of cases reported the last few days they think there is large numbers of other undected clusters across the country

    I have no idea what's going on there, but it was the south korean goverment that specifically used the term' second wave' to describe what is going on there in that country currently, not random people saying it to scaremonger


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,740 ✭✭✭✭MD1990


    NDWC wrote: »
    4 cases yesterday and you've got people on here practically salivating over a second wave. My advice to those people is to go out for a walk or a drive or something.

    Constantly trawling the internet for news about second waves in Timbuktu can't be good for your mental health.

    the problem is the same people who do out.

    They may see 100's of people social distancing. But if 1 or 2 are not they'll be on boards asap complaining.

    Mentioned on here last few months how people are not following the rules.

    Completly false. 99% of people have followed the rules resulting in where we are now.

    They'll be outbreaks at times over the rest of the year but I we wont see a 2nd wave.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    Reading back thorough the thread this morning you'd think we had just announced hundreds of cases. The level of fear is unbelievable. 2nd waves and lockdowns, I actually think some people enjoy the idea of them

    Very good example of why there is a lack of capacity for objective discussion in here.

    This sort of language was used in February against people who were really concerned with the virus. Post like this and insinuations of “scaremongering” and “sure it’s only in Asia” we’re from posters who refused to even consider it might arrive in Europe. You are just applying the same logical to discussion on a potential future 2nd wave. Some of you really do have an aversion to discussing this outside of a positive narrative.

    How bad it might be may depend on how we manage it now while there is a break. Up until now we have been reactive to the virus, now we have a chance to be more pro active and some of you can’t even discuss this on a logical level without reverting to insults. I’ve not seen anybody respond to my post on how we can be proactive with a plan that would possibly reduce the need for future lockdowns.

    I’m positive that we can take steps to manage a potential second wave much better but I don’t see much infrastructure being put in place to mitigate this very real risk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Strumms wrote: »
    People enjoy the idea of policy plus of going over and above to bring this and US to a sensible, safe and happy conclusion so that EVERY aspect of our lives can be made , safe, normal, etc... and we are not fûcking dying.

    My Aunt a woman in her late 70’s is being bullied and harassed by the religious organization she works for to return to work. My Dad has even advised her to start attending mass elsewhere as they were turning up at the back of the church on her way out to burn the ears off her.

    Look theres not going to be a conclusion until there's a vaccine that much is quite clear. There's going over and above and then theres the fear and paranoia some on here display.

    Whats happening to your aunt is a disgrace. No work place is allowed to bully and harassed like that to return to their job.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭ShyMets


    Drumpot wrote: »
    Very good example of why there is a lack of capacity for objective discussion in here.

    This sort of language was used in February against people who were really concerned with the virus. Post like this and insinuations of “scaremongering” and “sure it’s only in Asia” we’re from posters who refused to even consider it might arrive in Europe. You are just applying the same logical to discussion on a potential future 2nd wave. Some of you really do have an aversion to discussing this outside of a positive narrative.

    How bad it might be may depend on how we manage it now while there is a break. Up until now we have been reactive to the virus, now we have a chance to be more pro active and some of you can’t even discuss this on a logical level without reverting to insults. I’ve not seen anybody respond to my post on how we can be proactive with a plan that would possibly reduce the need for future lockdowns.

    I’m positive that we can take steps to manage a potential second wave much better but I don’t see much infrastructure being put in place to mitigate this very real risk.

    If you don't mind me asking. What steps should we take to manage any second wave


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    ShyMets wrote: »
    If you don't mind me asking. What steps should we take to manage any second wave

    Rather than a blanket 14-day quarantine for new arrivals, selectively apply it to those countries where the daily case incidence is still elevated, such as USA, Germany, UK for the next few weeks (their fatalities are falling, but still roughly 1,000 daily cases), and Sweden.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Drumpot wrote: »
    Very good example of why there is a lack of capacity for objective discussion in here.

    This sort of language was used in February against people who were really concerned with the virus. Post like this and insinuations of “scaremongering” and “sure it’s only in Asia” we’re from posters who refused to even consider it might arrive in Europe. You are just applying the same logical to discussion on a potential future 2nd wave. Some of you really do have an aversion to discussing this outside of a positive narrative.

    How bad it might be may depend on how we manage it now while there is a break. Up until now we have been reactive to the virus, now we have a chance to be more pro active and some of you can’t even discuss this on a logical level without reverting to insults. I’ve not seen anybody respond to my post on how we can be proactive with a plan that would possibly reduce the need for future lockdowns.

    I’m positive that we can take steps to manage a potential second wave much better but I don’t see much infrastructure being put in place to mitigate this very real risk.

    I'm not pushing a postive narrative, at the start of this i was concerned like everyone else, now I'm of course still concerned and take all measures to mitigate against becoming ill but I've done my research, I've looked at everything and the situation as it stands now and I'm much more relaxed.

    Back in Feb I wasn't posting on this thread so I can't comment on posts from then.

    I'll engage with anyone on a discussion but when they start to turn into discussions based on opinion and not evidence then I'll step away. If someone can't provide evidence to back up a statement then it holds no credit.

    Compared to March we had no testing and no tracing in place at levels that would be required, we have that now, we have extra hosptial capacity if it was ever needed (fingers crossed it not). Changes since March that should have an impact to keep cases low going forward.

    And yes there are a small number of posters on here that no matter how much facts and data you put infront of them will still you that black is white. As one poster said "strap yourselves in for the second wave" , now does that not display a lack of capcity for discussion with a mindset like that


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    ShyMets wrote: »
    If you don't mind me asking. What steps should we take to manage any second wave
    Drumpot wrote: »
    If its about the economy lets take steps now to mitigate a future second wave so our economy doesn't suffer worse in the future because we didn't take steps now to future proof it.

    I've said it before, Make masks mandatory as a minimum. Monitor our airports better and people travelling in and out of Ireland. Do we even have the infrared machines that they had in Asian countries back in January taking peoples temperatures? What about a contact tracing App ? What actually are we doing during this opening up to try and mitigate the severity of a second wave? What are we doing to educate people about how serious this disease and the potential for it to come back worse in the winter? People really seem to struggle between the idea of scaremongering versus objective discussions on prudent planning on a threat that is real.

    Planning for a second wave, putting in place measures that are long term, sustainable and proven in more successful countries at managing this is better then riding a positivity train and opening everything up because you refuse to objectively assess the threat. You need your population to comply with a reasoned plan, we dont have one, we have open or close and we will deal with any fallout later. Its crazy and if it is bad or worse in the winter we only have ourselves to blame. Lets see how our economy copes if our healthcare system collapses.

    And not just that , talking about it in a reasoned forum with each other would be nice. You can plan for the worst and hope for the best. It doesn’t have to be “you are either a pessimist or an optimist” you can be w realist and look at all angles at the same time. We have a much better chance now at our response to a second wave, let’s have political discussions and even discussions here on all aspects, not just one side of things. Our figures are getting better because of some savage lockdown, how do we take measures now to make sure we don’t have to do it again even if it comes back strong? What are we doing to retain the healthcare staff who came back from abroad ?

    This is a real theat, not an imagined threat, a real ongoing threat that may or may not come back in a worse fashion. We honestly don’t know , maybe it will be grand but to assume it and to try and plough ahead as normal in the hope it will work out is negligent. Basic common sense would be to look at what we did well and wrong and look at the best countries and follow their lead. I’m not so sure we are doing that, maybe in some things but the future cost of us not putting in place measures now to reduce future waves is unwise.

    I’ve been very relaxed the last 3 months, since I saw our government cancel the parade and take necessary steps to protect us all. I’m now worried that we are making similar mistakes that were made in February when many people under estimated the virus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,822 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    A second wave is not inevitable. Localised spikes probably are. There's a huge difference between those two things.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    NDWC wrote: »
    A second wave is not inevitable. Localised spikes probably are. There's a huge difference between those two things.

    exactly this, but its unexplainable to some.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,644 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    I'm not pushing a postive narrative, at the start of this i was concerned like everyone else, now I'm of course still concerned and take all measures to mitigate against becoming ill but I've done my research, I've looked at everything and the situation as it stands now and I'm much more relaxed.

    Back in Feb I wasn't posting on this thread so I can't comment on posts from then.

    I'll engage with anyone on a discussion but when they start to turn into discussions based on opinion and not evidence then I'll step away. If someone can't provide evidence to back up a statement then it holds not credit.

    Compared to March we had no testing and no tracing in place at levels that would be required, we have that now, we have extra hosptial capacity if it was ever needed (fingers crossed it not). Changes since March that should have an impact to keep cases low going forward.


    Contact tracing won’t work in the case of a packed plane full of people coming to Ireland.
    If one person is asymptomatic and boards a plane where people will be in an enclosed space for 4 hours they could infect at least (lets be conservative) and say 3 people.
    Those 3+1 asymptotic person, will get off the plane and have x number of interactions, that will most likely involve being in enclosed spaces for a period of time with others.
    The other 3 people on the plane who got infected wouldn’t develop symptoms until at least 5 days but could be more than 14 days (1% of people develop symptoms after 14 days) would have many contacts in that timeframe.
    It’s a very tall order to trace the contacts and ask them to self isolate.
    Are we saying we have full confidence in our contact tracing system to be able to do this?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    I'm not pushing a postive narrative, at the start of this i was concerned like everyone else, now I'm of course still concerned and take all measures to mitigate against becoming ill but I've done my research, I've looked at everything and the situation as it stands now and I'm much more relaxed.

    Back in Feb I wasn't posting on this thread so I can't comment on posts from then.

    I'll engage with anyone on a discussion but when they start to turn into discussions based on opinion and not evidence then I'll step away. If someone can't provide evidence to back up a statement then it holds no credit.

    Compared to March we had no testing and no tracing in place at levels that would be required, we have that now, we have extra hosptial capacity if it was ever needed (fingers crossed it not). Changes since March that should have an impact to keep cases low going forward.

    And yes there are a small number of posters on here that no matter how much facts and data you put infront of them will still you that black is white. As one poster said "strap yourselves in for the second wave" , now does that not display a lack of capcity for discussion with a mindset like that

    It can be hard to know who you are referring to when you make those broad statements so apologies if that was not directed at me.

    I’m not sure what’s going to happen but I sell life assurance and think of this from a mitigation POV not an emotional or overly negative POV. I think a 2nd wave looks inevitable but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to be bad, just seems to be the course of virus’s. I am no epidemiologist but I’d of thought it we get bad flu outbreaks every winter , there is a solid chance that COVID can piggy back on this and spread more. I also know medically that in winter we get more flu like virus’s. That would lead me to believe that it’s reasonable to wonder if we could potentially get a more severe outbreak outside of the Feb/March one we just had.

    It’s funny cause I’m more worried we get a bad wave not because we couldnt manage it but because we just didn’t bother to put the Infrastructure , planning and education in place to manage it better.

    I’ve been trying to discuss the potential for a second wave with my wife. Maybe it’s because I’m self employed and you need to try and be ahead of the game , I’m used to trying and plan to navigate future issues. I don’t see doing SWOT analyses as Being negative.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 146 ✭✭yawhat?


    exactly this, but its unexplainable to some.

    Nobody knows that a second wave is inevitable. Nobody knows that a second wave is not inevitable.

    Nobody knows, do you understand this?

    When you don’t know, it is advisable to take precautions. Not spoof about holidays and unnecessary restrictions and the economy and people living in fear.

    We’ve had weeks and weeks of this nonsense from the same posters.

    One thing we do know for certain, whatever happens, the same half dozen posters will be in here whinging and moaning and fretting over the economy as a cover for their real views.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,985 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Look theres not going to be a conclusion until there's a vaccine that much is quite clear. There's going over and above and then theres the fear and paranoia some on here display.
    There is a thing called cop on. Hopping on a plane is lacking cop on. Staying in Ireland and being careful is smart.
    Our government have been horrendous in lots of ways during this thing. We need them to quarantine and test anybody coming in here. If they do that and we all don't leave the country we'll have no virus.
    If they don't do that then a number of idiots, both holiday makers coming here and our own returning from abroad will bring the virus in here and we'll be back in hell again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,822 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    exactly this, but its unexplainable to some.

    I'm actually beginning to think it's the next best thing to rocket science


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    yawhat? wrote: »
    Nobody knows that a second wave is inevitable. Nobody knows that a second wave is not inevitable.

    Nobody knows, do you understand this?

    When you don’t know, it is advisable to take precautions. Not spoof about holidays and unnecessary restrictions and the economy and people living in fear.

    We’ve had weeks and weeks of this nonsense from the same posters.

    One thing we do know for certain, whatever happens, the same half dozen posters will be in here whinging and moaning and fretting over the economy as a cover for their real views.

    Agreed.

    It’s actually very similar on the soccer forum where some people take very strong stances on one side and you just can’t talk to them. They then revert to insults and they all thank each other and it becomes an echo chamber competition.

    That’s football that’s not really important but people’s views on COVID and how we manage it is literally life and death. Really is sad to see how poor we all are at communicating. I can revert to insults myself when I get fed up so I’m throwing these stones in my own glasshouse.... :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,959 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Local lockdown. The exact same as you'll see anywhere if theres spikes in certain areas
    absolutely no different to how any other country will handle a localised outbreak
    how is it hardly comparable??.

    Apart from the stark difference in the 2 examples you cited. :confused:
    If a town or city in Ireland needs restrictions imposed then yes I'd expect them to do it

    You'd expect it?

    That's reassuring.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,645 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    There's two I just ignore now because you know they are deliberately searching for the worst case scenario and posting it here. I used to wonder what type of sad lives they have, now I just feel sorry for whoever happens to move within their circle. It has to be incredibly depressing to be witness to such negativity daily.

    I have someone in my family like some of the posters on here. It’s mentaly exhausting trust me.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    ooops sorry, wrong thread !! supposed to be liveline thread..


This discussion has been closed.
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