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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part III - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,442 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-ireland-idUSKBN2350YS

    As others have mentioned, Leo on the 2m and the speeding up of reopening


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,716 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-ireland-idUSKBN2350YS

    As others have mentioned, Leo on the 2m and the speeding up of reopening

    He would want to be careful, he might end up saying something decisive.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,410 ✭✭✭Westernyelp


    No evidence or sources. Speculation and opinion only. If this was the leaving cert you would not pass I fear.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,077 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    Begs the question again what does come down a bit more mean in terms of numbers?

    Just soundbites from Leo really


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 166 ✭✭Harpon


    No evidence or sources. Speculation and opinion only. If this was the leaving cert you would not pass I fear.

    Are you saying eu countries are lying about the number of infections? If so where is your evidence of that?

    Are you saying Lidl and Aldi are lying about the number of staff infected? If so where is your evidence of that?

    I’m sure I will be waiting a long time for you to come back with evidence.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭Breezin


    JRant wrote: »
    I agree, the press have been woeful from the very beginning of this. That doesn't take away from the fact that NPHET stopped publishing their meeting minutes. That's an absolute scandal IMO.


    The eagerness of most of the Irish news media to be co-opted into a fake war footing marks another low point in their history. Just as previously they came blindly on board as a tool for driving austerity, with a few honourable exceptions they were intoxicated with the new authoritarianism, confining themselves to relaying specially redacted figures and 'rules' and 'laws' and 'guidance'.

    Putty in the hands of technocrats.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,762 ✭✭✭plodder


    It's called a cabinet.
    It might as well be a chest of drawers because they don't have the expertise to counter-balance the public health advice coming from NPHET. You mentioned advice coming from other civil servants, and Im sure that's happening but it is ad-hoc and not in a position of authority to influence the "cabinet" significantly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 166 ✭✭Harpon


    So basically, the same as it is right now, only with the pubs open and you have to wear a mask?

    What part of “all businesses” did you not understand?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 440 ✭✭myfreespirit


    Harpon wrote: »
    Are you saying eu countries are lying about the number of infections? If so where is your evidence of that?

    Are you saying Lidl and Aldi are lying about the number of staff infected? If so where is your evidence of that?

    I’m sure I will be waiting a long time for you to come back with evidence.


    This post reminded me of an excellent quote from an article in the Guardian recently.

    "In a straight contest between coronavirus and bull****, the coronavirus wins every time"

    I call BS on this supposed "evidence" that all restrictions can be lifted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 302 ✭✭Tommysocks11


    Dead right, this is so low now that its virtually gone, open up the country, over 7000 prople die of cancer each year let alone other illnesses etc, yes theres risks from covid but also risks out driving a car, people are blinded by the scaremongering by our government


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 166 ✭✭Harpon


    This post reminded me of an excellent quote from an article in the Guardian recently.

    "In a straight contest between coronavirus and bull****, the coronavirus wins every time"

    I call BS on this supposed "evidence" that all restrictions can be lifted.

    You can call it bs all you want, doesn’t make it a fact unfortunately. Unless as I said before you have evidence eu countries are lying and Lidl and Aldi are lying.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,790 ✭✭✭Benimar


    It's guidance from Tony, he advises. the rules come from Leo

    It's actually shocking the amount of people who don't (or won't?) understand this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,605 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    You won't see evidence form the "lockdown forever, but let's put untested patients from our hospitals in with our most vulnerable, and keep the nursing homes open" experts either.
    Yeah but whatabout


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,358 ✭✭✭Heckler


    I've been working throughout all this. 20km round trip from the Cork city suburbs to Glanmire. Haven't come across one checkpoint in all the time. For anyone who knows Cork the only checks you'll meet is on the Pouladuff slip road right next to the Togher Garda station or on the Glanmire Lower Road. Both easily avoided. In fact in 5 years travelling both routes I've never met a checkpoint, pandemic or not.

    Traffic is up at least 70% in the last 2 weeks. I live out by the Lough and the last 2-3 days it has been absolutely mobbed. Same for Fitzgeralds Park.

    My mother is staying with my sister. I have no qualms visiting. Its within the 5km but if it wasn't I'd go anyway.


  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Its very clear that the numbers they seem to be aiming for are 0. Everything else seems to be too high or a cause for great concern.

    At this point, I would actually support a 2 week complete lockdown of been detained in our houses with the army on the streets if it meant we could end this nonsense and get back to normal for 15th June.

    Its just getting silly now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,077 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    Benimar wrote: »
    It's actually shocking the amount of people who don't (or won't?) understand this.

    Leo seems a bit confused himself


    "said the two-metre social distancing guideline remains in place for now. He emphasised that this is a guideline and not the law.

    "Differing bodies give different advice, but if someone has the virus, it's safer to be two metres away than one", he said. "

    On FM104 he also called it a rule


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,803 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    It really is a cowardly and shambolic sh;tshow at the moment.

    Holahan can parrot his line about only advising. Varadkar can claim he's acting based on the advice. Both of them can neatly sidestep taking any responsibility for the devastation that's being wrought on the country.

    We have 160 of the most well-remunerated politicians in the world 'representing' us and not a single leader among them.

    The media are delighted with all the clicks they are getting and have pumped out a constant stream of fear-mongering from day 1.

    We will look back on these days in the coming years. The billions of debt added to our children's and grand-kids futures, the hundreds of thousands of lost jobs.

    The loss of lives through reduced health spending in the coming years will dwarf anything seen by Covid.

    And all over a virus that represented a near-negligible threat for the working population. A virus whose median age of fatalities is higher than the average life-expectancy FFS!

    The future inquests and tribunals into this will be galling to watch, no doubt presided over by the same bunch of cowardly fcukwits that currently are hiding away from making any decisions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,750 ✭✭✭fleet_admiral


    Anybody else's children starting to really act up? My son has been handling this madness fine up to this week. He's sick of doing homework and it's a job to get him out of the house. He was fine up to the last few days.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 360 ✭✭radia


    The evidence we have is that when all businesses were open and no restrictions were in place, cases of COVID-19 rose exponentially from a handful to hundreds over a very short timeframe.

    The evidence we have is that when restrictions were put in place to limit the number of people out and about having interactions, and the number of people with whom they interacted, and the distance at which they had those interactions, then the rate of infection was greatly reduced.

    The evidence we have is that under those circumstances with all those supporting restrictions in place, meaning that the Lidl and Aldi workers met fewer people who in turn had met fewer people, at a safe distance, the infection rate was manageable.

    That's very, very different from saying everything will be grand if we just open everything up and have everyone mingling as before.

    I think you need to rethink your 'evidence'.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,410 ✭✭✭Westernyelp


    Harpon wrote:
    Are you saying eu countries are lying about the number of infections? If so where is your evidence of that?

    Harpon wrote:
    Are you saying Lidl and Aldi are lying about the number of staff infected? If so where is your evidence of that?


    I have no idea if the countries are living or not. There is no evidence or complete studies either way on how these numbers stack up at the moment.
    If you are putting forward a a position it is up to you to supply evidence and sources not me. That's how it works.

    Ditto for the supermarket numbers


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,172 ✭✭✭✭Stark


    He's sick of doing homework and it's a job to get him out of the house.

    Does he have "#stayathomesavelives" plastered everywhere :p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,312 ✭✭✭paw patrol


    Anybody else's children starting to really act up? My son has been handling this madness fine up to this week. He's sick of doing homework and it's a job to get him out of the house. He was fine up to the last few days.

    I had that earlier but i've been letting mine out with their friends the last few weeks.
    school work is terrible (no change) but they much better now they are out and about.
    Prob cut screen time by 75% being out in the sun.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    how many people under 65 with no co morbidities have died in ireland?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,253 ✭✭✭Birdie Num Num


    the kelt wrote: »
    Well not really,

    Sure you get the odd nut but the majority is based on alternative opinions from experts in the field and the longer and longer it goes on the more and more expert opinion comes out that counteracts much of the main opinion our own experts are working off. Most people are quoting other medical opinions, not their own.

    We are learning more and more as we go along, a case in point being the children being super spreaders of the virus for example which seems now isn’t the case, the fact that a loss of taste and smell is now a symptom but was t recognised as one up until this week.

    But mostly people are looking at the rest of Europe, all with their own experts in the field and medical people inputting into their decisions and deciding they can open up far far quicker than ourselves for some unknown reason I’ve yet to hear a reason for other than “let’s wait and see how everyone else gets on” which isn’t actually a reason, it’s a pathetic excuse to not make a decision.

    Maybe the HSE have better experts than it seems the entire medical experts made up of the rest of Europe?

    Or maybe we should forget about the HSE and the dept of health and suggest they consult this thread.

    Case in point indeed. The loss of taste and smell was recognised as a possible symptom a couple of months ago. Loss of taste and smell is not unusual with a common cold too. So why are Health Authorities only adding it as a symptom now? Shouldn’t the fools have done it weeks ago?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Alistair Haimes: The virus that turned up late
    Covid-19 is no more than a nasty, but basically normal, viral respiratory infection, though you’ll be regarded rather as a mullah regards a blasphemer if you say so. Why is this?

    After all: it is precisely because its symptoms seemed so similar to viral pneumonia that the initial outbreak in Wuhan was missed until the numbers built, and it is now clear that we have been missing Covid-19 cases diagnosed as pneumonia in Europe at least as far back as December, probably earlier. In the vernacular: it looks as though it was bubbling away for ages before we noticed.

    But if this is really the killer that has forced the biggest suspension of civil liberties since Oliver Cromwell’s Protectorate, what is so unusual about it? Where are the Emperor’s clothes?
    Thing is: how many of us do remember the winters of 1998-99 and 1999-2000 as being particularly bad flu seasons? I confess: I don’t, but there’s no ‘just’ flu about it: Covid-19 is a serious killer, and so is influenza. One viral disease we seem to have in perspective; the other not so much.

    There are really only two particularly unusual things about the Covid-19 epidemic: the timing of its arrival and the lockdown some countries declared. And if we ask “Covid, where is thy sting?”, it is lockdown that will sting: in the UK, the death-toll of people not turning up to hospital with cardiac issues (admissions are down 50% across the country) is now unmissable in the weekly non-Covid excess death figures published by the ONS, now running over 3,000 per week just for England and Wales. The downstream toll from missed cancer diagnoses (referrals are down 67%, as stressed by Professor Sikora) is heartbreak yet to come.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 713 ✭✭✭LeeroyJ.


    What ever happened to the tracing app that was supposed to be out by the end of may.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,442 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    LeeroyJ. wrote: »
    What ever happened to the tracing app that was supposed to be out by the end of may.

    End of June now apparently, just keeps getting pushed back


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    The 2006 Origins of the Lockdown Idea

    The primary author of this paper was Robert J. Glass, a complex-systems analyst with Sandia National Laboratories. He had no medical training, much less an expertise in immunology or epidemiology.

    That explains why Dr. D.A. Henderson, “who had been the leader of the international effort to eradicate smallpox,” completely rejected the whole scheme.

    Says the NYT:

    Dr. Henderson was convinced that it made no sense to force schools to close or public gatherings to stop. Teenagers would escape their homes to hang out at the mall. School lunch programs would close, and impoverished children would not have enough to eat. Hospital staffs would have a hard time going to work if their children were at home.

    The measures embraced by Drs. Mecher and Hatchett would “result in significant disruption of the social functioning of communities and result in possibly serious economic problems,” Dr. Henderson wrote in his own academic paper responding to their ideas.

    The answer, he insisted, was to tough it out: Let the pandemic spread, treat people who get sick and work quickly to develop a vaccine to prevent it from coming back.
    There are no historical observations or scientific studies that support the confinement by quarantine of groups of possibly infected people for extended periods in order to slow the spread of influenza. … It is difficult to identify circumstances in the past half-century when large-scale quarantine has been effectively used in the control of any disease. The negative consequences of large-scale quarantine are so extreme (forced confinement of sick people with the well; complete restriction of movement of large populations; difficulty in getting critical supplies, medicines, and food to people inside the quarantine zone) that this mitigation measure should be eliminated from serious consideration…

    Home quarantine also raises ethical questions. Implementation of home quarantine could result in healthy, uninfected people being placed at risk of infection from sick household members. Practices to reduce the chance of transmission (hand-washing, maintaining a distance of 3 feet from infected people, etc.) could be recommended, but a policy imposing home quarantine would preclude, for example, sending healthy children to stay with relatives when a family member becomes ill. Such a policy would also be particularly hard on and dangerous to people living in close quarters, where the risk of infection would be heightened….


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 166 ✭✭Harpon


    radia wrote: »
    The evidence we have is that when all businesses were open and no restrictions were in place, cases of COVID-19 rose exponentially from a handful to hundreds over a very short timeframe.

    The evidence we have is that when restrictions were put in place to limit the number of people out and about having interactions, and the number of people with whom they interacted, and the distance at which they had those interactions, then the rate of infection was greatly reduced.

    The evidence we have is that under those circumstances with all those supporting restrictions in place, meaning that the Lidl and Aldi workers met fewer people who in turn had met fewer people, at a safe distance, the infection rate was manageable.

    That's very, very different from saying everything will be grand if we just open everything up and have everyone mingling as before.

    I think you need to rethink your 'evidence'.

    You are completely ignoring my point. Other eu countries had similar infections rates per capita as us back in feb and March, these countries have now reopened to a much greater extent than us. These countries have not had significant spikes in infection rates. Can you dispute that? No, you can’t. Because this is a fact.

    As for Lidl and Aldi workers meeting fewer people at a greater distance, you have no evidence of that at all. Sales at supermarkets have exploded, so it’s very likely numbers visiting stores are up. And anyone who has been in a supermarket can tell you there is no social distancing going on.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,140 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    how many people under 65 with no co morbidities have died in ireland?

    As of May 7, 14% of deaths in ICUs didn't have an underlying medical condition. That's 10 people (as of that date, 69 people had died in ICU). If you extrapolate that out to all deaths (today, 1,639), that's 229 deaths. That stat doesn't factor in age.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2020/0507/1137125-coronavirus-analysis/

    Straight answer to your question is we don't know.


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