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Covid19 Part XVII-24,841 in ROI (1,639 deaths) 4,679 in NI (518 deaths)(28/05)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Any time the question is asked, they do encourage it in general. However, as there is currently "no evidence" in relation to COVID-19 they won't be pushing it any more than that.

    I thought there was decent evidence that VIT D deficiency increases your chances of a severe dose of COVID. Below is an excellent video (Dr John did one on VIT D aswell), click to 52:54 on video to just see him mention it. I’ve been taking VIT C, D and zinc since the start of March.



    I’ve said it to some older/vulnerable family/friends (some that are very clued into what’s going on) and it was news to them that VIT D deficiency can potentially make things worse if you get a bad dose. Taking a supplement that won’t have any downside but may have a huge benefit doesn’t seem like a bad idea.

    Isnt this exactly what they are saying about ethnic groups who need more VIT D and this may explain why they are dieing more in certain countries?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    I wonder will they try to blame the public if they fail to start lifting restrictions on the 18th?

    Concern that delays in testing process could impact on lifting of restrictions https://jrnl.ie/5095665


  • Moderators, Arts Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 78,103 Mod ✭✭✭✭New Home


    Drumpot wrote: »
    I thought there was decent evidence that VIT D deficiency increases your chances of a severe dose of COVID. Below is an excellent video (Dr John did one on VIT D aswell), click to 52:54 on video to just see him mention it. I’ve been taking VIT C, D and zinc since the start of March.

    I’ve said it to some older/vulnerable family/friends (some that are very clued into what’s going on) and it was news to them that VIT D deficiency can potentially make things worse if you get a bad dose. Taking a supplement that won’t have any downside but may have a huge benefit doesn’t seem like a bad idea.

    Isnt this exactly what they are saying about ethnic groups who need more VIT D and this may explain why they are dieing more in certain countries?

    Keep in mind, though, that it takes months and months and MONTHS of taking supplements for your vit. D levels to go back to normal, if you've a severe deficiency. Like, a year or more. Anything helps, though, I agree. If you don't have a vit. D deficiency and you take supplements needlessly, your kidneys may be affected. So, better get a blood test and make sure, first.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    As India is very large geographicaly and populalation wise. After watching the very disturbing video earlier I decided to look see if they were doing good anywhere and found Kerala not doing to bad. These give a general idea.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OzgyvrNA9sc

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6IVR0L0ZIyM

    I find Indian tv a bit fast and excitable and noisy for me so here is some reading aswell.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/apr/21/kerala-indian-state-flattened-coronavirus-curve

    https://thediplomat.com/2020/05/how-a-south-indian-state-flattened-its-coronavirus-curve/

    https://m.businesstoday.in/story/100-days-of-coronavirus-in-india-kerala-cm-pinarayi-vijayan-first-case-on-january-30/1/403336.html

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Kerala

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52283748

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52527534

    Testing, preparation, quareenteen, communication, population onboard, organisation,contact tracing, low tech solutions ,social distancing, restrictions/lockdown masks,looking after high risk areas. Thinking out side the box.
    Helped a good minister for health and one of the better funded health systems in India. Not as densly populated poorer areas? Maybe a bit like south korea's response?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Drumpot wrote: »
    I thought there was decent evidence that VIT D deficiency increases your chances of a severe dose of COVID. Below is an excellent video (Dr John did one on VIT D aswell), click to 52:54 on video to just see him mention it. I’ve been taking VIT C, D and zinc since the start of March.



    I’ve said it to some older/vulnerable family/friends (some that are very clued into what’s going on) and it was news to them that VIT D deficiency can potentially make things worse if you get a bad dose. Taking a supplement that won’t have any downside but may have a huge benefit doesn’t seem like a bad idea.

    Isnt this exactly what they are saying about ethnic groups who need more VIT D and this may explain why they are dieing more in certain countries?
    I wasn't clear on the no evidence. Henry was asked the question and that was his reply - no evidence of benefits in relation to COVID-19 but they will very happily encourage people to take it in general anyway.


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  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Boggles wrote: »
    He is not an epidemiologist.

    Another Kook trying to make himself relevant.
    growleaves wrote: »
    I didn't say he 'held the title of professor at Rockefeller'.

    He had an academic career at the University of Tübingen and worked with Klaus Dietz for 15 years before heading up the department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Research Design at Rockefeller. It appears he may not be an epidemologist himself, he just worked closely with epidemiologists for 35 years.

    Perhaps you can argue against his points using your own vast knowledge instead of irrelevant name-calling.

    I see that he has written books such as "Morales JF, Song T, Auerbach AD, and Wittkowski KM (2008) Phenotyping genetic diseases using an extension of μ-scores for multivariate data. Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology" which sound intelligent enough to me. He may not be an epidemiologist per se, but certainly appears to have some grounding in subjects allowing him to offer a valid opinion on how the stats might show how this progresses.

    But obviously not good enough for Dr Boggles, who denounces his opinion because it doesn't fit with his preferred narrative!

    If what you hear doesn't fit with your personal risk tolerance, then you decide that what you are hearing is bollóx!
    The varying opinions on this virus on here, and everywhere else, are testament to the fact that people really all have different perspectives on things, of which I think are a lot down to their personal risk tolerances. Some of us, it would appear, would gladly lock ourselves away, dettol the shopping deliveries, and don a hazmat suit (not referring to posters above) in an effort to avoid this virus, even if they are relatively young with no underlying conditions. They will gladly forgo attempts to return to a normal life because, for them, avoidance of this virus is the no. 1 priority above all else.

    If you take a different approach they will say 'It's not about you, it's about protecting the vulnerable other people' - so you are painted as an absolute príck then if you adopt a more rational approach.

    Other people, with more tolerance of 'risk', will take a more 'pragmatic' approach to this virus. They will change their behaviours according to health advice in general, while making a personal judgement about the risks - e.g. at the current time, they will accept that current community transmission of the virus is practically zero, and taking walks and doing a bit of shopping is highly unlikely to result in your contracting the virus. And even if it does, you'll likely get over it.

    But again, they will be told 'you could be asymptomatic, and spreading it to the old and vulnerable, so you're a príck'. But most of the older and vulnerable aren't around you in the lockdown anyway as they should be cocooning.

    The 'lockdown' was never about eradicating the virus and preventing the paranoid from ever contracting it. It was about levelling things to allow the health system cope. It's my view that even when we get to August, if things turned out to be exactly the same as where they are right now, lockdown will ultimately cease - because life HAS TO go on.

    Measures to protect the elderly and vulnerable will have to be taken but these will be measures that ultimately do not impact the younger and less vulnerable. Society has to live with the virus for now. Sure, when lockdown is eased, and when businesses where people congregate re-open, masks may be part of the solution, along with common sense hands washing. And public transport, when large numbers being to re-use it, will likely look for masks too.




    I agree with above for what it's worth. And many others do too.

    One of Britain’s leading doctors has said a New York study showing more than half of coronavirus patients in hospital had been staying at home suggests the UK should relax its lockdown more quickly.

    Prof. Sikora, Dean of the University of Buckingham's medical school said the study appeared to show that lockdowns were only “of limited use”.

    He said: “It is fascinating that it doesn’t seem to matter if you’re locked down or not. These people were locked down, but have a high rate of hospital admissions.

    “Lock down is only of limited use. The risk factors for Covid are age, illness and ethnicity. These have more impact on what you’re going to get and if you’re going to be hospitalised than if you are out and about as normal.
    "The community I serve is poor. Most work in ‘essential,’ low-paying jobs where distancing isn’t easy. Nevertheless, the wave passed over us, peaked and subsided.

    “The way this transpired tells me the ebb and flow had more to do with the natural course of the outbreak than it did with the lockdown,” he said.



    Anyway, back to my original point - some of us are paranoid about this and want current measures, notwithstanding the near disastrous economic impact, to be augmented. Others will want to wear masks on the street, in their cars and in their bedrooms, and will say it's to protect others, not themselves.
    Others will say, hey, most people arent' getting the virus, and most of those who do will survive. Society has to accept the existence of the virus and live with it, and I can go for a walk without worrying about passers by. Unless, of course, they are joggers!

    Sure isn't it really just like the flu anyway :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I wonder will they try to blame the public if they fail to start lifting restrictions on the 18th?

    Concern that delays in testing process could impact on lifting of restrictions https://jrnl.ie/5095665
    I don't think so, we're into the "stay the course" phase. In the near-term such issues will need to be ironed out but I'd say hospitals and ICU will have a greater bearing on immediate decisions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    Recoveries worldwide just crossed 1.5 million (probably many multiples more in reality) and Spain has recorded just 373 new cases today. Good news.

    according to worldometer Spain has 3,480 new cases.
    Still not sure where all this transmission is going on..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    I see that he has written books such as "Morales JF, Song T, Auerbach AD, and Wittkowski KM (2008) Phenotyping genetic diseases using an extension of μ-scores for multivariate data. Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology" which sound intelligent enough to me. He may not be an epidemiologist per se, but certainly appears to have some grounding in subjects allowing him to offer a valid opinion on how the stats might show how this progresses.

    But obviously not good enough for Dr Boggles, who denounces his opinion because it doesn't fit with his preferred narrative!

    If what you hear doesn't fit with your personal risk tolerance, then you decide that what you are hearing is bollóx!

    Literally judging the book by the cover, techniques named in that title are covered at an undergraduate level.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 473 ✭✭ChelseaRentBoy


    according to worldometer Spain has 3,480 new cases.
    Still not sure where all this transmission is going on..

    Why are you not sure? The virus is highly contagious. Once restrictions are lifted the virus will spread.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,139 ✭✭✭What Username Guidelines


    according to worldometer Spain has 3,480 new cases.
    Still not sure where all this transmission is going on..

    They’re counting antibody tests so some will be historical. Actual PCR counts are 373 for today which is very low.

    https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_102_COVID-19.pdf


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    according to worldometer Spain has 3,480 new cases.
    Still not sure where all this transmission is going on..

    Most people with the virus are asymptomatic, coupled with the fact that our contact tracing is poor. In over 60% of cases, we've not been able to figure out from whom the patient has caught the virus.

    This means that a large proportion of our asymptomatic people do not get alerted that they are contagious to give them a chance to self quarantine.

    It really shows how effective the lock-down has been, but we really need to get the finger out on the app. etc. before the lock-down is meaningfully eased.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭MipMap


    HSE yesterday said they need 1.2 million masks per day and they have a delivery of 120 million coming in from South Korea in the coming weeks.



    https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1259434640957456386


    That's 100 days supply.
    Can anyone now explain to me how the general public of Ireland buying a few for themselves will be any threat to supplies to the Frontline Health Services?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    MipMap wrote: »
    HSE yesterday said they need 1.2 million masks per day and they have a delivery of 120 million coming in from South Korea in the coming weeks.



    https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1259434640957456386


    That's 100 days supply.
    Can anyone now explain to me how the general public of Ireland buying a few for themselves will be any threat to supplies to the Frontline Health Services?

    a few masks * 4.9m


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭MipMap


    a few masks * 4.9m
    Whats your point?

    Mine is the HSE have what they need.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,885 ✭✭✭dublinman1990


    I got a phone call back from lady from Citizens Information this morning about me wearing face masks. She said that they should not be giving out this advice because they said the person completely qualified to carry out the advice are from your GP's.

    Also; I posted something last weekend about my nearest neighbour who had came home by ambulance from hospital after being diagnosed from Covid-19 last Sunday. She did not get re-admitted to A&E last Wednesday. She had died due to complications from Covid-19 at her home. A funeral cortege was going around the estate this morning with members of her family behind her. Her family had a private funeral mass in the church this morning. All of my neighbours had clapped for her when she had passed her home. I did feel a little bit emotional myself from the event this morning.

    May she R.I.P. :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    MipMap wrote: »
    HSE yesterday said they need 1.2 million masks per day and they have a delivery of 120 million coming in from South Korea in the coming weeks.



    https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1259434640957456386


    That's 100 days supply.
    Can anyone now explain to me how the general public of Ireland buying a few for themselves will be any threat to supplies to the Frontline Health Services?
    Are we still not getting any/enough from the mask making factory in the west?


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,690 Mod ✭✭✭✭Stheno


    speckle wrote: »
    Are we still not getting any/enough from the mask making factory in the west?

    Could the HSE not look to start getting the sealed hoods that are reusable and cut down on waste in the medium term?

    Probably cut down the 1 billion bill for PPE as well


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    I got a phone call back from lady from Citizens Information this morning about me wearing face masks. She said that they should not be giving out this advice because they said the person completely qualified to carry out the advice are from your GP's.

    Also; I posted something last weekend about my nearest neighbour who had came home by ambulance from hospital after being diagnosed from Covid-19 last Sunday. She did not get re-admitted to A&E last Wednesday. She had died due to complications from Covid-19 at her home. A funeral cortege was going around the estate this morning with members of her family behind her. Her family had a private funeral mass in the church this morning. All of my neighbours had clapped for her when she had passed her home. I did feel a little bit emotional myself from the event this morning.

    May she R.I.P. :(

    May she rest in peace. Just maybe, home was where she wanted to be. Brings it all closer, when it happens nearby.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Stheno wrote: »
    Could the HSE not look to start getting the sealed hoods that are reusable and cut down on waste in the medium term?

    Probably cut down the 1 billion bill for PPE as well
    Apparently there is now discussion at top level on the possible reuse of PPE.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack


    Questions that should be asked to Holohan :

    Any update on anti body testing?

    Masks are mandatory throughout europe, will that be the case here?

    Is their a plan to test a random sample group of the population?

    Asymptomatic transmission was mentioned to be 2/3 of the cases in Nursing homes, have you any data on the prevalence of this in the confirmed cases?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    MipMap wrote: »
    HSE yesterday said they need 1.2 million masks per day and they have a delivery of 120 million coming in from South Korea in the coming weeks.



    https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1259434640957456386


    That's 100 days supply.
    Can anyone now explain to me how the general public of Ireland buying a few for themselves will be any threat to supplies to the Frontline Health Services?

    A few and the general public are contradictory terms here..no?? If even half of the public bought a two week supply of masks thats more than 1/4 of the entire supply


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,580 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    MipMap wrote: »
    HSE yesterday said they need 1.2 million masks per day and they have a delivery of 120 million coming in from South Korea in the coming weeks.



    https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1259434640957456386


    That's 100 days supply.
    Can anyone now explain to me how the general public of Ireland buying a few for themselves will be any threat to supplies to the Frontline Health Services?


    It's like they refuse to buy the machine Trump pushed out for cleaning masks,



    '' no no, I refuse to take on board any suggestion of his, regardless of fact it will save both money and lives''


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    I wonder will they try to blame the public if they fail to start lifting restrictions on the 18th?

    Concern that delays in testing process could impact on lifting of restrictions https://jrnl.ie/5095665
    They'll start lifting the restrictions on the 18th either way. They can't deny the numbers trending downward, they can't move the bar after it's been set.

    The concern is that it might delay later phases. But even then, test capacity is bigger and increasing, results are coming back faster. It's now 2-4 days when it was 2-4 weeks this time last month. By this time next month (end of phase 1), it'll be quicker again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Questions that should be asked to Holohan :

    Any update on anti body testing?

    Masks are mandatory throughout europe, will that be the case here?

    Is their a plan to test a random sample group of the population?

    Asymptomatic transmission was mentioned to be 2/3 of the cases in Nursing homes, have you any data on the prevalence of this in the confirmed cases?
    On that antibody test they are still at a wait and see stage but once one that's accurate enough for them is available you'd expect to see it introduced.
    De Gascun mentioned community testing being completed by the end of June although one would imagine that it hasn't started yet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,580 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    Stheno wrote: »
    Could the HSE not look to start getting the sealed hoods that are reusable and cut down on waste in the medium term?

    Probably cut down the 1 billion bill for PPE as well

    40z2jf.jpg

    Sorry couldnt help myself


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    They’re counting antibody tests so some will be historical. Actual PCR counts are 373 for today which is very low.

    https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_102_COVID-19.pdf

    ah ok , very interesting thanks ..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Questions that should be asked to Holohan :

    Any update on anti body testing?

    Masks are mandatory throughout europe, will that be the case here?

    Is their a plan to test a random sample group of the population?

    Asymptomatic transmission was mentioned to be 2/3 of the cases in Nursing homes, have you any data on the prevalence of this in the confirmed cases?

    This 100+ for any journalists going in today to the briefing.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Would making face coverings in indoor public environments hammer down transmissions and cases and to some degree, indirectly it will benefit the healthcare staff and the PPE situation for the healthcare staff. The more people that get infected with this virus, the more it spreads and the more demands placed on the healthcare industry and the limited PPE.


This discussion has been closed.
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